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Trainer profile

Eric Larkin

114 runners in the lifetime window · 19 individual horses
As at 24 Oct 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily
Last runner 19 days ago 98% of runners over jumps
from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it
5–114
Wins / Runs
4.4%
Strike rate
n=114
17 (15%)
Placed
1.03
n=114 · 0.82 incl. margin
−33.50
£1 level stake
n=114 at SP · −29.4%
£55,667
Prize money (window)
Strike by season
0%
KTB Yard Profile

Sends out around 10 runners a season, almost all over hurdles and fences, winning with 4% of them — beating the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 1.03).

Deterministic profile computed from 114 archived runs (lifetime window) · updated 24 Oct 2026
The read

The yard also reads well off a 15-30-day break (8.6%, n=35). The record reads poorly on Good going — 0% over 39 runners, 4.4pts below the baseline. The market has consistently overbet the yard over 1m5f – 2m: Fair A/E 0.53 across 50 runners (2% strike, −29.00 to a £1 stake) — runners there underperform what the price implies.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 4.4% baseline
Fresh · 61+ days off
0%−4.4
n=26 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −26.00
New recruits · first run for the yard
0%−4.4
n=5 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −5.00
Debutants · first career start
0%−4.4
n=14 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −14.00
First-time headgear · true-first definition
0%−4.4
n=8 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −8.00
Headgear returns · back on after a bare run
0%−4.4
n=10 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −10.00
When favourite
0%
n=2 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −2.00
Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle
3.5%−0.9
n=57 · A/E 0.84 · £1 −39.50

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 4.4% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, not tips. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline
On Good going 0% vs 4.4% · n=39
Off a 15-30-day break 8.6% vs 4.4% · n=35
With a new jockey booking 1.3% vs 4.4% · n=78
Over 1m5f – 2m 2% vs 4.4% · n=50
With claiming riders up 3.5% vs 4.4% · n=57 · A/E 0.84
Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1
Hurdle 76 3 3.9% −26.00
Chase 20 2 10% +10.50
NH Flat 16 0 0% −16.00
Flat 2 0 0% −2.00

Going

GoingRWSR£1
Soft 42 2 4.8% −13.00
Good 39 0 0% −39.00
Heavy 18 2 11.1% +12.50
Good to Soft 12 1 8.3% +9.00
Good to Firm 3 0 0% −3.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1
Clonmel 15 2 13.3% +15.50
Tramore 13 0 0% −13.00
Cork 12 1 8.3% −4.00
Wexford 11 0 0% −11.00
Thurles 10 2 20% +32.00
Punchestown 9 0 0% −9.00
Fairyhouse 8 0 0% −8.00
Limerick 7 0 0% −7.00
Kilbeggan 5 0 0% −5.00
Tipperary 4 0 0% −4.00
Wexford 3 0 0% −3.00
Roscommon 3 0 0% −3.00
Killarney 3 0 0% −3.00
Navan 2 0 0% −2.00
Gowran Park 2 0 0% −2.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1
Favourite 4 1 25% 1.55 +4.00
2nd–3rd fav 6 0 0% 0.00 −6.00
4th–6th fav 28 1 3.6% 0.50 −18.50
7th+ in betting 76 3 3.9% 1.96 −13.00
Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Jumping record

completion over obstacles · same window as header
83.3% completed · 96 obstacle runners (chases & hurdles)
CodeRCompFURPUBDOth
Chase 20 80% 1 0 3 0 0
Hurdle 76 84.2% 0 2 8 1 1
Chases and hurdles only — bumpers have no obstacles, so completion is not a question there. F fell · UR unseated rider · PU pulled up · BD brought down · Oth covers refusals, slip-ups, run-outs and the rare disqualification. Non-runners are excluded throughout. Rows under n=30 are shown faded. A descriptive record, not a tip.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first
HorseRWPlLast ran
Depeche Mo (IRE) 26 0 4 1 Oct 26
Lizrona (IRE)from Henry De Bromhead 17 2 4 2 Mar 24
Slievenamon (IRE) 15 1 2 6 Aug 18
Tippinaway (IRE) 7 1 1 5 Oct 26
Whatsupnellie (IRE) 7 0 3 13 Feb 25
Whiskeyforluck (IRE) 6 0 0 4 Apr 25
Carrigaloe (IRE) 6 0 0 16 Oct 18
Teaspoon (IRE) 5 0 0 3 Aug 15
Barroness Park (IRE) 2 0 0 15 Jan 25
Easter Recital (IRE) 2 0 0 17 Jul 22
Spike Alen (IRE) 2 0 0 18 Oct 17
All 19 horses sent out in this window. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.
Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 19 horses listed, 4 arrived from another yard in our archive; 15 had their first archived run for this yard.

