Skip to content
Trainer profile

Lawrence Walshe

138 runners in the lifetime window · 26 individual horses
As at 7 Nov 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily
Last runner 2 days ago
Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2008→)
from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it
3–138
Wins / Runs
2.2%
Strike rate
n=138
8 (6%)
Placed
0.70
Fair A/E
n=138 · 0.52 incl. margin
−108.00
£1 level stake
n=138 at SP · −78.3%
£30,845
Prize money (window)
Strike by season
0%
KTB Yard Profile

Sends out around 10 runners a season, winning with 2% of them — a touch below the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 0.70).

Deterministic profile computed from 138 archived runs (lifetime window) · updated 7 Nov 2026
KTB at a glance Claiming riders: 2.3%

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 2.2% baseline
Fresh · 61+ days off
0%−2.2
n=30 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −30.00
New recruits · first run for the yard
0%−2.2
n=8 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −8.00
Debutants · first career start
0%−2.2
n=17 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −17.00
First-time headgear · true-first definition
0%−2.2
n=15 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −15.00
Headgear returns · back on after a bare run
0%−2.2
n=11 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −11.00
When favourite
0%
n=2 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −2.00
Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle
2.3%+0.1
n=86 · A/E 0.82 · £1 −65.00
Group / Graded races · pattern & listed
0%−2.2
n=1 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −1.00

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 2.2% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races. The same beliefs, tested across every yard and every GB and Irish race since 2005: Racing myths.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline
With horses switching code 6.7% vs 2.2% · n=30
Off a 15-30-day break 5% vs 2.2% · n=40
On Heavy going 4.9% vs 2.2% · n=41
On Soft going 0% vs 2.2% · n=42
Off a 31-60-day break 0% vs 2.2% · n=30
With a new jockey booking 1.2% vs 2.2% · n=83 · A/E 0.51
Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1
Hurdle 81 2 2.5% −60.00
Flat 24 1 4.2% −15.00
NH Flat 23 0 0% −23.00
Chase 10 0 0% −10.00

Going

GoingRWSR£1
Soft 42 0 0% −42.00
Heavy 41 2 4.9% −28.00
Good 24 0 0% −24.00
Good to Firm 12 1 8.3% +5.00
Good to Soft 10 0 0% −10.00
Firm 5 0 0% −5.00
Standard (AW) 4 0 0% −4.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1
Limerick 25 0 0% −25.00
Cork 22 2 9.1% −9.00
Clonmel 15 0 0% −15.00
Listowel 13 0 0% −13.00
Tramore 9 0 0% −9.00
Gowran Park 7 0 0% −7.00
Killarney 6 0 0% −6.00
Thurles 5 0 0% −5.00
Dundalk (AW) 4 0 0% −4.00
Tipperary 4 0 0% −4.00
Navan 4 0 0% −4.00
Punchestown 3 0 0% −3.00
Ballinrobe 3 0 0% −3.00
Wexford 3 0 0% −3.00
Leopardstown 2 0 0% −2.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1
Favourite 2 0 0% 0.00 −2.00
2nd–3rd fav 3 2 66.7% 5.67 +10.00
4th–6th fav 16 1 6.3% 1.10 +1.00
7th+ in betting 117 0 0% 0.00 −117.00
Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Jumping record

completion over obstacles · same window as header
76.9% completed · 91 obstacle runners (chases & hurdles)
CodeRCompFURPUBDOth
Chase 10 60% 1 1 2 0 0
Hurdle 81 79% 2 4 10 1 0
Chases and hurdles only — bumpers have no obstacles, so completion is not a question there. F fell · UR unseated rider · PU pulled up · BD brought down · Oth covers refusals, slip-ups, run-outs and the rare disqualification. Non-runners are excluded throughout. Rows under n=30 are shown faded. A descriptive record, not a tip.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first
HorseRWPlLast ran
Jerry's Agent (IRE)from John Balding 23 2 4 23 Apr 12
Play The Wing (GB) 15 0 0 4 Jun 12
Last Hassle (IRE)from Thomas P O'Connor 11 0 0 15 Aug 13
Annie's Dream (IRE)from T Hogan · then Peter McCreery 10 1 3 28 Sep 08
Pharoh's Witness (IRE) 8 0 0 12 Aug 11
Somethinglikethat (IRE) 6 0 0 17 Aug 13
Harrier Reef (IRE) 6 0 0 16 Jun 12
Ptolemaeus (GB)from Tracey Collins 6 0 1 28 Dec 09
Alluvium (GB)from A Fabre 5 0 0 2 Feb 12
Creggaun Present (IRE) 5 0 0 3 Aug 09
Theregoesthetruth (IRE)then Henry Oliver 4 0 0 19 Aug 12
Selene Moon (IRE)then John Patrick Ryan 4 0 0 22 Feb 12
All 26 horses sent out in this window. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.
Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 26 horses listed, 9 arrived from another yard in our archive; 17 had their first archived run for this yard.

