1:54 Leicester
This Class 5 British EBF Fillies' Restricted Novice Stakes (Division I) for two-year-olds in Bands C and D brings together a field of 12 over 6f at Leicester on good to soft ground. The KTB Fit Scores point to a race with limited depth, headed by Lady Foxtrot on 60, with the next four principals clustered between 51 and 47. Several runners arrive with little or no racecourse experience, while others bring modest but consistent form without having won.
How the race shapes up
The pace shape lacks an obvious leader and points to a steadily-run, tactical affair in which being handy is likely to pay. With several hold-up performers in the line-up, including the selection Lady Foxtrot, the key question is whether the race develops enough pace for those ridden with restraint to make late ground. Early positioning from those drawn low could prove an advantage in a contest where the ability to quicken off a steady gallop may decide matters.
The KTB Fit ranking
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1Lady Foxtrot KTB Selection60/100
Lady Foxtrot showed useful early speed to win over this trip on debut and remains lightly raced after running no sort of race when stepped up to 7f last time. Dropping back to 6f looks a sensible move for this modest performer who carries an official rating of 73. She is held up, usually producing her effort late, though that run-style assessment comes with limited evidence and low confidence. Trainer K R Burke has a 10% strike rate at Leicester from 314 runs while jockey Pierre-Louis Jamin has a 17% strike rate at the track from 35 rides with an A/E of 1.27. She is unproven on good to soft ground having had no previous runs on it and has no course form on record.
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2Beverleighann51/100
Beverleighann is a newcomer with no racecourse experience, so the assessment rests entirely on pedigree and sales background. The Philip McBride yard has a solid 12% strike rate at Leicester from 59 runs and pairs here with Cieren Fallon, whose record at the track reads 16% from 81 rides. Trainer and jockey combined show 5 wins from 27 rides with an A/E of 1.24. By Ubettabelieveit, who has an 11% overall win rate from 452 runners, she lines up from draw 1 in a steadily-run race where being handy could pay. With low data confidence any firm conclusions would be unwise at this stage.
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3Romidijo50/100
Romidijo is a modest performer who has shown consistency without winning, finishing in the first five on five of his eight starts. He steps up from 5f to 6f today having already placed at the trip and has handled good to soft ground creditably with a placing from three attempts. Usually held up and producing his effort late, though that assessment has limited evidence and low confidence. Trainer Charlie Clover holds a strong 29% strike rate at Leicester from a small sample of 7 runs, while Saffie Osborne takes the mount. His recent form of 042255 underlines a competitive profile at this level.
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4Atlantic Grace48/100
Atlantic Grace is a newcomer making her debut so there is no racecourse form to go on and data confidence is low. The assessment therefore rests entirely on her sales and pedigree background. Tom Clover has a solid 15% strike rate at Leicester from 33 runs and sends her out from draw 2 alongside David Egan. Trainer and jockey combined show 18 wins from 101 rides with an A/E of 0.96. By Lope Y Fernandez, who has an 11% overall win rate from 681 runners, she enters a tactical 6f contest where early positioning from her low draw could be beneficial.
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5Setubal47/100
Setubal is a newcomer from a yard that has a solid 14% strike rate at Leicester from 87 runs. The assessment rests on pedigree as there is no racecourse form to go on and data confidence is low. By Inns Of Court out of a useful 6f winner, she was bought for 52,000gns as a yearling. Hugo Palmer teams up with David Probert, whose combined record reads 20 wins from 160 rides with an A/E of 1.11. She lines up from draw 6 in a steadily-run race that may suit those who can quicken off a steady gallop.
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6Massa Go Go47/100
Massa Go Go is a newcomer with no racecourse experience. The John O'Shea yard has a modest 7% strike rate from 123 runs at Leicester and data confidence is low so the assessment rests mainly on sales and pedigree background.
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7Tradittion45/100
Tradittion is a modest performer who has shown some ability at this trip, finishing placed once in two starts, with recent form of 76428 suggesting he is competitive at this level without being progressive. Usually held up, he is unproven on good to soft ground.
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8Romotoso45/100
Romotoso has shown consistent modest form, finishing in the first three on three of four starts including two placed efforts at this trip, though he steps up from 5f today which looks a fair question. The yard's modest 8% strike rate at Leicester from 74 runs adds a note of caution and he is unproven on good to soft.
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9Adelaides Turn44/100
Adelaides Turn has shown only modest form in two starts at 5f so far and stepping up to 6f today asks a fresh question of this lightly raced 2yo. She has one run on good to soft with no win or place.
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10Fancied Angel43/100
Fancied Angel has shown only modest form in two starts over 5f and now steps up in trip to a distance that asks a fresh question. The yard holds a 0% strike rate from 11 runs at Leicester and she is unproven on good to soft.
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11Kissamee41/100
Kissamee is a debutant with little known about her beyond pedigree and sales background. The Richard and Peter Fahey yard has a modest 9% strike rate from 11 runs at Leicester.
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12Classic Bellini37/100
Classic Bellini is a modest performer who has shown mixed form across three starts at sprint trips and steps up to 6f for the first time today which asks a fresh question. Tim Easterby has a 9% strike rate from 330 runs at Leicester and he is unproven on good to soft.
KTB verdict
Lady Foxtrot stands out as the KTB Selection. She showed useful early speed to win over this trip on debut, remains lightly raced, and drops back to 6f after a poor effort at 7f which looks a sensible move. The Burke yard's record at Leicester and the booking of Pierre-Louis Jamin add further positives in a race that lacks depth. Main dangers are the newcomers Beverleighann and Atlantic Grace, whose pedigrees and trainer form at the track command respect, while Romidijo brings the most consistent if modest form in the field.
KTB Selection Lady Foxtrot
This is the narrative read of the 1:54 Leicester. For the live card — runner-by-runner stats, the full Fit Score breakdown and current odds — see the Leicester racecard. Every result we hold for the track is on the Leicester results & records page. How favourites, trainers, jockeys and the draw have fared here over the last five years is on the Leicester racecourse statistics page. New here? How KTB works explains the Fit Score and why we publish both.
Questions about this race
Why does dropping back to 6f look the right move for Lady Foxtrot?
She showed useful early speed to win on debut over today's trip before running no sort of race when stepped up to 7f last time.
How does the lack of an obvious leader affect the shape of the race?
It points to a steadily-run, tactical affair in which being handy is likely to pay.
Which trainer has the strongest strike rate at Leicester among those represented?
Charlie Clover with a 29% strike rate at Leicester from a small sample of 7 runs.
What run-style is shared by several of the more experienced runners?
Held up, usually producing their effort late.
Why is data confidence described as low for several runners?
They are newcomers with no racecourse experience so the assessment rests entirely on pedigree and sales background.
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