Linda Blackford
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%".
Sends out around 30 runners a season, almost all over hurdles and fences, winning with 4% of them — a touch below the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 0.66).
The market has consistently overbet horses returning fresh after 61+ days: 3.3% strike, Fair A/E 0.70 and −69.00 to a £1 stake over 122 runners — those runners underperform what the price implies. Sean Houlihan rides 20% of the entries and matches the yard's average almost exactly (2.1%, A/E 0.40). The yard also reads well on Heavy going (7.4%, n=54) and off a 8-14-day break (7.5%, n=40). The market has consistently overbet the yard on Good to Soft going: Fair A/E 0.26 across 91 runners (1.1% strike, −57.00 to a £1 stake) — runners there underperform what the price implies.
Yard patterns
the angles behind the record · vs 3.9% baselineEach tile is the record in that situation vs the 3.9% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races. The same beliefs, tested across every yard and every GB and Irish race since 2005: Racing myths.
Notable angles
vs their own baselineRecord by conditions
same window as headerRace type
Going
Courses
Class
Market position
Distance
By season
Handicaps
Field size
Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.
Jumping record
completion over obstacles · same window as headerHorses trained
same window as header · most-raced firstCurrent form
significance-gatedLast 14 days
Small sampleWhen the yard fires
strike by month, lifetimeJockey bookings
same window · biggest samples firstCareer highlights
lifetime archive, 2006→Sires in the string
progeny record · win % by ground and tripThe record
latest 50 of 500 · newest firstThe latest 50 of 500 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 15 February 2006 to 4 November 2026.
Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).
Quick answers
- What is Linda Blackford's strike rate?
- Linda Blackford has won 19 of 482 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 3.9% (as at 15 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
- Which course does Linda Blackford do best at?
- Taunton by strike rate: 3 wins from 45 runners (6.7%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
- Who rides most for Linda Blackford?
- Sean Houlihan, with 96 runners since 2008 — 20% of the total. That pairing has won 2 (2.1%).
- Is Linda Blackford in form?
- Too few runners in the last 14 days to read — 2 runners, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.
- What is Linda Blackford's Fair A/E?
- 0.66, from 482 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.