What is James Joseph Mangan's strike rate?

James Joseph Mangan has won 96 of 1,391 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 6.9% (as at 11 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.

Which course does James Joseph Mangan do best at?

Thurles by strike rate: 20 wins from 164 runners (12.2%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.

Who rides most for James Joseph Mangan?

Patrick Mangan, with 409 runners since 2008 — 29% of the total. That pairing has won 23 (5.6%).

What is James Joseph Mangan's Fair A/E?

0.84, from 1,390 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.

Trainer profile

James Joseph Mangan

1,391 runners in the lifetime window · 170 individual horses

As at 11 Nov 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily

Last runner 25 days ago 95% of runners over jumps

Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2008→)

from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it

96–1,391

Wins / Runs

6.9%

Strike rate

n=1,391

353 (25%)

Placed

0.84

Fair A/E

n=1,390 · 0.66 incl. margin

−707.90

£1 level stake

n=1,391 at SP · −50.9%

£1.79m

Prize money (window)

Strike by season

25%

KTB Yard Profile

Sends out around 70 runners a season, almost all over hurdles and fences, winning with 7% of them — a touch below the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 0.84).

Deterministic profile computed from 1,391 archived runs (lifetime window) · updated 11 Nov 2026

KTB at a glance Fires Nov–Feb 18.2% when favourite Patrick Mangan: 5.6% from 409 Sends off the favourite in 7% of races

The read

The record is strongest at Thurles (12.2%, n=164), clear of the yard's 6.9% baseline. New recruits from other stables on their first run struggle at 0% (n=34, Fair A/E 0.00). The market has consistently overbet horses returning fresh after 61+ days: 3.3% strike, Fair A/E 0.44 and −207.00 to a £1 stake over 276 runners — those runners underperform what the price implies. Patrick Mangan rides 29% of the entries and matches the yard's average almost exactly (5.6%, A/E 0.76). The yard also reads well beyond 3m (16.3%, n=43). The record reads poorly on Good to Soft going — 1.1% over 91 runners, 5.8pts below the baseline. 9 Group and Graded wins sit in the archive record — the biggest prize the yard has landed: the Dooley Insurance Group Champion Novice Chase at Punchestown (Apr 2024, £73,750). The stable star of the record: Conna Castle (IRE) — 10 wins from 44 runs for the yard. Seasonally, the yard fires Nov–Feb.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 6.9% baseline

Fresh · 61+ days off

3.3%−3.6

n=276 · A/E 0.44 · £1 −207.00

New recruits · first run for the yard

0%−6.9

n=34 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −34.00

Debutants · first career start

6.3%−0.6

n=127 · A/E 1.35 · £1 −28.25

First-time headgear · true-first definition

8.2%+1.3

n=73 · A/E 1.23 · £1 −21.25

Headgear returns · back on after a bare run

10.7%+3.8

n=28 · A/E 1.22 · £1 −14.00

When favourite

18.2%

n=99 · A/E 0.70 · £1 −44.19

Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle

6.8%−0.1

n=573 · A/E 0.82 · £1 −257.81

Group / Graded races · pattern & listed

7.7%+0.8

n=104 · A/E 0.79 · £1 −52.50

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 6.9% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races. The same beliefs, tested across every yard and every GB and Irish race since 2005: Racing myths.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline

Beyond 3m 16.3% vs 6.9% · n=43

With Davy Russell 15% vs 6.9% · n=40

At Thurles 12.2% vs 6.9% · n=164

On Good to Soft going 1.1% vs 6.9% · n=91

On last-time-out winners 12.4% vs 6.9% · n=97

With new recruits 0% vs 6.9% · n=34

Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1

Hurdle 669 40 6% −387.98

Chase 542 43 7.9% −269.17

NH Flat 104 10 9.6% −13.75

Flat 76 3 3.9% −37.00

Going

GoingRWSR£1

Soft 505 34 6.7% −258.14

Heavy 449 43 9.6% −164.46

Good 270 15 5.6% −167.30

Good to Soft 91 1 1.1% −87.00

Good to Firm 62 3 4.8% −17.00

Standard (AW) 12 0 0% −12.00

Firm 2 0 0% −2.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1

Cork 205 13 6.3% −124.17

Limerick 166 14 8.4% −85.89

Thurles 164 20 12.2% +1.00

Tramore 121 6 5% −80.75

Clonmel 118 7 5.9% −80.67

Gowran Park 89 5 5.6% −48.25

Killarney 75 3 4% −45.50

Listowel 71 5 7% −31.00

Punchestown 55 6 10.9% −26.92

Tipperary 55 2 3.6% −14.00

Naas 41 1 2.4% −38.00

Fairyhouse 39 4 10.3% −21.25

Galway 33 2 6.1% −22.75

Wexford 31 3 9.7% −1.50

Wexford 26 1 3.8% −16.00

Class

ClassRWSR£1

Class 1 102 8 7.8% −50.50

Class 2 4 0 0% −4.00

Class 4 1 0 0% −1.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1

Favourite 123 24 19.5% 0.79 −41.81

2nd–3rd fav 269 42 15.6% 1.09 −39.09

4th–6th fav 386 24 6.2% 0.91 −107.00

7th+ in betting 613 6 1% 0.33 −520.00

Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Distance

DistanceRWSR£1

2m1f – 2m4f 518 29 5.6% −338.00

1m5f – 2m 426 34 8% −133.53

2m5f – 3m 356 25 7% −191.62

Over 3m 43 7 16.3% −1.75

1m2f – 1m4f 24 0 0% −24.00

1m – 1m1f 14 1 7.1% −9.00

6f – 7f 10 0 0% −10.00

By season

By seasonRWSR£1

2008 87 5 5.7% −47.50

2009 116 11 9.5% −7.75

2010 108 9 8.3% −34.75

2011 114 8 7% −56.79

2012 131 16 12.2% −44.25

2013 109 7 6.4% −58.27

2014 104 4 3.8% −84.92

2015 77 5 6.5% −41.50

2016 74 5 6.8% −26.50

2017 61 3 4.9% −43.75

2018 45 1 2.2% −32.00

2019 49 1 2% −43.50

2020 46 3 6.5% −23.50

2021 69 5 7.2% −27.00

2022 61 2 3.3% −54.30

2023 58 4 6.9% −24.75

2024 40 3 7.5% −25.75

2025 34 2 5.9% −28.70

2026 8 2 25% −2.42

Handicaps

HandicapsRWSR£1

Handicaps 573 34 5.9% −337.17

Field size

Field sizeRWSR£1

14-16 runners 426 23 5.4% −239.02

17+ runners 334 16 4.8% −235.84

11-13 runners 286 27 9.4% −85.12

8-10 runners 222 12 5.4% −141.50

5-7 runners 104 12 11.5% −19.00

2-4 runners 19 6 31.6% +12.58

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Jumping record

completion over obstacles · same window as header

86% completed · 1,211 obstacle runners (chases & hurdles)

CodeRCompFURPUBDOth

Chase 542 81.2% 38 9 53 2 0

Hurdle 669 90% 11 7 47 0 2

Chases and hurdles only — bumpers have no obstacles, so completion is not a question there. F fell · UR unseated rider · PU pulled up · BD brought down · Oth covers refusals, slip-ups, run-outs and the rare disqualification. Non-runners are excluded throughout. Rows under n=30 are shown faded. A descriptive record, not a tip.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first

HorseRWPlLast ran

Capture The Action (IRE) 49 4 15 20 May 23

Letter Of Credit (IRE)from G T Lynch · then V T O'Brien 45 3 15 2 Mar 17

No Show (IRE)from Richard Hannon 35 2 8 5 Jul 24

Fiddlers Bow (IRE)then Julia Brooke 32 1 14 29 Dec 17

Kilcrea (IRE) 31 4 10 17 May 17

Chelseas Friend (IRE) 30 2 9 15 Sep 23

Winter Magic (IRE) 30 4 9 15 Jul 19

Castle Wings (IRE) 30 3 16 12 May 14

Annacarton (IRE) 26 1 6 14 Aug 15

Montys Meadow (IRE) 25 3 12 9 Mar 21

Mahlers Cove (IRE) 24 1 7 21 Apr 25

Fair Dilemma (IRE)from V T O'Brien · then Paul Henderson 23 2 6 24 Sep 13

Showing the 60 most-raced of the 170 horses sent out in this window — each ran at least 7 times. Horses with fewer runs aren't listed; search finds any horse since 2005. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.

Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 60 horses listed, 8 arrived from another yard in our archive; 52 had their first archived run for this yard.

23 have since run for another yard, most often for Nikki Evans (3) and David Brace (2); 37 have no later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

When the yard fires

strike by month, lifetime

JFMAMJJASOND

9108653378788

A jumps yard: the season runs Oct–Apr. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first

Go-to riderPatrick Mangan

29% of all rides
5.6% SR · A/E 0.76

RiderRWSR£1

Patrick Mangan 409 23 5.6% −207.96

Miss J M Mangan 98 10 10.2% −12.00

Phillip Enright 94 6 6.4% −27.00

Mike O'Connor 74 2 2.7% −56.50

Sean Flanagan 57 3 5.3% −32.00

Sean O'Keeffe 57 5 8.8% −24.30

Davy Russell 40 6 15% −6.75

Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2005→

106

Archived wins

Pattern / graded wins

£1.95m

Prize money

2012

Best season · 16 wins

In our archive from its very first year (2005), so this career almost certainly began earlier than our record does. The figures above count 2005 onwards only — what the archive holds, not a full-career total. This card is the full archive census (2005→); the statistics in the header aggregate from 2008 — the floor that guarantees every horse a complete captured career — so this card can legitimately show more wins than the header.

Spillane's Tower (IRE) — Dooley Insurance Group Champion Novice Chase (Grade 1) Punchestown · Apr 2024 · Grade 1

£73,750

Spillane's Tower (IRE) — Betfair Cotswold Chase (Grade 2) (GBB Race) Cheltenham · Jan 2026 · Grade 2

£71,188

Conna Castle (IRE) — Powers Gold Cup Chase (Grade 1) Fairyhouse · Mar 2008 · Grade 1

£66,000

Notable horses

Conna Castle (IRE) Whinstone Boy (IRE) Spillane's Tower (IRE) Noras Fancy (IRE) Capture The Action (IRE) Kilcrea (IRE)

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip

Oscar (IRE) 7.1% · 11–156

Progeny have won 10.9% of 16,543 runs since 2008 (1,456 horses). Strongest on Standard (AW) going: 18.1% from 105.

Flemensfirth (USA) 6.5% · 5–77

Progeny have won 11.8% of 17,295 runs since 2008 (1,595 horses).

Beneficial (GB) 7.4% · 5–68

Progeny have won 10.4% of 17,047 runs since 2008 (1,155 horses).

Mahler (GB) 6.7% · 4–60

Progeny have won 10.8% of 8,892 runs since 2014 (790 horses). Strongest on Good to Firm going: 15.1% from 119.

Cloudings (IRE) 8.6% · 5–58

Progeny have won 10.5% of 3,888 runs since 2008 (310 horses). Strongest beyond 3m (all codes): 14.6% from 411. Weakest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 7.5% from 816.

Bob Back (USA) 5.8% · 3–52

Progeny have won 11.8% of 3,724 runs since 2008 (338 horses).

Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 11 Nov 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 1,487 · newest first

The latest 50 of 1,487 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 13 January 2005 to 17 October 2026.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP

17 Oct 26 Limerick (IRE) Getaway Dreams (IRE)J: Mr J L Gleeson Irish Stallion Farms EBF Mares (Pro/Am) Flat Race17f · Good To Yielding · 8 ran 8th 66/1

06 Jul 26 Roscommon Aodha's Arrow (IRE)J: Anna McGuinness Irish Stallion Farms EBF Mares (Ladies Pro/Am) Flat Race16f · Good · 16 ran 7th 8/1

30 Apr 26 Punchestown Pure Steel (IRE)J: Mark Walsh Barberstown Castle Novice Chase (Grade 1)16.5f · Yielding · 5 ran 4th 12/1

09 Apr 26 Aintree Spillane's Tower (IRE)J: Mark Walsh Racing Welfare Bowl Chase (Grade 1) (GBB Race)Class 1 · 25f · Good To Soft · 5 ran PU 11/2

