What is Gerald Mosse's strike rate?

Gerald Mosse has won 42 of 417 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 10.1% (as at 1 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.

Which course does Gerald Mosse do best at?

Saint-Cloud by strike rate: 5 wins from 45 runners (11.1%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.

Who rides most for Gerald Mosse?

J Moutard, with 63 runners since 2008 — 15% of the total. That pairing has won 6 (9.5%).

Is Gerald Mosse in form?

In the last 14 days: 15 runners, 2 winners, a strike rate of 13.3%. That is above the baseline of 10.1% since 2008.

What is Gerald Mosse's Fair A/E?

0.98, from 416 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.

Trainer profile

Gerald Mosse

417 runners in the lifetime window · 82 individual horses

As at 1 Nov 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily

Non-runners: 0.3% of 289 declared in the last 365 days, counting all recorded withdrawals, including reserves. For context, a typical day across all racing ends with about 6.5% withdrawn (middle half 5.3–8.1% over 364 racing days). As at 1 Nov 2026.

In form — 2 winners last 14 days Last runner yesterday 100% of runners on the flat

Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2024→)

from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it

42–417

Wins / Runs

10.1%

Strike rate

n=417

142 (34%)

Placed

0.98

Fair A/E

n=416 · 0.79 incl. margin

−34.79

£1 level stake

n=417 at SP · −8.3%

£1.30m

Prize money (window)

Strike by season

9.5%

KTB Yard Profile

Sends out around 20 runners a season, almost all on the flat, winning with 10% of them — level with the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 0.98). The yard is in form now — 2 winners in the last fortnight, above its own baseline.

Deterministic profile computed from 417 archived runs (lifetime window) · updated 1 Nov 2026

KTB at a glance Fires Mar–Apr 28.3% when favourite J Moutard: 9.5% from 63 New recruits: 10.7% Sends off the favourite in 13% of races

The read

In Group and Graded company the record reads poorly at 5.8% (n=52, Fair A/E 0.67). Right now the yard is firing: 2 winners from 15 runners in the last 14 days (13.3%, 3.2pts above the 10.1% baseline). J Moutard rides 15% of the entries and matches the yard's average almost exactly (9.5%, A/E 1.04) — the partnership beats the margin-free market read. The yard also reads well off a 15-30-day break (16.6%, n=151) and on Good going (15%, n=40). The record reads poorly off a 8-14-day break — 4.2% over 48 runners, 5.9pts below the baseline. The market has consistently overbet the yard off a 31-60-day break: Fair A/E 0.51 across 88 runners (4.5% strike, −64.60 to a £1 stake) — runners there underperform what the price implies. 3 Group and Graded wins sit in the archive record — the biggest prize the yard has landed: the Super Handicap de Reouverture at Longchamp (FR) (Apr 2026, £41,739). Seasonally, the yard fires Mar–Apr.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 10.1% baseline

Fresh · 61+ days off

8.7%−1.4

n=92 · A/E 0.96 · £1 −3.80

New recruits · first run for the yard

10.7%+0.6

n=75 · A/E 1.13 · £1 +17.68

Debutants · first career start

7.9%−2.2

n=38 · A/E 1.00 · £1 +35.80

First-time headgear · true-first definition

0%−10.1

n=21 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −21.00

Headgear returns · back on after a bare run

0%−10.1

n=2 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −2.00

When favourite

28.3%

n=53 · A/E 1.08 · £1 −5.19

Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle

12%+1.9

n=25 · A/E 1.62 · £1 +5.80

Group / Graded races · pattern & listed

5.8%−4.3

n=52 · A/E 0.67 · £1 +4.00

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 10.1% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races. The same beliefs, tested across every yard and every GB and Irish race since 2005: Racing myths.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline

