4:30 Roscommon
A 18-runner Flat contest over 1m4f46y at Roscommon (4:30), on Soft going. KTB has scored every runner; the preview below reads the race off those numbers.
How the race shapes up
No one obviously wants the lead — likely a steadily-run, tactical affair where being handy pays.
The KTB Fit ranking
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1Adel KTB Selection59/100
Adel is a fair 3-year-old who has already won over this trip and at this track from three starts here. He showed that ability with a win on his penultimate start but was well below that level last time. The trainer has a solid 14% strike-rate at Roscommon while the jockey's 6% record is more modest.
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2Lauderdale King58/100
Modest performer who has won his last two starts and now drops back to a trip he has already won over from one start. He has never tackled soft ground and lines up here from the widest stall having never been to Roscommon before. The yard and jockey both have solid records at the track.
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3Mocking57/100
Mocking is a fair sort who has won once and placed once from two runs at Roscommon. He has a solid record on soft ground with one win and two places from four starts, and has also placed at today's trip. Trainer and jockey both hold above-average strike rates at the track.
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4Rakki56/100
Rakki is a modest performer who has won once from two starts at this track and is 1-3 at today's trip. He has been competitive on soft ground without winning and drops back in trip from his latest run over 1m5f. The yard has a solid 22% strike rate from 297 runs here while the jockey is operating at 14% from 109 rides.
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5Earthsong54/100
Modest performer who has shown some spark on her better days, finishing fourth and then winning at this trip earlier in the season. Drops back from 1m5f with first-time headgear on, though she is unproven on soft ground and makes her debut at Roscommon from a wide draw. Trainer and jockey both have established records at the track.
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6Ehteyat52/100
Ehteyat is a fair handicapper who has run to form on this track when second here over further and has placed twice at today's trip.
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7Coulstys Way52/100
Modest performer who has won here once from four visits and also has a solid record at this trip with two wins from four attempts.
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8Connecteo48/100
Modest performer who has shown some ability on this track, finishing second here on his only visit.
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9Flying Fortress47/100
Modest performer who has been placed on all three starts at this track without winning.
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10Pillar Of Hope46/100
Pillar Of Hope is a fair performer who showed his best side when winning at this trip last time out.
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11Matt Connor44/100
Modest performer who has won once on soft ground from three attempts.
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12Ephesus43/100
Ephesus is a modest performer who has won both starts at this trip and scored on his only previous visit to Roscommon.
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13Unfold43/100
Modest performer who showed improved form when winning a 1m2f maiden on soft ground at this track last summer before a respectable fifth on return at Dundalk.
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14Grann's Boy42/100
Modest performer who has shown little spark in two starts this year after a long break.
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15L'Un Deux Trois41/100
Modest performer who has won three times at today's trip but has looked on the decline for some time.
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16Zuzukel41/100
Modest performer who has been largely out of form for some time and showed little spark when last seen.
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17Justenzia41/100
Modest performer who has been placed on his last two starts over shorter trips and now steps up in distance for the first time.
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18Oh So Charming40/100
Modest performer who has been out of form for some time and showed little spark on his most recent start.
KTB verdict
KTB's top-rated runner is Adel on a Fit Score of 59/100. On our numbers the main dangers are Lauderdale King and Mocking.
KTB Selection Adel
This is the narrative read of the 4:30 Roscommon. For the live card — runner-by-runner stats, the full Fit Score breakdown and current odds — see the Roscommon racecard. Every result we hold for the track is on the Roscommon results & records page. How favourites, trainers, jockeys and the draw have fared here over the last five years is on the Roscommon racecourse statistics page. New here? How KTB works explains the Fit Score and why we publish both.
Questions about this race
Which runner does KTB rate highest in the 4:30 at Roscommon?
Adel tops the KTB Fit ranking for this race on a score of 59/100.
How many runners are in this race?
18 runners are declared (non-runners excluded).
What is the going for the 4:30 at Roscommon?
The going is described as Soft.
What distance is this race run over?
It is run over 1m4f46y.
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