What is John & Thady Gosden's strike rate?

John & Thady Gosden has won 760 of 3,525 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 21.6% (as at 8 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.

Which course does John & Thady Gosden do best at?

Newcastle (AW) by strike rate: 47 wins from 134 runners (35.1%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.

Who rides most for John & Thady Gosden?

Robert Havlin, with 1,119 runners since 2008 — 32% of the total. That pairing has won 242 (21.6%).

Is John & Thady Gosden in form?

In the last 14 days: 20 runners, 5 winners, a strike rate of 25%. That is above the baseline of 21.6% since 2008.

What is John & Thady Gosden's Fair A/E?

1.05, from 3,506 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.

Trainer profile

John & Thady Gosden

3,525 runners in the lifetime window · 733 individual horses

As at 8 Nov 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily

Non-runners: 5.7% of 530 declared in the last 365 days, counting all recorded withdrawals, including reserves. For context, a typical day across all racing ends with about 6.5% withdrawn (middle half 5.3–8.1% over 364 racing days). As at 8 Nov 2026.

In form — 5 winners last 14 days Won yesterday Last runner yesterday 100% of runners on the flat

Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2021→)

from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it

760–3,525

Wins / Runs

21.6%

Strike rate

n=3,525

1,604 (46%)

Placed

1.05

Fair A/E

n=3,506 · 0.91 incl. margin

−413.71

£1 level stake

n=3,525 at SP · −11.7%

£38.0m

Prize money (window)

Strike by season

24.2%

KTB Yard Profile

Sends out around 190 runners a season, almost all on the flat, winning with 22% of them — beating the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 1.05). The edge shows sharpest with horses returning fresh: 23% off breaks of two months or more (714 runs). The yard is in form now — 5 winners in the last fortnight, above its own baseline.

Deterministic profile computed from 3,525 archived runs (lifetime window) · updated 8 Nov 2026

KTB at a glance Fresh horses: 23.4% 43.2% when favourite Robert Havlin: 21.6% from 1,119 New recruits: 22.9% Claiming riders: 22.9% Sends off the favourite in 25% of races

The read

The record is strongest at Newcastle (AW) (35.1%, n=134) and Windsor (31.2%, n=93) — all clear of the yard's 21.6% baseline. It is weakest at Newmarket (13.6% over 332 runners) — the widest gap in the record. A horse in first-time headgear has been a poor signal at 14.4% (n=285, Fair A/E 0.92). Right now the yard is firing: 5 winners from 20 runners in the last 14 days (25%, 3.4pts above the 21.6% baseline). Robert Havlin rides 32% of the entries and matches the yard's average almost exactly (21.6%, A/E 1.03) — the market has that partnership priced right. The yard also reads well in Class 5 (28.6%, n=805). The record reads poorly on Soft going — 14.1% over 304 runners, 7.5pts below the baseline. 149 Group and Graded wins sit in the archive record — the biggest prize the yard has landed: the Juddmonte International Stakes at York (Aug 2025, £748,218). The stable star of the record: Trawlerman (IRE) — 11 wins from 19 runs for the yard.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 21.6% baseline

Fresh · 61+ days off

23.4%+1.8

n=714 · A/E 0.99 · £1 −120.71

New recruits · first run for the yard

22.9%+1.3

n=109 · A/E 0.88 · £1 −43.21

Debutants · first career start

18.4%−3.2

n=624 · A/E 1.09 · £1 +22.89

First-time headgear · true-first definition

14.4%−7.2

n=285 · A/E 0.92 · £1 −92.36

Headgear returns · back on after a bare run

18.5%−3.1

n=27 · A/E 1.12 · £1 −13.91

When favourite

43.2%

n=894 · A/E 1.04 · £1 −115.19

Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle

22.9%+1.3

n=144 · A/E 1.13 · £1 −30.93

Group / Graded races · pattern & listed

16.7%−4.9

n=892 · A/E 0.95 · £1 −172.08

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 21.6% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races. The same beliefs, tested across every yard and every GB and Irish race since 2005: Racing myths.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline

At Newcastle (AW) 35.1% vs 21.6% · n=134

In Class 5 28.6% vs 21.6% · n=805

At Newmarket 13.6% vs 21.6% · n=332

At Windsor 31.2% vs 21.6% · n=93

At Ascot 14.1% vs 21.6% · n=327

On Soft going 14.1% vs 21.6% · n=304

This filter uses derived form angles computed for 30.6% of the archive so far (as at 8 Nov 2026); the sample will grow as sequencing completes.

Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Going

GoingRWSR£1

Standard (AW) 1,061 275 25.9% −148.18

Good 865 177 20.5% −51.24

Good to Firm 855 188 22% −47.33

Good to Soft 379 65 17.2% −65.62

Soft 304 43 14.1% −96.08

Heavy 60 12 20% −4.26

Firm 1 0 0% −1.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1

Kempton (AW) 395 82 20.8% −75.71

Newmarket 332 45 13.6% −99.41

Ascot 327 46 14.1% −46.52

Newmarket 212 42 19.8% −9.78

Newbury 186 31 16.7% −47.38

Sandown 177 38 21.5% +11.98

Doncaster 173 40 23.1% +7.36

Yarmouth 168 43 25.6% +22.53

Goodwood 154 22 14.3% −51.26

Lingfield (AW) 150 43 28.7% −24.88

Wolverhampton (AW) 141 35 24.8% −1.15

York 139 27 19.4% −19.30

Newcastle (AW) 134 47 35.1% −13.48

Chelmsford (AW) 121 35 28.9% −8.81

Southwell (AW) 120 33 27.5% −24.15

Class

ClassRWSR£1

Class 1 892 149 16.7% −172.08

Class 4 873 187 21.4% −129.94

Class 5 805 230 28.6% −37.51

Class 2 542 100 18.5% −40.75

Class 3 394 89 22.6% −41.59

Class 6 19 5 26.3% +8.16

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1

Favourite 975 404 41.4% 1.04 −128.59

2nd–3rd fav 1,294 253 19.6% 1.03 −173.12

4th–6th fav 916 87 9.5% 1.11 −94.00

7th+ in betting 340 16 4.7% 1.25 −18.00

Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first

HorseRWPlLast ran

Sweet William (IRE) 24 7 21 18 Jun 26

Audience (GB)then David O'Meara 22 5 12 10 Oct 25

Running Lion (GB) 20 6 11 17 Sep 25

Trawlerman (IRE)from John Gosden 19 11 16 28 Jul 26

Fifth Column (IRE) 17 5 8 17 Oct 26

Israr (GB) 17 5 11 21 Aug 24

Danielle (GB) 16 3 9 17 Oct 26

Nashwa (GB) 16 5 10 19 Oct 24

Inspiral (GB) 16 8 11 5 Oct 24

Devil's Peak (GB) 14 2 5 24 Oct 26

French Master (IRE) 14 4 6 3 Oct 26

Lion's Pride (GB) 14 3 5 23 Sep 26

Showing the 60 most-raced of the 733 horses sent out in this window — each ran at least 10 times. Horses with fewer runs aren't listed; search finds any horse since 2005. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.

Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 60 horses listed, 6 arrived from another yard in our archive, most often from John Gosden (6); 54 had their first archived run for this yard.

11 have since run for another yard; 49 have no later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

Current form

significance-gated

Last 14 days

In form

5 from 20 25% · +3.4pts vs baseline

Last 14 days25%

Lifetime base21.6%

Shown only when the 14-day window is large enough to mean anything (n≥15). A cold run renders the same card with a quiet badge — never hidden.

When the yard fires

strike by month, lifetime

JFMAMJJASOND

132321232120252121222126

A flat yard: the season runs Mar–Oct. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first

Go-to riderRobert Havlin

32% of all rides
21.6% SR · A/E 1.03

RiderRWSR£1

Robert Havlin 1,119 242 21.6% −144.49

Kieran Shoemark 405 78 19.3% −61.66

Frankie Dettori 310 79 25.5% −6.92

Benoit De La Sayette 241 50 20.7% −45.22

William Buick 220 56 25.5% +11.96

Oisin Murphy 184 46 25% −29.39

James Doyle 150 33 22% −32.01

Kieran O'Neill 123 17 13.8% −48.02

Jim Crowley 100 26 26% −1.55

Martin Harley 74 12 16.2% −9.99

Hollie Doyle 62 16 25.8% +22.17

Ryan Moore 61 17 27.9% +2.65

Muted rows are under 30 rides.

