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Trainer profile

Mme A-S Crombez

428 runners in the lifetime window · 60 individual horses
As at 12 Nov 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily
Last runner 356 days ago 99% of runners on the flat
from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it
27–428
Wins / Runs
6.3%
Strike rate
n=428
88 (21%)
Placed
1.06
n=428 · 0.89 incl. margin
−35.10
£1 level stake
n=428 at SP · −8.2%
£638k
Prize money (window)
Strike by season
5.7%
KTB Yard Profile

Sends out around 20 runners a season, almost all on the flat, winning with 6% of them — beating the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 1.06). New recruits from other yards win at 9% first time out (35 runs).

Deterministic profile computed from 428 archived runs (lifetime window) · updated 12 Nov 2026
KTB at a glance Fires Jan–Feb Tony Piccone: 9.2% from 65 New recruits: 8.6%
The read

The market has consistently overbet horses returning fresh after 61+ days: 4% strike, Fair A/E 0.81 and −42.00 to a £1 stake over 100 runners — those runners underperform what the price implies. Tony Piccone rides 15% of the entries and edges the yard's average (9.2% vs 6.3%, A/E 1.37) — the partnership beats the margin-free market read. The record reads poorly off a 61-180-day break — 2.4% over 85 runners, 3.9pts below the baseline. One Group or Graded win sits in the archive record — the biggest prize the yard has landed: the Prix le Fabuleux at Chantilly (FR) (Oct 2019, £24,775). Seasonally, the yard fires Jan–Feb.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 6.3% baseline
Fresh · 61+ days off
4%−2.3
n=100 · A/E 0.81 · £1 −42.00
New recruits · first run for the yard
8.6%+2.3
n=35 · A/E 1.35 · £1 −3.30
Debutants · first career start
6.9%+0.6
n=29 · A/E 1.42 · £1 +43.20
First-time headgear · true-first definition
12%+5.7
n=25 · A/E 2.54 · £1 +43.50
Headgear returns · back on after a bare run
0%−6.3
n=16 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −16.00
When favourite
6.7%
n=15 · A/E 0.29 · £1 −10.80
Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle
6.2%−0.1
n=65 · A/E 1.08 · £1 +6.90
Group / Graded races · pattern & listed
5.9%−0.4
n=17 · A/E 0.73 · £1 −5.20

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 6.3% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races. The same beliefs, tested across every yard and every GB and Irish race since 2005: Racing myths.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline
With C&D winners 12.5% vs 6.3% · n=40
Off a 61-180-day break 2.4% vs 6.3% · n=85
With Quentin Perrette 2.3% vs 6.3% · n=43
With Tony Piccone 9.2% vs 6.3% · n=65
With Stephane Pasquier 3% vs 6.3% · n=33
On Good going 3.3% vs 6.3% · n=30
Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1
Flat 424 27 6.4% −31.10
Hurdle 3 0 0% −3.00
Chase 1 0 0% −1.00

Going

GoingRWSR£1
Standard (AW) 212 12 5.7% +18.90
Good to Soft 83 7 8.4% +3.80
Soft 72 5 6.9% −24.20
Heavy 31 2 6.5% −12.30
Good 30 1 3.3% −21.30

Courses

CourseRWSR£1
Chantilly (FR) 144 10 6.9% +64.60
Deauville (FR) 133 6 4.5% −66.30
Longchamp (FR) 68 4 5.9% −18.70
Saint-Cloud (FR) 62 3 4.8% −35.50
Clairefontaine (FR) 6 0 0% −6.00
Compiegne (FR) 5 2 40% +17.60
Auteuil (FR) 2 0 0% −2.00
Fontainebleau (FR) 2 0 0% −2.00
Vichy (FR) 2 0 0% −2.00
Dieppe (FR) 1 0 0% −1.00
Maisons-Laffitte (FR) 1 1 100% +9.50
Nantes (FR) 1 0 0% −1.00
Le Touquet (FR) 1 1 100% +7.70

