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Trainer profile

J Bertin

226 runners in the lifetime window · 22 individual horses
As at 31 Oct 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily
Last runner Aug 2025 100% of runners on the flat
from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it
7–226
Wins / Runs
3.1%
Strike rate
n=226
35 (16%)
Placed
0.67
n=222 · 0.55 incl. margin
−115.10
£1 level stake
n=224 at SP · −51.4%
£148k
Prize money (window)
Strike by season
0%
KTB Yard Profile

Sends out around 10 runners a season, almost all on the flat, winning with 3% of them — a touch below the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 0.67). With a claiming rider up the record reads 7% (31 runs).

Deterministic profile computed from 226 archived runs (lifetime window) · updated 31 Oct 2026
KTB at a glance Claiming riders: 6.5%
The read

The record is strongest at Saint-Cloud (FR) (6.7%, n=45), clear of the yard's 3.1% baseline. It is weakest at Chantilly (FR) (0% over 39 runners) — the widest gap in the record. Runners with a claiming rider up have been a positive signal at 6.5% (n=31, Fair A/E 1.40). The market has consistently overbet horses returning fresh after 61+ days: 1% strike, Fair A/E 0.24 and −91.40 to a £1 stake over 103 runners — those runners underperform what the price implies. The yard also reads well off a 15-30-day break (6.4%, n=47). The record reads poorly over 1m5f – 2m — 0% over 36 runners, 3.1pts below the baseline.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 3.1% baseline
Fresh · 61+ days off
1%−2.1
n=103 · A/E 0.24 · £1 −91.40
New recruits · first run for the yard
0%−3.1
n=17 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −17.00
Debutants · first career start
14.3%+11.2
n=7 · A/E 4.08 · £1 −0.10
First-time headgear · true-first definition
0%−3.1
n=7 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −7.00
Headgear returns · back on after a bare run
11.8%+8.7
n=17 · A/E 2.96 · £1 +43.20
When favourite
0%
n=6 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −6.00
Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle
6.5%+3.4
n=31 · A/E 1.40 · £1 −13.80
Group / Graded races · pattern & listed
0%−3.1
n=2 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −2.00

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 3.1% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, not tips. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline
At Saint-Cloud (FR) 6.7% vs 3.1% · n=45
Off a 15-30-day break 6.4% vs 3.1% · n=47
With claiming riders up 6.5% vs 3.1% · n=31
At Chantilly (FR) 0% vs 3.1% · n=39
Over 1m5f – 2m 0% vs 3.1% · n=36
Off a break of 180+ days 0% vs 3.1% · n=32
Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Going

GoingRWSR£1
Standard (AW) 101 2 2% −72.40
Good 50 2 4% −3.40
Soft 43 1 2.3% −27.00
Good to Soft 19 1 5.3% −11.10
Heavy 13 1 7.7% −1.20

Courses

CourseRWSR£1
Deauville (FR) 80 2 2.5% −51.40
Saint-Cloud (FR) 45 3 6.7% +18.80
Chantilly (FR) 39 0 0% −39.00
Maisons-Laffitte (FR) 34 1 2.9% −28.10
Longchamp (FR) 20 1 5% −9.40
Les Sables-d'Olonne 2 0 0% −2.00
Niort 1 0 0% —
Morlaix (FR) 1 0 0% —
Fontainebleau (FR) 1 0 0% −1.00
Clairefontaine (FR) 1 0 0% −1.00
Nantes (FR) 1 0 0% −1.00
Le Lion-D'Angers (FR) 1 0 0% −1.00

Class

ClassRWSR£1
Class 1 2 0 0% −2.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1
Favourite 7 0 0% 0.00 −7.00
2nd–3rd fav 15 2 13.3% 1.16 −3.70
4th–6th fav 33 2 6.1% 0.86 −10.60
7th+ in betting 169 3 1.8% 0.57 −93.80
Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first
HorseRWPlLast ran
Mocklershill (FR)from S Smrczek 35 0 8 22 Dec 22
Val De Majorque (FR)from D Sepulchre 25 1 3 4 Jul 19
Vardaris (IRE)from P Adda 23 1 3 4 Jul 19
Crazy One (FR) 20 0 3 25 Apr 16
Tiger Cliff (FR)from G Cherel 19 1 3 22 Dec 14
Tequillo (FR)from Alex Fracas 18 1 5 3 Apr 13
Predetermined (IRE)from J-V Toux 13 1 3 10 Aug 25
Pinot Grigio (FR)from M Nigge 13 0 3 9 May 21
El Donno (IRE)from Frau C Barsig 10 1 1 4 Jul 18
Olympic Champion (FR)from D Sepulchre 8 0 0 7 May 14
Star Shan (FR)then J Y Lepage 7 1 2 11 Jul 12
Turiamo (FR) 7 0 0 6 Jan 12
All 22 horses sent out in this window. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.
Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 22 horses listed, 15 arrived from another yard in our archive, most often from D Sepulchre (2) and H-A Pantall (2); 7 had their first archived run for this yard.