4 have since run for another yard; 22 have no later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

Current form

significance-gated

Last 14 days

Small sample
0 from 2
Only 2 runners in the last 14 days — too few to read against the baseline (gate: n≥15). The card states the sample and stays neutral.

When the yard fires

strike by month, lifetime
JFMAMJJASOND
0012000800000
A jumps yard: the season runs Oct–Apr. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first
RiderRWSR£1
Robert Jones 19 0 0% −19.00
B J Cooper 14 1 7.1% +3.00
Chris Hayes 11 1 9.1% −2.00
Phillip Enright 9 1 11.1% −5.00
Sean Flanagan 8 0 0% −8.00
Mr M A Ahern 7 0 0% −7.00
Mr J C Barry 7 0 0% −7.00
John Cullen 6 0 0% −6.00
J R Barry 4 0 0% −4.00
Rory Cleary 4 0 0% −4.00
John Aherne 4 0 0% −4.00
Joseph Holly 3 0 0% −3.00
Muted rows are under 30 rides.

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2007→
3
Archived wins
£30,845
Prize money
2010
Best season · 2 wins
This card is the full archive census (2005→); the statistics in the header aggregate from 2008 — the floor that guarantees every horse a complete captured career — so this card can legitimately show more wins than the header.
Jerry's Agent (IRE) — Elizabeth Jenkinson Memorial Novice Hurdle Bellewstown · Jul 2010
£7,590
Jerry's Agent (IRE) — Dromahane Maiden Hurdle Cork · Mar 2010
£7,245
Annie's Dream (IRE) — Macroom Handicap (45-60) Cork · Mar 2008
£5,874
Notable horses
Jerry's Agent (IRE) Annie's Dream (IRE)

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip
Imperial Ballet (IRE) 8.7% · 2–23
Progeny have won 7.2% of 1,342 runs since 2008 (99 horses). Strongest on Standard (AW) going: 10.2% from 245. Strongest at trips under 6f (all codes): 12% from 150.
Bob Back (USA) 0% · 0–15
Progeny have won 11.8% of 3,724 runs since 2008 (338 horses).
Heron Island (IRE) 0% · 0–11
Progeny have won 11.2% of 2,819 runs since 2008 (317 horses). Strongest on Good to Firm going: 14.2% from 162.
Flemensfirth (USA) 0% · 0–10
Progeny have won 11.9% of 17,288 runs since 2008 (1,595 horses).
Lahib (USA) 10% · 1–10
Progeny have won 7.6% of 1,699 runs since 2008 (176 horses).
Witness Box (USA) 0% · 0–8
Progeny have won 9.1% of 2,675 runs since 2008 (194 horses). Weakest on Good to Firm going: 4% from 173.
Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 7 Nov 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 139 · newest first

