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Trainer profile

Liam Kenny

194 runners in the lifetime window · 43 individual horses
As at 3 Nov 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily
Last runner Nov 2025 97% of runners over jumps
Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2008→)
from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it
19–194
Wins / Runs
9.8%
Strike rate
n=194
53 (27%)
Placed
1.22
Fair A/E
n=193 · 0.99 incl. margin
+45.20
£1 level stake
n=194 at SP · +23.3%
£261k
Prize money (window)
Strike by season
11.8%
KTB Yard Profile

Sends out around 10 runners a season, almost all over hurdles and fences, winning with 10% of them — beating the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 1.22).

Deterministic profile computed from 194 archived runs (lifetime window) · updated 3 Nov 2026
The read

Horses returning fresh after 61+ days have been a poor signal at 4% (n=50, Fair A/E 0.27). Runners with a claiming rider up are the standout value angle: 9.4% strikes only just below baseline, but Fair A/E 1.30 and +82.00 to a £1 stake over 106 runners — a record the market has persistently underpriced. The yard also reads well off a 15-30-day break (18%, n=61) and over 2m5f – 3m (15.5%, n=58). The record reads poorly off a break of 180+ days — 3.2% over 31 runners, 6.6pts below the baseline. 2 Group and Graded wins sit in the archive record — the biggest prize the yard has landed: the LiveScore Bet Mares' Novices' Hurdle at Doncaster (Mar 2025, £22,780). The stable star of the record: World Of Fortunes (IRE) — 6 wins from 13 runs for the yard.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 9.8% baseline
Fresh · 61+ days off
4%−5.8
n=50 · A/E 0.27 · £1 +20.25
New recruits · first run for the yard
0%−9.8
n=10 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −10.00
Debutants · first career start
6.5%−3.3
n=31 · A/E 1.41 · £1 +18.00
First-time headgear · true-first definition
0%−9.8
n=12 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −12.00
Headgear returns · back on after a bare run
50%+40.2
n=2 · A/E 4.91 · £1 +5.00
When favourite
28.6%
n=7 · A/E 0.83 · £1 −1.55
Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle
9.4%−0.4
n=106 · A/E 1.30 · £1 +82.00
Group / Graded races · pattern & listed
20%+10.2
n=10 · A/E 1.45 · £1 −4.55

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 9.8% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races. The same beliefs, tested across every yard and every GB and Irish race since 2005: Racing myths.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline
Off a 15-30-day break 18% vs 9.8% · n=61
Over 2m5f – 3m 15.5% vs 9.8% · n=58
Off a break of 180+ days 3.2% vs 9.8% · n=31
Over 2m1f – 2m4f 6.5% vs 9.8% · n=77
On Soft going 6.5% vs 9.8% · n=62
With debutants 6.5% vs 9.8% · n=31
Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1
Hurdle 80 8 10% −27.80
Chase 68 6 8.8% +42.00
NH Flat 40 5 12.5% +37.00
Flat 6 0 0% −6.00

Going

GoingRWSR£1
Soft 62 4 6.5% −8.00
Good 45 5 11.1% −19.25
Heavy 42 4 9.5% +66.00
Good to Soft 28 6 21.4% +23.45
Good to Firm 12 0 0% −12.00
Firm 5 0 0% −5.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1
Punchestown 26 1 3.8% −11.00
Limerick 16 4 25% +36.25
Fairyhouse 15 1 6.7% −4.00
Wexford 14 0 0% −14.00
Gowran Park 14 0 0% −14.00
Kilbeggan 12 2 16.7% +5.00
Tramore 11 1 9.1% +4.00
Wexford 10 4 40% +17.75
Cork 10 1 10% +5.00
Navan 9 0 0% −9.00
Downpatrick 7 0 0% −7.00
Roscommon 7 0 0% −7.00
Thurles 6 1 16.7% +61.00
Clonmel 5 0 0% −5.00
Tipperary 5 0 0% −5.00

Class

ClassRWSR£1
Class 1 10 2 20% −4.55
Class 2 2 0 0% −2.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1
Favourite 9 2 22.2% 0.73 −3.55
2nd–3rd fav 41 7 17.1% 1.23 −1.25
4th–6th fav 55 6 10.9% 1.59 +8.00
7th+ in betting 89 4 4.5% 1.17 +42.00
Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Jumping record