3 have since run for another yard; 19 have no later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

When the yard fires

strike by month, lifetime
JFMAMJJASOND
1000506405060
A flat yard: the season runs Mar–Oct. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first
RiderRWSR£1
Williams Saraiva 21 1 4.8% +2.20
Anthony Crastus 19 1 5.3% −3.00
Jerome Claudic 17 1 5.9% +20.00
Benjamin Hubert 16 0 0% −16.00
Ronan Thomas 11 0 0% −11.00
Arnaud Bourgeais 10 1 10% +0.60
Alexandre Roussel 9 0 0% −9.00
Ludovic Boisseau 8 0 0% −8.00
Jerome Cabre 8 0 0% −8.00
Fabrice Veron 8 0 0% −8.00
Mlle Zoe Pfeil 8 1 12.5% +3.80
Eddy Hardouin 7 0 0% −7.00
Muted rows are under 30 rides.

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2009→
7
Archived wins
£148k
Prize money
2020
Best season · 1 win
Val De Majorque (FR) — Prix de l'Ourcq (Handicap) (5yo+) (Turf) Saint-Cloud (FR) · Nov 2018
£8,407
Tiger Cliff (FR) — Prix de l'Atlantique (Handicap) (5yo+) (Turf) Saint-Cloud (FR) · Apr 2013
£7,724
Star Shan (FR) — Prix De Penthievre (Handicap) (4yo+) (Turf) Maisons-Laffitte (FR) · Jul 2010
£7,522

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip
Siyouni (FR) 0% · 0–35
Progeny have won 13% of 8,343 runs since 2008 (978 horses). Weakest on Heavy going: 9.2% from 457.
Poliglote (GB) 4% · 1–25
Progeny have won 15.6% of 4,224 runs since 2008 (417 horses). Weakest on Standard (AW) going: 6.8% from 234. Strongest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 19% from 691. Weakest over 1m – 1m1f (all codes): 6.1% from 196.
Beat Hollow (GB) 4.3% · 1–23
Progeny have won 11.3% of 6,031 runs since 2008 (412 horses).
Le Fou (IRE) 0% · 0–20
Progeny have won 8.3% of 1,414 runs since 2008 (137 horses). Strongest on Good to Soft going: 12.2% from 238.
Tiger Hill (IRE) 5.3% · 1–19
Progeny have won 9.5% of 3,823 runs since 2008 (360 horses).
Enrique (GB) 5.6% · 1–18
Progeny have won 10.7% of 2,601 runs since 2008 (289 horses). Weakest on Standard (AW) going: 4.9% from 370. Strongest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 15.8% from 462. Weakest over 1m – 1m1f (all codes): 6.6% from 347.
Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 31 Oct 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 226 · newest first

The latest 50 of 226 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 17 May 2009 to 10 August 2025.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is J Bertin's strike rate?
J Bertin has won 7 of 226 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 3.1% (as at 31 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does J Bertin do best at?
Saint-Cloud (FR) by strike rate: 3 wins from 45 runners (6.7%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
What is J Bertin's Fair A/E?
0.67, from 222 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%". Three sample sizes are reported and never blended: runs (n), the ROI basis (n at SP), and the fair-A/E basis (n with a computed fair probability).

Strike rate is wins over all runs (n). ROI is £1 level stakes at SP over runs with a parseable price (n at SP). Fair A/E is wins over margin-stripped market expectation, over runs with a computed fair probability (n fair). The three Ns can legitimately differ and are always shown. Figures as at 31 October 2026, computed from our own results archive (2005 onwards; aggregates from 2008).