8:00 Wolverhampton (AW)

The KTB Fit ranking

1. 1Hozam KTB Selection64/100

   Form 3224 · Kevin & Lauren Frost · Jack Mitchell

   Family: half-brother to Ben Lilly (9 wins from 41 runs). The dam has had 5 other runners, 2 of them winners.

   Hozam arrives with a KTB Fit Score of 64 and is the selection. A fair performer, he has shown consistent placed form on this track, finishing second and third from two runs at Wolverhampton. He steps up in trip today to an untried 1m1f which asks a fresh question, while the going remains unknown from just four career starts. The half-brother to Ben Lilly, whose dam has produced two winners from five runners, he races prominently and is usually handy or close to the lead. Trainer Kevin & Lauren Frost hold a 13% strike rate at Wolverhampton from 15 runs and jockey Jack Mitchell has a 17% record from 1,059 rides at the course, above their mark elsewhere. His recent form of 3224 underlines steady placed efforts and he holds an official rating of 77.

2. 2Kaaranah63/100

   Form 651132 · John Butler · David Egan

   Kaaranah is rated 63 on the KTB Fit scale and is a modest performer who has won four times from 11 runs at this track and four times from seven starts at today's trip. He has been in decent recent form with three wins from his last six outings and holds an official rating of 74. An 8-year-old stepping up in class, he is held up and usually produces his effort late. Trainer John Butler has a 12% strike rate at Wolverhampton from 880 runs while jockey David Egan sits on 13% from 367 rides here, both figures in line with their records elsewhere. He has four wins from 21 starts on standard going and his recent form reads 651132.

3. 3Newfangled60/100

   Form 646437 · Jonathan Portman · Billy Loughnane

   Newfangled carries a KTB Fit Score of 60 and is a modest performer with a solid record here, winning three of five starts at Wolverhampton. He steps up in class and in trip today having last run over 1m yet has won twice from five attempts at this distance. From draw 1 he races prominently and is usually handy or close to the lead. Trainer Jonathan Portman operates at a 10% strike rate here in line with his overall figure while jockey Billy Loughnane posts a 20% strike rate at the track which is above his rate elsewhere. He has five wins from 10 starts on standard going and recent form of 646437.

4. 4Serious Look53/100

   Form -15587 · Thomas Faulkner · Robert Havlin

   Serious Look is assessed at 53 on the KTB Fit scale and is a modest performer who has won four times from 13 starts at Wolverhampton. He steps up in class and in trip today having last run over a mile yet has won three times from nine starts at this distance and holds a solid record on standard going with four wins from 14 runs. Racing prominently from draw 2, he is usually handy or close to the lead. The trainer operates at a 15% strike rate here which is above their 6% at other courses while the jockey records a 13% strike rate at the track which is also above his 11% elsewhere. His recent form reads -15587.

5. 5Mythical Bird52/100

   Form 031554 · Hughie Morrison · Rob Hornby

   Mythical Bird is a fair performer with a KTB Fit Score of 52 who has shown consistent placed form at this track, finishing third and second in two runs here. He has also placed twice at today's trip from three attempts and holds an official rating of 76 after a string of respectable efforts. The yard and jockey both operate at their typical level at Wolverhampton.

6. 6Ciao Capo51/100

   Form 116138 · Richard & Peter Fahey · Oisin Orr

   Ciao Capo is a modest performer with a KTB Fit Score of 51 who has won three times from 13 starts and holds an official rating of 71. He drops back in trip to 1m1f104y today which is a fresh question having last run over 1m2f. Trainer and jockey both record 15-16% strike rates at Wolverhampton which sit in line with their figures at other tracks while the horse has won once from three runs on standard going.

7. 7Roi de Coeur51/100

   Form 512521 · Marco Botti · Marco Ghiani

   Roi de Coeur is a fair 3-year-old with a KTB Fit Score of 51 and a solid recent record of two wins and two seconds from his last four starts. He has already shown ability on standard going and the trainer's above-average strike rate at Wolverhampton offers some encouragement, though the jockey's record here sits in line with his overall figure. The step up in trip today is an unknown and he was only sixth on his one previous visit to the track.

8. 8Ted Le Saux48/100

   Form 2-1365 · Andrew Balding · Oisin Murphy

   Family: half-brother to Nate The Great, a Listed winner (6 wins from 37 runs). The dam has had 5 other runners, 4 of them winners.

   Ted Le Saux is a modest performer with a KTB Fit Score of 48 who showed fair form when third over C&D on his only previous visit here. He drops back in trip today having last run over 1m2f, which is a fresh question, while his half-brother Nate The Great was a Listed winner. Trainer Andrew Balding has a 14% strike rate at Wolverhampton from 721 runs in line with his record elsewhere, while Oisin Murphy has a 22% strike rate here from 651 rides above his 17% at other courses.

9. 9Shady Bay37/100

   Form 334279 · Tom Ward · David Probert

   Shady Bay is a modest performer with a KTB Fit Score of 37 who has been consistent enough to hold his form this year without winning. He has shown little at this track in four runs and is dropping back in trip today having failed to make the frame in three previous attempts at the distance. The yard and jockey both record an 11% strike rate here which sits in line with their figures elsewhere.