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2021→

760

Archived wins

149

Pattern / graded wins

£38.0m

Prize money

2025

Best season · 138 wins

Ombudsman (IRE) — Juddmonte International Stakes (Group 1) York · Aug 2025 · Group 1

£748,218

Ombudsman (IRE) — Qatar Racing Champion Stakes (Group 1) Ascot · Oct 2026 · Group 1

£737,230

Ombudsman (IRE) — Prince Of Wales's Stakes (Group 1) Ascot · Jun 2025 · Group 1

£599,708

Notable horses

Trawlerman (IRE) Ombudsman (IRE) Inspiral (GB) Mostahdaf (IRE) Sweet William (IRE) Running Lion (GB)

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip

Frankel (GB) 25.2% · 112–445

Progeny have won 18% of 7,544 runs since 2016 (882 horses). Weakest on Heavy going: 12.8% from 329. Weakest over 2m1f – 2m4f (all codes): 12.2% from 270.

Kingman (GB) 25.1% · 104–414

Progeny have won 14.6% of 7,532 runs since 2018 (779 horses). Weakest on Soft going: 11% from 970. Weakest over 2m1f – 2m4f (all codes): 9% from 122.

Dubawi (IRE) 22.8% · 72–316

Progeny have won 18.4% of 12,989 runs since 2009 (1,530 horses). Weakest at trips under 6f (all codes): 9.8% from 429.

Sea The Stars (IRE) 20.7% · 48–232

Progeny have won 15.7% of 9,985 runs since 2013 (1,118 horses). Strongest on Good to Firm going: 18.9% from 1,503. Weakest on Heavy going: 9.4% from 457. Weakest over 2m5f – 3m (all codes): 11.5% from 139.

Galileo (IRE) 20.3% · 24–118

Progeny have won 14.5% of 18,201 runs since 2008 (1,776 horses). Strongest over 6f – 7f (all codes): 18.2% from 1,383. Weakest over 2m5f – 3m (all codes): 9.4% from 890.

Too Darn Hot (GB) 19.6% · 21–107

Progeny have won 13.9% of 2,369 runs since 2023 (326 horses). Weakest at trips under 6f (all codes): 9.4% from 117.

Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 8 Nov 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 3,525 · newest first

The latest 50 of 3,525 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 26 March 2021 to 7 November 2026.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP

07 Nov 26 Doncaster I'm The One (GB)J: Sean Levey Virgin Bet Daily Price Boosts Irish EBF Gillies Fillies' Stakes (Listed Race)Class 1 · 10f · Good To Soft · 17 ran 9th 13/2

07 Nov 26 Southwell (AW) Highland Ranger (GB)J: Robert Havlin AWC Finals Day At Newcastle 26th March Novice Stakes (GBB/GBBPlus Race)Class 3 · 8f · Standard · 14 ran 1st 6/4F

06 Nov 26 Newcastle (AW) Endless Quest (IRE)J: Robert Havlin All-Weather Championship Is Back EBF Fillies' Novice Stakes (GBB/GBBPlus Race)Class 3 · 10f · Standard · 7 ran 1st 1/10F

06 Nov 26 Newcastle (AW) Light Of Paris (GER)J: Robert Havlin Midnite A Next Generation Betting App Handicap Stakes (GBBPlus Race)Class 3 · 10f · Standard · 14 ran 3rd 15/2

04 Nov 26 Kempton (AW) You're Sensational (GB)J: Robert Havlin Unibet/British EBF Fillies' Novice Stakes (Div II) (GBB/GBBPlus Race)Class 3 · 8f · Standard / Slow · 12 ran 3rd 11/1

04 Nov 26 Kempton (AW) Noble Light (GB)J: Robert Havlin Unibet/British EBF Fillies' Novice Stakes (Div I) (GBB/GBBPlus Race)Class 3 · 8f · Standard / Slow · 13 ran 6th 8/1

04 Nov 26 Kempton (AW) Red Curry (GB)J: James Doyle Unibet/British EBF Fillies' Novice Stakes (Div I) (GBB/GBBPlus Race)Class 3 · 8f · Standard / Slow · 13 ran 3rd 3/1

03 Nov 26 Wolverhampton (AW) Amandari (IRE)J: Robert Havlin AW Trials Day - Lingfield 2nd Jan 2027 EBF Restricted Novice Stakes (For Horses In Bands B, C And D) (GBB Race)Class 4 · 7f · Standard · 11 ran 7th 2/1

