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Trainer profile

Michael William O'Meara

137 runners in the lifetime window · 16 individual horses
As at 5 Nov 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily
Last runner 34 days ago
Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2019→)
from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it
11–137
Wins / Runs
8%
Strike rate
n=137
34 (25%)
Placed
1.04
Fair A/E
n=137 · 0.84 incl. margin
−74.50
£1 level stake
n=137 at SP · −54.4%
£120k
Prize money (window)
Strike by season
0%
KTB Yard Profile

Sends out around 10 runners a season, winning with 8% of them — beating the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 1.04).

Deterministic profile computed from 137 archived runs (lifetime window) · updated 5 Nov 2026
The read

Runners with a claiming rider up have been a poor signal at 2.3% (n=44, Fair A/E 0.48). The yard also reads well over 1m2f – 1m4f (16.7%, n=36) and off a 15-30-day break (14.6%, n=41). The market has consistently overbet the yard over 1m – 1m1f: Fair A/E 0.73 across 50 runners (6% strike, −34.75 to a £1 stake) — runners there underperform what the price implies.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 8% baseline
Fresh · 61+ days off
3%−5.0
n=33 · A/E 0.53 · £1 −27.00
New recruits · first run for the yard
0%−8.0
n=6 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −6.00
Debutants · first career start
0%−8.0
n=10 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −10.00
First-time headgear · true-first definition
0%−8.0
n=5 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −5.00
Headgear returns · back on after a bare run
0%−8.0
n=2 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −2.00
When favourite
25%
n=8 · A/E 1.07 · £1 −0.25
Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle
2.3%−5.7
n=44 · A/E 0.48 · £1 −36.00

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 8% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races. The same beliefs, tested across every yard and every GB and Irish race since 2005: Racing myths.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline
Over 1m2f – 1m4f 16.7% vs 8% · n=36
Off a 15-30-day break 14.6% vs 8% · n=41
With claiming riders up 2.3% vs 8% · n=44
With W J Lee 11.4% vs 8% · n=35
Over 1m – 1m1f 6% vs 8% · n=50
Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1
Flat 119 10 8.4% −62.50
Hurdle 14 1 7.1% −8.00
NH Flat 4 0 0% −4.00

Going

GoingRWSR£1
Soft 42 4 9.5% −18.50
Good 40 3 7.5% −23.25
Standard (AW) 28 3 10.7% −8.00
Heavy 12 1 8.3% −9.75
Good to Soft 11 0 0% −11.00
Good to Firm 4 0 0% −4.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1
Dundalk (AW) 28 3 10.7% −8.00
Curragh 10 0 0% −10.00
Gowran Park 9 0 0% −9.00
Roscommon 8 1 12.5% −5.75
Listowel 8 1 12.5% −1.50
Cork 8 2 25% +3.50
Thurles 7 1 14.3% −1.00
Naas 7 0 0% −7.00
Limerick 7 1 14.3% −1.00
Leopardstown 7 0 0% −7.00
Killarney 6 0 0% −6.00
Clonmel 5 1 20% −1.75
Navan 5 1 20% +2.00
Ballinrobe 5 0 0% −5.00
Galway 4 0 0% −4.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1
Favourite 11 2 18.2% 0.83 −3.25
2nd–3rd fav 26 8 30.8% 2.12 +22.25
4th–6th fav 35 1 2.9% 0.37 −28.50
7th+ in betting 65 0 0% 0.00 −65.00
Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first
HorseRWPlLast ran
Bobby K (IRE)from Simon Crisford 30 3 8 23 Sep 24
Plunkett Street (GB) 28 3 10 2 Oct 26
Roman Bull (IRE) 23 2 7 25 Apr 26
Gunsight (IRE)then Michael Dods 12 0 2 24 Jun 24
Medici Pass (IRE)then Iain Jardine 8 0 1 9 Feb 24
Daisy's Hollow (IRE)then S M Duffy 7 0 0 28 Nov 19
Noble Music (GER)from Ralph Beckett · then J Reynier 6 2 4 13 Oct 20
Maymoon (IRE) 4 0 0 19 Oct 21
First Snow Moon (GB)from S Wattel 3 0 0 7 Aug 24
Foxtrot J (IRE) 3 0 0 27 Aug 23
Ethical Diamond (IRE)then W P Mullins 3 1 2 24 Jun 23
Save Your Breath (GB)then J Calderon 3 0 0 8 Oct 21
All 16 horses sent out in this window. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.
Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 16 horses listed, 6 arrived from another yard in our archive, most often from J Reynier (2); 10 had their first archived run for this yard.

6 have since run for another yard; 10 have no later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

When the yard fires

strike by month, lifetime
JFMAMJJASOND
13008014190136110
A flat yard: the season runs Mar–Oct. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first
Go-to riderW J Lee
26% of all rides
11.4% SR · A/E 0.95
RiderRWSR£1
W J Lee 35 4 11.4% −16.25
Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2019→
11
Archived wins
£120k
Prize money
2023
Best season · 3 wins
Ethical Diamond (IRE) — Panoramic Restaurant At Limerick Races Maiden Limerick · Jun 2023
£7,375
Plunkett Street (GB) — William Hill Each Way Extra Challenge Series Handicap Hurdle (Div 2) Thurles · Nov 2025
£6,785
Bobby K (IRE) — Shay Rooney Handicap (47-75) (Div 1) Listowel · Jun 2022
£6,785
Notable horses
Bobby K (IRE) Plunkett Street (GB) Roman Bull (IRE) Noble Music (GER) Ethical Diamond (IRE)