completion over obstacles · same window as header
82.4% completed · 148 obstacle runners (chases & hurdles)
CodeRCompFURPUBDOth
Chase 68 72.1% 6 2 10 0 1
Hurdle 80 91.3% 2 0 3 1 1
Chases and hurdles only — bumpers have no obstacles, so completion is not a question there. F fell · UR unseated rider · PU pulled up · BD brought down · Oth covers refusals, slip-ups, run-outs and the rare disqualification. Non-runners are excluded throughout. Rows under n=30 are shown faded. A descriptive record, not a tip.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first
HorseRWPlLast ran
Galant Ferns (IRE) 23 5 10 3 Feb 13
That Beats Banaher (GB)then Mike Hammond 16 0 3 18 Aug 12
A Rated (IRE) 14 2 5 4 May 24
World Of Fortunes (IRE)then James William Kenny 13 6 8 18 Oct 25
Rapid Artist (IRE) 13 1 2 21 Dec 11
Amy's Song (IRE)from Mrs Helen Sheehy 11 1 4 22 May 11
Sadie's Pride (IRE) 10 2 3 18 Feb 23
Catching Coins (IRE) 9 1 2 12 Sep 10
Burru (IRE)from Bernard Martin Crowley · then Bernard Martin Crowley 7 0 3 2 Nov 25
Twin Joy (GB)from C A Murphy 7 0 2 1 Apr 13
Optic Measure (IRE)from David Marnane · then Michael Winters 6 0 1 9 Apr 13
Session Or Ression (IRE)then Miss Rose Grissell 6 0 0 10 May 10
All 43 horses sent out in this window. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.
Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 43 horses listed, 11 arrived from another yard in our archive, most often from Mrs Helen Sheehy (2); 32 had their first archived run for this yard.

15 have since run for another yard; 28 have no later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

When the yard fires

strike by month, lifetime
JFMAMJJASOND
106101012150132710013
A jumps yard: the season runs Oct–Apr. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first
RiderRWSR£1
Brian O'Connell 27 3 11.1% +57.50
Mr J W Kenny 16 4 25% +34.00
Mr B O'Neill 12 4 33.3% +49.50
Jordan Gainford 12 3 25% −2.00
Sean Flanagan 10 0 0% −10.00
Mark Walsh 8 0 0% −8.00
Mr C Motherway 7 0 0% −7.00
Shane Jackson 6 0 0% −6.00
Mr J J Codd 6 0 0% −6.00
Richard Deegan 5 0 0% −5.00
B J Cooper 5 2 40% +13.00
M P Fogarty 5 0 0% −5.00
Muted rows are under 30 rides.

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2007→
21
Archived wins
2
Pattern / graded wins
£276k
Prize money
2024
Best season · 3 wins
This card is the full archive census (2005→); the statistics in the header aggregate from 2008 — the floor that guarantees every horse a complete captured career — so this card can legitimately show more wins than the header.
World Of Fortunes (IRE) — LiveScore Bet Mares' Novices' Hurdle (Listed) (GBB Race) Doncaster · Mar 2025 · Listed
£22,780
Galant Ferns (IRE) — Kevin McManus Bookmaker (Pro-Am) Flat Race Limerick · Apr 2008
£19,530
World Of Fortunes (IRE) — Irish Stallion Farms EBF Mares Handicap Hurdle Ballinrobe · Sep 2025
£15,340
Notable horses
World Of Fortunes (IRE) Galant Ferns (IRE) A Rated (IRE) Sadie's Pride (IRE) Maibet (IRE) Amy's Song (IRE)

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip
Bob Back (USA) 21.7% · 5–23
Progeny have won 11.8% of 3,724 runs since 2008 (338 horses).
Beat All (USA) 0% · 0–16
Progeny have won 7% of 2,513 runs since 2008 (254 horses). Strongest on Good to Firm going: 11.6% from 320. Weakest on Heavy going: 3.6% from 192. Strongest over 1m – 1m1f (all codes): 12.5% from 120.
Flemensfirth (USA) 14.3% · 2–14
Progeny have won 11.8% of 17,285 runs since 2008 (1,595 horses).
Rudimentary (USA) 7.7% · 1–13
Progeny have won 9.2% of 2,114 runs since 2008 (201 horses).
Soldier of Fortune (IRE) 46.2% · 6–13
Progeny have won 11.3% of 5,870 runs since 2013 (684 horses). Weakest on Standard (AW) going: 6.5% from 336. Weakest over 1m – 1m1f (all codes): 3.2% from 249.
Taipan (IRE) 9.1% · 1–11
Progeny have won 9.5% of 1,212 runs since 2008 (128 horses). Strongest on Good to Soft going: 12.6% from 159. Weakest beyond 3m (all codes): 6% from 133.
Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 3 Nov 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 207 · newest first

