What is H Blume's strike rate?

H Blume has won 58 of 690 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 8.4% (as at 5 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.

Which course does H Blume do best at?

Maisons-Laffitte (FR) by strike rate: 5 wins from 31 runners (16.1%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.

Who rides most for H Blume?

M Guyon, with 56 runners since 2008 — 8% of the total. That pairing has won 7 (12.5%).

Too few runners in the last 14 days to read — 3 runners, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.

What is H Blume's Fair A/E?

0.97, from 666 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.

Trainer profile

H Blume

690 runners in the lifetime window · 156 individual horses

As at 5 Nov 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily

Last runner yesterday 100% of runners on the flat

Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2008→)

from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it

58–690

Wins / Runs

8.4%

Strike rate

n=690

161 (23%)

Placed

0.97

Fair A/E

n=666 · 0.81 incl. margin

−169.80

£1 level stake

n=673 at SP · −25.2%

£1.25m

Prize money (window)

Strike by season

12%

KTB Yard Profile

Sends out around 40 runners a season, almost all on the flat, winning with 8% of them — level with the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 0.97). With a claiming rider up the record reads 13% (104 runs).

Deterministic profile computed from 690 archived runs (lifetime window) · updated 5 Nov 2026

KTB at a glance Fires May–Jul 33.3% when favourite M Guyon: 12.5% from 56 Claiming riders: 12.5% Sends off the favourite in 8% of races

The read

The record is strongest at Maisons-Laffitte (FR) (16.1%, n=31), clear of the yard's 8.4% baseline. Runners with a claiming rider up have been a positive signal at 12.5% (n=104, Fair A/E 1.28), but new recruits from other stables on their first run struggle at 3.7% (n=54, Fair A/E 0.48). The market has consistently overbet horses returning fresh after 61+ days: 6% strike, Fair A/E 0.76 and −98.95 to a £1 stake over 251 runners — those runners underperform what the price implies. M Guyon rides 8% of the entries and edges the yard's average (12.5% vs 8.4%, A/E 1.03) — the market has that partnership priced right. The yard also reads well on Good going (14%, n=86) and off a 15-30-day break (12.9%, n=163). The record reads poorly on Heavy going — 1.9% over 52 runners, 6.5pts below the baseline. 2 Group and Graded wins sit in the archive record — the biggest prize the yard has landed: the Prix Maurice de Nieuil at Longchamp (FR) (Jul 2007, £50,068). Seasonally, the yard fires May–Jul.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 8.4% baseline

Fresh · 61+ days off

6%−2.4

n=251 · A/E 0.76 · £1 −98.95

New recruits · first run for the yard

3.7%−4.7

n=54 · A/E 0.48 · £1 −47.40

Debutants · first career start

8.7%+0.3

n=103 · A/E 1.07 · £1 −49.60

First-time headgear · true-first definition

5.9%−2.5

n=51 · A/E 0.68 · £1 −23.25

Headgear returns · back on after a bare run

10%+1.6

n=20 · A/E 0.92 · £1 −5.80

When favourite

33.3%

n=54 · A/E 1.32 · £1 +3.50

Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle

12.5%+4.1

n=104 · A/E 1.28 · £1 −17.70

Group / Graded races · pattern & listed

4%−4.4

n=25 · A/E 0.84 · £1 −14.70

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 8.4% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races. The same beliefs, tested across every yard and every GB and Irish race since 2005: Racing myths.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline

