As at 22 Oct 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily
Last runner Oct 200592% of runners on the flat
Archive record 2005
No runners from 1 Jan 2008, where our aggregate statistics normally begin — showing the full archive record instead, 10 Jan 2005 to 24 Oct 2005. Figures that need a horse's earlier runs (debuts, time since a run, first-time headgear, new connections, last-time-out winners) are left out: for runs this early our archive cannot see what came before.
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%".
Yard patterns
the angles behind the record · vs 7.8% baseline
When favourite
0%
n=2 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −2.00
Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle
28.6%+20.8
n=7 · A/E 3.05 · £1 +9.50
Group / Graded races · pattern & listed
0%−7.8
n=2 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −2.00
Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 7.8% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, not tips. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races. Tiles that depend on a horse's earlier runs (debuts, time off, first-time headgear, new connections, last-time-out winners) are not shown on an archive-era record: for runs this early our archive cannot see what came before.
Record by conditions
same window as header
Race type
TypeRWSR£1
Flat4748.5%−15.50
Chase200%−2.00
Hurdle100%−1.00
NH Flat100%−1.00
Going
GoingRWSR£1
Good to Firm1915.3%−8.00
Good1516.7%−9.50
Standard (AW)700%−7.00
Good to Soft6233.3%+9.00
Firm300%−3.00
Soft100%−1.00
Courses
CourseRWSR£1
Chepstow9111.1%+2.00
Newbury500%−5.00
Windsor5120%+4.00
Lingfield (AW)400%−4.00
Sandown4125%+2.00
Salisbury300%−3.00
Wolverhampton (AW)300%−3.00
Bath300%−3.00
Goodwood3133.3%+2.50
Warwick200%−2.00
Epsom Downs200%−2.00
Newton Abbot200%−2.00
Brighton100%−1.00
Taunton100%−1.00
Hereford100%−1.00
Class
ClassRWSR£1
Class 51715.9%−8.00
Class 414214.3%−2.50
Class 69111.1%+2.00
Class 2400%−4.00
Class 7300%−3.00
Class 1200%−2.00
Class 3200%−2.00
Market position
In the bettingRWSRA/E£1
Favourite200%0.00−2.00
2nd–3rd fav9333.3%2.36+11.50
4th–6th fav1417.1%1.07−3.00
7th+ in betting2600%0.00−26.00
Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.
Distance
DistanceRWSR£1
6f – 7f2229.1%−5.50
1m2f – 1m4f1218.3%−3.00
1m – 1m1f1100%−11.00
1m5f – 2m400%−4.00
2m5f – 3m100%−1.00
Under 6f11100%+5.00
Handicaps
HandicapsRWSR£1
Handicaps33412.1%−1.50
Field size
Field sizeRWSR£1
11-13 runners2114.8%−15.00
8-10 runners1218.3%−6.50
17+ runners8112.5%+3.00
14-16 runners7114.3%+2.00
5-7 runners300%−3.00
Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.
All 11 horses sent out in this window. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.
Where they came from · where they went next
Of the 11 horses listed, 7 have since run for another yard, most often for Rod Millman (2); 4 have no later run for another yard in our archive.
Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. Where a horse came from is not stated on an archive-era record: our archive cannot see before 2005. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.
When the yard fires
strike by month, 2005
JFMAMJJASOND
0·00001718200··
A flat yard: the season runs Mar–Oct. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.
In our archive from its very first year (2005), so this career almost certainly began earlier than our record does. The figures above count 2005 onwards only — what the archive holds, not a full-career total. On this page the header statistics and this card both count from the archive floor (2005), so they agree.
Progeny have won 7.9% of 9,146 runs since 2005 (498 horses). Weakest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 3.3% from 367.
Benny The Dip (USA)0% · 0–7
Progeny have won 8.7% of 687 runs since 2005 (58 horses).
Polish Precedent (USA)14.3% · 1–7
Progeny have won 7.8% of 2,165 runs since 2005 (166 horses). Strongest on Good to Soft going: 11.4% from 264.
Inchinor (GB)0% · 0–5
Progeny have won 8.9% of 2,986 runs since 2005 (197 horses). Weakest at trips under 6f (all codes): 5.7% from 210.
Topanoora (IRE)20% · 1–5
Progeny have won 8.9% of 1,524 runs since 2005 (169 horses). Strongest on Good to Firm going: 12.5% from 216. Weakest on Heavy going: 5.6% from 267.
Turtle Island (IRE)0% · 0–3
Progeny have won 7.2% of 4,433 runs since 2005 (388 horses). Weakest on Standard (AW) going: 3.4% from 175.
Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2005, as at 22 Oct 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.
The record
latest 50 of 51 · newest first
The latest 50 of 51 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 10 January 2005 to 24 October 2005.
Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).
Quick answers
What is L G Cottrell's strike rate?
L G Cottrell has won 4 of 51 runners in 2005, a strike rate of 7.8% (as at 22 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive. Our archive begins in 2005, so anything earlier is not counted.
What is L G Cottrell's Fair A/E?
1.15, from 51 runners with a computed fair probability in 2005. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.
L G Cottrell·SR 7.8%·A/E 1.15
KTB
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