With M Barzalona 19.7% vs 10.1% · n=61

Off a 15-30-day break 16.6% vs 10.1% · n=151

Off a 31-60-day break 4.5% vs 10.1% · n=88

Off a 8-14-day break 4.2% vs 10.1% · n=48

On last-time-out winners 5% vs 10.1% · n=40

On Good going 15% vs 10.1% · n=40

Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Going

GoingRWSR£1

Standard (AW) 166 15 9% −57.00

Good to Soft 96 9 9.4% −29.49

Soft 90 8 8.9% +2.50

Good 40 6 15% +16.60

Heavy 18 3 16.7% +23.60

Good to Firm 7 1 14.3% +9.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1

Chantilly 125 11 8.8% −35.70

Deauville 112 12 10.7% −18.80

Longchamp (FR) 67 6 9% −16.10

Saint-Cloud 45 5 11.1% +66.90

Compiegne (FR) 13 4 30.8% +12.88

Clairefontaine (FR) 8 0 0% −8.00

Vichy (FR) 5 0 0% −5.00

Dieppe (FR) 4 0 0% −4.00

Toulouse (FR) 4 1 25% −1.80

Lyon Parilly (FR) 4 0 0% −4.00

La Teste De Buch (FR) 3 0 0% −3.00

Le Lion-D'Angers (FR) 2 0 0% −2.00

Moulins (FR) 2 1 50% +2.00

Vittel (FR) 2 0 0% −2.00

Craon (FR) 2 0 0% −2.00

Class

ClassRWSR£1

Class 1 54 4 7.4% +10.00

Class 3 25 2 8% −18.62

Class 2 16 0 0% −16.00

Class 4 7 0 0% −7.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1

Favourite 60 16 26.7% 1.04 −6.69

2nd–3rd fav 99 12 12.1% 0.90 −12.90

4th–6th fav 118 6 5.1% 0.66 −59.20

7th+ in betting 140 8 5.7% 1.57 +44.00

Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first

HorseRWPlLast ran

Havana Six (FR)from S Cerulis 27 2 12 27 Oct 26

Pumalin Park (IRE)from Sir Michael Stoute 19 3 4 26 Oct 26

Cosmo Beau (FR)from S Cerulis · then Louis Bernhardt 18 2 4 5 Oct 26

No Limit Dream (IRE)from E Lyon · then C Plisson 18 0 7 15 Aug 26

Grand Scoop (GB)from Gianluca Bietolini 15 2 6 15 Oct 26

Zakosha (FR)from Christopher Head 14 2 5 4 Oct 26

Eaglehawk (FR)from Gabriel Mosse 13 1 3 9 Oct 26

Makarov (FR) 11 1 5 6 Oct 26

Gaga Girl (FR)from Mme Caroline Bertin 11 1 4 19 Sep 26

Centenario (FR)from A Schutz 10 3 4 9 Oct 26

Gaidar (IRE)from Julien Phelippon 10 1 2 2 Oct 26

Harper (GB)from P Bary 10 1 3 1 Sep 26

Showing the 60 most-raced of the 82 horses sent out in this window — each ran at least 2 times. Horses with fewer runs aren't listed; search finds any horse since 2005. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.

Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 60 horses listed, 36 arrived from another yard in our archive, most often from Gianluca Bietolini (4) and A Schutz (2); 24 had their first archived run for this yard.

10 have since run for another yard; 50 have no later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

Current form

significance-gated

Last 14 days

In form

2 from 15 13.3% · +3.2pts vs baseline

Last 14 days13.3%

Lifetime base10.1%

Shown only when the 14-day window is large enough to mean anything (n≥15). A cold run renders the same card with a quiet badge — never hidden.

When the yard fires

strike by month, lifetime

JFMAMJJASOND

219131485161041089

A flat yard: the season runs Mar–Oct. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first

Go-to riderJ Moutard

15% of all rides
9.5% SR · A/E 1.04

RiderRWSR£1

J Moutard 63 6 9.5% −30.50

M Barzalona 61 12 19.7% +29.78

A Pouchin 51 4 7.8% −12.50

Maxence Marquette 36 5 13.9% −5.30

Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2024→

Archived wins

Pattern / graded wins

£1.30m

Prize money

2026

Best season · 23 wins

Lanzelot Gold (FR) — Super Handicap de Reouverture (Turf) Longchamp (FR) · Apr 2026

£41,739

Grand Scoop (GB) — Grand Handicap des Sprinters - World Pool by PMU Deauville (FR) · Aug 2026 · Class 1

£36,000

Bellano (FR) — Qatar Grand Handicap des Flyers Presente Par RMC (3yo+) (New Course) (Turf) Longchamp (FR) · Oct 2025

£29,752

Notable horses

Pumalin Park (IRE) Centenario (FR) Havana Six (FR) Cosmo Beau (FR) Grand Scoop (GB) Zakosha (FR)

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip

Dream Ahead (USA) 13.5% · 5–37

Progeny have won 9.1% of 5,702 runs since 2015 (528 horses). Weakest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 6% from 184.

Belardo (IRE) 0% · 0–23

Progeny have won 10.2% of 3,722 runs since 2020 (280 horses).

Exceed And Excel (AUS) 15.8% · 3–19

Progeny have won 11.9% of 16,031 runs since 2008 (1,161 horses). Strongest on Firm going: 20.7% from 198. Weakest on Soft going: 7.9% from 1,194.

Shalaa (IRE) 11.1% · 2–18

Progeny have won 9.7% of 2,443 runs since 2020 (279 horses). Strongest on Heavy going: 14.8% from 142.

