F Guyader
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%".
Sends out around 20 runners a season, almost all on the flat, winning with 6% of them — a touch below the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 0.75). With a claiming rider up the record reads 10% (80 runs).
The record is strongest at Deauville (AW) (10.1%, n=99) and Saint-Cloud (9.3%, n=54) — all clear of the yard's 5.7% baseline. Runners with a claiming rider up have been a positive signal at 10% (n=80, Fair A/E 1.09), but a horse in first-time headgear has been a poor signal at 1.5% (n=65, Fair A/E 0.21). Marie Velon rides 25% of the entries and edges the yard's average (8.4% vs 5.7%, A/E 0.98) — the market has that partnership priced right. The yard also reads well off a 31-60-day break (10.3%, n=58). The record reads poorly on Good to Soft going — 2.5% over 80 runners, 3.2pts below the baseline. 2 Group and Graded wins sit in the archive record — the biggest prize the yard has landed: the Darley Prix de Cabourg at Deauville (FR) (Aug 2021, £35,714). Seasonally, the yard fires Aug–Sep.
Yard patterns
the angles behind the record · vs 5.7% baselineEach tile is the record in that situation vs the 5.7% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, not tips. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.
Notable angles
vs their own baselineRecord by conditions
same window as headerRace type
Going
Courses
Class
Market position
Distance
By season
Handicaps
Field size
Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.
Horses trained
same window as header · most-raced firstCurrent form
significance-gatedLast 14 days
Small sampleWhen the yard fires
strike by month, lifetimeJockey bookings
same window · biggest samples firstCareer highlights
lifetime archive, 2021→Sires in the string
progeny record · win % by ground and tripThe record
latest 50 of 332 · newest firstThe latest 50 of 332 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 21 February 2021 to 22 October 2026.
Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).
Quick answers
- What is F Guyader's strike rate?
- F Guyader has won 19 of 332 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 5.7% (as at 23 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
- Which course does F Guyader do best at?
- Deauville (AW) by strike rate: 10 wins from 99 runners (10.1%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
- Who rides most for F Guyader?
- Marie Velon, with 83 runners since 2008 — 25% of the total. That pairing has won 7 (8.4%).
- Is F Guyader in form?
- Too few runners in the last 14 days to read — 2 runners, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.
- What is F Guyader's Fair A/E?
- 0.75, from 332 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.