What is Aaron Jones's strike rate?

Aaron Jones has won 79 of 987 rides since 2008, a strike rate of 8% (as at 15 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.

Which course does Aaron Jones do best at?

Southwell (AW) by strike rate: 10 wins from 62 rides (16.1%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most rides on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.

Which yard does Aaron Jones ride most for?

Stuart Williams, with 371 rides since 2008 — 38% of the total. That pairing has won 44 (11.9%).

What is Aaron Jones's Fair A/E?

0.93, from 977 rides with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.

Jockey profile

Aaron Jones

987 rides in the lifetime window · 461 individual horses

As at 15 Oct 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily

Last ride Aug 2019 100% of rides on the flat

Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2012→)

No rides in the last 5 seasons — showing the lifetime record, from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it.

79–987

Wins / Runs

Strike rate

n=987

216 (22%)

Placed

0.93

Fair A/E

n=977 · 0.81 incl. margin

−380.48

£1 level stake

n=987 at SP · −38.5%

£736k

Prize money (window)

Strike by season

3.6%

KTB Rider Profile

Rode around 120 times a season, almost all on the flat, winning on 8% of them — a touch below the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 0.93). Riding last-time-out winners the record reads 10% (93 rides).

Deterministic profile computed from 987 archived runs (lifetime window) · updated 15 Oct 2026

KTB at a glance Fired Dec–Mar Fresh horses: 9.4% 26.9% when favourite Stuart Williams: 11.9% from 371 Rode the favourite in 5% of races

The read

The record is strongest at Southwell (AW) (16.1%, n=62), Yarmouth (14.3%, n=35) and Wolverhampton (AW) (12.4%, n=145) — all clear of the rider's 8% baseline. Rides in big fields of 14 or more have been a poor signal at 2.9% (n=105, Fair A/E 0.64). Stuart Williams supplied 38% of the rides and edges the rider's average (11.9% vs 8%, A/E 1.02) — the market has that partnership priced right. The record read poorly in Class 3 — 1.5% over 65 rides, 6.5pts below the baseline. One Group or Graded win sits in the archive record — the biggest prize the rider has landed: the totescoop6 Heritage Handicap at Ascot (Jul 2016, £62,250). Seasonally, the rider fired Dec–Mar.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Riding patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 8% baseline

First ride on the horse · first captured pairing

8%+0.0

n=461 · A/E 1.14 · £1 −134.99

Last-time-out winners · previous run was a win

9.7%+1.7

n=93 · A/E 0.66 · £1 −40.52

Fresh horses · 61+ days off

9.4%+1.4

n=138 · A/E 1.43 · £1 −64.34

When favourite

26.9%

n=52 · A/E 0.95 · £1 −9.48

Claiming rides · riding with a claim

7.7%−0.3

n=905 · A/E 0.91 · £1 −345.08

Big fields · 14+ runners

2.9%−5.1

n=105 · A/E 0.64 · £1 −74.00

Group / Graded races · pattern & listed

33.3%+25.3

n=3 · A/E 7.00 · £1 +6.00

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 8% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, not tips. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. First rides are the first captured pairing of horse and rider; last-time-out winners are horses whose previous captured run was a win; claiming rides are runs where the rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline

At Southwell (AW) 16.1% vs 8% · n=62

In Class 3 1.5% vs 8% · n=65

With Stuart Williams 11.9% vs 8% · n=371

On Soft going 2.1% vs 8% · n=48

At Yarmouth 14.3% vs 8% · n=35

At Wolverhampton (AW) 12.4% vs 8% · n=145

Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Going

GoingRWSR£1

Standard (AW) 546 55 10.1% −148.98

Good to Firm 181 12 6.6% −84.50

Good 108 5 4.6% −59.00

Good to Soft 81 4 4.9% −36.00

Soft 48 1 2.1% −40.50

Firm 14 2 14.3% −2.50

Heavy 9 0 0% −9.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1

Wolverhampton (AW) 145 18 12.4% +9.25

Chelmsford (AW) 128 13 10.2% −34.62

Lingfield (AW) 108 10 9.3% −45.00

Kempton (AW) 90 4 4.4% −53.50

Southwell (AW) 62 10 16.1% −12.11

Newmarket 43 3 7% +6.00

Brighton 40 2 5% −33.00

Yarmouth 35 5 14.3% +7.00

Leicester 31 2 6.5% −16.50

Doncaster 25 0 0% −25.00

Lingfield 24 3 12.5% +6.00

Newmarket 21 0 0% −21.00

Ascot 21 1 4.8% −12.00

Nottingham 21 2 9.5% −6.00

Bath 20 2 10% −4.00

Class

ClassRWSR£1

Class 6 339 29 8.6% −82.11

Class 5 326 27 8.3% −168.37

Class 4 159 13 8.2% −47.25

Class 2 90 8 8.9% −24.25

Class 3 65 1 1.5% −59.50

Class 7 5 0 0% −5.00

Class 1 3 1 33.3% +6.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1

Favourite 67 17 25.4% 0.93 −7.98

2nd–3rd fav 172 35 20.3% 1.31 +32.50

4th–6th fav 319 17 5.3% 0.66 −171.00

7th+ in betting 429 10 2.3% 0.67 −234.00

Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Horses ridden

same window as header · most-raced first

HorseRWPlLast ran

Pactolus (IRE) 27 4 10 12 Feb 18

Welease Bwian (IRE) 26 3 8 2 Feb 17

Doctor Parkes (GB) 26 2 7 14 Sep 16

Royal Birth (GB) 21 4 10 10 Feb 18

Bring On A Spinner (GB) 14 4 4 12 Jul 17

Daisy Boy (IRE) 13 3 3 13 Jun 17

Seaview (GB) 12 1 4 30 Jan 18

Monna Valley (GB) 12 1 2 27 Mar 17

Ruban (IRE) 12 2 5 19 Oct 16

Upavon (GB) 11 0 4 25 Jan 18

Excellent George (GB) 10 3 6 7 Feb 18

Derek Duval (USA) 8 2 4 3 Feb 18

The 60 most-raced of 461 horses ridden in this window. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.

By month

strike by month, lifetime

JFMAMJJASOND

12141269586511310

A flat rider: the season runs Mar–Oct. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Riding for

same window · biggest samples first

Main yardStuart Williams

38% of all rides
11.9% SR · A/E 1.02

TrainerRWSR£1

Stuart Williams 371 44 11.9% −90.33

David Brown 45 2 4.4% −39.65

Gay Kelleway 41 4 9.8% +18.50

Marco Botti 30 1 3.3% −23.00

Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2012→

Archived wins

Pattern / graded wins

£736k

Prize money

2016

Best season · 24 wins

Royal Birth (GB) — totescoop6 Heritage Handicap Ascot · Jul 2016 · Class 2

£62,250

The Feathered Nest (IRE) — Adnams Sole Star Handicap Newmarket · Jul 2017 · Class 2

£28,013

Royal Birth (GB) — Betway Hever Sprint Stakes (Listed) Lingfield (AW) · Feb 2017 · Listed

£25,520

Notable horses

Pactolus (IRE) Royal Birth (GB) Bring On A Spinner (GB) Welease Bwian (IRE) Daisy Boy (IRE) Excellent George (GB)

Sires of the horses ridden

progeny record · win % by ground and trip

Kheleyf (USA) 11.3% · 8–71

Progeny have won 8.7% of 10,540 runs since 2008 (676 horses). Strongest on Firm going: 12.2% from 131. Weakest over 1m2f – 1m4f (all codes): 5.6% from 879.

Exceed and Excel (AUS) 15.7% · 8–51

Progeny have won 11.8% of 16,019 runs since 2008 (1,161 horses). Strongest on Firm going: 20.7% from 198. Weakest on Soft going: 7.9% from 1,194.

Footstepsinthesand (GB) 12.5% · 4–32

Progeny have won 10.2% of 12,765 runs since 2008 (936 horses). Weakest over 2m1f – 2m4f (all codes): 6.9% from 320.

Diktat (GB) 7.7% · 2–26

Progeny have won 8.2% of 4,931 runs since 2008 (337 horses). Strongest at trips under 6f (all codes): 11.4% from 431. Weakest over 2m5f – 3m (all codes): 5.1% from 156.

