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Trainer profile

I Madden

1,030 runners in the lifetime window · 74 individual horses
As at 3 Nov 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily
Last runner 8 days ago
Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2008→)
from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it
18–1,030
Wins / Runs
1.7%
Strike rate
n=1,030
110 (11%)
Placed
0.53
Fair A/E
n=1,030 · 0.41 incl. margin
−554.00
£1 level stake
n=1,030 at SP · −53.8%
£295k
Prize money (window)
Strike by season
4%
KTB Yard Profile

Sends out around 50 runners a season, winning with 2% of them — a touch below the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 0.53).

Deterministic profile computed from 1,030 archived runs (lifetime window) · updated 3 Nov 2026
The read

The record is strongest at Killarney (9.7%, n=31) and Galway (4.7%, n=129) — all clear of the yard's 1.7% baseline. The market has consistently overbet horses returning fresh after 61+ days: 0.4% strike, Fair A/E 0.18 and −216.50 to a £1 stake over 226 runners — those runners underperform what the price implies. The market has consistently overbet the yard off a break of 180+ days: Fair A/E 0.00 across 102 runners (0% strike, −102.00 to a £1 stake) — runners there underperform what the price implies. The stable star of the record: Air of Confusion (GB) — 5 wins from 51 runs for the yard.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 1.7% baseline
Fresh · 61+ days off
0.4%−1.3
n=226 · A/E 0.18 · £1 −216.50
New recruits · first run for the yard
0%−1.7
n=27 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −27.00
Debutants · first career start
3.1%+1.4
n=32 · A/E 1.39 · £1 −11.00
First-time headgear · true-first definition
2.7%+1.0
n=37 · A/E 1.21 · £1 −16.00
Headgear returns · back on after a bare run
3%+1.3
n=67 · A/E 0.92 · £1 −49.50
When favourite
20%
n=5 · A/E 1.19 · £1 −1.00
Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle
1.3%−0.4
n=544 · A/E 0.44 · £1 −368.00
Group / Graded races · pattern & listed
0%−1.7
n=3 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −3.00

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 1.7% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races. The same beliefs, tested across every yard and every GB and Irish race since 2005: Racing myths.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline
At Killarney 9.7% vs 1.7% · n=31
At Galway 4.7% vs 1.7% · n=129
Over 1m – 1m1f 4.5% vs 1.7% · n=66
Off a 0-7-day break 4.2% vs 1.7% · n=71
Off a break of 180+ days 0% vs 1.7% · n=102 · A/E 0.00
With horses switching code 0.4% vs 1.7% · n=278 · A/E 0.13
Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1
Hurdle 463 6 1.3% −373.50
Chase 322 7 2.2% −180.50
Flat 164 4 2.4% −120.00
NH Flat 81 1 1.2% +120.00

Going

GoingRWSR£1
Soft 360 6 1.7% −224.00
Good 293 6 2% −30.00
Heavy 160 2 1.3% −122.00
Good to Soft 107 2 1.9% −91.00
Good to Firm 83 1 1.2% −75.00
Standard (AW) 14 1 7.1% +1.00
Firm 13 0 0% −13.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1
Ballinrobe 145 2 1.4% −120.00
Galway 129 6 4.7% +163.50
Kilbeggan 72 1 1.4% −60.00
Roscommon 67 1 1.5% −41.00
Limerick 66 1 1.5% −57.00
Punchestown 64 0 0% −64.00
Cork 54 1 1.9% −33.00
Tipperary 50 0 0% −50.00
Thurles 46 0 0% −46.00
Sligo 38 0 0% −38.00
Killarney 31 3 9.7% +4.00
Navan 30 1 3.3% +4.00
Leopardstown 29 0 0% −29.00
Fairyhouse 27 0 0% −27.00
Gowran Park 26 0 0% −26.00

Class

ClassRWSR£1
Class 1 3 0 0% −3.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1
Favourite 5 1 20% 1.19 −1.00
2nd–3rd fav 44 5 11.4% 1.01 +5.50
4th–6th fav 116 2 1.7% 0.28 −97.50
7th+ in betting 865 10 1.2% 0.47 −461.00
Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Jumping record

