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Trainer profile

F Oakes

238 runners in the lifetime window · 16 individual horses
As at 3 Nov 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily
Last runner 141 days ago
Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2008→)
from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it
12–238
Wins / Runs
5%
Strike rate
n=238
53 (22%)
Placed
0.89
Fair A/E
n=238 · 0.68 incl. margin
−103.00
£1 level stake
n=238 at SP · −43.3%
£180k
Prize money (window)
Strike by season
0%
KTB Yard Profile

Sends out around 10 runners a season, across both codes, winning with 5% of them — a touch below the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 0.89).

Deterministic profile computed from 238 archived runs (lifetime window) · updated 3 Nov 2026
KTB at a glance N G McCullagh: 8.8% from 80
The read

Horses returning fresh after 61+ days have been a poor signal at 2% (n=50, Fair A/E 0.54). N G McCullagh rides 34% of the entries and edges the yard's average (8.8% vs 5%, A/E 1.42) — the partnership beats the margin-free market read. The yard also reads well over 6f – 7f (12.3%, n=57). The record reads poorly over 2m1f – 2m4f — 0% over 35 runners, 5pts below the baseline. The market has consistently overbet the yard on Soft going: Fair A/E 0.34 across 60 runners (1.7% strike, −45.00 to a £1 stake) — runners there underperform what the price implies. The stable star of the record: Mountain Coral (IRE) — 8 wins from 62 runs for the yard.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 5% baseline
Fresh · 61+ days off
2%−3.0
n=50 · A/E 0.54 · £1 −33.00
New recruits · first run for the yard
0%−5.0
n=10 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −10.00
Debutants · first career start
0%−5.0
n=4 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −4.00
First-time headgear · true-first definition
0%−5.0
n=6 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −6.00
Headgear returns · back on after a bare run
0%−5.0
n=15 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −15.00
When favourite
0%
n=5 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −5.00
Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle
4.6%−0.4
n=87 · A/E 0.82 · £1 −32.50

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 5% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races. The same beliefs, tested across every yard and every GB and Irish race since 2005: Racing myths.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline
Over 6f – 7f 12.3% vs 5% · n=57
With C&D winners 10.9% vs 5% · n=46
Over 2m1f – 2m4f 0% vs 5% · n=35
With N G McCullagh 8.8% vs 5% · n=80
On Soft going 1.7% vs 5% · n=60
In Hurdle races 1.8% vs 5% · n=55
Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1
Flat 175 11 6.3% −66.00
Hurdle 55 1 1.8% −29.00
Chase 8 0 0% −8.00

Going

GoingRWSR£1
Standard (AW) 65 5 7.7% −21.00
Soft 60 1 1.7% −45.00
Good 48 4 8.3% +10.50
Good to Soft 25 1 4% −16.00
Good to Firm 20 1 5% −11.50
Heavy 19 0 0% −19.00
Firm 1 0 0% −1.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1
Dundalk (AW) 65 5 7.7% −21.00
Gowran Park 17 1 5.9% −7.50
Curragh 14 2 14.3% +6.00
Naas 11 0 0% −11.00
Down Royal 11 0 0% −11.00
Cork 10 0 0% −10.00
Navan 10 1 10% −1.50
Killarney 10 1 10% +5.00
Sligo 9 0 0% −9.00
Kilbeggan 7 0 0% −7.00
Limerick 7 0 0% −7.00
Leopardstown 7 1 14.3% +5.00
Fairyhouse 7 0 0% −7.00
Ballinrobe 7 0 0% −7.00
Roscommon 6 0 0% −6.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1
Favourite 6 0 0% 0.00 −6.00
2nd–3rd fav 29 4 13.8% 1.21 −2.00
4th–6th fav 59 6 10.2% 1.40 +17.00
7th+ in betting 144 2 1.4% 0.42 −112.00
Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first
HorseRWPlLast ran
Mountain Coral (IRE) 62 8 17 10 Jan 14
Mountain Fox (IRE) 57 3 19 10 May 23
Ice Ice Baby (GB)from John C McConnell 24 0 3 8 Sep 18
Rosangla (IRE)from E Sheehy · then Anthony James Costello 16 0 5 26 Nov 09
Mooretown Boy (IRE)from M P Cash 14 1 4 7 Jun 14
Thespian Star (IRE) 13 0 1 14 Jun 09
Winterdown Star (IRE)from M J P O'Brien · then Denis W Cullen 12 0 1 13 Jun 10
Bisou Baby (IRE)then Mme I T Oakes-Cottin 7 0 3 13 May 11
Winterdown Boss (IRE)from M J P O'Brien 7 0 0 18 Nov 09
Aitchiface (IRE)from A Kinsella 5 0 0 17 Sep 10
Doctor Taz (IRE)from W J Austin 5 0 0 20 Jul 09
Dylan Oak (IRE)from Denis W Cullen 4 0 0 15 Jun 26
All 16 horses sent out in this window. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.
Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 16 horses listed, 11 arrived from another yard in our archive, most often from M J P O'Brien (2); 5 had their first archived run for this yard.