At Maisons-Laffitte (FR) 16.1% vs 8.4% · n=31

On Heavy going 1.9% vs 8.4% · n=52

With C&D winners 2.6% vs 8.4% · n=76

On Good going 14% vs 8.4% · n=86

Off a 15-30-day break 12.9% vs 8.4% · n=163

With claiming riders up 12.5% vs 8.4% · n=104

Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1

Flat 689 58 8.4% −168.80

Hurdle 1 0 0% −1.00

Going

GoingRWSR£1

Standard (AW) 338 25 7.4% −80.30

Soft 108 11 10.2% −35.60

Good to Soft 105 9 8.6% +2.70

Good 86 12 14% −14.50

Heavy 52 1 1.9% −41.10

Good to Firm 1 0 0% −1.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1

Deauville (FR) 234 13 5.6% −85.80

Chantilly (AW) 202 19 9.4% −20.30

Saint-Cloud (FR) 89 6 6.7% −36.30

Longchamp (FR) 72 6 8.3% −26.80

Maisons-Laffitte (FR) 31 5 16.1% −0.20

Cagnes-Sur-Mer 9 2 22.2% +1.20

Dieppe (FR) 7 1 14.3% −2.00

Le Croise-Laroche (FR) 7 1 14.3% −3.80

Fontainebleau 7 0 0% −7.00

Lyon Parilly (FR) 6 1 16.7% +24.00

Vittel (FR) 4 2 50% +1.50

Compiegne (FR) 4 0 0% −4.00

Clairefontaine (FR) 3 1 33.3% −0.60

Le Touquet (FR) 3 0 0% −3.00

Lyon-La Soie 2 0 0% −2.00

Class

ClassRWSR£1

Class 1 25 1 4% −14.70

Class 4 16 3 18.8% −5.50

Class 3 8 2 25% −1.50

Class 2 5 0 0% −5.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1

Favourite 57 18 31.6% 1.26 +0.50

2nd–3rd fav 113 13 11.5% 0.85 −37.70

4th–6th fav 173 12 6.9% 0.85 −66.00

7th+ in betting 330 11 3.3% 0.94 −66.60

Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Distance

DistanceRWSR£1

1m – 1m1f 257 21 8.2% +67.90

1m2f – 1m4f 208 19 9.1% −130.70

6f – 7f 181 14 7.7% −91.80

1m5f – 2m 32 3 9.4% −12.10

Under 6f 11 1 9.1% −2.10

2m5f – 3m 1 0 0% −1.00

By season

By seasonRWSR£1

2008 14 2 14.3% +0.10

2009 9 3 33.3% −3.00

2010 17 2 11.8% −6.50

2011 17 1 5.9% −13.60

2012 28 2 7.1% −3.50

2013 35 4 11.4% −4.20

2014 55 5 9.1% −24.10

2015 25 0 0% −25.00

2016 22 1 4.5% −10.00

2017 12 3 25% +16.80

2018 25 1 4% −22.60

2019 46 6 13% +37.40

2020 41 4 9.8% +9.60

2021 36 3 8.3% −25.40

2022 66 6 9.1% +23.30

2023 69 5 7.2% −29.60

2024 72 2 2.8% −59.00

2025 51 2 3.9% −4.50

2026 50 6 12% −26.00

Handicaps

HandicapsRWSR£1

Handicaps 342 16 4.7% −50.80

Field size

Field sizeRWSR£1

14-16 runners 318 19 6% −42.60

8-10 runners 128 16 12.5% −36.20

11-13 runners 127 9 7.1% −50.20

17+ runners 69 4 5.8% −21.40

5-7 runners 34 5 14.7% −19.50

2-4 runners 14 5 35.7% +0.10

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first

HorseRWPlLast ran

Mascalino (GER) 39 3 6 2 May 25

Sindaco (GER)from Waldemar Hickst 27 1 5 16 Nov 18

Shinning Ocean (FR)from Marian Falk Weissmeier · then Bart De Koninck 24 4 8 27 Mar 25

Alabama Moon (FR) 23 3 9 16 Aug 26

Steel Blade (GER) 23 4 10 14 Dec 16

Dothraki (GER) 20 3 8 15 Jul 21

Wellmond (GER)from Waldemar Hickst 16 0 2 28 Dec 14

Walenty (GER) 15 1 2 2 Jun 21

Narcissus (FR)from J M Snackers · then Markus Geisler 14 1 7 13 Jan 24

Steelhammer (FR) 13 0 3 11 Oct 26

Freeze (FR) 13 0 0 2 Oct 26

Lord Shuffle (GER)then Stal Gastarui 12 1 4 17 Dec 15

Showing the 60 most-raced of the 156 horses sent out in this window — each ran at least 3 times. Horses with fewer runs aren't listed; search finds any horse since 2005. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.

Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 60 horses listed, 21 arrived from another yard in our archive, most often from J M Snackers (2) and Marian Falk Weissmeier (2); 39 had their first archived run for this yard.

20 have since run for another yard, most often for S Wattel (2); 40 have no later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

Current form

significance-gated

Last 14 days

Small sample

0 from 3

Only 3 runners in the last 14 days — too few to read against the baseline (gate: n≥15). The card states the sample and stays neutral.

When the yard fires

strike by month, lifetime

JFMAMJJASOND

10173016121865737

A flat yard: the season runs Mar–Oct. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first

Go-to riderM Guyon

8% of all rides
12.5% SR · A/E 1.03

RiderRWSR£1

M Guyon 56 7 12.5% −16.80

Clement Lecoeuvre 41 4 9.8% +27.60

Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2005→

Archived wins

Pattern / graded wins

£1.37m

Prize money

2026

Best season · 6 wins

In our archive from its very first year (2005), so this career almost certainly began earlier than our record does. The figures above count 2005 onwards only — what the archive holds, not a full-career total. This card is the full archive census (2005→); the statistics in the header aggregate from 2008 — the floor that guarantees every horse a complete captured career — so this card can legitimately show more wins than the header.

Bussoni (GER) — Prix Maurice de Nieuil Longchamp (FR) · Jul 2007 · Group 2

£50,068

Celestin (FR) — Grand Handicap de Deauville (3yo+) (Straight Course) (Turf) Deauville (FR) · Aug 2022

£42,017

Steel Blade (GER) — Grand Handicap Longines (Handicap) (4yo+) (Turf) Chantilly (FR) · Jun 2014

£27,417

Notable horses

Shinning Ocean (FR) Steel Blade (GER) Mascalino (GER) Alabama Moon (FR) Dothraki (GER) Celestin (FR)

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip

Dabirsim (FR) 17.5% · 7–40

Progeny have won 7.4% of 4,160 runs since 2017 (448 horses). Weakest on Heavy going: 3.9% from 256. Strongest at trips under 6f (all codes): 12% from 209. Weakest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 2.8% from 145.

Dashing Blade (GB) 15% · 6–40

Progeny have won 10.2% of 635 runs since 2008 (94 horses).

Jukebox Jury (IRE) 7.7% · 3–39

Progeny have won 13.5% of 2,248 runs since 2016 (256 horses). Weakest on Standard (AW) going: 10.3% from 155.

Sakhee (USA) 3.7% · 1–27

Progeny have won 11.1% of 3,981 runs since 2008 (296 horses). Weakest on Soft going: 7.9% from 611. Weakest over 2m5f – 3m (all codes): 7.2% from 139.

Jimmy Two Times (FR) 13% · 3–23

Progeny have won 8.5% of 82 runs since 2023 (15 horses).

Soldier Hollow (GB) 0% · 0–22

Progeny have won 11.4% of 1,917 runs since 2011 (268 horses). Weakest on Standard (AW) going: 8% from 488. Strongest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 14.9% from 383.

Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 5 Nov 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 721 · newest first

The latest 50 of 721 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 13 April 2005 to 4 November 2026.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP

04 Nov 26 Le Croise-Laroche (FR) Teresa Mendoza (FR)J: Frau Lize Ghys-Dieteren Prix Guy Leclercq - Handicap Challenge9f · Good To Soft · 9 ran 5th 11/1

04 Nov 26 Le Croise-Laroche (FR) Amazing Girl (GER)J: Leon Wolff Prix De La Rue Fouquet Lelong5.5f · Good To Soft · 14 ran 14th 16/1