05 Apr 26 Fairyhouse Pure Steel (IRE)J: Mark Walsh WillowWarm Gold Cup (Grade 1)20f · Yielding To Soft · 8 ran UR 16/1

15 Feb 26 Punchestown Pure Steel (IRE)J: Mark Walsh Concept Colours Noel Byrne Memorial Rated Novice Chase16.5f · Heavy · 4 ran 1st 5/6F

24 Jan 26 Cheltenham Spillane's Tower (IRE)J: Jack Kennedy Betfair Cotswold Chase (Grade 2) (GBB Race)Class 1 · 25.5f · Soft · 4 ran 1st 11/4

11 Jan 26 Punchestown Pure Steel (IRE)J: Mark Walsh Sky Bet Super Sub Novice Chase (Grade 3)19.5f · Soft · 5 ran 5th 6/1

31 Dec 25 Punchestown Spillane's Tower (IRE)J: Mark Walsh Make The Tote App Your New Year's Resolution NYE Hurdle19f · Yielding · 8 ran 3rd 7/4

26 Dec 25 Limerick Allow Sound (IRE)J: Michael Kenneally Signsplus Maiden Hurdle16f · Heavy · 17 ran 15th 200/1

11 Dec 25 Punchestown Pure Steel (IRE)J: Mark Walsh Matchbook Betting Exchange Rated Novice Chase16.5f · Heavy · 7 ran 1st 5/2

07 Dec 25 Cork Allow Sound (IRE)J: Mike O'Connor BAR 1 Casino Maiden Hurdle (Div 1)17f · Soft To Heavy · 19 ran PU 200/1

09 Nov 25 Naas Pure Steel (IRE)J: Simon Torrens Sign Up To GavinLynchRacing.com Beginners Chase16f · Soft · 16 ran 3rd 33/1

09 Nov 25 Naas Spillane's Tower (IRE)J: Mark Walsh SIS Brown Lad Handicap Hurdle (Listed)20f · Soft To Heavy · 14 ran 9th 6/5F

11 Jul 25 Cork Aodha's Arrow (IRE)J: Mr E P O'Brien Racing Again July 25th Fillies Flat Race17f · Good · 16 ran 5th 10/1

11 Jul 25 Cork Kates Choice (IRE)J: Mike O'Connor Follow Us On Instagram Mares Handicap Hurdle20f · Good · 17 ran 6th 25/1

10 Jun 25 Sligo Kates Choice (IRE)J: Mike O'Connor Stephen Mullins & Sons Mares Maiden Hurdle17.5f · Good · 15 ran 6th 5/1

31 May 25 Tramore Kates Choice (IRE)J: Mr E P O'Brien Irish Stallion Farms EBF (Mares) Flat Race16f · Good To Yielding · 10 ran 6th 22/1

22 May 25 Limerick Arthor (IRE)J: Mike O'Connor Treaty Plant Hire Handicap Chase (0-100)22.5f · Good · 16 ran 11th 18/1

10 May 25 Cork Aodha's Arrow (IRE)J: Mr E P O'Brien Irish Stallion Farms EBF 4-y-o Fillies Flat Race16.5f · Good · 15 ran 4th 12/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

KTB’s figures

the forward record · since 5 Oct 2026

KTB’s figures on this yard’s runners since 17 Oct 2026: the KTB Selection in 1 run (won 0) · to 17 Oct 2026.

Each pick was a KTB figure’s choice before the off — the published KTB Selection, the top-rated horse on KTB Rating, the fastest on KTB Speed — settled against the result the next morning and never worked out again; “did not run” is counted apart. GB and Irish races only. A record of weeks so far: read it as a count, not a verdict.

Quick answers

What is James Joseph Mangan's strike rate?: James Joseph Mangan has won 96 of 1,391 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 6.9% (as at 11 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does James Joseph Mangan do best at?: Thurles by strike rate: 20 wins from 164 runners (12.2%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Who rides most for James Joseph Mangan?: Patrick Mangan, with 409 runners since 2008 — 29% of the total. That pairing has won 23 (5.6%).
What is James Joseph Mangan's Fair A/E?: 0.84, from 1,390 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.