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Jockey profile

Neil Brown

475 rides in the lifetime window · 273 individual horses
As at 6 Nov 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily
Last ride Nov 2009 100% of rides on the flat
Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2008→)
No rides in the last 5 seasons — showing the lifetime record, from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it.
50–475
Wins / Runs
10.5%
Strike rate
n=475
143 (30%)
Placed
1.04
Fair A/E
n=473 · 0.87 incl. margin
−9.71
£1 level stake
n=475 at SP · −2.0%
£442k
Prize money (window)
Strike by season
5.8%
KTB Rider Profile

Rode around 240 times a season, almost all on the flat, winning on 11% of them — beating the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 1.04).

Deterministic profile computed from 475 archived runs (lifetime window) · updated 6 Nov 2026
KTB at a glance Fired May–Jul 21.7% when favourite David Barron: 9.6% from 135 First rides: 11.5% Claiming: 11% Rode the favourite in 10% of races
The read

Horses returning fresh after 61+ days have been a poor signal at 5.9% (n=51, Fair A/E 0.83). Rides in big fields of 14 or more are the standout value angle: 11.4% strikes only just above baseline, but Fair A/E 1.71 and +54.50 to a £1 stake over 140 rides — a record the market has persistently underpriced. David Barron supplied 28% of the rides and matches the rider's average almost exactly (9.6%, A/E 0.85). The rider also read well in Class 4 (16.2%, n=99) and on Good to Soft going (14.5%, n=83). The record read poorly in Class 3 — 3.2% over 31 rides, 7.3pts below the baseline. The market has consistently overbet the rider on Good going: Fair A/E 0.71 across 123 rides (6.5% strike, −42.75 to a £1 stake) — runners there underperformed what the price implied. Seasonally, the rider fired May–Jul.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Riding patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 10.5% baseline
First ride on the horse · first captured pairing
11.5%+1.0
n=253 · A/E 1.20 · £1 +36.04
Last-time-out winners · previous run was a win
11.5%+1.0
n=52 · A/E 0.70 · £1 −10.88
Fresh horses · 61+ days off
5.9%−4.6
n=51 · A/E 0.83 · £1 −22.00
When favourite
21.7%
n=46 · A/E 0.87 · £1 −8.71
Claiming rides · riding with a claim
11%+0.5
n=444 · A/E 1.08 · £1 +15.29
Big fields · 14+ runners
11.4%+0.9
n=140 · A/E 1.71 · £1 +54.50
Group / Graded races · pattern & listed
0%−10.5
n=3 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −3.00

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 10.5% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. First rides are the first captured pairing of horse and rider; last-time-out winners are horses whose previous captured run was a win; claiming rides are runs where the rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline
In Class 4 16.2% vs 10.5% · n=99
In Class 3 3.2% vs 10.5% · n=31
With Michael Dods 16.7% vs 10.5% · n=36
With Kevin Ryan 15.5% vs 10.5% · n=58
On Good going 6.5% vs 10.5% · n=123
On Good to Soft going 14.5% vs 10.5% · n=83
Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Going

GoingRWSR£1
Good to Firm 150 16 10.7% +16.12
Good 123 8 6.5% −42.75
Good to Soft 83 12 14.5% +17.50
Soft 55 5 9.1% −7.00
Standard (AW) 35 5 14.3% +11.67
Heavy 17 3 17.6% +0.75
Firm 12 1 8.3% −6.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1
Redcar 55 7 12.7% +18.62
Hamilton 54 4 7.4% −20.00
Musselburgh 37 3 8.1% −7.50
Newcastle 37 4 10.8% −4.00
Catterick 33 3 9.1% −21.25
Ayr 30 3 10% −7.00
Carlisle 27 4 14.8% +33.00
Beverley 26 3 11.5% −4.50
Ripon 23 2 8.7% −9.00
Thirsk 22 3 13.6% +5.50
Pontefract 20 2 10% +1.00
Wolverhampton (AW) 18 3 16.7% +10.00
Doncaster 18 1 5.6% −3.00
York 16 2 12.5% +12.00
Haydock 16 2 12.5% −7.25

