Alan Munro
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%".
Rode around 400 times a season, almost all on the flat, winning on 10% of them — a touch below the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 0.93).
The record is strongest at Haydock (25.6%, n=39), Folkestone (23.4%, n=47) and Yarmouth (15.6%, n=90) — all clear of the rider's 9.6% baseline. In Group and Graded company the record reads poorly at 4.7% (n=171, Fair A/E 0.54). The market has consistently overbet rides on last-time-out winners: 10.9% strike, Fair A/E 0.79 and −79.77 to a £1 stake over 174 rides — those runners underperformed what the price implied. Peter Chapple-Hyam supplied 15% of the rides and beats the rider's average (15.7% vs 9.6%, A/E 0.99) — the market has that partnership priced right. The record read poorly in Class 1 — 4.7% over 171 rides, 4.9pts below the baseline. 16 Group and Graded wins sit in the archive record — the biggest prize the rider has landed: the Boylesports Irish 2 000 Guineas at Curragh (IRE) (May 2006, £224,500). Seasonally, the rider fired Apr–May.
Riding patterns
the angles behind the record · vs 9.6% baselineEach tile is the record in that situation vs the 9.6% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, not tips. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. First rides are the first captured pairing of horse and rider; last-time-out winners are horses whose previous captured run was a win; claiming rides are runs where the rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.
Notable angles
vs their own baselineRecord by conditions
same window as headerGoing
Courses
Class
Market position
Distance
By season
Handicaps
Field size
Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.
Horses ridden
same window as header · most-raced firstBy month
strike by month, lifetimeRiding for
same window · biggest samples firstCareer highlights
lifetime archive, 2005→Sires of the horses ridden
progeny record · win % by ground and tripThe record
latest 50 of 2,598 · newest firstThe latest 50 of 2,598 archived rides, newest first. The full record runs from 19 March 2005 to 9 July 2011.
Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).
Quick answers
- What is Alan Munro's strike rate?
- Alan Munro has won 155 of 1,613 rides since 2008, a strike rate of 9.6% (as at 28 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
- Which course does Alan Munro do best at?
- Yarmouth by strike rate: 14 wins from 90 rides (15.6%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most rides on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
- Which yard does Alan Munro ride most for?
- Peter Chapple-Hyam, with 236 rides since 2008 — 15% of the total. That pairing has won 37 (15.7%).
- What is Alan Munro's Fair A/E?
- 0.93, from 1,604 rides with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.