Class

ClassRWSR£1
Class 1 17 1 5.9% −5.20

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1
Favourite 17 1 5.9% 0.27 −12.80
2nd–3rd fav 47 6 12.8% 0.99 −11.80
4th–6th fav 87 10 11.5% 1.48 +22.90
7th+ in betting 277 10 3.6% 1.12 −33.40
Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first
HorseRWPlLast ran
Elieden (IRE)from Gay Kelleway 35 1 7 29 Sep 22
Replenish (FR)from S Cerulis 26 1 4 16 Feb 24
Rebelle Bailly (FR)from G Pannier 26 0 10 8 Mar 22
Stormy (FR)from S Cerulis 20 2 4 29 Oct 24
Baileys Blues (FR)from Mark Johnston · then J-V Toux 17 1 5 15 Aug 23
Be A Lord (FR) 15 0 6 9 Jul 25
Belladone Spirit (IRE)from J-M Baudrelle 15 1 1 10 Mar 22
Ketamine Bailly (FR) 14 0 5 24 Jan 25
Dalakhova (FR)from M Delcher Sanchez 13 1 1 14 Jan 23
Soul Of The Nation (IRE) 12 0 0 30 Dec 23
Myrka (IRE) 11 2 2 9 Sep 23
All 60 horses sent out in this window. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.
Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 60 horses listed, 31 arrived from another yard in our archive, most often from Gay Kelleway (6) and A & G Botti (3); 29 had their first archived run for this yard.

17 have since run for another yard, most often for Michael Appleby (3) and G Collet (2); 43 have no later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

When the yard fires

strike by month, lifetime
JFMAMJJASOND
13133031111531152
A flat yard: the season runs Mar–Oct. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first
Go-to riderTony Piccone
15% of all rides
9.2% SR · A/E 1.37
RiderRWSR£1
Tony Piccone 65 6 9.2% −0.30
Quentin Perrette 43 1 2.3% −32.30
Stephane Pasquier 33 1 3% −28.60
Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2019→
27
Archived wins
1
Pattern / graded wins
£638k
Prize money
2022
Best season · 7 wins
Alexander James (IRE) — Prix le Fabuleux () (3yo) (Turf) Chantilly (FR) · Oct 2019 · Listed
£24,775
Roderick (GB) — Prix du Secours Populaire (Handicap) (3yo+) (Straight Course) (Turf) Deauville (FR) · Aug 2021
£22,321
Baileys Blues (FR) — Prix du Cabinet des Livres (Handicap) (3yo+) (Turf) Chantilly (FR) · Oct 2021
£22,321

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip
Camacho (GB) 2.9% · 1–35
Progeny have won 8.1% of 9,327 runs since 2009 (596 horses).
Charm Spirit (IRE) 6.3% · 2–32
Progeny have won 9.3% of 3,839 runs since 2018 (339 horses). Strongest on Good to Firm going: 15% from 448. Weakest on Heavy going: 3.7% from 135. Strongest at trips under 6f (all codes): 13% from 446.
Cockney Rebel (IRE) 0% · 0–26
Progeny have won 8.2% of 1,864 runs since 2011 (179 horses). Strongest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 12.1% from 206.
Le Havre (IRE) 3.8% · 1–26
Progeny have won 12.4% of 5,892 runs since 2013 (750 horses). Strongest on Good to Firm going: 15.5% from 296.
Supplicant (GB) 4.5% · 1–22
Progeny have won 6.8% of 237 runs since 2019 (25 horses).
Camelot (GB) 20% · 4–20
Progeny have won 11.7% of 7,746 runs since 2017 (765 horses).
Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 12 Nov 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 428 · newest first

The latest 50 of 428 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 3 July 2019 to 21 November 2025.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is Mme A-S Crombez's strike rate?
Mme A-S Crombez has won 27 of 428 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 6.3% (as at 12 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does Mme A-S Crombez do best at?
Chantilly (FR) by strike rate: 10 wins from 144 runners (6.9%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Who rides most for Mme A-S Crombez?
Tony Piccone, with 65 runners since 2008 — 15% of the total. That pairing has won 6 (9.2%).
What is Mme A-S Crombez's Fair A/E?
1.06, from 428 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%". Three sample sizes are reported and never blended: runs (n), the ROI basis (n at SP), and the fair-A/E basis (n with a computed fair probability).

Strike rate is wins over all runs (n). ROI is £1 level stakes at SP over runs with a parseable price (n at SP). Fair A/E is wins over margin-stripped market expectation, over runs with a computed fair probability (n fair). The three Ns can legitimately differ and are always shown. Figures as at 12 November 2026, computed from our own results archive (2005 onwards; aggregates from 2008).