Class

ClassRWSR£1
Class 5 192 18 9.4% −8.08
Class 6 121 12 9.9% −17.50
Class 4 99 16 16.2% +38.12
Class 3 31 1 3.2% −26.00
Class 2 28 3 10.7% +7.75
Class 1 3 0 0% −3.00
Class 7 1 0 0% −1.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1
Favourite 54 12 22.2% 0.91 −10.21
2nd–3rd fav 119 13 10.9% 0.74 −38.00
4th–6th fav 132 12 9.1% 1.11 −15.50
7th+ in betting 170 13 7.6% 1.98 +54.00
Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Horses ridden

same window as header · most-raced first
HorseRWPlLast ran
A Big Sky Brewing (USA) 13 1 7 1 Oct 09
Spinning (GB) 11 3 4 16 Oct 09
Woodsley House (IRE) 11 3 3 26 Aug 09
Flipando (IRE) 9 0 1 1 Oct 09
Ingleby Princess (GB) 8 0 2 14 Sep 09
Ingleby Arch (USA) 7 0 3 13 Oct 09
Hawkit (USA) 7 0 2 6 Jun 09
Where's Reiley (USA) 6 1 2 29 Jul 09
Embsay Crag (GB) 6 1 1 27 Jun 09
Miacarla (GB) 6 1 1 3 May 09
Efidium (GB) 5 0 3 10 Aug 09
Dream Express (IRE) 5 1 2 16 Jun 09
Showing the 60 most-raced of the 273 horses ridden in this window — each ran at least 2 times. Horses with fewer runs aren't listed; search finds any horse since 2005. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.

By month

strike by month, lifetime
JFMAMJJASOND
330071313127127130
A flat rider: the season runs Mar–Oct. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Riding for

same window · biggest samples first
Main yardDavid Barron
28% of all rides
9.6% SR · A/E 0.85
TrainerRWSR£1
David Barron 135 13 9.6% −35.58
Kevin Ryan 58 9 15.5% +19.12
Michael Dods 36 6 16.7% +38.75
Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2005→
79
Archived wins
£588k
Prize money
2008
Best season · 39 wins
In our archive from its very first year (2005), so this career almost certainly began earlier than our record does. The figures above count 2005 onwards only — what the archive holds, not a full-career total. This card is the full archive census (2005→); the statistics in the header aggregate from 2008 — the floor that guarantees every horse a complete captured career — so this card can legitimately show more wins than the header.
Sirvino (GB) — 50th John Smith's Cup Heritage Handicap York · Jul 2009 · Class 2
£97,140
Overrule (USA) — Grolsch Cumberland Plate Handicap Carlisle · Jun 2009 · Class 4
£19,428
Lochiel (GB) — Collier Hill Cumberland Plate Handicap Carlisle · Jun 2008 · Class 4
£19,428
Notable horses
Spinning (GB) Woodsley House (IRE) Toy Top (USA) Skhilling Spirit (GB) Shy Glance (USA) Pay Time (GB)

Sires of the horses ridden

progeny record · win % by ground and trip
Arch (USA) 5% · 1–20
Progeny have won 12.9% of 1,676 runs since 2008 (171 horses). Weakest on Good to Soft going: 9.4% from 180.
Orpen (USA) 30.8% · 4–13
Progeny have won 9% of 4,038 runs since 2008 (381 horses). Weakest over 2m5f – 3m (all codes): 4.4% from 113.
Pivotal (GB) 23.1% · 3–13
Progeny have won 13.6% of 12,789 runs since 2008 (1,019 horses). Weakest over 2m5f – 3m (all codes): 7.4% from 108.
Danehill Dancer (IRE) 10% · 1–10
Progeny have won 11.2% of 10,094 runs since 2008 (783 horses). Weakest over 2m5f – 3m (all codes): 6.2% from 130.
Forzando (GB) 11.1% · 1–9
Progeny have won 3.7% of 481 runs since 2008 (49 horses).
Sri Pekan (USA) 0% · 0–9
Progeny have won 7.1% of 169 runs since 2008 (21 horses).
Top line: the rider's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 6 Nov 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 713 · newest first

