What is Mme Stephanie Nigge's strike rate?

Mme Stephanie Nigge has won 35 of 544 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 6.4% (as at 14 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.

Which course does Mme Stephanie Nigge do best at?

Saint-Cloud (FR) by strike rate: 7 wins from 89 runners (7.9%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.

Who rides most for Mme Stephanie Nigge?

Theo Bachelot, with 81 runners since 2008 — 15% of the total. That pairing has won 11 (13.6%).

Is Mme Stephanie Nigge in form?

Too few runners in the last 14 days to read — 5 runners, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.

What is Mme Stephanie Nigge's Fair A/E?

0.78, from 544 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.

Trainer profile

Mme Stephanie Nigge

544 runners in the lifetime window · 115 individual horses

As at 14 Nov 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily

Last runner yesterday 100% of runners on the flat

Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2020→)

from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it

35–544

Wins / Runs

6.4%

Strike rate

n=544

121 (22%)

Placed

0.78

Fair A/E

n=544 · 0.65 incl. margin

−190.50

£1 level stake

n=544 at SP · −35.0%

£1.12m

Prize money (window)

Strike by season

KTB Yard Profile

Sends out around 30 runners a season, almost all on the flat, winning with 6% of them — a touch below the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 0.78). In Group and Graded company the record reads 8% (36 runs).

Deterministic profile computed from 544 archived runs (lifetime window) · updated 14 Nov 2026

KTB at a glance 5.4% when favourite Theo Bachelot: 13.6% from 81 Sends off the favourite in 7% of races

The read

It is weakest at Chantilly (2% over 98 runners) — the widest gap in the record. A horse in first-time headgear has been a poor signal at 2.2% (n=45, Fair A/E 0.31). The market has consistently overbet runners with a claiming rider up: 4% strike, Fair A/E 0.61 and −60.10 to a £1 stake over 125 runners — those runners underperform what the price implies. Theo Bachelot rides 15% of the entries and beats the yard's average (13.6% vs 6.4%, A/E 1.24) — the partnership beats the margin-free market read. The yard also reads well on Heavy going (11.3%, n=53) and off a 8-14-day break (10%, n=40). 3 Group and Graded wins sit in the archive record — the biggest prize the yard has landed: the Prix Thomas Bryon Jockey Club de Turquie at Saint-Cloud (FR) (Oct 2020, £26,695).

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 6.4% baseline

Fresh · 61+ days off

6%−0.4

n=149 · A/E 0.76 · £1 −33.90

New recruits · first run for the yard

6.3%−0.1

n=48 · A/E 0.65 · £1 +5.70

Debutants · first career start

7.2%+0.8

n=69 · A/E 1.38 · £1 −16.60

First-time headgear · true-first definition

2.2%−4.2

n=45 · A/E 0.31 · £1 −39.70

Headgear returns · back on after a bare run

8.3%+1.9

n=12 · A/E 0.79 · £1 −7.90

When favourite

5.4%

n=37 · A/E 0.22 · £1 −31.00

Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle

4%−2.4

n=125 · A/E 0.61 · £1 −60.10

Group / Graded races · pattern & listed

8.3%+1.9

n=36 · A/E 0.79 · £1 −14.00

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 6.4% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races. The same beliefs, tested across every yard and every GB and Irish race since 2005: Racing myths.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline

On last-time-out winners 16.2% vs 6.4% · n=37

With Theo Bachelot 13.6% vs 6.4% · n=81

At Chantilly 2% vs 6.4% · n=98

On Heavy going 11.3% vs 6.4% · n=53

With first-time headgear 2.2% vs 6.4% · n=45

Off a 8-14-day break 10% vs 6.4% · n=40

Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1

Flat 542 35 6.5% −188.50

Hurdle 2 0 0% −2.00

Going

GoingRWSR£1

Standard (AW) 255 13 5.1% −96.40

Soft 98 5 5.1% −57.80

Good to Soft 94 8 8.5% +1.10

Heavy 53 6 11.3% −19.20

Good 44 3 6.8% −18.20

Courses

CourseRWSR£1

Deauville (AW) 254 18 7.1% −71.60

Chantilly 98 2 2% −72.70

Saint-Cloud (FR) 89 7 7.9% −36.10

Longchamp (FR) 57 3 5.3% −20.50

Clairefontaine (FR) 14 2 14.3% +24.50

Compiegne (FR) 5 1 20% −0.50

Angers (FR) 5 0 0% −5.00

Dieppe (FR) 4 1 25% +4.50

Fontainebleau (FR) 3 0 0% −3.00

Auteuil (FR) 2 0 0% −2.00

Moulins (FR) 2 0 0% −2.00

Saint-Malo (FR) 2 0 0% −2.00

Argentan (FR) 2 0 0% −2.00

Evreux (FR) 1 0 0% −1.00

Le Croise-Laroche (FR) 1 0 0% −1.00

Class

ClassRWSR£1

Class 1 38 3 7.9% −16.00

Class 3 13 4 30.8% +29.00

Class 4 3 0 0% −3.00

Class 2 1 0 0% −1.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1

Favourite 37 2 5.4% 0.22 −31.00

2nd–3rd fav 90 12 13.3% 0.89 −27.50

4th–6th fav 160 12 7.5% 0.95 −31.80

7th+ in betting 257 9 3.5% 0.93 −100.20

Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first

HorseRWPlLast ran

Inca Man (FR)from M Nigge 38 3 12 19 Jun 25

Maizieres (FR) 26 2 5 1 Oct 26

Mercurissime (FR) 21 2 6 8 Feb 25

Mister Gatz (FR) 20 2 6 8 Nov 26

L'Aigle (IRE)from M Nigge 15 1 7 10 Sep 22

Tanis (FR)then Mme Manon Scandella-Lacaille 14 0 3 31 Jan 25

Az Zeiva (FR)from A Baron 12 0 4 7 Nov 26

Cambremer (FR) 12 2 5 27 Oct 26

Rue Custine (FR) 12 1 3 1 Feb 25

Thiberville (FR) 11 0 4 22 Oct 26

Zealandia (FR)from M Nigge · then Ian Williams 11 1 5 4 Nov 21

Commeaux (GB) 10 0 0 26 Sep 25

Showing the 60 most-raced of the 115 horses sent out in this window — each ran at least 3 times. Horses with fewer runs aren't listed; search finds any horse since 2005. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.

Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 60 horses listed, 23 arrived from another yard in our archive, most often from M Nigge (9); 37 had their first archived run for this yard.

20 have since run for another yard, most often for D Windrif (2); 40 have no later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

Current form

significance-gated

Last 14 days

Small sample

0 from 5

Only 5 runners in the last 14 days — too few to read against the baseline (gate: n≥15). The card states the sample and stays neutral.

When the yard fires

strike by month, lifetime

JFMAMJJASOND

40433148144649

A flat yard: the season runs Mar–Oct. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first

Go-to riderTheo Bachelot

15% of all rides
13.6% SR · A/E 1.24

RiderRWSR£1

Theo Bachelot 81 11 13.6% +22.10

Rosario Mangione 51 2 3.9% −37.90

Tony Piccone 42 4 9.5% −7.30

Delphine Santiago 33 1 3% −26.50

Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2020→

Archived wins

Pattern / graded wins

£1.12m

Prize money

2020

Best season · 12 wins

Normandy Bridge (FR) — Prix Thomas Bryon Jockey Club de Turquie (2yo) (Turf) Saint-Cloud (FR) · Oct 2020 · Group 3

£26,695

Mister Gatz (FR) — Prix Des Bords De L'oise Compiegne (FR) · Sep 2026

£25,450

Karlarina (FR) — Prix de la Porte de Madrid () (4yo+) (Turf) Saint-Cloud (FR) · Mar 2021 · Listed

£23,214

Notable horses

Inca Man (FR) Maizieres (FR) Mercurissime (FR) Mister Gatz (FR) Cambremer (FR) Karlarina (FR)

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip

Le Havre (IRE) 11.4% · 9–79

Progeny have won 12.4% of 5,888 runs since 2013 (744 horses). Strongest on Good to Firm going: 15.5% from 296. Weakest on Heavy going: 9.4% from 530.

Rajsaman (FR) 6.8% · 3–44

Progeny have won 7% of 2,841 runs since 2016 (310 horses).

Ten Sovereigns (IRE) 5.4% · 2–37

Progeny have won 10.8% of 1,605 runs since 2023 (238 horses). Strongest at trips under 6f (all codes): 16.9% from 160. Weakest over 1m2f – 1m4f (all codes): 7.3% from 150.

Wootton Bassett (GB) 0% · 0–28

Progeny have won 13% of 5,700 runs since 2015 (782 horses). Strongest at trips under 6f (all codes): 16% from 162.

Birchwood (IRE) 9.5% · 2–21

Progeny have won 4.9% of 981 runs since 2021 (133 horses). Weakest on Standard (AW) going: 1.6% from 369.