4 have since run for another yard; 12 have no later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

When the yard fires

strike by month, lifetime
JFMAMJJASOND
00003133090918
A flat yard: the season runs Mar–Oct. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first
Go-to riderN G McCullagh
34% of all rides
8.8% SR · A/E 1.42
RiderRWSR£1
N G McCullagh 80 7 8.8% −5.00
Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2005→
16
Archived wins
£226k
Prize money
2009
Best season · 4 wins
In our archive from its very first year (2005), so this career almost certainly began earlier than our record does. The figures above count 2005 onwards only — what the archive holds, not a full-career total. This card is the full archive census (2005→); the statistics in the header aggregate from 2008 — the floor that guarantees every horse a complete captured career — so this card can legitimately show more wins than the header.
Mountain Coral (IRE) — Dubai Duty Free Finest Surprise Scurry Premier Handicap Curragh · Jun 2009
£45,570
Mountain Coral (IRE) — 80's Night At Navan Racecourse Handicap Navan · Jun 2009
£13,997
Mooretown Boy (IRE) — Barclay Communications o2 Advance Partner Handicap (50-80) Down Royal · Jun 2006
£8,638
Notable horses
Mountain Coral (IRE) Mooretown Boy (IRE) Mountain Fox (IRE) Rosangla (IRE)

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip
Jammaal (GB) 12.9% · 8–62
Progeny have won 10% of 231 runs since 2008 (18 horses).
Fast Company (IRE) 5.3% · 3–57
Progeny have won 9.4% of 7,599 runs since 2014 (492 horses). Strongest on Heavy going: 12.7% from 558. Strongest over 2m5f – 3m (all codes): 12.8% from 109.
Iceman (GB) 0% · 0–24
Progeny have won 8.1% of 2,215 runs since 2010 (119 horses). Strongest on Soft going: 12.1% from 206. Weakest over 2m1f – 2m4f (all codes): 4.4% from 137.
Sanglamore (USA) 0% · 0–16
Progeny have won 4% of 101 runs since 2008 (17 horses).
Lapierre (GB) 7.1% · 1–14
Progeny have won 4.3% of 23 runs since 2008 (2 horses). A small sample.
King's Theatre (IRE) 0% · 0–13
Progeny have won 14.4% of 12,129 runs since 2008 (746 horses). Weakest on Standard (AW) going: 4.8% from 125. Weakest over 1m2f – 1m4f (all codes): 7.9% from 203.
Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 3 Nov 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 293 · newest first