completion over obstacles · same window as header
73.6% completed · 785 obstacle runners (chases & hurdles)
CodeRCompFURPUBDOth
Chase 322 64.6% 14 11 87 1 1
Hurdle 463 79.9% 5 3 85 0 0
Chases and hurdles only — bumpers have no obstacles, so completion is not a question there. F fell · UR unseated rider · PU pulled up · BD brought down · Oth covers refusals, slip-ups, run-outs and the rare disqualification. Non-runners are excluded throughout. Rows under n=30 are shown faded. A descriptive record, not a tip.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first
HorseRWPlLast ran
Cairdiuil (IRE)from P J Prendergast 72 3 20 22 Sep 18
Baby Bellini (IRE) 52 1 2 19 Nov 21
Max Time (IRE) 41 1 1 6 Oct 26
Cherryantor (IRE)then Ms Helen P Markham 38 2 6 26 Oct 15
Sea Master (IRE) 37 0 8 9 Jul 13
Divin Desir (FR)from P Peltier 34 0 4 20 Oct 20
Weslife (IRE) 33 1 3 15 May 15
Dark Vagabond (IRE) 31 0 7 6 Jul 14
Dream Shaper (IRE)from Thomas Cooper 30 1 2 24 Sep 26
So Easy Way (IRE)from Harry Whittington 30 0 2 13 Sep 24
Olive D'haguenet (FR)from M Delzangles 30 0 4 6 Sep 21
West Council (IRE) 30 0 4 15 Apr 16
Showing the 60 most-raced of the 74 horses sent out in this window — each ran at least 3 times. Horses with fewer runs aren't listed; search finds any horse since 2005. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.
Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 60 horses listed, 23 arrived from another yard in our archive, most often from Eoin Griffin (4) and F Chappet (2); 37 had their first archived run for this yard.

4 have since run for another yard; 56 have no later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

Current form

significance-gated

Last 14 days

Small sample
0 from 1
Only 1 runners in the last 14 days — too few to read against the baseline (gate: n≥15). The card states the sample and stays neutral.

When the yard fires

strike by month, lifetime
JFMAMJJASOND
002121226100
A jumps yard: the season runs Oct–Apr. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first
Go-to riderDanny Mullins
4% of all rides
0% SR · A/E 0.00
RiderRWSR£1
Danny Mullins 41 0 0% −41.00
A P Heskin 34 1 2.9% −17.00
Roger Loughran 30 0 0% −30.00
Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2005→
27
Archived wins
£435k
Prize money
2007
Best season · 5 wins
In our archive from its very first year (2005), so this career almost certainly began earlier than our record does. The figures above count 2005 onwards only — what the archive holds, not a full-career total. This card is the full archive census (2005→); the statistics in the header aggregate from 2008 — the floor that guarantees every horse a complete captured career — so this card can legitimately show more wins than the header.
Air of Confusion (GB) — Carrol Cuisine Handicap Hurdle (81-123) Kilbeggan · Jun 2006
£13,020
Air Of Confusion (GB) — Guinness Handicap Hurdle Sligo (IRE) · Jul 2007
£10,365
Cherryantor (IRE) — Newgrange Veterans Handicap Chase Navan · Mar 2014
£10,350
Notable horses
Air of Confusion (GB) Cairdiuil (IRE) Max Time (GB) Cherryantor (IRE) Trevi Fountain (IRE) Max Speed (IRE)

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip
Bachelor Duke (USA) 4.2% · 3–72
Progeny have won 7.8% of 1,605 runs since 2008 (109 horses). Strongest on Good to Soft going: 11.2% from 143.
Ivan Denisovich (IRE) 1.9% · 1–52
Progeny have won 8.7% of 1,019 runs since 2010 (71 horses). Strongest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 13.5% from 192.
Mr Confusion (IRE) 7.7% · 4–52
Progeny have won 6.9% of 58 runs since 2008 (5 horses).
Flemensfirth (USA) 0% · 0–51
Progeny have won 11.8% of 17,285 runs since 2008 (1,595 horses).
Policy Maker (IRE) 2.4% · 1–41
Progeny have won 9.1% of 1,246 runs since 2010 (143 horses). Weakest on Good to Soft going: 4.6% from 197. Weakest over 2m5f – 3m (all codes): 4.8% from 125.
Dushyantor (USA) 5.3% · 2–38
Progeny have won 9.7% of 1,917 runs since 2008 (149 horses). Strongest on Good to Firm going: 14.2% from 162. Strongest beyond 3m (all codes): 13.7% from 139.
Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 3 Nov 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 1,341 · newest first

