What is Paul Webber's strike rate?

Paul Webber has won 221 of 2,718 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 8.1% (as at 7 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.

Which course does Paul Webber do best at?

Stratford by strike rate: 11 wins from 88 runners (12.5%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.

Who rides most for Paul Webber?

Dominic Elsworth, with 365 runners since 2008 — 13% of the total. That pairing has won 51 (14%).

What is Paul Webber's Fair A/E?

0.91, from 2,714 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.

Trainer profile

Paul Webber

2,718 runners in the lifetime window · 333 individual horses

As at 7 Nov 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily

Last runner May 2024

Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2008→)

from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it

221–2,718

Wins / Runs

8.1%

Strike rate

n=2,718

671 (25%)

Placed

0.91

Fair A/E

n=2,714 · 0.78 incl. margin

−873.87

£1 level stake

n=2,718 at SP · −32.2%

£2.38m

Prize money (window)

Strike by season

5.8%

KTB Yard Profile

Sends out around 140 runners a season, winning with 8% of them — a touch below the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 0.91). Horses with headgear back on after a bare run strike at 12% (43 runs).

Deterministic profile computed from 2,718 archived runs (lifetime window) · updated 7 Nov 2026

KTB at a glance 32.5% when favourite Dominic Elsworth: 14% from 365 Headgear returns: 11.6% Sends off the favourite in 6% of races

The read

The record is strongest at Wetherby (15.6%, n=45), clear of the yard's 8.1% baseline. A horse having headgear put back on after a bare run has been a positive signal at 11.6% (n=43, Fair A/E 1.51), but debutants struggle at 4.7% (n=234, Fair A/E 0.73). The market has consistently overbet runners with a claiming rider up: 6.8% strike, Fair A/E 0.80 and −122.87 to a £1 stake over 235 runners — those runners underperform what the price implies. Dominic Elsworth rides 13% of the entries and beats the yard's average (14% vs 8.1%, A/E 1.25) — the partnership beats the margin-free market read. The yard also reads well off a 0-7-day break (20%, n=30). 12 Group and Graded wins sit in the archive record — the biggest prize the yard has landed: the Martin Pipe Conditional Jockeys' Handicap Hurdle at Cheltenham (Mar 2020, £43,330). The stable star of the record: Australia Day (IRE) — 10 wins from 60 runs for the yard.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 8.1% baseline

Fresh · 61+ days off

6.9%−1.2

n=787 · A/E 0.89 · £1 −287.76

New recruits · first run for the yard

5.4%−2.7

n=56 · A/E 0.76 · £1 −44.00

Debutants · first career start

4.7%−3.4

n=234 · A/E 0.73 · £1 −107.37

First-time headgear · true-first definition

5.7%−2.4

n=157 · A/E 0.85 · £1 −78.75

Headgear returns · back on after a bare run

11.6%+3.5

n=43 · A/E 1.51 · £1 −10.80

When favourite

32.5%

n=154 · A/E 1.00 · £1 −21.48

Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle

6.8%−1.3

n=235 · A/E 0.80 · £1 −122.87

Group / Graded races · pattern & listed

9.3%+1.2

n=107 · A/E 1.01 · £1 +30.16

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 8.1% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races. The same beliefs, tested across every yard and every GB and Irish race since 2005: Racing myths.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline

With A P McCoy 25.6% vs 8.1% · n=39

Off a 0-7-day break 20% vs 8.1% · n=30

With Dominic Elsworth 14% vs 8.1% · n=365

With James Best 0% vs 8.1% · n=49

With Charlie Poste 0% vs 8.1% · n=34

At Wetherby 15.6% vs 8.1% · n=45

Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1

Hurdle 1,204 86 7.1% −438.77

Chase 796 87 10.9% −208.32

Flat 406 25 6.2% −215.87

NH Flat 312 23 7.4% −10.91

Going

GoingRWSR£1

Good 1,073 92 8.6% −316.03

Good to Soft 593 44 7.4% −239.97

Soft 424 27 6.4% −181.15

Good to Firm 281 28 10% −59.30

Standard (AW) 196 15 7.7% −76.49

Heavy 140 11 7.9% −10.56

Firm 11 4 36.4% +9.63

Courses

CourseRWSR£1

Huntingdon 211 16 7.6% −51.67

Kempton 165 12 7.3% −81.70

Ludlow 151 16 10.6% −39.08

Uttoxeter 144 11 7.6% −54.50

Warwick 128 9 7% −60.25

Leicester 116 10 8.6% −29.95

Newbury 108 8 7.4% −29.22

Worcester 106 8 7.5% −68.95

Sandown 103 5 4.9% −51.00

Southwell 96 10 10.4% +61.42

Market Rasen 94 9 9.6% −28.00

Doncaster 93 7 7.5% −54.00

Towcester 89 9 10.1% −7.92

Stratford 88 11 12.5% +6.00

Bangor-on-Dee 85 7 8.2% −47.50

Class

ClassRWSR£1

Class 4 1,130 93 8.2% −378.63

Class 5 675 49 7.3% −236.36

Class 3 391 34 8.7% −172.94

Class 6 212 16 7.5% −75.54

Class 1 155 12 7.7% −3.34

Class 2 150 17 11.3% −2.06

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1

Favourite 188 56 29.8% 0.97 −30.73

2nd–3rd fav 509 79 15.5% 0.95 −88.64

4th–6th fav 980 64 6.5% 0.88 −237.00

7th+ in betting 1,041 22 2.1% 0.72 −517.50

Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Distance

DistanceRWSR£1

1m5f – 2m 1,024 81 7.9% −316.28

2m1f – 2m4f 710 66 9.3% −188.36

2m5f – 3m 544 43 7.9% −163.47

1m2f – 1m4f 198 17 8.6% −66.00

Over 3m 106 9 8.5% −46.89

1m – 1m1f 79 3 3.8% −65.87

6f – 7f 49 2 4.1% −19.00

Under 6f 8 0 0% −8.00

By season

By seasonRWSR£1

2008 242 20 8.3% −24.50

2009 202 18 8.9% +19.05

2010 235 27 11.5% −26.34

2011 256 39 15.2% −49.47

2012 212 21 9.9% −91.16

2013 242 21 8.7% −98.65

2014 211 12 5.7% −118.13

2015 164 6 3.7% −109.50

2016 142 12 8.5% −44.62

2017 121 11 9.1% −24.37

2018 120 6 5% −73.00

2019 135 8 5.9% −38.25

2020 90 7 7.8% −41.80

2021 128 7 5.5% −73.13

2022 83 1 1.2% −74.50

2023 83 2 2.4% −65.50

2024 52 3 5.8% +60.00

Handicaps

HandicapsRWSR£1

Handicaps 1,397 122 8.7% −381.18

Field size

Field sizeRWSR£1

8-10 runners 870 72 8.3% −314.94

11-13 runners 718 49 6.8% −196.33

5-7 runners 534 63 11.8% −126.71

14-16 runners 394 19 4.8% −193.79

17+ runners 142 7 4.9% −21.12

2-4 runners 60 11 18.3% −20.98

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Jumping record

completion over obstacles · same window as header

80.6% completed · 2,000 obstacle runners (chases & hurdles)

CodeRCompFURPUBDOth

Chase 796 75.8% 40 31 120 1 1

Hurdle 1,204 83.7% 13 14 166 1 2

Chases and hurdles only — bumpers have no obstacles, so completion is not a question there. F fell · UR unseated rider · PU pulled up · BD brought down · Oth covers refusals, slip-ups, run-outs and the rare disqualification. Non-runners are excluded throughout. Rows under n=30 are shown faded. A descriptive record, not a tip.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first

HorseRWPlLast ran

Australia Day (IRE)from Charles O'Brien 56 10 23 2 Oct 15

Tindaro (FR)from A & G Botti 44 5 16 10 Jan 18

Firm Order (IRE) 38 5 11 21 Jul 16

Marley Roca (IRE) 38 4 11 17 Jun 14

Boughtbeforelunch (IRE)then Phillippa Taylor 37 3 19 20 Dec 22

New Agenda (GB)from D K Weld 37 4 13 18 Aug 20

Copperfacejack (IRE) 34 3 13 8 Dec 19

Alasi (GB) 32 8 16 25 Jan 14

Special Acceptance (GB)then Billy Aprahamian 30 1 13 22 Apr 24

Indefatigable (IRE)from S Curling 30 7 14 11 Feb 23

Cantlow (IRE)then E Bolger 30 4 10 27 Dec 15

Halucha (IRE) 30 4 8 23 May 14

Showing the 60 most-raced of the 333 horses sent out in this window — each ran at least 12 times. Horses with fewer runs aren't listed; search finds any horse since 2005. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.

Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 60 horses listed, 14 arrived from another yard in our archive; 46 had their first archived run for this yard.

20 have since run for another yard, most often for Dan Skelton (2) and Dean Ivory (2); 40 have no later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

When the yard fires

strike by month, lifetime

JFMAMJJASOND

7768999137889

A jumps yard: the season runs Oct–Apr. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first

Go-to riderDominic Elsworth

13% of all rides
14% SR · A/E 1.25

RiderRWSR£1

Dominic Elsworth 365 51 14% −31.34

William Kennedy 277 26 9.4% +54.41

Richie McLernon 241 18 7.5% −84.00

Denis O'Regan 199 25 12.6% −85.84

Liam Treadwell 161 13 8.1% −24.25

Gavin Sheehan 119 14 11.8% +103.38

Tom O'Brien 70 6 8.6% −40.55

Sam Jones 56 4 7.1% −15.50

Rex Dingle 54 2 3.7% −20.00

James Best 49 0 0% −49.00

Martin Dwyer 49 2 4.1% −27.00

Jake Greenall 43 3 7% −29.38

Muted rows are under 30 rides.

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2005→

292

Archived wins

Pattern / graded wins

£3.12m

Prize money

2011

Best season · 39 wins

In our archive from its very first year (2005), so this career almost certainly began earlier than our record does. The figures above count 2005 onwards only — what the archive holds, not a full-career total. This card is the full archive census (2005→); the statistics in the header aggregate from 2008 — the floor that guarantees every horse a complete captured career — so this card can legitimately show more wins than the header.

Indefatigable (IRE) — Martin Pipe Conditional Jockeys' Handicap Hurdle Cheltenham · Mar 2020 · Class 2

£43,330

Kew Green (USA) — Suffolk Heritage Handicap Newmarket · May 2005 · Class 2

£34,800

Full House (IRE) — Ascot Stakes (Handicap) Ascot · Jun 2007 · Class 2

£34,276

Notable horses

Australia Day (IRE) Alasi (GB) Time For Rupert (IRE) Rajnagan (IRE) Indefatigable (IRE) Full House (IRE)

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip

Kayf Tara (GB) 10.8% · 11–102

Progeny have won 12.6% of 13,757 runs since 2008 (1,148 horses). Strongest on Heavy going: 16.2% from 1,708.

Hernando (FR) 9.5% · 9–95

Progeny have won 12.1% of 3,531 runs since 2008 (273 horses). Weakest over 6f – 7f (all codes): 7.5% from 120.

Flemensfirth (USA) 14.4% · 13–90

Progeny have won 11.9% of 17,288 runs since 2008 (1,595 horses).

Overbury (IRE) 10% · 6–60

Progeny have won 10.7% of 4,657 runs since 2008 (423 horses).

Presenting (GB) 5% · 3–60

Progeny have won 11% of 20,052 runs since 2008 (1,686 horses). Strongest on Standard (AW) going: 24.3% from 136.

Key Of Luck (USA) 17.9% · 10–56

Progeny have won 9.1% of 2,326 runs since 2008 (171 horses). Weakest over 2m5f – 3m (all codes): 5.1% from 136.

Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 7 Nov 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 3,381 · newest first

The latest 50 of 3,381 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 2 January 2005 to 27 May 2024.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP

27 May 24 Huntingdon Pep Talking (GB)J: Brendan Powell Euro2024 Daily Giveaways On Rhino.Bet Handicap ChaseClass 4 · 16.5f · Good · 6 ran 2nd 11/8F

22 May 24 Southwell Stone's Throw (GB)J: Gavin Sheehan Download Our Racecourse App Raceday Ready Open NH Flat Race (GBB Race)Class 5 · 16f · Soft · 7 ran 1st 22/1

12 May 24 Plumpton Crystal Mer (GB)J: Rex Dingle Harry & Betty Savill Memorial Handicap HurdleClass 5 · 16f · Good · 12 ran 3rd 9/1