The latest 50 of 207 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 7 September 2007 to 2 November 2025.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP
02 Nov 25 Cork Burru (IRE)J: Jordan Gainford Daniel And Orma O'Keeffe Handicap Hurdle20f · Yielding · 15 ran PU 7/1
18 Oct 25 Limerick World Of Fortunes (IRE)J: Jordan Gainford Irish Stallion Farms EBF Cailin Alainn Mares Hurdle (Listed)23f · Good To Yielding · 5 ran 2nd 2/1
14 Oct 25 Punchestown Burru (IRE)J: Eoin Staples William Hill Each Way Extra Challenge Series Handicap Hurdle23f · Good To Yielding · 17 ran 8th 9/1
25 Sep 25 Listowel Burru (IRE)J: Mr R Sugrue Behans Horseshoe Bar, Restaurant & Townhouse Handicap Hurdle20f · Good To Yielding · 17 ran 3rd 10/1
12 Sep 25 Ballinrobe World Of Fortunes (IRE)J: Tiernan Power Roche Irish Stallion Farms EBF Mares Handicap Hurdle22f · Soft · 9 ran 1st 6/1
29 Aug 25 Down Royal Burru (IRE)J: Mr R Sugrue Dale Farm Dromona Handicap Hurdle17.5f · Good To Firm · 13 ran 6th 8/1
17 Aug 25 Tramore World Of Fortunes (IRE)J: Jordan Gainford Victoria House Tramore Mares Beginners Chase22f · Good · 8 ran PU 13/8F
05 Aug 25 Roscommon Burru (IRE)J: Mr R Sugrue Kepak Handicap Chase (0-100)21.5f · Yielding · 16 ran 3rd 8/1
04 Jul 25 Wexford Burru (IRE)J: Mr R Sugrue Molloy Metal Recycling Handicap Chase (0-100)19.5f · Good · 16 ran 13th 10/3
09 Jun 25 Roscommon Burru (IRE)J: Mr R Sugrue Racing Here Again On The 1st July (Q.R.) Handicap Chase (0-100)25f · Good · 14 ran 2nd 4/1F
22 Apr 25 Fairyhouse Sparrow Wings (IRE)J: Jordan Gainford Tom Quinlan Electrical Maiden Hurdle20f · Soft · 24 ran 15th 200/1
20 Apr 25 Fairyhouse World Of Fortunes (IRE)J: Jordan Gainford Irish Stallion Farms EBF Honeysuckle Mares Novice Hurdle (Grade 1)20f · Soft To Heavy · 14 ran 8th 16/1
22 Mar 25 Navan Sparrow Wings (IRE)J: Richard Deegan Mongey Communications Maiden Hurdle (Div 1)16f · Soft · 18 ran 15th 250/1
08 Mar 25 Gowran Park Sparrow Wings (IRE)J: Jordan Gainford Golf Classics At Gowran Park Maiden Hurdle16f · Soft · 20 ran 11th 250/1
01 Mar 25 Doncaster World Of Fortunes (IRE)J: Brian Hughes LiveScore Bet Mares' Novices' Hurdle (Listed) (GBB Race)Class 1 · 24.5f · Good To Soft · 8 ran 1st 6/5F
23 Feb 25 Naas Sparrow Wings (IRE)J: Richard Deegan Lily & Wild At The Post Maiden Hurdle15.5f · Heavy · 20 ran 19th 150/1
01 Feb 25 Leopardstown World Of Fortunes (IRE)J: Jordan Gainford Nathaniel Lacy & Partners Solicitors Novice Hurdle (Grade 1)22f · Soft · 12 ran 6th 22/1
29 Dec 24 Leopardstown World Of Fortunes (IRE)J: Jordan Gainford Beat The Bank.ie Irish EBF Mares Hurdle (Fillies' And Mares' Grade 3)20f · Good To Yielding · 8 ran 4th 5/1
19 Oct 24 Limerick World Of Fortunes (IRE)J: Jordan Gainford Focus Capital Novice Hurdle (Listed)21f · Good · 8 ran 1st 9/4F
22 Sep 24 Listowel World Of Fortunes (IRE)J: Jordan Gainford Cheesestrings Irish EBF Mares Hurdle20f · Good · 6 ran 1st 5/2

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is Liam Kenny's strike rate?
Liam Kenny has won 19 of 194 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 9.8% (as at 3 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
What is Liam Kenny's Fair A/E?
1.22, from 193 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%". Three sample sizes are reported and never blended: runs (n), the ROI basis (n at SP), and the fair-A/E basis (n with a computed fair probability).

Strike rate is wins over all runs (n). ROI is £1 level stakes at SP over runs with a parseable price (n at SP). Fair A/E is wins over margin-stripped market expectation, over runs with a computed fair probability (n fair). The three Ns can legitimately differ and are always shown. Figures as at 3 November 2026, computed from our own results archive (2005 onwards; aggregates from 2008).