What is Robert Mills's strike rate?

Robert Mills has won 54 of 509 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 10.6% (as at 15 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.

Which course does Robert Mills do best at?

Lingfield (AW) by strike rate: 19 wins from 105 runners (18.1%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.

Who rides most for Robert Mills?

Stevie Donohoe, with 71 runners since 2008 — 14% of the total. That pairing has won 7 (9.9%).

What is Robert Mills's Fair A/E?

0.93, from 507 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.

Trainer profile

Robert Mills

509 runners in the lifetime window · 61 individual horses

As at 15 Oct 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily

Last runner Nov 2015 99% of runners on the flat

Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2010→)

No runners in the last 5 seasons — showing the lifetime record, from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it.

54–509

Wins / Runs

10.6%

Strike rate

n=509

159 (31%)

Placed

0.93

Fair A/E

n=507 · 0.80 incl. margin

−137.41

£1 level stake

n=509 at SP · −27.0%

£397k

Prize money (window)

Strike by season

7.1%

KTB Yard Profile

Sent out around 80 runners a season, almost all on the flat, winning with 11% of them — a touch below the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 0.93).

Deterministic profile computed from 509 archived runs (lifetime window) · updated 15 Oct 2026

KTB at a glance Fresh horses: 12% 30% when favourite Stevie Donohoe: 9.9% from 71 Sent off the favourite in 10% of races

The read

The record is strongest at Lingfield (AW) (18.1%, n=105), clear of the yard's 10.6% baseline. Debutants struggle at 2.4% (n=42, Fair A/E 0.59). The market has consistently overbet runners with a claiming rider up: 8.3% strike, Fair A/E 0.77 and −27.25 to a £1 stake over 132 runners — those runners underperformed what the price implied. Stevie Donohoe rode 14% of the entries and matches the yard's average almost exactly (9.9%, A/E 0.94). The yard also read well off a 0-7-day break (25%, n=44). One Group or Graded win sits in the archive record — the biggest prize the yard has landed: the Toyo Tires Summer Handicap at Goodwood (Jul 2011, £24,900). The stable star of the record was Club House (IRE) — 6 wins from 51 runs for the yard.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 10.6% baseline

Fresh · 61+ days off

12%+1.4

n=83 · A/E 1.21 · £1 +11.91

New recruits · first run for the yard

21.1%+10.5

n=19 · A/E 1.75 · £1 +38.00

Debutants · first career start

2.4%−8.2

n=42 · A/E 0.59 · £1 −31.00

First-time headgear · true-first definition

9.5%−1.1

n=21 · A/E 1.13 · £1 +1.00

Headgear returns · back on after a bare run

23.5%+12.9

n=17 · A/E 2.38 · £1 +32.00

When favourite

30%

n=50 · A/E 0.88 · £1 −16.49

Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle

8.3%−2.3

n=132 · A/E 0.77 · £1 −27.25

Group / Graded races · pattern & listed

4.8%−5.8

n=21 · A/E 0.61 · £1 −17.50

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 10.6% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, not tips. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline