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip
Dabirsim (FR) 10% · 3–30
Progeny have won 7.4% of 4,160 runs since 2017 (448 horses). Weakest on Heavy going: 3.9% from 256. Strongest at trips under 6f (all codes): 12% from 209. Weakest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 2.8% from 145.
Territories (IRE) 10.7% · 3–28
Progeny have won 10.3% of 3,633 runs since 2020 (350 horses). Strongest on Soft going: 13.7% from 541.
Teofilo (IRE) 8.7% · 2–23
Progeny have won 12.5% of 10,085 runs since 2011 (908 horses). Weakest over 2m1f – 2m4f (all codes): 7% from 626.
Dawn Approach (IRE) 0% · 0–12
Progeny have won 8% of 3,578 runs since 2017 (359 horses). Strongest on Good to Firm going: 12.6% from 333. Strongest at trips under 6f (all codes): 12% from 125. Weakest over 2m1f – 2m4f (all codes): 5% from 180.
Sea The Moon (GER) 22.2% · 2–9
Progeny have won 12% of 4,582 runs since 2018 (504 horses). Strongest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 15% from 814.
Raven's Pass (USA) 0% · 0–8
Progeny have won 11.2% of 4,941 runs since 2012 (453 horses).
Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 5 Nov 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 137 · newest first

The latest 50 of 137 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 27 January 2019 to 2 October 2026.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP
02 Oct 26 Gowran Park (IRE) Plunkett Street (GB)J: Daniel King Paddy Monaghan 90th Birthday Handicap Hurdle20f · Good · 14 ran 13th 33/1
25 Apr 26 Navan Plunkett Street (GB)J: Ben Coen Cusack Hotel Group Family Day July 11th Handicap13f · Good To Yielding · 20 ran 14th 17/2
25 Apr 26 Navan Roman Bull (IRE)J: Wesley Joyce Future Stars Raceday 16th May Handicap10f · Good To Yielding · 23 ran 17th 33/1
08 Apr 26 Gowran Park Plunkett Street (GB)J: Seamie Heffernan Racing Again Tomorrow Handicap14f · Soft · 10 ran 7th 4/1
16 Jan 26 Dundalk (AW) Roman Bull (IRE)J: Siobhan Rutledge View Restaurant At Dundalk Stadium Handicap (0-60)12f · Standard · 13 ran 10th 22/1
11 Jan 26 Punchestown Plunkett Street (GB)J: Daniel King Albert Bartlett Triple Crown Series Qualifier Handicap Hurdle21f · Soft To Heavy · 15 ran 12th 12/1
20 Nov 25 Thurles Plunkett Street (GB)J: Daniel King William Hill Each Way Extra Challenge Series Handicap Hurdle (Div 2)20f · Yielding To Soft · 12 ran 1st 5/1
02 Nov 25 Cork Plunkett Street (GB)J: Daniel King Daniel And Orma O'Keeffe Handicap Hurdle20f · Yielding · 15 ran 2nd 11/1
16 Oct 25 Curragh Plunkett Street (GB)J: Seamie Heffernan DNG Gold Handicap14f · Yielding · 19 ran 4th 12/1
09 Oct 25 Thurles Plunkett Street (GB)J: W J Lee www.thurlesraces.ie Handicap16.5f · Good To Yielding · 12 ran 7th 10/3
22 Sep 25 Listowel Plunkett Street (GB)J: W J Lee Treo Eile Retraining Ireland's Racehorses Handicap14f · Heavy · 15 ran 2nd 6/1
10 Sep 25 Cork Roman Bull (IRE)J: Seamie Heffernan Download The William Hill App Today Handicap8f · Soft · 15 ran 14th 22/1
31 Aug 25 Tipperary Plunkett Street (GB)J: Seamie Heffernan Home & Agri Energy Handicap12.5f · Yielding · 14 ran 4th 6/1
27 May 25 Tipperary Plunkett Street (GB)J: Leigh Roche Visit Tipperary Handicap (0-60)12.5f · Yielding To Soft · 12 ran 2nd 4/1
19 Apr 25 Cork Plunkett Street (GB)J: Leigh Roche Racing Again Tomorrow Handicap (0-60)12f · Soft · 10 ran 1st 5/1
29 Nov 24 Thurles Plunkett Street (GB)J: Danny Mullins www.thurlesraces.ie Maiden Hurdle16f · Good · 10 ran 7th 12/1
21 Nov 24 Thurles Plunkett Street (GB)J: Mr P J O'Neill Sign Up To GavinLynchRacing.com (Q.R.) Maiden Hurdle16f · Good · 7 ran 3rd 18/1
10 Nov 24 Naas Plunkett Street (GB)J: Jake Coen Cavan Developments Home Builders Supporting St Marys GAA Maiden Hurdle16f · Good To Yielding · 11 ran 5th 40/1
22 Oct 24 Curragh Plunkett Street (GB)J: Leigh Roche Al Basti Equiworld Dubai Handicap (47-70) (Div 1)10f · Yielding · 20 ran 4th 7/1
09 Oct 24 Navan Plunkett Street (GB)J: Nathan Crosse Yellow Furze Handicap (47-65) (Div 1)10f · Good To Yielding · 16 ran 6th 11/4F

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is Michael William O'Meara's strike rate?
Michael William O'Meara has won 11 of 137 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 8% (as at 5 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
What is Michael William O'Meara's Fair A/E?
1.04, from 137 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%". Three sample sizes are reported and never blended: runs (n), the ROI basis (n at SP), and the fair-A/E basis (n with a computed fair probability).

Strike rate is wins over all runs (n). ROI is £1 level stakes at SP over runs with a parseable price (n at SP). Fair A/E is wins over margin-stripped market expectation, over runs with a computed fair probability (n fair). The three Ns can legitimately differ and are always shown. Figures as at 5 November 2026, computed from our own results archive (2005 onwards; aggregates from 2008).