The latest 50 of 139 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 16 December 2007 to 5 November 2026.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP
05 Nov 26 Clonmel (IRE) Sea Swirl (IRE)J: John Aherne Irish Stallion Farms EBF Maiden Hurdle19.5f · Good · 12 ran 6th 300/1
01 Nov 26 Cork (IRE) Cerulean Summer (IRE)J: John Aherne Paddy Power 'Did You Watch The Breeders Cup At All?' Mares Maiden Hurdle16f · Good To Yielding · 19 ran PU 150/1
18 Oct 26 Limerick (IRE) Cerulean Summer (IRE)J: John Aherne PwC Mares Maiden Hurdle16.5f · Good To Yielding · 7 ran 7th 150/1
08 Oct 26 Tramore (IRE) Sea Swirl (IRE)J: Ms Emily O'Regan Copper Coast (Ladies Pro/Am) Flat Race16f · Yielding · 8 ran 8th 200/1
04 Oct 26 Killarney (IRE) Cerulean Summer (IRE)J: John Aherne Irish Stallion Farms EBF Mares Maiden Hurdle17f · Good · 8 ran 7th 125/1
17 Aug 13 Tramore Somethinglikethat (IRE)J: John Cullen Style Evening At Tramore Races Mares Maiden Hurdle21f · Good · 15 ran 10th 33/1
15 Aug 13 Tramore Last Hassle (IRE)J: Sean Flanagan Sunnybank Hotel Beginners Chase16f · Good · 13 ran 10th 33/1
07 Jul 13 Limerick Last Hassle (IRE)J: John Cullen limerickraces.ie Mares Beginners Chase17f · Good To Firm · 16 ran 12th 33/1
07 Jul 13 Limerick Somethinglikethat (IRE)J: John Cullen 20,000 Tote Placepot Guarantee Maiden Hurdle16f · Good To Firm · 18 ran 7th 100/1
14 Jun 13 Clonmel Last Hassle (IRE)J: John Cullen 'Give Blood Give Life' Handicap Hurdle (80-95)16.5f · Soft · 15 ran 11th 25/1
14 Jun 13 Clonmel Somethinglikethat (IRE)J: John Cullen Mr Mister Menswear Maiden Hurdle16.5f · Yielding · 18 ran 12th 80/1
23 Jan 13 Limerick Somethinglikethat (IRE)J: Brian O'Connell Irish Stallion Farms E.B.F. Mares Maiden Hurdle19f · Heavy · 14 ran 10th 50/1
29 Dec 12 Limerick Grange Queen (IRE)J: Sean Flanagan Online Booking Mares Maiden Hurdle18f · Heavy · 14 ran 11th 40/1
27 Dec 12 Limerick Somethinglikethat (IRE)J: Robert Jones Roches Feeds Maiden Hurdle16f · Heavy · 16 ran 8th 33/1
09 Dec 12 Cork Grange Queen (IRE)J: Sean Flanagan Corkracecourse.ie Maiden Hurdle16f · Soft · 24 ran 16th 40/1
22 Oct 12 Tipperary Somethinglikethat (IRE)J: Robert Jones Join The Tipperary Supporter's Club 2013 Maiden Hurdle16f · Heavy · 12 ran PU 25/1
12 Oct 12 Tramore Last Hassle (IRE)J: Sean Flanagan Follow Tramore Races On Facebook Mares Beginners Chase16f · Soft · 10 ran 8th 33/1
30 Aug 12 Killarney Last Hassle (IRE)J: Sean Flanagan Diarmuid Cronin Electrical Mares Beginners Chase17f · Soft · 8 ran PU 25/1
19 Aug 12 Tramore Theregoesthetruth (IRE)J: Brian O'Connell Family Fun Day At Tramore Races Maiden Hurdle16f · Heavy · 14 ran 8th 50/1
06 Aug 12 Cork Theregoesthetruth (IRE)J: Sean Flanagan Family Day Out Maiden Hurdle16f · Yielding To Soft · 22 ran F 66/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is Lawrence Walshe's strike rate?
Lawrence Walshe has won 3 of 138 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 2.2% (as at 7 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Is Lawrence Walshe in form?
Too few runners in the last 14 days to read — 2 runners, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.
What is Lawrence Walshe's Fair A/E?
0.70, from 138 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%". Three sample sizes are reported and never blended: runs (n), the ROI basis (n at SP), and the fair-A/E basis (n with a computed fair probability).

Strike rate is wins over all runs (n). ROI is £1 level stakes at SP over runs with a parseable price (n at SP). Fair A/E is wins over margin-stripped market expectation, over runs with a computed fair probability (n fair). The three Ns can legitimately differ and are always shown. Figures as at 7 November 2026, computed from our own results archive (2005 onwards; aggregates from 2008).