As at 22 Oct 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily
Last runner Jul 200598% of runners on the flat
Archive record 2005
No runners from 1 Jan 2008, where our aggregate statistics normally begin — showing the full archive record instead, 18 Jan 2005 to 25 Jul 2005. Figures that need a horse's earlier runs (debuts, time since a run, first-time headgear, new connections, last-time-out winners) are left out: for runs this early our archive cannot see what came before.
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%".
Yard patterns
the angles behind the record · vs 2.2% baseline
When favourite
0%
n=3 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −3.00
Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle
9.1%+6.9
n=11 · A/E 1.45 · £1 −2.00
Group / Graded races · pattern & listed
0%−2.2
n=2 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −2.00
Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 2.2% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, not tips. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races. Tiles that depend on a horse's earlier runs (debuts, time off, first-time headgear, new connections, last-time-out winners) are not shown on an archive-era record: for runs this early our archive cannot see what came before.
Record by conditions
same window as header
Race type
TypeRWSR£1
Flat4512.2%−36.00
Hurdle100%−1.00
Going
GoingRWSR£1
Good to Firm1900%−19.00
Good1300%−13.00
Good to Soft5120%+4.00
Firm400%−4.00
Standard (AW)300%−3.00
Soft200%−2.00
Courses
CourseRWSR£1
Newmarket700%−7.00
Brighton500%−5.00
Bath400%−4.00
Yarmouth300%−3.00
Newmarket300%−3.00
Goodwood300%−3.00
Folkestone300%−3.00
Salisbury200%−2.00
Windsor200%−2.00
Lingfield (AW)200%−2.00
Doncaster200%−2.00
Lingfield2150%+7.00
Thirsk100%−1.00
York100%−1.00
Epsom Downs100%−1.00
Class
ClassRWSR£1
Class 52300%−23.00
Class 69111.1%+0.00
Class 4600%−6.00
Class 7400%−4.00
Class 1200%−2.00
Class 2200%−2.00
Market position
In the bettingRWSRA/E£1
Favourite300%0.00−3.00
2nd–3rd fav5120%1.68+4.00
4th–6th fav1000%0.00−10.00
7th+ in betting2800%0.00−28.00
Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.
Distance
DistanceRWSR£1
6f – 7f2015%−11.00
1m – 1m1f900%−9.00
Under 6f800%−8.00
1m2f – 1m4f600%−6.00
1m5f – 2m200%−2.00
2m1f – 2m4f100%−1.00
Handicaps
HandicapsRWSR£1
Handicaps2400%−24.00
Field size
Field sizeRWSR£1
11-13 runners1800%−18.00
14-16 runners1100%−11.00
8-10 runners1100%−11.00
17+ runners5120%+4.00
5-7 runners100%−1.00
Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.
All 14 horses sent out in this window. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.
Where they came from · where they went next
Of the 14 horses listed, 11 have since run for another yard, most often for Gay Kelleway (2) and Giles Bravery (2); 3 have no later run for another yard in our archive.
Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. Where a horse came from is not stated on an archive-era record: our archive cannot see before 2005. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.
When the yard fires
strike by month, 2005
JFMAMJJASOND
0·001000·····
A flat yard: the season runs Mar–Oct. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.
In our archive from its very first year (2005), so this career almost certainly began earlier than our record does. The figures above count 2005 onwards only — what the archive holds, not a full-career total. On this page the header statistics and this card both count from the archive floor (2005), so they agree.
Sunny Times (IRE) — Saturday Night At Lingfield On 28th May Claiming Stakes Lingfield · May 2005 · Class 6
Progeny have won 8.6% of 4,249 runs since 2005 (326 horses). Strongest on Standard (AW) going: 12.2% from 910. Weakest on Heavy going: 2.6% from 195. Weakest over 2m5f – 3m (all codes): 4.7% from 169.
Night Shift (USA)0% · 0–8
Progeny have won 9.1% of 4,595 runs since 2005 (278 horses).
Mujadil (USA)0% · 0–4
Progeny have won 8.2% of 4,480 runs since 2005 (245 horses). Strongest on Firm going: 18% from 111.
Raise A Grand (IRE)25% · 1–4
Progeny have won 5.8% of 1,610 runs since 2005 (96 horses). Strongest on Good to Soft going: 11.1% from 198. Weakest on Standard (AW) going: 2% from 250. Strongest at trips under 6f (all codes): 9% from 145.
Vettori (IRE)0% · 0–4
Progeny have won 7.7% of 3,853 runs since 2005 (271 horses).
King of the Heap (USA)0% · 0–3
Progeny have won 0% of 5 runs since 2005 (1 horse). A small sample.
Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2005, as at 22 Oct 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.
The record
all 46 archived runs · newest first
Every one of J W Payne's 46 archived runners, from 18 January 2005 to 25 July 2005, newest first — one winner among them.
Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).
Quick answers
What is J W Payne's strike rate?
J W Payne has won 1 of 46 runners in 2005, a strike rate of 2.2% (as at 22 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive. Our archive begins in 2005, so anything earlier is not counted.
What is J W Payne's Fair A/E?
0.37, from 46 runners with a computed fair probability in 2005. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.
J W Payne·SR 2.2%·A/E 0.37
KTB
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