The latest 50 of 1,341 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 9 January 2005 to 26 October 2026.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP
26 Oct 26 Galway (IRE) Kidam Roque (FR)J: Anna McGuinness Corrib Oil Maiden Hurdle16.5f · Soft To Heavy · 20 ran PU 250/1
06 Oct 26 Galway (IRE) Max Time (IRE)J: Tom Kelly SIS Supporting Irish Racing Handicap Hurdle16.5f · Yielding To Soft · 11 ran 9th 100/1
06 Oct 26 Galway (IRE) Kidam Roque (FR)J: Niall Moore Tote Always SP Or Better At Galway Maiden Hurdle16.5f · Yielding · 20 ran 13th 150/1
28 Sep 26 Roscommon (IRE) Throwmedownsomthin (IRE)J: Mr J P Sampson GavinLynchRacing.com Flat Race15.5f · Good To Yielding · 16 ran 14th 400/1
28 Sep 26 Roscommon (IRE) Max Time (IRE)J: Tom Kelly Railway Bar Handicap Hurdle20.5f · Good To Yielding · 16 ran 12th 22/1
24 Sep 26 Listowel (IRE) Dream Shaper (IRE)J: Anna McGuinness Adare Manor Opportunity Handicap Hurdle16f · Good · 13 ran PU 33/1
19 Aug 26 Sligo (IRE) Dream Shaper (IRE)J: Joshua Halford Francie 'Banger' Burns Handicap Hurdle20.5f · Good · 10 ran F 8/1
19 Aug 26 Sligo (IRE) Max Time (IRE)J: Joshua Halford McDermott Farm Machinery Handicap Hurdle20.5f · Good · 16 ran 6th 25/1
10 Aug 26 Ballinrobe (IRE) Brave Crogha (FR)J: Alan O'Sullivan Cummins Homevalue Hardware Handicap Hurdle16.5f · Good · 14 ran 13th 33/1
04 Aug 26 Roscommon (IRE) Throwmedownsomthin (IRE)J: Mr J P Sampson Brian Keenan On-Course Bookmaker Flat Race15.5f · Yielding To Soft · 13 ran 11th 200/1
04 Aug 26 Roscommon (IRE) Max Time (IRE)J: Alan O'Sullivan Kepak Handicap Steeplechase21.5f · Soft · 13 ran PU 18/1
02 Aug 26 Galway (IRE) Dream Shaper (IRE)J: Brian Barry Adare Manor Opportunity Handicap Hurdle16.5f · Good · 17 ran 8th 14/1
24 Jul 26 Kilbeggan (IRE) Dream Shaper (IRE)J: Paddy Cleary Massey Ferguson Johnston Farm Equipment Longford Handicap Hurdle (Div I)19f · Good · 16 ran 1st 11/1
24 Jul 26 Kilbeggan (IRE) Kidam Roque (FR)J: Paddy Cleary Tom McCormack Memorial Cup Maiden Hurdle19f · Good · 15 ran UR 250/1
16 Jul 26 Killarney (IRE) Throwmedownsomthin (IRE)J: Mr J P Sampson Matchbook Exchange Flat Race17f · Good · 8 ran 7th 50/1
16 Jul 26 Killarney (IRE) Max Time (IRE)J: Paddy Cleary Adare Manor Opportunity Handicap Hurdle (Div I)20.5f · Good · 15 ran 4th 50/1
12 Jul 26 Sligo Dream Shaper (IRE)J: Paddy Cleary Kilcawley Construction Handicap Hurdle (0-100) (Div 2)20f · Good · 15 ran 3rd 25/1
09 Jun 26 Sligo Max Time (IRE)J: Paddy Cleary Knocknarea Handicap Hurdle (0-100)20.5f · Good · 15 ran 13th 80/1
26 May 26 Ballinrobe Brave Crogha (FR)J: Paddy Cleary FBD Handicap Hurdle22f · Good · 15 ran PU 50/1
21 May 26 Limerick Back The West (IRE)J: Paddy Cleary Maloney's Bus Hire & Martin's Coaches Handicap Chase20f · Good To Yielding · 11 ran PU 66/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is I Madden's strike rate?
I Madden has won 18 of 1,030 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 1.7% (as at 3 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does I Madden do best at?
Killarney by strike rate: 3 wins from 31 runners (9.7%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Is I Madden in form?
Too few runners in the last 14 days to read — 1 runner, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.
What is I Madden's Fair A/E?
0.53, from 1,030 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%". Three sample sizes are reported and never blended: runs (n), the ROI basis (n at SP), and the fair-A/E basis (n with a computed fair probability).

Strike rate is wins over all runs (n). ROI is £1 level stakes at SP over runs with a parseable price (n at SP). Fair A/E is wins over margin-stripped market expectation, over runs with a computed fair probability (n fair). The three Ns can legitimately differ and are always shown. Figures as at 3 November 2026, computed from our own results archive (2005 onwards; aggregates from 2008).