What is Mlle M-L Mortier's strike rate?

Mlle M-L Mortier has won 36 of 454 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 7.9% (as at 12 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.

Which course does Mlle M-L Mortier do best at?

Auteuil (FR) by strike rate: 15 wins from 133 runners (11.3%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.

Who rides most for Mlle M-L Mortier?

Thomas Messina, with 79 runners since 2008 — 17% of the total. That pairing has won 5 (6.3%).

What is Mlle M-L Mortier's Fair A/E?

1.23, from 416 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.

Trainer profile

Mlle M-L Mortier

454 runners in the lifetime window · 118 individual horses

As at 12 Nov 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily

Last runner Sep 2019

Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2008→)

from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it

36–454

Wins / Runs

7.9%

Strike rate

n=454

97 (21%)

Placed

1.23

Fair A/E

n=416 · 1.06 incl. margin

+84.60

£1 level stake

n=430 at SP · +19.7%

£1.53m

Prize money (window)

Strike by season

KTB Yard Profile

Sent out around 40 runners a season, across both codes, winning with 8% of them — beating the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 1.23). Horses in first-time headgear strike at 13% (30 runs, true-first definition).

Deterministic profile computed from 454 archived runs (lifetime window) · updated 12 Nov 2026

KTB at a glance Thomas Messina: 6.3% from 79 Claiming riders: 12.5%

The read

A horse in first-time headgear has been a positive signal at 13.3% (n=30, Fair A/E 1.94), but new recruits from other stables on their first run struggle at 4.4% (n=45, Fair A/E 1.00). Thomas Messina rode 17% of the entries and matches the yard's average almost exactly (6.3%, A/E 1.15) — the partnership beats the margin-free market read. The yard also read well on Heavy going (12.1%, n=132). The record read poorly on Standard (AW) going — 1.5% over 67 runners, 6.4pts below the baseline. The market has consistently overbet the yard over 1m2f – 1m4f: Fair A/E 0.77 across 62 runners (3.2% strike, −28.70 to a £1 stake) — runners there underperformed what the price implied. 5 Group and Graded wins sit in the archive record — the biggest prize the yard has landed: the Prix Gongrass at Auteuil (FR) (Nov 2008, £66,176).

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 7.9% baseline

Fresh · 61+ days off

7.4%−0.5

n=163 · A/E 1.36 · £1 −16.40

New recruits · first run for the yard

4.4%−3.5

n=45 · A/E 1.00 · £1 −29.00

Debutants · first career start

8.5%+0.6

n=71 · A/E 1.78 · £1 +26.20

First-time headgear · true-first definition

13.3%+5.4

n=30 · A/E 1.94 · £1 +22.30

Headgear returns · back on after a bare run

0%−7.9

n=11 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −11.00

When favourite

28.6%

n=14 · A/E 1.11 · £1 −4.70

Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle

12.5%+4.6

n=80 · A/E 2.09 · £1 +39.50

Group / Graded races · pattern & listed

7.2%−0.7

n=69 · A/E 0.93 · £1 −4.80

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 7.9% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races. The same beliefs, tested across every yard and every GB and Irish race since 2005: Racing myths.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline

With Alain De Chitray 15.4% vs 7.9% · n=39

On Standard (AW) going 1.5% vs 7.9% · n=67

On Good going 2.2% vs 7.9% · n=45

On Heavy going 12.1% vs 7.9% · n=132

With claiming riders up 12.5% vs 7.9% · n=80

Over 1m2f – 1m4f 3.2% vs 7.9% · n=62

Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1

Hurdle 174 15 8.6% +21.80

Flat 172 9 5.2% −48.30

Chase 108 12 11.1% +111.10

Going

GoingRWSR£1

Soft 191 15 7.9% +90.00

Heavy 132 16 12.1% +84.40

Standard (AW) 67 1 1.5% −57.90

Good 45 1 2.2% −29.30

Good to Soft 18 3 16.7% −1.60

Good to Firm 1 0 0% −1.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1

Auteuil (FR) 133 15 11.3% +21.90

Enghien (FR) 123 11 8.9% +131.40

Deauville (FR) 52 2 3.8% +10.10

Maisons-Laffitte (FR) 33 1 3% −9.80

Chantilly (FR) 32 1 3.1% −29.00

Saint-Cloud (FR) 24 2 8.3% −6.00

Compiegne 19 2 10.5% −4.90

Longchamp (FR) 18 0 0% −17.00

Pau 4 0 0% −4.00

Fontainebleau 3 0 0% −3.00

Cagnes-Sur-Mer (FR) 2 0 0% −2.00

Clairefontaine 2 1 50% +2.90

Bordeaux Le Bouscat 2 0 0% −2.00

Le-Grand-Fougeray 1 0 0% —

Saint-Malo 1 0 0% −1.00

Class

ClassRWSR£1

Class 1 69 5 7.2% −4.80

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1

Favourite 15 4 26.7% 1.07 −5.70

2nd–3rd fav 53 8 15.1% 0.96 −6.10

4th–6th fav 93 8 8.6% 1.23 −1.30

7th+ in betting 269 11 4.1% 1.57 +97.70

Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first

HorseRWPlLast ran

Silver Valny (FR) 34 4 8 18 May 16

Ardetone (FR)from M Le Forestier 24 2 6 24 May 15

Miserable (FR)then G Lassaussaye 18 2 5 19 Apr 13

Nikogeorgio (FR) 14 2 7 25 Sep 13

Diamant De Beaufai (FR)from G Cherel · then Y Gourraud 13 2 6 10 Jun 12

Democratie (FR) 12 1 3 20 Jun 16

Obsess With Fame (IRE)from J Clais · then F-X Belvisi 11 0 2 3 Jul 16

Lake World (FR) 11 1 5 27 Nov 14

Tarabel (FR)then G Lassaussaye 11 1 6 25 Nov 12

Soft Dancer (IRE)from P Adda 10 1 2 27 Mar 19

Billy De Mohaison (FR) 10 1 1 21 Nov 12

Red Nousa (FR)then Gabriel Leenders 9 0 1 30 Apr 16

Showing the 60 most-raced of the 118 horses sent out in this window — each ran at least 2 times. Horses with fewer runs aren't listed; search finds any horse since 2005. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.

Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 60 horses listed, 25 arrived from another yard in our archive, most often from F Danloux (2) and J-P Delaporte (2); 35 had their first archived run for this yard.

21 have since run for another yard, most often for G Lassaussaye (4) and Y Gourraud (3); 39 have no later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

When the yard fires

strike by month, lifetime

JFMAMJJASOND

00935769128145

Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first

Go-to riderThomas Messina

17% of all rides
6.3% SR · A/E 1.15

RiderRWSR£1

Thomas Messina 79 5 6.3% +6.00

Alain De Chitray 39 6 15.4% +40.60

Marc Lamazou-Laresse 38 2 5.3% +54.00

Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2005→

Archived wins

Pattern / graded wins

£1.66m

Prize money

2011

Best season · 10 wins

In our archive from its very first year (2005), so this career almost certainly began earlier than our record does. The figures above count 2005 onwards only — what the archive holds, not a full-career total. This card is the full archive census (2005→); the statistics in the header aggregate from 2008 — the floor that guarantees every horse a complete captured career — so this card can legitimately show more wins than the header.

Miserable (FR) — Prix Gongrass (Chase) Auteuil (FR) · Nov 2008 · Grade 2

£66,176

Lake World (FR) — Prix Violon II (Chase) (Listed Handicap) (5yo+) (Turf) Auteuil (FR) · Sep 2011 · Listed

£40,733

Democratie (FR) — Prix Spumate (Hurdle) (Handicap) (4yo+ Fillies & Mares) (Turf) Enghien (FR) · Mar 2015

£36,628

Notable horses

Silver Valny (FR) Futura Dancer (IRE) Ardetone (FR) Miserable (FR) Nikogeorgio (FR) Diamant De Beaufai (FR)

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip

Ballingarry (IRE) 8.7% · 4–46

Progeny have won 10.4% of 2,432 runs since 2008 (309 horses). Weakest over 1m2f – 1m4f (all codes): 6.4% from 125.

Discover D'Auteuil (FR) 7.9% · 3–38

Progeny have won 10.2% of 954 runs since 2008 (87 horses). Strongest on Good to Soft going: 18.4% from 103. Weakest on Soft going: 7.1% from 408. Strongest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 13.3% from 195.

Vertical Speed (FR) 11.8% · 4–34

Progeny have won 9.1% of 784 runs since 2008 (79 horses). Strongest on Heavy going: 15.1% from 139.

Antarctique (IRE) 4.5% · 1–22

Progeny have won 12.2% of 830 runs since 2008 (87 horses). Weakest on Good going: 8.7% from 127.

Poliglote (GB) 6.3% · 1–16

Progeny have won 15.6% of 4,224 runs since 2008 (417 horses). Weakest on Standard (AW) going: 6.8% from 234. Strongest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 19% from 691. Weakest over 1m – 1m1f (all codes): 6.1% from 196.

Michel Georges (GB) 13.3% · 2–15

Progeny have won 12.4% of 266 runs since 2008 (30 horses).

Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 12 Nov 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 479 · newest first

The latest 50 of 479 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 9 March 2005 to 4 September 2019.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP

04 Sep 19 Maisons-Laffitte (FR) Danarosa (IRE)J: Jerome Claudic Prix de la Route des Pavillons (Handicap) (5yo+) (Turf)8f · Good · 11 ran 7th 9/1

02 Jul 19 Deauville (FR) Tequila Boom Boom (FR)J: Mme Coralie Pacaut Prix de Saint-Gatien des Bois (Claimer) (3yo) (All-Weather Track) (Polytrack)12.5f · Standard · 16 ran 14th 9/1

15 Jun 19 Maisons-Laffitte (FR) Tequila Boom Boom (FR)J: Mme Coralie Pacaut Prix de l'Office de Tourisme de Maisons-Laffitte (Handicap) (3yo) (Turf)12f · Good To Soft · 14 ran 12th 13/1

14 Jun 19 Auteuil (FR) Caruso Valtat (FR)J: Geoffrey Re Prix Carmont (Chase) (Claimer) (5yo+) (Turf)18.5f · Very Soft · 8 ran PU 15/2

21 May 19 Maisons-Laffitte (FR) Laucitu (FR)J: Mohammed Tabti Prix de Rolleboise (Claimer) (4yo+) (Turf)7f · Very Soft · 16 ran 15th 219/1

14 May 19 Compiegne (FR) Fourmetot (FR)J: Corentin Smeulders Prix du Morbihan (Hurdle) (Claimer) (5yo+) (Turf)19f · Very Soft · 10 ran PU 13/1

14 May 19 Compiegne (FR) Lady Enki (FR)J: Geoffrey Re Prix Pansa (Hurdle) (Conditions) (5yo+ Mares) (Turf)18f · Very Soft · 11 ran PU 38/1

01 May 19 Saint-Cloud (FR) Tequila Boom Boom (FR)J: Miss Melanie Plat Prix Penthesilee (Claimer) (Lady Amateurs) (3yo) (Turf)10.5f · Good · 8 ran 5th 18/5

27 Apr 19 Auteuil (FR) Lady Enki (FR)J: Elie Berthonnet Prix Roger Duchene Grand Prix des Jeunes Jockeys (Hdl) (Apprentice/Young Jock') (Hcap) (6yo+) (Turf)18f · Very Soft · 15 ran 12th 96/1

02 Apr 19 Compiegne (FR) Caruso Valtat (FR)J: Thomas Henderson Prix Robert Fournier Sarloveze (Hurdle) (Handicap) (5yo+) (Turf)18f · Very Soft · 18 ran 9th 22/1

27 Mar 19 Compiegne (FR) Soft Dancer (IRE)J: Florent Bayle Prix d'Abbeville (Chase) (Claimer) (5yo+) (Turf)19.5f · Very Soft · 8 ran 7th 56/10

23 Nov 18 Compiegne (FR) Soft Dancer (IRE)J: Baptiste Meme Prix des Coudraies (Chase) (Conditions) (5yo+) (Turf)19.5f · Heavy · 9 ran 5th 30/1

20 Jun 18 Maisons-Laffitte (FR) Reflet De Lune (FR)J: Cesar Passerat Prix du Rond de l'Epine (Handicap) (5yo+) (Turf)12f · Soft · 18 ran 17th 53/1

04 Jun 18 Auteuil (FR) Bayonne (FR)J: Maximilien Farcinade Prix Trinidad (Hurdle) (Handicap) (4-5yo Fillies & Mares) (Turf)17.5f · Very Soft · 14 ran 4th 13/1

15 May 18 Compiegne (FR) Soft Dancer (IRE)J: Jerome Claudic Prix du Morbihan (Claimer) (5yo+) (Turf)19f · Heavy · 10 ran 1st 15/2

05 May 18 Maisons-Laffitte (FR) Reflet De Lune (FR)J: Mlle Pauline Dominois Prix de Tarnos (Handicap) (5yo+) (Turf)12f · Good · 18 ran 10th 94/1

25 Apr 18 Maisons-Laffitte (FR) Etoile Du Bonheur (FR)J: Jerome Claudic Prix Bango (AQPS (4-5yo) (Turf)12.5f · Good · 12 ran 12th 87/1

28 Mar 18 Compiegne (FR) Soft Dancer (IRE)J: Jean-Baptiste Breton Prix d'Abbeville (Chase) (Claimer) (5yo+) (Turf)17.5f · Heavy · 8 ran 4th 16/1

20 Mar 18 Chantilly (FR) Fastnet Squall (IRE)J: Ioritz Mendizabal Prix Sagaro (Handicap) (4yo+) (Polytrack)16f · Standard · 15 ran 15th 13/1

30 Nov 17 Auteuil (FR) Soft Dancer (IRE)J: Dylan Ubeda Prix de l'Orne (Chase) (Claimer) (5yo+) (Turf)18.5f · Heavy · 9 ran 8th 20/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is Mlle M-L Mortier's strike rate?: Mlle M-L Mortier has won 36 of 454 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 7.9% (as at 12 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does Mlle M-L Mortier do best at?: Auteuil (FR) by strike rate: 15 wins from 133 runners (11.3%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Who rides most for Mlle M-L Mortier?: Thomas Messina, with 79 runners since 2008 — 17% of the total. That pairing has won 5 (6.3%).
What is Mlle M-L Mortier's Fair A/E?: 1.23, from 416 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.