The latest 50 of 293 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 13 April 2005 to 15 June 2026.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP
15 Jun 26 Kilbeggan Dylan Oak (IRE)J: Ricky Doyle Follow Kilbeggan On Instagram Handicap Hurdle (0-100) (Div 2)24.5f · Good To Yielding · 14 ran PU 20/1
01 Jun 24 Tramore Dylan Oak (IRE)J: Ricky Doyle racingtv.com/freetrial Handicap Hurdle (80-95)16f · Yielding · 16 ran PU 9/1
17 May 24 Kilbeggan Dylan Oak (IRE)J: Ricky Doyle William Hill Epic Boost Handicap Hurdle (80-109)16f · Good To Yielding · 14 ran 5th 8/1
10 Mar 24 Naas Dylan Oak (IRE)J: Sam Ewing Bar One Racing 'Price Boosts All 28 Favourites At Cheltenham' Handicap Hurdle (80-102) (Div 2)15.5f · Soft · 19 ran 8th 20/1
10 May 23 Gowran Park Mountain Fox (IRE)J: N G McCullagh Racing Again May 23rd Handicap (47-70)14f · Soft · 15 ran 8th 66/1
06 Oct 22 Thurles Mountain Fox (IRE)J: Scott McCullagh www.thurlesraces.ie Handicap (50-70)16f · Soft · 14 ran 9th 33/1
19 Aug 22 Kilbeggan Mountain Fox (IRE)J: Ricky Doyle Tom Lynam Memorial Handicap Hurdle (80-109)19f · Good · 15 ran 6th 18/1
28 Apr 22 Punchestown Mountain Fox (IRE)J: J J Slevin Specialist Joinery Group Handicap Hurdle (88-123)16f · Good To Yielding · 25 ran 10th 22/1
06 Apr 22 Leopardstown Mountain Fox (IRE)J: Nathan Crosse Spin 1038 Handicap (50-80)10f · Good · 20 ran 12th 50/1
31 Oct 21 Naas Mountain Fox (IRE)J: Ben Coen Congratulations To The 2021 Flat Champions Handicap10f · Heavy · 16 ran 16th 16/1
19 Oct 21 Gowran Park Mountain Fox (IRE)J: Nathan Crosse BetVictor Casino Handicap (Div 2)14f · Soft To Heavy · 13 ran 2nd 9/1
17 Oct 21 Naas Tia Dalma (IRE)J: Nathan Crosse Irish Stallion Farms EBF Fillies Maiden6f · Yielding · 18 ran 14th 100/1
26 Sep 21 Curragh Mountain Fox (IRE)J: Annalise Cullen Tesoro Vita Ladies Trophy Handicap12f · Good · 17 ran 7th 22/1
26 Sep 21 Curragh Tia Dalma (IRE)J: Nathan Crosse William Hill Ireland Acca Freedom Irish EBF Maiden5f · Good · 13 ran 10th 40/1
03 Sep 21 Down Royal Mountain Fox (IRE)J: Nathan Crosse Grant Thornton Ulster Cesarewitch Handicap (50-80)18f · Good · 9 ran 6th 14/1
22 Aug 21 Naas Mountain Fox (IRE)J: Cian MacRedmond Treo Eile Retraining Racehorses Apprentice Handicap10f · Yielding To Soft · 16 ran 3rd 12/1
05 Aug 21 Leopardstown Mountain Fox (IRE)J: Scott McCullagh Ryan's Cleaning Handicap15f · Soft · 15 ran 2nd 11/1
21 Jul 21 Naas Tia Dalma (IRE)J: Nathan Crosse Irish Stallion Farms EBF Maiden6f · Good · 8 ran 4th 200/1
13 Jul 21 Killarney Mountain Fox (IRE)J: Nathan Crosse Carrauntoohil Handicap17f · Good · 14 ran 12th 28/1
25 Jun 21 Curragh Mountain Fox (IRE)J: Alan Persse Bord Na Mona Recycling Apprentice Derby12f · Good · 19 ran 4th 50/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is F Oakes's strike rate?
F Oakes has won 12 of 238 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 5% (as at 3 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does F Oakes do best at?
Dundalk (AW) by strike rate: 5 wins from 65 runners (7.7%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Who rides most for F Oakes?
N G McCullagh, with 80 runners since 2008 — 34% of the total. That pairing has won 7 (8.8%).
What is F Oakes's Fair A/E?
0.89, from 238 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%". Three sample sizes are reported and never blended: runs (n), the ROI basis (n at SP), and the fair-A/E basis (n with a computed fair probability).

Strike rate is wins over all runs (n). ROI is £1 level stakes at SP over runs with a parseable price (n at SP). Fair A/E is wins over margin-stripped market expectation, over runs with a computed fair probability (n fair). The three Ns can legitimately differ and are always shown. Figures as at 3 November 2026, computed from our own results archive (2005 onwards; aggregates from 2008).