Jane Soubagne
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%".
Sends out around 20 runners a season, almost all on the flat, winning with 8% of them — a touch below the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 0.91). With a claiming rider up the record reads 13% (31 runs).
Runners with a claiming rider up have been a positive signal at 12.9% (n=31, Fair A/E 1.31), but horses returning fresh after 61+ days have been a poor signal at 2.2% (n=90, Fair A/E 0.30). Anthony Crastus rides 18% of the entries and matches the yard's average almost exactly (7.3%, A/E 0.92). The yard also reads well at trips under 6f (15.4%, n=39) and on Good to Soft going (13.6%, n=66). The record reads poorly off a 61-180-day break — 1.8% over 56 runners, 5.7pts below the baseline. The market has consistently overbet the yard on Good going: Fair A/E 0.28 across 50 runners (2% strike, −41.80 to a £1 stake) — runners there underperform what the price implies. 3 Group and Graded wins sit in the archive record — the biggest prize the yard has landed: the Prix La Rochette at Longchamp (FR) (Sep 2018, £35,398). Seasonally, the yard fires May–Jun.
Yard patterns
the angles behind the record · vs 7.5% baselineEach tile is the record in that situation vs the 7.5% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races. The same beliefs, tested across every yard and every GB and Irish race since 2005: Racing myths.
Notable angles
vs their own baselineRecord by conditions
same window as headerRace type
Going
Courses
Class
Market position
Distance
By season
Handicaps
Field size
Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.
Horses trained
same window as header · most-raced firstCurrent form
significance-gatedLast 14 days
Small sampleWhen the yard fires
strike by month, lifetimeJockey bookings
same window · biggest samples firstCareer highlights
lifetime archive, 2016→Sires in the string
progeny record · win % by ground and tripThe record
latest 50 of 307 · newest firstThe latest 50 of 307 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 24 May 2016 to 26 October 2026.
Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).
Quick answers
- What is Jane Soubagne's strike rate?
- Jane Soubagne has won 23 of 307 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 7.5% (as at 7 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
- Which course does Jane Soubagne do best at?
- Deauville (AW) by strike rate: 7 wins from 77 runners (9.1%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
- Who rides most for Jane Soubagne?
- Anthony Crastus, with 55 runners since 2008 — 18% of the total. That pairing has won 4 (7.3%).
- Is Jane Soubagne in form?
- Too few runners in the last 14 days to read — 4 runners, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.
- What is Jane Soubagne's Fair A/E?
- 0.91, from 303 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.