Skip to content
Trainer profile

Ted Powell

79 runners in the lifetime window · 5 individual horses
As at 15 Oct 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily
Last runner May 2016 100% of runners on the flat
No runners in the last 5 seasons — showing the lifetime record, from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it.
11–79
Wins / Runs
13.9%
Strike rate
n=79
26 (33%)
Placed
1.59
Fair A/E
n=79 · 1.36 incl. margin
−1.32
£1 level stake
n=79 at SP · −1.7%
£109k
Prize money (window)
Strike by season
0%

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 13.9% baseline
Fresh · 61+ days off
16.7%+2.8
n=18 · A/E 1.86 · £1 +1.80
New recruits · first run for the yard
0%−13.9
n=4 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −4.00
First-time headgear · true-first definition
0%−13.9
n=2 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −2.00
Headgear returns · back on after a bare run
0%−13.9
n=2 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −2.00
When favourite
37.5%
n=8 · A/E 1.67 · £1 +3.18
Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle
16.7%+2.8
n=24 · A/E 2.11 · £1 +21.50
Group / Graded races · pattern & listed
0%−13.9
n=3 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −3.00

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 13.9% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, not tips. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline
At trips under 6f 23.8% vs 13.9% · n=42
Off a 15-30-day break 22.6% vs 13.9% · n=31
On Standard (AW) going 5.9% vs 13.9% · n=34
In Flat races 13.9% vs 13.9% · n=79 · A/E 1.59
Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Going

GoingRWSR£1
Standard (AW) 34 2 5.9% −15.20
Good 20 4 20% +10.00
Good to Firm 11 2 18.2% +0.00
Soft 10 3 30% +7.88
Good to Soft 3 0 0% −3.00
Firm 1 0 0% −1.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1
Lingfield (AW) 22 2 9.1% −3.20
Kempton (AW) 12 0 0% −12.00
Sandown 8 1 12.5% +1.00
Goodwood 8 0 0% −8.00
Ascot 7 1 14.3% −1.00
Lingfield 6 1 16.7% −3.12
Brighton 4 2 50% +7.00
Doncaster 4 0 0% −4.00
Leicester 3 3 100% +14.00
Windsor 2 0 0% −2.00
Epsom Downs 2 1 50% +11.00
Newbury 1 0 0% −1.00

Class

ClassRWSR£1
Class 5 21 4 19% −5.32
Class 6 16 1 6.3% +1.00
Class 2 15 0 0% −15.00
Class 3 15 5 33.3% +24.00
Class 4 9 1 11.1% −3.00
Class 1 3 0 0% −3.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1
Favourite 10 4 40% 1.76 +7.18
2nd–3rd fav 11 3 27.3% 1.68 +4.50
4th–6th fav 17 3 17.6% 2.08 +15.00
7th+ in betting 41 1 2.4% 0.71 −28.00
Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first
HorseRWPlLast ran
Ajjaadd (USA)from Saeed bin Suroor 49 10 23 1 Aug 15
Snow King (USA)from John Gosden 19 1 2 25 May 16
Cormorant Wharf (IRE) 4 0 0 30 Aug 08
Leptis Magna (GB)from Raymond York · then Raymond York 2 0 0 5 Aug 09
All 5 horses sent out in this window. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.
Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 5 horses listed, 4 arrived from another yard in our archive; 1 had its first archived run for this yard.

2 have since run for another yard; 3 have no later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

When the yard fires

strike by month, lifetime
JFMAMJJASOND
0500501120118400110
A flat yard: the season runs Mar–Oct. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first
RiderRWSR£1
William Twiston-Davies 16 2 12.5% +1.50
Steve Drowne 14 2 14.3% −6.20
Kieran O'Neill 8 3 37.5% +13.50
Jim Crowley 6 0 0% −6.00
Rob Hornby 5 1 20% +12.00
Eoin Walsh 4 0 0% −4.00
J-P Guillambert 3 1 33.3% −0.12
George Baker 3 1 33.3% +2.00
Adam Carter 2 0 0% −2.00
Richard Mullen 2 1 50% +4.00
Kevin Stott 2 0 0% −2.00
Mr David Turner 1 0 0% −1.00
Muted rows are under 30 rides.

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2005→
13
Archived wins
£120k
Prize money
2011
Best season · 4 wins
In our archive from its very first year (2005), so this career almost certainly began earlier than our record does. The figures above count 2005 onwards only — what the archive holds, not a full-career total. This card is the full archive census (2005→); the statistics in the header aggregate from 2008 — the floor that guarantees every horse a complete captured career — so this card can legitimately show more wins than the header.
Ajjaadd (USA) — Investec Wealth & Investment Handicap Epsom Downs · Apr 2013 · Class 3
£12,450
Ajjaadd (USA) — newcalltelecom.co.uk Handicap Sandown · Aug 2011 · Class 3
£8,093
Ajjaadd (USA) — Prestwold Conditions Stakes Leicester · Sep 2014 · Class 3
£7,561

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip
Elusive Quality (USA) 16.2% · 11–68
Progeny have won 12.3% of 3,387 runs since 2008 (333 horses). Weakest on Good to Soft going: 7.9% from 280. Strongest at trips under 6f (all codes): 16% from 319.
Josr Algarhoud (IRE) 0% · 0–5
Progeny have won 8.4% of 1,548 runs since 2008 (146 horses).
Alzao (USA) 0% · 0–4
Progeny have won 10.2% of 381 runs since 2008 (42 horses).
Danehill Dancer (IRE) 0% · 0–2
Progeny have won 11.2% of 10,094 runs since 2008 (783 horses). Weakest over 2m5f – 3m (all codes): 6.2% from 130.
Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 15 Oct 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 114 · newest first

The latest 50 of 114 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 5 January 2005 to 25 May 2016.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is Ted Powell's strike rate?
Ted Powell has won 11 of 79 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 13.9% (as at 15 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
What is Ted Powell's Fair A/E?
1.59, from 79 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%". Three sample sizes are reported and never blended: runs (n), the ROI basis (n at SP), and the fair-A/E basis (n with a computed fair probability).

Strike rate is wins over all runs (n). ROI is £1 level stakes at SP over runs with a parseable price (n at SP). Fair A/E is wins over margin-stripped market expectation, over runs with a computed fair probability (n fair). The three Ns can legitimately differ and are always shown. Figures as at 15 October 2026, computed from our own results archive (2005 onwards; aggregates from 2008).