02 Nov 26 Chelmsford (AW) Lady's Grace (GB)J: Robert Havlin AWC Season 14 Has Begun EBF Fillies' Restricted Novice Stakes (For Horses In Bands C And D) (GBB Race)Class 4 · 7f · Standard · 12 ran 3rd 3/1

02 Nov 26 Wolverhampton (AW) Wosta (GB)J: Oisin Murphy Midnite: Built For 2026 Not 2006 Novice Stakes (GBB Race)Class 3 · 9.5f · Standard · 10 ran 2nd 1/3F

31 Oct 26 Newmarket Nahraan (GB)J: Sean Levey German Group One Racecourses James Seymour Stakes (Listed Race)Class 1 · 10f · Good To Soft · 9 ran 2nd 4/1

31 Oct 26 Newmarket Thi Qar (IRE)J: Tyler Heard British Stallion Studs Ebf Montrose Fillies' Stakes (Listed Race)Class 1 · 8f · Good To Soft · 11 ran 5th 40/1

31 Oct 26 Newmarket Lighting Thunder (GB)J: Rob Hornby Dusseldorf's Henkel 169 German Oaks Handicap StakesClass 3 · 8f · Good To Soft · 14 ran 4th 7/2

30 Oct 26 Newmarket Afif (FR)J: Robert Havlin German G1 Racecourses Thank World Pool British EBF Novice Stakes (Colts And Geldings Only) (Div I)Class 3 · 7f · Good To Soft · 12 ran 6th 7/1

30 Oct 26 Newmarket Dove Tale (GER)J: Robert Havlin Newmarket Challenge Whip Handicap Stakes (gbbplus Race)Class 3 · 10f · Good To Soft · 6 ran 1st 2/1F

28 Oct 26 Kempton (AW) Lady Margo (IRE)J: Oisin Murphy Try Unibet's New Improved Acca Boosts Fillies' Restricted Novice Stakes (For Horses In Bands B, C And D) (GBB/GBBPlus Race)Class 4 · 8f · Standard / Slow · 9 ran 4th 2/1

28 Oct 26 Nottingham Wise Prince (IRE)J: Robert Havlin Robin Hood Stakes (Listed Race) (Formerly Known As The Ben Marshall Stakes)Class 1 · 8.5f · Soft · 8 ran 5th 11/2

28 Oct 26 Nottingham Fulcrum (GB)J: Robert Havlin EBF Stallions Golden Horn Maiden Stakes (Colts And Geldings Only)Class 3 · 8.5f · Soft · 5 ran 2nd 4/7F

26 Oct 26 Southwell (AW) Yamnah (FR)J: Billy Loughnane Awc Finals Day At Newcastle 26th March Maiden Fillies' Stakes (gbb/gbbplus Race)Class 3 · 11f · Standard · 6 ran 1st 7/4F

26 Oct 26 Chantilly (FR) Coaxed (GB)J: Cristian Demuro Darley Prix Des Reservoirs (Group 3)Class 1 · 8f · Heavy · 6 ran 1st 2/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

KTB’s figures

the forward record · since 5 Oct 2026

KTB’s figures on this yard’s runners since 5 Oct 2026: the KTB Selection in 11 runs (won 4, 1 did not run) · top-rated on KTB Rating in 10 runs (won 3, 1 did not run) · fastest on KTB Speed in 7 runs (won 1, 2 did not run) · to 6 Nov 2026.

Each pick was a KTB figure’s choice before the off — the published KTB Selection, the top-rated horse on KTB Rating, the fastest on KTB Speed — settled against the result the next morning and never worked out again; “did not run” is counted apart. GB and Irish races only. A record of weeks so far: read it as a count, not a verdict.

Quick answers

What is John & Thady Gosden's strike rate?: John & Thady Gosden has won 760 of 3,525 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 21.6% (as at 8 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does John & Thady Gosden do best at?: Newcastle (AW) by strike rate: 47 wins from 134 runners (35.1%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Who rides most for John & Thady Gosden?: Robert Havlin, with 1,119 runners since 2008 — 32% of the total. That pairing has won 242 (21.6%).
Is John & Thady Gosden in form?: In the last 14 days: 20 runners, 5 winners, a strike rate of 25%. That is above the baseline of 21.6% since 2008.
What is John & Thady Gosden's Fair A/E?: 1.05, from 3,506 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.