What is Mario Baratti's strike rate?

Mario Baratti has won 85 of 726 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 11.7% (as at 9 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.

Which course does Mario Baratti do best at?

Deauville by strike rate: 24 wins from 168 runners (14.3%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.

Who rides most for Mario Baratti?

C Demuro, with 336 runners since 2008 — 46% of the total. That pairing has won 42 (12.5%).

Is Mario Baratti in form?

Too few runners in the last 14 days to read — 13 runners, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.

What is Mario Baratti's Fair A/E?

1.06, from 723 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.

Trainer profile

Mario Baratti

726 runners in the lifetime window · 168 individual horses

As at 9 Nov 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily

Non-runners: 1.8% of 277 declared in the last 365 days, counting all recorded withdrawals, including reserves. For context, a typical day across all racing ends with about 6.5% withdrawn (middle half 5.3–8.1% over 364 racing days). As at 9 Nov 2026.

Won yesterday Runners today 100% of runners on the flat

Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2020→)

from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it

85–726

Wins / Runs

11.7%

Strike rate

n=726

249 (34%)

Placed

1.06

Fair A/E

n=723 · 0.90 incl. margin

−33.07

£1 level stake

n=725 at SP · −4.6%

£3.07m

Prize money (window)

Strike by season

11.5%

KTB Yard Profile

Sends out around 40 runners a season, almost all on the flat, winning with 12% of them — beating the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 1.06).

Deterministic profile computed from 726 archived runs (lifetime window) · updated 9 Nov 2026

KTB at a glance Fires Aug–Sep Fresh horses: 13% 34.2% when favourite C Demuro: 12.5% from 336 Sends off the favourite in 10% of races

The read

Runners with a claiming rider up have been a poor signal at 4.8% (n=42, Fair A/E 0.68). Horses returning fresh after 61+ days are the standout value angle: 13% strikes only just above baseline, but Fair A/E 1.20 and +22.30 to a £1 stake over 162 runners — a record the market has persistently underpriced. C Demuro rides 46% of the entries and matches the yard's average almost exactly (12.5%, A/E 1.04) — the partnership beats the margin-free market read. The yard also reads well on Good going (17.2%, n=64). The record reads poorly in Class 1 — 7.6% over 172 runners, 4.1pts below the baseline. 13 Group and Graded wins sit in the archive record — the biggest prize the yard has landed: the Emirates Poule d'Essai des Poulains at Longchamp (FR) (May 2024, £322,965). Seasonally, the yard fires Aug–Sep.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 11.7% baseline

Fresh · 61+ days off

13%+1.3

n=162 · A/E 1.20 · £1 +22.30

New recruits · first run for the yard

10%−1.7

n=40 · A/E 1.03 · £1 +1.40

Debutants · first career start

9.4%−2.3

n=128 · A/E 0.98 · £1 −22.70

First-time headgear · true-first definition

9.3%−2.4

n=86 · A/E 1.02 · £1 −22.10

Headgear returns · back on after a bare run

6.3%−5.4

n=16 · A/E 0.46 · £1 −10.70

When favourite

34.2%

n=73 · A/E 1.24 · £1 +6.86

Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle

4.8%−6.9

n=42 · A/E 0.68 · £1 −0.50

Group / Graded races · pattern & listed

7.8%−3.9

n=166 · A/E 1.00 · £1 −5.60

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 11.7% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races. The same beliefs, tested across every yard and every GB and Irish race since 2005: Racing myths.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline

With C&D winners 4.5% vs 11.7% · n=66

With claiming riders up 4.8% vs 11.7% · n=42

With A Pouchin 16.9% vs 11.7% · n=83

On Good going 17.2% vs 11.7% · n=64

In Class 1 7.6% vs 11.7% · n=172

In Group / Graded races 7.8% vs 11.7% · n=166

This filter uses derived form angles computed for 82.4% of the archive so far (as at 9 Nov 2026); the sample will grow as sequencing completes.

Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Going

GoingRWSR£1

Standard (AW) 231 27 11.7% −35.80

Soft 182 23 12.6% +29.75

Good to Soft 179 18 10.1% −45.74

Good 64 11 17.2% +29.20

Heavy 64 6 9.4% −4.48

Good to Firm 6 0 0% −6.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1

Chantilly 212 27 12.7% +25.90

Deauville 168 24 14.3% +16.30

Saint-Cloud 156 16 10.3% −34.85

Longchamp (FR) 108 11 10.2% −24.20

Compiegne 10 1 10% +0.00

Clairefontaine (FR) 10 0 0% −10.00

Fontainebleau (FR) 7 1 14.3% −5.09

Le Lion-D'Angers (FR) 6 1 16.7% −0.60

Toulouse (FR) 6 0 0% −6.00

Lyon Parilly (FR) 5 2 40% +0.87

Vichy (FR) 5 0 0% −5.00

Ascot 5 0 0% −5.00

Dieppe (FR) 4 0 0% −4.00

Craon (FR) 4 1 25% +1.60

Mont-De-Marsan (FR) 3 0 0% −3.00

Class

ClassRWSR£1

Class 1 172 13 7.6% −11.60

Class 2 9 1 11.1% −0.50

Class 3 6 0 0% −6.00

Class 4 3 0 0% −3.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1

Favourite 76 26 34.2% 1.25 +7.36

2nd–3rd fav 178 24 13.5% 0.84 −57.13

4th–6th fav 252 23 9.1% 1.03 −14.90

7th+ in betting 219 12 5.5% 1.47 +31.60

Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first

HorseRWPlLast ran

Starzo Fal (FR) 19 1 8 29 Dec 25

Saidi El Fal (FR) 17 4 8 10 Oct 26

Saga Timgad (FR)from F Rossi · then Marian Falk Weissmeier 17 1 7 23 Nov 21

Milad (FR) 14 1 6 10 Dec 24

Geopolitical (FR) 12 1 1 19 Oct 26

Aura (FR) 12 2 5 19 Oct 26

Rika De La Vis (FR) 12 3 4 7 Nov 25

Alhaeba (USA) 11 2 5 18 Jun 26

Gualda (IRE) 11 3 6 19 Dec 25

Spinello (FR) 11 1 5 1 May 25

Marie's Picnic (FR)from J Reynier 11 1 4 27 Oct 23

Entei (IRE)then M Rulec 11 3 6 8 Jan 22

Showing the 60 most-raced of the 168 horses sent out in this window — each ran at least 5 times. Horses with fewer runs aren't listed; search finds any horse since 2005. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.

Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 60 horses listed, 13 arrived from another yard in our archive, most often from P Bary (2); 47 had their first archived run for this yard.

13 have since run for another yard; 47 have no later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

Current form

significance-gated

Last 14 days

Small sample

1 from 13

Only 13 runners in the last 14 days — too few to read against the baseline (gate: n≥15). The card states the sample and stays neutral.

When the yard fires

strike by month, lifetime

JFMAMJJASOND

121671012121215199105

A flat yard: the season runs Mar–Oct. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first

Go-to riderC Demuro

46% of all rides
12.5% SR · A/E 1.04

RiderRWSR£1

C Demuro 336 42 12.5% −32.45

A Pouchin 83 14 16.9% +43.80

Maxime Guyon 55 9 16.4% −4.70

Rosario Mangione 32 3 9.4% +21.10

Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2020→

Archived wins

Pattern / graded wins

£3.06m

Prize money

2026

Best season · 28 wins

Metropolitan (FR) — Emirates Poule d'Essai des Poulains (3yo Colts) (Grande Course) (Turf) Longchamp (FR) · May 2024 · Group 1

£322,965

Rubis Vendome (GB) — Prix du Lys Longines (3yo) (Turf) Chantilly (FR) · Jun 2023 · Group 3

£35,398

Misunderstood (FR) — Prix des Chenes (2yo Colts & Geldings) (Grande Course) (Turf) Longchamp (FR) · Sep 2024 · Group 3

£34,783

Notable horses

Saidi El Fal (FR) Rika De La Vis (FR) Gualda (IRE) Entei (IRE) Metropolitan (FR) Aura (FR)

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip

Starspangledbanner (AUS) 5.6% · 2–36

Progeny have won 11.1% of 7,226 runs since 2014 (664 horses). Strongest at trips under 6f (all codes): 14.6% from 1,199.

Hello Youmzain (FR) 17.2% · 5–29

Progeny have won 10.2% of 1,041 runs since 2024 (165 horses).

Zelzal (FR) 22.2% · 6–27

Progeny have won 9.5% of 1,738 runs since 2021 (242 horses). Strongest on Heavy going: 14.8% from 108.

Lope De Vega (IRE) 15.4% · 4–26

Progeny have won 13.8% of 12,235 runs since 2014 (1,110 horses). Weakest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 9.4% from 960.

Goken (FR) 9.5% · 2–21

Progeny have won 9.6% of 2,110 runs since 2020 (248 horses). Strongest on Good going: 12.7% from 245. Strongest at trips under 6f (all codes): 15% from 200.