The latest 50 of 713 archived rides, newest first. The full record runs from 25 January 2005 to 7 November 2009.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP
07 Nov 09 Doncaster Kiwi Bay (GB)T: Michael Dods Bet Totepool On 0800 221 221 Apprentice HandicapClass 4 · 7f · Soft · 20 ran 2nd 12/1
31 Oct 09 Ayr Golden Penny (GB)T: Michael Dods Synergy Civil Engineering Ltd HandicapClass 5 · 7f · Soft · 14 ran 7th 40/1
17 Oct 09 Catterick Another Decree (GB)T: Michael Dods Bet On Today's Football At Totesport.com Apprentice Claiming StakesClass 6 · 12f · Good · 11 ran 9th 12/1
16 Oct 09 Wolverhampton (AW) Spinning (GB)T: David Barron Best Odds Guaranteed At Totesport.com HandicapClass 4 · 8.5f · Standard To Fast · 13 ran 4th 14/1
13 Oct 09 Newcastle Ingleby Arch (USA)T: David Barron Dales Broadcast Television Facility Handicap (Div 2)Class 5 · 6f · Good · 16 ran 3rd 16/1
10 Oct 09 Wolverhampton (AW) Borasco (USA)T: David Barron Bet Super League Grand Final - Betdaq Fillies' HandicapClass 4 · 7f · Standard · 12 ran 11th 12/1
02 Oct 09 Wolverhampton (AW) Spinning (GB)T: David Barron Ladbrokespoker.com HandicapClass 4 · 8.5f · Standard · 8 ran 2nd 5/1
01 Oct 09 Wolverhampton (AW) A Big Sky Brewing (USA)T: David Barron Hotel & Conferencing At Wolverhampton HandicapClass 6 · 7f · Standard · 12 ran 3rd 8/1
01 Oct 09 Newmarket Flipando (IRE)T: David Barron Racing Uk Sky 432 HandicapClass 3 · 8f · Good To Firm · 12 ran 11th 16/1
23 Sep 09 Redcar Hansomis (IRE)T: Bruce Mactaggart Subscribe To Racing UK Handicap (Div 2)Class 6 · 6f · Good To Firm · 13 ran 4th 5/1
19 Sep 09 Ayr Flipando (IRE)T: David Barron Williamhill.com Ayrshire HandicapClass 2 · 8f · Good · 12 ran 11th 12/1
17 Sep 09 Pontefract Barataria (GB)T: Robin Bastiman Support The Malton Fire Disaster Appeal HandicapClass 5 · 8f · Good To Firm · 15 ran 15th 16/1
17 Sep 09 Pontefract Convitezza (GB)T: Mike Sowersby Book Your Christmas Party Here On (0113) 2876387 Maiden StakesClass 5 · 10f · Good To Firm · 9 ran 5th 100/1
17 Sep 09 Pontefract Mystified (IRE)T: Roger Fisher Pontefract Stayers Championship HandicapClass 5 · 17f · Good To Firm · 10 ran 3rd 16/1
14 Sep 09 Redcar Ingleby Princess (GB)T: David Barron Subscribe To Racing Uk Selling StakesClass 6 · 10f · Good To Firm · 10 ran 4th 8/1
07 Sep 09 Newcastle Imperial Echo (USA)T: David Barron Phoenix Security HandicapClass 6 · 6f · Good To Soft · 15 ran 5th 9/2
05 Sep 09 Thirsk Choc'a'moca (IRE)T: Ian McInnes E.B.F. Maiden Stakes (Div 2)Class 4 · 7f · Soft · 12 ran 9th 66/1
05 Sep 09 Thirsk Commando Scott (IRE)T: Ian McInnes Waterholmes HandicapClass 5 · 8f · Soft · 13 ran 7th 12/1
03 Sep 09 Wolverhampton (AW) A Big Sky Brewing (USA)T: David Barron Williamhill.com/Bonus25 - Quote Bonus25 HandicapClass 5 · 6f · Standard · 13 ran 11th 17/2
03 Sep 09 Wolverhampton (AW) Turf Time (GB)T: Jeremy Glover E.B.F. Buy A Racing Post Yearling Bonus Candidate Maiden StakesClass 5 · 5f · Standard · 13 ran 7th 150/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is Neil Brown's strike rate?
Neil Brown has won 50 of 475 rides since 2008, a strike rate of 10.5% (as at 6 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does Neil Brown do best at?
Redcar by strike rate: 7 wins from 55 rides (12.7%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most rides on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Which yard does Neil Brown ride most for?
David Barron, with 135 rides since 2008 — 28% of the total. That pairing has won 13 (9.6%).
What is Neil Brown's Fair A/E?
1.04, from 473 rides with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%". Three sample sizes are reported and never blended: runs (n), the ROI basis (n at SP), and the fair-A/E basis (n with a computed fair probability).

Strike rate is wins over all runs (n). ROI is £1 level stakes at SP over runs with a parseable price (n at SP). Fair A/E is wins over margin-stripped market expectation, over runs with a computed fair probability (n fair). The three Ns can legitimately differ and are always shown. Figures as at 6 November 2026, computed from our own results archive (2005 onwards; aggregates from 2008).