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Trainer profile

James J Hartnett

76 runners in the lifetime window · 22 individual horses
As at 29 Oct 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily
Last runner Aug 2012
No runners in the last 5 seasons — showing the lifetime record, from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it.
4–76
Wins / Runs
5.3%
Strike rate
n=76
11 (15%)
Placed
0.89
n=76 · 0.67 incl. margin
−37.25
£1 level stake
n=76 at SP · −49.0%
£71,965
Prize money (window)
Strike by season
0%

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 5.3% baseline
Fresh · 61+ days off
0%−5.3
n=20 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −20.00
New recruits · first run for the yard
6.3%+1.0
n=16 · A/E 1.29 · £1 +1.00
Debutants · first career start
0%−5.3
n=7 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −7.00
First-time headgear · true-first definition
14.3%+9.0
n=7 · A/E 1.91 · £1 +10.00
Headgear returns · back on after a bare run
0%−5.3
n=3 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −3.00
When favourite
0%
n=2 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −2.00
Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle
0%−5.3
n=28 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −28.00
Group / Graded races · pattern & listed
16.7%+11.4
n=6 · A/E 3.44 · £1 +11.00

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 5.3% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, not tips. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline
In Flat races 3.5% vs 5.3% · n=57 · A/E 0.68
With a new jockey booking 6.9% vs 5.3% · n=58 · A/E 1.21
Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1
Flat 57 2 3.5% −27.00
Hurdle 17 2 11.8% −8.25
Chase 1 0 0% −1.00
NH Flat 1 0 0% −1.00

Going

GoingRWSR£1
Good to Firm 19 1 5.3% −15.75
Soft 17 0 0% −17.00
Good 14 2 14.3% +4.50
Standard (AW) 13 1 7.7% +4.00
Heavy 9 0 0% −9.00
Good to Soft 4 0 0% −4.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1
Curragh 17 0 0% −17.00
Dundalk (AW) 13 1 7.7% +4.00
Leopardstown 11 0 0% −11.00
Wexford 5 1 20% +0.50
Cork 5 0 0% −5.00
Gowran Park 4 0 0% −4.00
Listowel 3 0 0% −3.00
Naas 3 1 33.3% +0.25
Fairyhouse 2 0 0% −2.00
Bellewstown 2 0 0% −2.00
Killarney 2 0 0% −2.00
Sligo 2 0 0% −2.00
Clonmel 1 0 0% −1.00
Galway 1 0 0% −1.00
Newmarket 1 1 100% +12.00

Class

ClassRWSR£1
Class 1 6 1 16.7% +11.00
Class 2 1 0 0% −1.00
Class 3 1 1 100% +12.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1
Favourite 3 1 33.3% 1.77 +0.25
2nd–3rd fav 11 1 9.1% 0.84 −5.50
4th–6th fav 18 0 0% 0.00 −18.00
7th+ in betting 44 2 4.5% 1.35 −14.00
Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first
HorseRWPlLast ran
Lancetto (FR)from K R Burke · then Evan Williams 14 2 4 24 Jun 11
Macnas (USA)from J S Bolger · then Andrew Lee 7 0 2 16 Jul 12
Murura (IRE)from James Given · then Kevin Ryan 7 1 2 7 Jul 11
Moonreach (IRE)from P D Deegan · then P D Deegan 5 0 1 26 Jun 11
Cute Ivorela (IRE) 4 0 0 21 Aug 12
Massabini (USA)then John J Coleman 4 0 0 23 Apr 11
Big Robert (GB)from P D Deegan · then Matt Sheppard 3 0 1 18 Nov 10
Clara Zetkin (GB)from Michael Wigham 2 0 0 12 Jul 12
Rodrigo De Torres (GB)from Sir Henry Cecil · then Mrs K Burke 2 0 0 26 Jun 11
Wings Of Apollo (IRE)then Mrs K Burke 2 0 0 29 Apr 11
All 22 horses sent out in this window. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.
Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 22 horses listed, 15 arrived from another yard in our archive, most often from P D Deegan (3) and K R Burke (2); 7 had their first archived run for this yard.