Off a 0-7-day break 25% vs 10.6% · n=44

On last-time-out winners 19.6% vs 10.6% · n=51

At Lingfield (AW) 18.1% vs 10.6% · n=105

With debutants 2.4% vs 10.6% · n=42

With Jim Crowley 18.8% vs 10.6% · n=32

With Sean Levey 4.3% vs 10.6% · n=47

Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1

Flat 503 54 10.7% −131.41

Hurdle 6 0 0% −6.00

Going

GoingRWSR£1

Standard (AW) 257 32 12.5% −96.46

Good to Firm 89 7 7.9% +2.50

Good 75 4 5.3% −37.27

Soft 41 3 7.3% −16.50

Good to Soft 37 6 16.2% +6.82

Heavy 7 2 28.6% +6.50

Firm 3 0 0% −3.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1

Kempton (AW) 112 7 6.3% −67.25

Lingfield (AW) 105 19 18.1% −12.99

Windsor 33 4 12.1% +4.50

Goodwood 28 1 3.6% −15.00

Sandown 26 1 3.8% −15.00

Ascot 24 1 4.2% −17.50

Wolverhampton (AW) 22 3 13.6% −10.42

Salisbury 16 1 6.3% −11.50

Southwell (AW) 15 3 20% −2.80

Newbury 15 2 13.3% +2.00

Brighton 14 2 14.3% +4.50

Lingfield 12 1 8.3% −4.00

Newmarket 10 1 10% +7.00

Folkestone 10 1 10% −8.09

Epsom Downs 10 0 0% −10.00

Class

ClassRWSR£1

Class 5 207 24 11.6% −37.97

Class 4 110 10 9.1% −42.76

Class 6 96 12 12.5% −30.18

Class 2 45 3 6.7% −10.50

Class 3 30 4 13.3% +1.50

Class 1 21 1 4.8% −17.50

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1

Favourite 63 17 27% 0.87 −21.49

2nd–3rd fav 122 16 13.1% 0.78 −37.42

4th–6th fav 147 15 10.2% 1.27 −4.50

7th+ in betting 177 6 3.4% 0.99 −74.00

Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first

HorseRWPlLast ran

Club House (IRE)then John O'Shea 51 6 16 11 Feb 15

Jacobs Son (GB)then Michael Appleby 27 4 14 17 May 13

Paperetto (GB) 23 1 5 24 Jan 13

Golden Desert (IRE)from T G Mills · then Simon Dow 18 1 5 15 Oct 11

Little Buxted (USA)then Jim Best 17 1 6 19 Nov 14

Greylami (IRE)from T G Mills · then Clive Cox 17 1 4 28 Jul 12

Turnbury (GB)then Laura Mongan 16 0 4 16 Jan 15

Buxfizz (USA)then George Prodromou 16 3 5 21 Jan 12

Pegasus Again (USA)from T G Mills 16 0 4 22 Aug 11

Canadian Run (IRE) 14 2 6 5 Mar 14

Romantic Wish (GB) 13 2 10 22 Oct 11

Rydan (IRE)then Gary Moore 11 2 4 10 Dec 14

The 60 most-raced of 61 horses sent out in this window. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.

Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 60 horses listed, 19 arrived from another yard in our archive, most often from T G Mills (13) and Ian Williams (2); 41 had their first archived run for this yard.

30 have since run for another yard, most often for Adam West (3) and Gary Moore (2); 30 have no later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

When the yard fires

strike by month, lifetime

JFMAMJJASOND

2421256491258101010

A flat yard: the season runs Mar–Oct. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first

Go-to riderStevie Donohoe

14% of all rides
9.9% SR · A/E 0.94

RiderRWSR£1

Stevie Donohoe 71 7 9.9% −40.39

Sean Levey 47 2 4.3% −31.50

Tom Queally 33 3 9.1% −11.75

Jim Crowley 32 6 18.8% +18.25

Eddie Ahern 30 3 10% −8.59

Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2010→

Archived wins

Pattern / graded wins

£397k

Prize money

2010

Best season · 13 wins

Petara Bay (IRE) — Toyo Tires Summer Handicap Goodwood · Jul 2011 · Class 2

£24,900

Buxted (IRE) — Digibet Dragonfly Stakes (Listed) Kempton (AW) · Mar 2010 · Listed

£22,708

Golden Desert (IRE) — Betfred The Bonus King Handicap Newmarket · Sep 2011 · Class 2

£12,450

Notable horses

Club House (IRE) Jacobs Son (GB) Buxfizz (USA) But Beautiful (IRE) Swing Easy (GB) Canadian Run (IRE)

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip

Marju (IRE) 10.2% · 6–59

Progeny have won 10.2% of 3,553 runs since 2008 (286 horses).

Refuse To Bend (IRE) 14.8% · 4–27

Progeny have won 9.8% of 4,868 runs since 2008 (320 horses).

Selkirk (USA) 4.3% · 1–23

Progeny have won 11.3% of 4,371 runs since 2008 (333 horses). Weakest on Heavy going: 7.9% from 228. Weakest over 2m5f – 3m (all codes): 7.7% from 143.

Desert Prince (IRE) 5.6% · 1–18

Progeny have won 9.1% of 2,734 runs since 2008 (178 horses). Weakest over 1m – 1m1f (all codes): 5.6% from 425.

Daylami (IRE) 5.9% · 1–17

Progeny have won 10.6% of 3,508 runs since 2008 (253 horses). Weakest over 6f – 7f (all codes): 6.4% from 109.

Mr Greeley (USA) 5.9% · 1–17

Progeny have won 8.4% of 1,606 runs since 2008 (184 horses).

Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 15 Oct 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 509 · newest first

The latest 50 of 509 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 6 February 2010 to 13 November 2015.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP

13 Nov 15 Wolverhampton (AW) The Dancing Lord (GB)J: Liam Keniry coral.co.uk HandicapClass 5 · 9.5f · Standard · 13 ran 9th 16/1

29 Oct 15 Lingfield (AW) The Dancing Lord (GB)J: Jimmy Fortune Coral HandicapClass 5 · 10f · Standard · 12 ran 5th 33/1

28 Oct 15 Kempton (AW) Mikiteri (IRE)J: Tom Eaves Teach, Travel And Earn At isehove.com NurseryClass 6 · 6f · Standard To Slow · 12 ran 8th 10/1

28 Oct 15 Nottingham Mccools Gold (GB)J: Tom Queally Sir Peter O'Sullevan Voice Of Racing EBF Maiden Stakes (Plus 10) (Div 1)Class 4 · 8.5f · Heavy · 8 ran 8th 66/1

20 Oct 15 Lingfield (AW) Suuki (GB)J: Harry Poulton British Stallion Studs Ebf Median Auction Maiden StakesClass 5 · 8f · Standard · 9 ran 9th 50/1

10 Oct 15 Chelmsford City (AW) The Dancing Lord (GB)J: Harry Poulton totepool Racing's Biggest Supporter Handicap (Div 2)Class 5 · 8f · Standard · 10 ran 9th 16/1

10 Oct 15 Chelmsford City (AW) Intrepid (IRE)J: Kieran Shoemark Like totepool On Facebook Apprentice HandicapClass 4 · 6f · Standard · 11 ran 9th 7/1

06 Oct 15 Kempton (AW) St Lawrence Gap (IRE)J: Paul Hanagan 32Red HandicapClass 4 · 12f · Standard To Slow · 14 ran 5th 4/1

02 Oct 15 Wolverhampton (AW) The Dancing Lord (GB)J: Hector Crouch Susan Box Memorial HandicapClass 5 · 9.5f · Standard · 12 ran 3rd 80/1

25 Sep 15 Haydock St Lawrence Gap (IRE)J: J F Egan JW Lees Bitter 1828 HandicapClass 3 · 14f · Soft · 6 ran 5th 12/1

22 Sep 15 Kempton (AW) Mikiteri (IRE)J: Tom Eaves 32Red Casino Nursery (Div 1)Class 6 · 6f · Standard To Slow · 12 ran 4th 14/1

17 Sep 15 Chelmsford City (AW) Beach Plaza (IRE)J: Tom Eaves mytotepool.com HandicapClass 6 · 6f · Standard · 11 ran 11th 33/1

14 Sep 15 Wolverhampton (AW) The Dancing Lord (GB)J: Harry Poulton Compare The Odds At bookies.com HandicapClass 5 · 7f · Standard · 11 ran 10th 18/1

07 Sep 15 Windsor Beach Plaza (IRE)J: Tom Queally Unibet Offer Daily Jockey/Trainer Specials HandicapClass 6 · 6f · Good · 11 ran 8th 28/1

05 Sep 15 Kempton (AW) St Lawrence Gap (IRE)J: Tom Eaves Win A Football Fortune With Scoop6Soccer HandicapClass 4 · 16f · Standard To Slow · 9 ran 2nd 12/1

01 Sep 15 Epsom Downs Cahala Dancer (IRE)J: Harry Poulton Combined Services HandicapClass 5 · 10f · Soft · 6 ran 2nd 10/11F

24 Aug 15 Brighton Cahala Dancer (IRE)J: Harry Poulton Yesss Electrical Handicap (Div 2)Class 6 · 8f · Soft · 9 ran 1st 5/2F

24 Aug 15 Kempton (AW) Mikiteri (IRE)J: Tom Eaves British Stallion Studs EBF Maiden Fillies' Stakes (Plus 10) (Div 2)Class 4 · 7f · Standard To Slow · 9 ran 6th 33/1

23 Aug 15 Brighton Intrepid (IRE)J: Harry Poulton Papajohns Pizza HandicapClass 5 · 6f · Good To Soft · 8 ran 7th 3/1F

21 Aug 15 Salisbury St Lawrence Gap (IRE)J: George Buckell Westover Group HandicapClass 5 · 14f · Good · 8 ran 8th 5/2F

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is Robert Mills's strike rate?: Robert Mills has won 54 of 509 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 10.6% (as at 15 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does Robert Mills do best at?: Lingfield (AW) by strike rate: 19 wins from 105 runners (18.1%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Who rides most for Robert Mills?: Stevie Donohoe, with 71 runners since 2008 — 14% of the total. That pairing has won 7 (9.9%).
What is Robert Mills's Fair A/E?: 0.93, from 507 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.