1 has since run for another yard; 18 have no later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

When the yard fires

strike by month, lifetime
JFMAMJJASOND
000250006001313
A jumps yard: the season runs Oct–Apr. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first
RiderRWSR£1
Sean Flanagan 10 1 10% +11.00
Richard Deegan 10 1 10% +11.00
J J Slevin 9 1 11.1% −1.00
Niall Moore 8 0 0% −8.00
Michael O'Sullivan 6 0 0% −6.00
Ben Harvey 5 0 0% −5.00
Brian Hayes 4 0 0% −4.00
Sean O'Keeffe 4 1 25% +17.00
Sean McDermott 3 0 0% −3.00
Sarah Kavanagh 3 0 0% −3.00
Paddy Hanlon 3 0 0% −3.00
Dylan Robinson 3 0 0% −3.00
Muted rows are under 30 rides.

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2005→
5
Archived wins
£60,444
Prize money
2017
Best season · 2 wins
In our archive from its very first year (2005), so this career almost certainly began earlier than our record does. The figures above count 2005 onwards only — what the archive holds, not a full-career total. This card is the full archive census (2005→); the statistics in the header aggregate from 2008 — the floor that guarantees every horse a complete captured career — so this card can legitimately show more wins than the header.
Lizrona (IRE) — Botanica International Mares Handicap Chase Clonmel · Apr 2023
£6,785
Lizrona (IRE) — Molony Cup Handicap Chase (0-109) Thurles · Dec 2022
£6,785
Slievenamon (IRE) — Come Racing Again Tomorrow Mares Handicap Hurdle (80-95) Cork · Aug 2017
£6,468

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip
Masterofthehorse (IRE) 0% · 0–26
Progeny have won 6.5% of 587 runs since 2008 (61 horses). Weakest on Soft going: 2.4% from 166.
Dylan Thomas (IRE) 11.8% · 2–17
Progeny have won 10.5% of 7,491 runs since 2008 (533 horses). Strongest at trips under 6f (all codes): 17.7% from 192.
Oscar (IRE) 6.3% · 1–16
Progeny have won 10.9% of 16,542 runs since 2008 (1,456 horses). Strongest on Standard (AW) going: 18.1% from 105.
Iffraaj (GB) 9.1% · 1–11
Progeny have won 10.5% of 13,958 runs since 2008 (1,089 horses).
Diamond Boy (FR) 0% · 0–8
Progeny have won 12% of 2,276 runs since 2008 (285 horses).
Doyen (IRE) 14.3% · 1–7
Progeny have won 11.5% of 7,351 runs since 2008 (605 horses).
Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 24 Oct 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 126 · newest first

The latest 50 of 126 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 29 January 2005 to 5 October 2026.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP
17 Apr 25 Clonmel Tippinaway (IRE)J: Richard Deegan Knocklofty Maiden Hurdle20f · Good To Yielding · 13 ran 1st 20/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is Eric Larkin's strike rate?
Eric Larkin has won 5 of 114 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 4.4% (as at 24 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
What is Eric Larkin's Fair A/E?
1.03, from 114 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%". Three sample sizes are reported and never blended: runs (n), the ROI basis (n at SP), and the fair-A/E basis (n with a computed fair probability).

Strike rate is wins over all runs (n). ROI is £1 level stakes at SP over runs with a parseable price (n at SP). Fair A/E is wins over margin-stripped market expectation, over runs with a computed fair probability (n fair). The three Ns can legitimately differ and are always shown. Figures as at 24 October 2026, computed from our own results archive (2005 onwards; aggregates from 2008).