3:15 Leopardstown
The 3:15 at Leopardstown is the World Pool Bet With The Tote Kilternan Stakes, a Group 3 contest over 1m4f on good ground. An eleven-runner field of mostly progressive or in-form performers lines up, with KTB Fit Scores ranging from 66 down to 46 and a strong pace anticipated. The numbers point to a race where late closers could be advantaged if the front-runners go hard early.
How the race shapes up
With two or more habitual front-runners present the pace shape is strongly positive for hold-up types, as the early gallop is expected to be strong and liable to collapse late. Green Impact and the pair of Aidan O'Brien and Charlie Appleby runners are likely to dispute the lead or race prominently from their middle to low draws. The key question is whether the pace will prove too demanding for those up front, allowing the held-up brigade, including the selection, to pick up the pieces in the straight.
The KTB Fit ranking
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1Purview KTB Selection66/100
Purview arrives with the highest KTB Fit Score of 66 and is taken to land this Group 3. The four-year-old boasts an excellent recent record of 251-11, winning both starts this term, and is well suited by the race conditions. Trained by Dermot Weld, who has a solid 17% strike rate at Leopardstown, he is ridden by Colin Keane whose own course record stands at 14%. With two wins from four starts on good ground and a run-style that sees him held up to produce his effort late, he is ideally positioned if the strong pace materialises. He has twice finished second here without winning, but that placed course form still reads well in this company.
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2Green Impact58/100
Green Impact is rated second on KTB Fit at 58 and holds strong claims on his course record. The four-year-old has won three times from four starts at Leopardstown and tends to make the running or race prominently, which will put him right in the thick of the strong early pace. Trainer Mrs John Harrington has a 10% strike rate at the track while Shane Foley is on 11% here. He has two wins from eight starts on good ground and recent form of 64-442 that shows consistent placed efforts. His ability to handle the front-running role could be key if the pace does not overdo it.
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3Goodie Two Shoes56/100
Goodie Two Shoes comes in with a KTB Fit of 56 and looks to have a each-way chance. The seven-year-old has five wins from eight starts on good ground and showed his well-being with a win on his most recent outing in the 32-821 form line. Joseph Patrick O'Brien, operating at 13% at Leopardstown, teams up with Declan McDonogh who has a 9% strike rate at the track. Usually held up to come with a late run, he should be suited by the anticipated strong pace. He has been placed once from two starts here, though he has yet to win at the course.
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4Sons And Lovers56/100
Sons And Lovers is another with a KTB Fit Score of 56 and brings strong course form. The five-year-old has won once from two starts at Leopardstown and his recent form of -14451 includes a latest victory. From the Joseph Patrick O'Brien yard he is ridden by Oisin Murphy, whose 14% strike rate at the track is noteworthy. With a high-confidence held-up run-style he is another who can benefit if the front-runners go hard. He has only one win from seven starts on good ground, so that aspect will need to be monitored.
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5James J Braddock56/100
James J Braddock completes the principals with a KTB Fit of 56 and is an interesting three-year-old. He has won once from two starts at Leopardstown and showed useful form in the 1-5136 sequence. Trained by Joseph Patrick O'Brien, whose trainer-jockey combination with J M Sheridan shows a positive 17% strike rate and +£42.30 LSP, he is unexposed at this trip. Usually held up with high confidence, he will relish the strong pace scenario. He has one win from two starts on good ground and could improve further.
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6Gaucher54/100
Gaucher has a KTB Fit of 54 and is trained by Willie Mullins, who has a 17% strike rate at Leopardstown. Usually held up, he has been placed on both starts here without winning and has one win from four on good ground.
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7In My Teens53/100
In My Teens is rated 53 on KTB Fit and has two wins from four starts on good ground. Trained by Gavin Cromwell, he was placed on his only previous run at Leopardstown but showed improved form with a recent win in the 22-916 sequence.
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8Thread Of Gold51/100
Thread Of Gold carries a KTB Fit of 51 and is another from the Mullins yard. The three-year-old has won once from two starts at Leopardstown and has two wins from three on good ground, with recent form of 17-311.
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9Arabian Crown49/100
Arabian Crown has a KTB Fit of 49 and tends to make the running. From the Charlie Appleby stable he has no course form on record at Leopardstown and is unproven at this trip, with one win from four on good ground.
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10Piazza San Marco49/100
Piazza San Marco is rated 49 on KTB Fit and is trained by Aidan O'Brien, who has a 20% strike rate at the track. Usually prominent, he has been placed on both previous runs here and brings the 7146-3 form line.
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11Asakir46/100
Asakir has the lowest KTB Fit at 46 but has won once from one start at Leopardstown. Trained by Johnny Murtagh, he is unproven on good ground having had no previous runs on it and is usually held up.
KTB verdict
Purview is the KTB Selection and looks to have the best blend of current form, run-style and trainer prowess for this contest. His two recent wins and high-confidence hold-up style align perfectly with the strong pace that is forecast, and the Dermot Weld–Colin Keane partnership has the right course stats to take advantage. The main dangers are likely to come from Green Impact, who knows his way around Leopardstown and will set the fractions, and the Joseph Patrick O'Brien trio of Goodie Two Shoes, Sons And Lovers and James J Braddock, all of whom can close powerfully if the pace collapses as expected.
KTB Selection Purview
This is the narrative read of the 3:15 Leopardstown. For the live card — runner-by-runner stats, the full Fit Score breakdown and current odds — see the Leopardstown racecard. Every result we hold for the track is on the Leopardstown results & records page. New here? How KTB works explains the Fit Score and why we publish both.
Questions about this race
Which horse is best suited by the expected strong pace?
Purview, whose high-confidence held-up run-style allows him to produce his effort late when the front-runners may be tiring.
How many wins has Green Impact recorded at Leopardstown?
Three wins from four starts at the track.
Which trainer has the strongest strike rate at Leopardstown in this field?
A P O'Brien with a 20% strike rate at the track.
Which runners are unproven on good ground?
Asakir has had no runs on good ground, while Piazza San Marco has had one run on good with no win or place.
Which horse has the most placed efforts on good ground?
Goodie Two Shoes with seven placed efforts from eight starts on good ground.
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