15 have since run for another yard, most often for Mrs K Burke (4); 7 have no later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

When the yard fires

strike by month, lifetime
JFMAMJJASOND
001700013001025·
A flat yard: the season runs Mar–Oct. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first
RiderRWSR£1
Fran Berry 11 0 0% −11.00
Sam James 9 0 0% −9.00
Chris Hayes 9 1 11.1% +8.00
Andrew P Thornton 4 0 0% −4.00
Kevin Coleman 4 1 25% +1.50
Seamie Heffernan 3 0 0% −3.00
Ben Curtis 3 0 0% −3.00
Kieran O'Neill 3 0 0% −3.00
N G McCullagh 3 0 0% −3.00
Roger Loughran 3 0 0% −3.00
Mr C Motherway 2 0 0% −2.00
Paul Townend 2 1 50% +1.25
Muted rows are under 30 rides.

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2009→
4
Archived wins
1
Pattern / graded wins
£71,965
Prize money
2010
Best season · 3 wins
Shimmering Moment (USA) — Carlingford Stakes (Listed) Dundalk (AW) · Nov 2010 · Listed
£27,625
Lancetto (FR) — Pat Hawkins Memorial Hurdle Naas · Oct 2010
£10,350
Murura (IRE) — Three Chimneys Handicap Newmarket · Jul 2011 · Class 3
£8,410

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip
Dubai Destination (USA) 14.3% · 2–14
Progeny have won 11% of 6,950 runs since 2008 (521 horses). Strongest at trips under 6f (all codes): 16.9% from 136.
Definite Article (GB) 0% · 0–8
Progeny have won 10.5% of 5,617 runs since 2008 (527 horses). Weakest on Standard (AW) going: 5.1% from 138. Weakest over 1m2f – 1m4f (all codes): 4.3% from 211.
Green Desert (USA) 14.3% · 1–7
Progeny have won 11% of 3,324 runs since 2008 (251 horses). Weakest on Good to Soft going: 7.8% from 269. Weakest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 5.4% from 147.
Orientate (USA) 0% · 0–7
Progeny have won 9.4% of 288 runs since 2008 (22 horses).
Chineur (FR) 0% · 0–5
Progeny have won 9% of 2,167 runs since 2008 (138 horses). Strongest on Good to Soft going: 12% from 209. Strongest at trips under 6f (all codes): 12.2% from 403. Weakest over 1m2f – 1m4f (all codes): 6% from 199.
Tagula (IRE) 0% · 0–5
Progeny have won 9.1% of 5,559 runs since 2008 (382 horses). Weakest over 1m – 1m1f (all codes): 6.1% from 909.
Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 29 Oct 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 76 · newest first

The latest 50 of 76 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 28 August 2009 to 21 August 2012.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP
05 Aug 12 Cork Cute Ivorela (IRE)J: Ronan Whelan Family Day Out Maiden7f · Soft To Heavy · 15 ran 8th 50/1
07 Jul 11 Newmarket Murura (IRE)J: Mickael Barzalona Three Chimneys HandicapClass 3 · 5f · Good · 10 ran 1st 12/1
17 Jun 11 Ascot Moonreach (IRE)J: Sam James Buckingham Palace Stakes (Handicap)Class 2 · 7f · Soft · 25 ran 11th 50/1
10 Jun 11 Navan Murura (IRE)J: Chris Hayes www.navangolfclub.ie Handicap6f · Good To Firm · 15 ran 6th 7/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is James J Hartnett's strike rate?
James J Hartnett has won 4 of 76 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 5.3% (as at 29 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
What is James J Hartnett's Fair A/E?
0.89, from 76 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%". Three sample sizes are reported and never blended: runs (n), the ROI basis (n at SP), and the fair-A/E basis (n with a computed fair probability).

Strike rate is wins over all runs (n). ROI is £1 level stakes at SP over runs with a parseable price (n at SP). Fair A/E is wins over margin-stripped market expectation, over runs with a computed fair probability (n fair). The three Ns can legitimately differ and are always shown. Figures as at 29 October 2026, computed from our own results archive (2005 onwards; aggregates from 2008).