12 May 24 Plumpton Eyed (GB)J: Brendan Powell Emily Mellett 21st Birthday Handicap ChaseClass 4 · 19.5f · Good · 8 ran 4th 5/1

10 May 24 Market Rasen Lunar Ocean (IRE)J: James Davies Book Summer Plate Ladies Day Now Handicap Hurdle (Div 2)Class 5 · 20.5f · Good · 9 ran 3rd 28/1

07 May 24 Southwell Moonscape Girl (GB)J: Gavin Sheehan Download The Racecourse App Raceday Ready Mares' Open Maiden NH Flat Race (GBB Race) (Div 2)Class 5 · 16f · Good · 13 ran 1st 80/1

07 May 24 Southwell Spinnova (GB)J: Rex Dingle Download The Racecourse App Raceday Ready Mares' Open Maiden NH Flat Race (GBB Race) (Div 1)Class 5 · 16f · Good · 13 ran 11th 100/1

25 Apr 24 Huntingdon Lawsky (GB)J: Richie McLernon Watch Replays On Racing TV Open Maiden NH Flat Race (GBB Race)Class 5 · 16f · Good · 13 ran 10th 125/1

25 Apr 24 Huntingdon Eyed (GB)J: Tom Bellamy Racehorse Shares From 45 At racingclub.com Novices' Handicap Chase (GBB Race)Class 4 · 20f · Good · 6 ran 4th 2/1F

25 Apr 24 Warwick Pep Talking (GB)J: James Davies Molly Ollys Handicap ChaseClass 5 · 16f · Good · 12 ran 6th 10/1

24 Apr 24 Uttoxeter Spinnova (GB)J: James Davies Abba Party Raceday Saturday 4th May Mares' Open NH Flat Race (GBB Race) (Div 1)Class 5 · 16f · Soft · 10 ran 8th 40/1

23 Apr 24 Southwell Glengolly (GB)J: Gavin Sheehan Liz And Izzy's HOAP Podcast Novices' Limited Handicap HurdleClass 5 · 20.5f · Good · 14 ran 6th 40/1

22 Apr 24 Kempton Chronos (GB)J: Brendan Powell Sri Lanka, The Wonder Of Asia Novices' Handicap Hurdle (Div 1)Class 5 · 16f · Good · 10 ran 9th 80/1

22 Apr 24 Ffos Las Special Acceptance (GB)J: Kielan Woods DragonBet The Bookmaker Of Wales Handicap ChaseClass 3 · 25.5f · Good To Soft · 9 ran 5th 10/1

20 Apr 24 Bangor-on-Dee Bongo Man (GB)J: Richie McLernon Nightingale House Hospice 'Junior' NH Flat Race (GBB Race)Class 4 · 16.5f · Soft · 12 ran 6th 28/1

19 Apr 24 Fontwell Happy Index (GB)J: Jack Quinlan Best Odds Guaranteed At Yeeehaaa.bet Mares' Novices' Limited Handicap HurdleClass 5 · 17.5f · Good · 8 ran 5th 5/1

09 Apr 24 Hereford Lunar Ocean (IRE)J: Brendan Powell Blackmores Building Contractors Novices' Handicap HurdleClass 5 · 16f · Soft · 7 ran 7th 18/1

09 Apr 24 Hereford Crystal Mer (GB)J: Brendan Powell Hereford Countryside Raceday This Sunday Novices' Limited Handicap HurdleClass 5 · 19.5f · Soft · 10 ran 6th 17/2

09 Apr 24 Hereford Pep Talking (GB)J: James Davies Download The Racing App Now Novices' Handicap ChaseClass 5 · 16f · Soft · 8 ran 2nd 9/4F

02 Apr 24 Ludlow Glengolly (GB)J: Gavin Sheehan HR.Smith Handicap HurdleClass 5 · 16f · Soft · 7 ran 5th 12/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is Paul Webber's strike rate?: Paul Webber has won 221 of 2,718 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 8.1% (as at 7 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does Paul Webber do best at?: Stratford by strike rate: 11 wins from 88 runners (12.5%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Who rides most for Paul Webber?: Dominic Elsworth, with 365 runners since 2008 — 13% of the total. That pairing has won 51 (14%).
What is Paul Webber's Fair A/E?: 0.91, from 2,714 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.