Havana Gold (IRE) 4.8% · 1–21

Progeny have won 9.5% of 5,064 runs since 2017 (402 horses). Weakest on Heavy going: 4.2% from 118. Strongest at trips under 6f (all codes): 13% from 523. Weakest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 6.2% from 177.

Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 9 Nov 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 725 · newest first

The latest 50 of 725 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 28 February 2020 to 9 November 2026.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP

09 Nov 26 Chantilly (FR) Gafara (FR)J: Pierre-Charles Boudot Prix De Troissy8f · Standard · 5 ran 2nd 4/1

08 Nov 26 Saint-Cloud (FR) Etincelle (GB)J: Clement Lecoeuvre Prix Tantieme8f · Heavy · 8 ran 1st 8/1

08 Nov 26 Saint-Cloud (FR) Pasaban (IRE)J: Clement Lecoeuvre Prix Douve7.5f · Heavy · 11 ran 3rd 8/1

08 Nov 26 Saint-Cloud (FR) Riscal (FR)J: Maxime Guyon Prix Herod7f · Heavy · 8 ran 8th 8/1

06 Nov 26 Deauville (FR) Wild Pacific (IRE)J: Pierre-Charles Boudot Prix De Voltaire6.5f · Standard · 11 ran 11th 6/1

05 Nov 26 Chantilly (FR) Nebulae (FR)J: Pierre-Charles Boudot Prix Du Domaine De Valgenceuse8f · Standard · 14 ran 14th 11/2

02 Nov 26 Fontainebleau (FR) Inju (GB)J: Clement Lecoeuvre Prix CeresClass 1 · 7f · Soft · 12 ran 10th 10/1

31 Oct 26 Deauville (FR) Ritmica (GB)J: Maxime Guyon Prix Du Plateau De La Madrie9.5f · Standard · 12 ran 9th 13/8F

31 Oct 26 Deauville (FR) Roszal (FR)J: Maxime Guyon Prix ZeddaanClass 1 · 7f · Standard · 7 ran 2nd 11/4

31 Oct 26 Deauville (FR) Palm Springs (FR)J: Clement Lecoeuvre Prix Du Pays De Bray9.5f · Standard · 16 ran 6th 14/1

30 Oct 26 Deauville (FR) Moona Fal (FR)J: Clement Lecoeuvre Prix De Saint-loyer-des-champs7f · Standard · 11 ran 10th 12/1

30 Oct 26 Deauville (FR) Jannah Belle (IRE)J: Pierre-Charles Boudot Prix De La Rocque9.5f · Standard · 13 ran 2nd 9/2

27 Oct 26 Deauville (FR) Sky Dream (FR)J: Clement Lecoeuvre Prix Omaha Beach6.5f · Standard · 15 ran 6th 16/1

26 Oct 26 Chantilly (FR) Monteille (GB)J: C Demuro Prix de Seine-et-Oise (Group 3)1 · 6f · Heavy · 18 ran 11th 14/1

26 Oct 26 Chantilly (FR) Nova Luxor (FR)J: Cristian Demuro Prix De La Route Des PrincesClass 2 · 8f · Standard · 16 ran 3rd 8/1

25 Oct 26 Saint-Cloud (FR) Marinaleda (FR)J: Clement Lecoeuvre Prix de l'ElevageClass 2 · 12.5f · Soft · 16 ran 1st 15/2

22 Oct 26 Deauville (FR) Maguelone (FR)J: Cristian Demuro Prix De Putanges9.5f · Standard · 11 ran 1st 9/2

22 Oct 26 Deauville (FR) Hello Jo (FR)J: Cristian Demuro Prix Du Chateau D'auvers-sur-oise9.5f · Standard · 6 ran 3rd 5/6F

22 Oct 26 Deauville (FR) Nebulae (FR)J: Cristian Demuro Prix De VillepeleeClass 3 · 7.5f · Standard · 14 ran 3rd 12/1

19 Oct 26 Deauville (FR) Aura (FR)J: Cristian Demuro Prix Du Marais Vernier9.5f · Standard · 16 ran 2nd 11/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is Mario Baratti's strike rate?: Mario Baratti has won 85 of 726 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 11.7% (as at 9 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does Mario Baratti do best at?: Deauville by strike rate: 24 wins from 168 runners (14.3%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Who rides most for Mario Baratti?: C Demuro, with 336 runners since 2008 — 46% of the total. That pairing has won 42 (12.5%).
Is Mario Baratti in form?: Too few runners in the last 14 days to read — 13 runners, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.
What is Mario Baratti's Fair A/E?: 1.06, from 723 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.