28 Oct 26 Amiens (FR) Takeo (GER)J: Glen Meury Prix Des Benevoles (Prix Des Hortillonnages)Class 4 · 8f · Heavy · 7 ran 6th 16/1

16 Oct 26 Fontainebleau (FR) Amazing Girl (GER)J: Frau M Riehl Prix De La Mare Aux Evees6f · Good To Soft · 14 ran 9th 25/1

16 Oct 26 Fontainebleau (FR) Danelo (IRE)J: Maxime Guyon Prix Des ChevreuilsClass 3 · 7f · Good To Soft · 9 ran 6th 9/1

16 Oct 26 Fontainebleau (FR) Takeo (GER)J: Glen Meury Prix Des MyosotisClass 4 · 8f · Good To Soft · 10 ran 7th 14/1

11 Oct 26 Nancy (FR) Steelhammer (FR)J: Glen Meury Prix "Eperon De Nancy"Class 3 · 12.5f · Soft · 14 ran 11th 66/1

10 Oct 26 Chantilly (FR) La Galopaz (FR)J: Cristian Demuro Prix De L'abbaye De Chalis6f · Soft · 8 ran 5th 7/2

02 Oct 26 Lyon-La Soie (FR) Freeze (FR)J: Glen Meury Prix Des Jeunes (Chmpt Paris Turf Des Apprentis & Jeunes Jockeys)Class 4 · 12f · Standard · 8 ran 5th 11/2

20 Sep 26 Fontainebleau (FR) Danelo (IRE)J: Adrian Le Lay Martin Prix De L'afasec (Prix De La Grotte Aux Cristaux)7f · Good To Soft · 8 ran 7th 8/1

14 Sep 26 Chantilly (FR) Amazing Girl (GER)J: Frau M Riehl Prix De Rully6f · Good To Soft · 13 ran 12th 10/1

13 Sep 26 Strasbourg (FR) Hansottogruber (GER)J: Guillaume Trolley De Prevaux Prix Alphonse Bechtold10f · Good To Soft · 14 ran 2nd 9/4F

09 Sep 26 Dieppe (FR) Teresa Mendoza (FR)J: M S Johnson Prix Paul-noel DelahoutreClass 4 · 9f · Soft · 8 ran 2nd 5/2F

09 Sep 26 Dieppe (FR) Freeze (FR)J: Delphine Santiago Prix Des FlandresClass 4 · 12f · Soft · 12 ran 9th 13/2

09 Sep 26 Dieppe (FR) Monsieur Dupont (FR)J: Benjamin Marie Prix D'hazebrouckClass 4 · 5.5f · Soft · 13 ran 13th 14/1

24 Aug 26 Dieppe (FR) Danelo (IRE)J: Maxime Guyon Prix De La Tour Saint-remyClass 4 · 7f · Very Soft · 10 ran 1st 4/1

23 Aug 26 Deauville (FR) Hansottogruber (GER)J: Cristian Demuro Sumbe Prix De JumiegesClass 2 · 10f · Soft To Heavy · 14 ran 8th 15/2

16 Aug 26 Deauville (FR) Takeo (GER)J: Augustin Madamet The Aga Khan Studs Prix De GlanvilleClass 3 · 10f · Good To Soft · 15 ran 8th 7/2

16 Aug 26 Deauville (FR) Alabama Moon (FR)J: Cristian Demuro The Aga Khan Studs Prix Francois AndreClass 2 · 7f · Good To Soft · 16 ran 11th 16/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is H Blume's strike rate?: H Blume has won 58 of 690 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 8.4% (as at 5 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does H Blume do best at?: Maisons-Laffitte (FR) by strike rate: 5 wins from 31 runners (16.1%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Who rides most for H Blume?: M Guyon, with 56 runners since 2008 — 8% of the total. That pairing has won 7 (12.5%).
Is H Blume in form?: Too few runners in the last 14 days to read — 3 runners, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.
What is H Blume's Fair A/E?: 0.97, from 666 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.