Zelzal (FR) 11.8% · 2–17

Progeny have won 9.4% of 1,706 runs since 2021 (240 horses). Strongest on Heavy going: 15.4% from 104.

Hello Youmzain (FR) 18.8% · 3–16

Progeny have won 10.2% of 1,026 runs since 2024 (165 horses).

Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 1 Nov 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 417 · newest first

The latest 50 of 417 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 15 October 2024 to 31 October 2026.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP

31 Oct 26 Deauville (FR) Zzodiac (IRE)J: Stephane Pasquier Prix Irish RiverClass 1 · 7f · Standard · 13 ran 7th 16/1

31 Oct 26 Deauville (FR) Victory Pace (IRE)J: Marvin Grandin Prix Du Pays De Bray9.5f · Standard · 16 ran 8th 9/4F

31 Oct 26 Deauville (FR) Muhara Moon (FR)J: Marvin Grandin Prix La Bamba6.5f · Standard · 11 ran 7th 12/1

30 Oct 26 Deauville (FR) Mqse D'andros (FR)J: Maxence Marquette Prix De La Rocque9.5f · Standard · 13 ran 6th 22/1

30 Oct 26 Deauville (FR) Rosa Aurea (FR)J: Jerome Moutard Prix De La Rocque9.5f · Standard · 13 ran 4th 12/1

28 Oct 26 Le Mans (FR) Mrs Thunderbolt (FR)J: Jerome Moutard Prix De La Sarthe9.5f · Heavy · 13 ran 11th 33/1

28 Oct 26 Le Mans (FR) Withney (FR)J: Jerome Moutard Prix Du Salon Du Cheval D'angers (Prix D'yvre-l'eveque)8f · Heavy · 14 ran 9th 33/1

27 Oct 26 Deauville (FR) Havana Six (FR)J: Marvin Grandin Prix Du Chenet9.5f · Standard · 12 ran 8th 10/1

27 Oct 26 Deauville (FR) Hello Carel (FR)J: Maxence Marquette Prix D'utah Beach6.5f · Standard · 15 ran 7th 28/1

27 Oct 26 Deauville (FR) Break Dance (FR)J: Mickael Barzalona Prix D'utah Beach6.5f · Standard · 15 ran 1st 11/1

26 Oct 26 Chantilly (FR) Andeol (IRE)J: Maxence Marquette Prix De La Route BellevalClass 3 · 8f · Standard · 12 ran 9th 14/1

26 Oct 26 Chantilly (FR) Pumalin Park (IRE)J: Alexis Pouchin Prix De La Route Des PrincesClass 2 · 8f · Standard · 16 ran 4th 11/1

25 Oct 26 Saint-Cloud (FR) Temapica (FR)J: Marvin Grandin Prix de FloreClass 1 · 10.5f · Soft · 9 ran 3rd 7/2

22 Oct 26 Deauville (FR) Reve Bleu (FR)J: Augustin Madamet Prix Du Chateau D'auvers-sur-oise9.5f · Standard · 6 ran 1st 11/2

20 Oct 26 Clairefontaine (FR) Belle Harmonie (FR)J: Pierre-Charles Boudot Prix #equidayscalvados (Prix De La Couture Bardin)8f · Heavy · 8 ran 8th 6/1

18 Oct 26 Longchamp (FR) Allez Freres (FR)J: Alexis Pouchin Prix Des Erables15.5f · Good To Soft · 11 ran 9th 100/30

18 Oct 26 Longchamp (FR) Classic Cuvee (GB)J: Alexis Pouchin Prix De Saint-cyr7f · Good To Soft · 15 ran 10th 11/1

18 Oct 26 Longchamp (FR) Alma Mater (FR)J: Jerome Moutard Prix De Saint-cyr7f · Good To Soft · 15 ran 8th 66/1

18 Oct 26 Longchamp (FR) Ikko (FR)J: Ronan Thomas Prix Rieussec15.5f · Good To Soft · 16 ran 5th 20/1

18 Oct 26 Longchamp (FR) Vegawan (IRE)J: Jerome Moutard Prix De Belleville9f · Good To Soft · 12 ran 3rd 10/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is Gerald Mosse's strike rate?: Gerald Mosse has won 42 of 417 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 10.1% (as at 1 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does Gerald Mosse do best at?: Saint-Cloud by strike rate: 5 wins from 45 runners (11.1%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Who rides most for Gerald Mosse?: J Moutard, with 63 runners since 2008 — 15% of the total. That pairing has won 6 (9.5%).
Is Gerald Mosse in form?: In the last 14 days: 15 runners, 2 winners, a strike rate of 13.3%. That is above the baseline of 10.1% since 2008.
What is Gerald Mosse's Fair A/E?: 0.98, from 416 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.