2:40 Bath
A 14-runner Flat class 6 contest over 5f10y at Bath (2:40), on Good going. KTB has scored every runner; the preview below reads the race off those numbers.
How the race shapes up
One clear front-runner with little to pressure it — likely an uncontested lead that can be hard for closers to peg back.
The KTB Fit ranking
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1Rinky Tinky Tinky KTB Selection63/100
Limited performer who has won twice at this track from just four runs and has also won at today's trip. Recent form shows two wins in the last six starts yet she remains modest at this level overall. Trainer holds a strong 20% strike-rate at Bath while the 5lb claimer is a positive.
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2Midnight Call56/100
Modest performer who has been in and out of form this year and is drawn wide in stall 14. Has placed on his only previous run here and drops back to a trip at which he has won four times from eight starts, though he is unproven on good ground. Trainer Tony Carroll holds an 11% strike rate from 880 runs at Bath while Rossa Ryan is aboard.
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3Savannah Smiles53/100
Savannah Smiles is a modest performer who has run 50 times in the last year and showed mixed form with a latest sequence of 126954. She has won at this track and at today's trip though her overall strike rate is low and the wide draw in stall 12 is far from ideal. The trainer operates at a 9% strike rate here from 315 runs while the jockey is unproven at the track.
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4Darkened Edge53/100
Modest performer with a solid record at this track, having won two of seven starts here. Recent form of 341127 shows consistency at this level and the horse has won at today's trip four times from 25 runs. Trainer and jockey both have established but modest strike rates at Bath.
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5Recon Mission51/100
Recon Mission is a limited performer who has been in and out this season but showed his best when winning a similar race here in June. He has run well on good ground and at this trip in the past, though his overall strike-rate is modest for a horse with so many runs. The yard know the track well and Luke Morris is a regular rider here.
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6Little Jaybee51/100
Modest performer with a solid recent record of 933221 that includes two placed efforts on good ground.
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7Pedros Dream50/100
Modest performer who has shown bits of ability in four starts.
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8Lahina Bay47/100
Lahina Bay is a limited performer who has been knocking on the door lately with consistent minor placings.
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9Sweet Desire47/100
Modest performer who has shown little in four runs to date and now drops back to an untried 5f.
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10Nordic Glory46/100
Nordic Glory is a limited performer who has been in and out this year but knows his way around this track, having won two of his five runs here.
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11Kodicall46/100
Limited performer who has shown a bit of ability on this track, finishing second here on his penultimate start.
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12Jojo Rabbit45/100
Modest performer with a solid strike-rate at this trip having won seven times from 45 starts.
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13Hi Lord41/100
Modest performer who has been largely out of form this year with a string of modest efforts.
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14Bama Lama39/100
Limited performer who has been placed a few times at this track without winning.
KTB verdict
KTB's top-rated runner is Rinky Tinky Tinky on a Fit Score of 63/100. On our numbers the main dangers are Midnight Call and Savannah Smiles.
KTB Selection Rinky Tinky Tinky
This is the narrative read of the 2:40 Bath. For the live card — runner-by-runner stats, the full Fit Score breakdown and current odds — see the Bath racecard. Every result we hold for the track is on the Bath results & records page. New here? How KTB works explains the Fit Score and why we publish both.
Questions about this race
Which runner does KTB rate highest in the 2:40 at Bath?
Rinky Tinky Tinky tops the KTB Fit ranking for this race on a score of 63/100.
How many runners are in this race?
14 runners are declared (non-runners excluded).
What is the going for the 2:40 at Bath?
The going is described as Good.
What distance is this race run over?
It is run over 5f10y.
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