Adlerflug (GER) 10% · 2–20

Progeny have won 14.5% of 587 runs since 2013 (108 horses). Strongest on Soft going: 18.6% from 172. Weakest on Standard (AW) going: 10.7% from 103.

Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 14 Nov 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 544 · newest first

The latest 50 of 544 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 20 February 2020 to 13 November 2026.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP

13 Nov 26 Saint-Cloud (FR) Hakaste (FR)J: Marvin Grandin Prix Du Plateau De Saclay10f · Heavy · 13 ran 9th 16/1

12 Nov 26 Chantilly (FR) Martinvast (FR)J: Rosario Mangione Prix De L'epars14f · Standard · 8 ran 2nd 16/1

08 Nov 26 Saint-Cloud (FR) Mister Gatz (FR)J: Stephane Pasquier Prix Sagaro15.5f · Heavy · 15 ran 5th 14/1

07 Nov 26 Deauville (FR) Az Zeiva (FR)J: Delphine Santiago Prix De L'operation WindsorClass 3 · 9.5f · Standard · 14 ran 7th 16/1

06 Nov 26 Deauville (FR) Power Celeste (FR)J: Marvin Grandin Prix De Croissanville7.5f · Standard · 13 ran 4th 14/1

27 Oct 26 Deauville (FR) Cambremer (FR)J: Marvin Grandin Prix Omaha Beach6.5f · Standard · 15 ran 4th 10/1

22 Oct 26 Deauville (FR) Thiberville (FR)J: Delphine Santiago Prix Du Canal Du Havre6.5f · Standard · 15 ran 4th 17/2

21 Oct 26 Deauville (FR) Rosapenna (FR)J: Rosario Mangione Prix De La Londe7.5f · Standard · 10 ran 3rd 14/1

21 Oct 26 Deauville (FR) Power Celeste (FR)J: Cesar Belmont Prix Du Chateau De Crevecoeur7.5f · Standard · 9 ran 9th 16/1

21 Oct 26 Deauville (FR) Martinvast (FR)J: Cesar Belmont Prix Du Bessin12.5f · Standard · 12 ran 11th 50/1

19 Oct 26 Deauville (FR) Az Zeiva (FR)J: Delphine Santiago Prix De La Foret D'eawy9.5f · Standard · 15 ran 9th 11/1

03 Oct 26 Longchamp (FR) Mister Gatz (FR)J: Stephane Pasquier Qatar Prix De La Place Des VosgesClass 1 · 12.5f · Good To Soft · 18 ran 15th 16/1

01 Oct 26 Argentan (FR) Maizieres (FR)J: Delphine Santiago Prix Elisabeth MussatClass 4 · 9.5f · Good · 10 ran 2nd 13/2

01 Oct 26 Argentan (FR) Rosapenna (FR)J: Cesar Belmont Prix De LongchampClass 4 · 6.5f · Good · 9 ran 9th 4/1

27 Sep 26 Amiens (FR) Circinus (IRE)J: Delphine Santiago Prix Du Pdv Pmu L'union Moreuil (Prix Des Jardins Flottants)8f · Soft · 14 ran 6th 10/1

18 Sep 26 Saint-Cloud (FR) Hakaste (FR)J: Cristian Demuro Prix HervineClass 3 · 12f · Good · 14 ran 10th 12/1

17 Sep 26 Dieppe (FR) Circinus (IRE)J: Delphine Santiago Prix De Bondues9f · Soft · 13 ran 5th 28/1

15 Sep 26 Compiegne (FR) Mister Gatz (FR)J: Stephane Pasquier Prix Des Bords De L'oise14f · Soft · 16 ran 1st 7/2

14 Sep 26 Chantilly (FR) Rosapenna (FR)J: Cesar Belmont Prix De Chaumont8f · Standard · 10 ran 9th 20/1

14 Sep 26 Chantilly (FR) Az Zeiva (FR)J: Delphine Santiago Prix Du Canal Des Druides8f · Standard · 16 ran 6th 20/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is Mme Stephanie Nigge's strike rate?: Mme Stephanie Nigge has won 35 of 544 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 6.4% (as at 14 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does Mme Stephanie Nigge do best at?: Saint-Cloud (FR) by strike rate: 7 wins from 89 runners (7.9%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Who rides most for Mme Stephanie Nigge?: Theo Bachelot, with 81 runners since 2008 — 15% of the total. That pairing has won 11 (13.6%).
Is Mme Stephanie Nigge in form?: Too few runners in the last 14 days to read — 5 runners, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.
What is Mme Stephanie Nigge's Fair A/E?: 0.78, from 544 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.