Oasis Dream (GB) 13% · 3–23

Progeny have won 11.8% of 17,986 runs since 2008 (1,508 horses). Strongest on Firm going: 17.3% from 150. Weakest on Heavy going: 8.5% from 481. Weakest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 7.1% from 790.

Mount Nelson (GB) 11.1% · 2–18

Progeny have won 9.9% of 6,249 runs since 2008 (537 horses).

Top line: the rider's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 15 Oct 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 987 · newest first

The latest 50 of 987 archived rides, newest first. The full record runs from 11 October 2012 to 23 August 2019.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP

23 Aug 19 Chelmsford City (AW) Better Than Ever (IRE)T: Marco Botti Book Tickets At Chelmsfordcityracecourse.com HandicapClass 5 · 10f · Standard · 9 ran 8th 8/1

03 Aug 19 Doncaster Withoutdestination (GB)T: Marco Botti Eric Roberts Memorial HandicapClass 4 · 12f · Soft · 6 ran 2nd 14/1

01 Aug 19 Nottingham Inteldream (GB)T: Marco Botti Mansionbet Novice Median Auction StakesClass 6 · 8.5f · Soft · 12 ran 11th 25/1

27 Jul 19 Newcastle (AW) Sunstorm (GB)T: Stef Keniry Collingwood Over 50's Insurance HandicapClass 6 · 8f · Standard · 13 ran 13th 15/2

17 Jul 19 Wolverhampton (AW) Hidden Dream (FR)T: John Butler Hellermanntyton/Edmundson Electrical HandicapClass 6 · 7f · Standard · 12 ran 6th 50/1

15 Jul 19 Wolverhampton (AW) Keep On Laughing (IRE)T: John Butler Follow At The Races On Twitter Novice Median Auction StakesClass 6 · 9.5f · Standard · 11 ran 11th 16/1

15 Jul 19 Wolverhampton (AW) Genuine Approval (IRE)T: John Butler Visit The Black Country Classified Claiming StakesClass 6 · 12f · Standard · 11 ran 1st 40/1

10 Jul 19 Kempton (AW) Mr Spirit (IRE)T: Marco Botti Wise Betting At racingtv.com HandicapClass 6 · 8f · Standard To Slow · 13 ran 9th 25/1

29 Jun 19 Doncaster Lady Red Moon (GB)T: Marco Botti Panelcraft Superior Access Panels EBF Fillies' Novice Median Auction Stakes (Plus 10)Class 5 · 7f · Good To Firm · 6 ran 3rd 11/1

29 Jun 19 York Buyer Beware (IRE)T: Liam Bailey Visit sunracing.co.uk For Top Bookmaker Offers HandicapClass 4 · 16.5f · Good To Firm · 13 ran 3rd 25/1

13 Jun 19 Newbury Storm Girl (GB)T: Michael Attwater Be Wiser Insurance Handicap (Str)Class 5 · 7f · Soft · 11 ran 9th 40/1

11 Jun 19 Lingfield (AW) Fata Morgana (GB)T: Christine Dunnett Welcome Back Hamways & Guests Selling StakesClass 6 · 6f · Standard · 5 ran RR 100/1

04 Jun 19 Lingfield (AW) Thunder And Light (GB)T: Marco Botti Follow At The Races On Twitter Novice StakesClass 5 · 10f · Standard · 13 ran 9th 33/1

01 Jun 19 Lingfield With Pride (GB)T: Clare Ellam Visit attheraces.com HandicapClass 6 · 10f · Good To Firm · 13 ran 6th 50/1

31 May 19 Doncaster Nathanielhawthorne (GB)T: Marco Botti Pinders Supporting Weston Park Cancer Charity HandicapClass 5 · 12f · Good To Firm · 12 ran 8th 16/1

31 May 19 Doncaster Better Than Ever (IRE)T: Marco Botti Weldricks Pharmacy Supporting WPCC Novice Stakes (Str)Class 5 · 8f · Good To Firm · 7 ran 3rd 20/1

30 May 19 Yarmouth Fata Morgana (GB)T: Christine Dunnett Follow At The Races On Twitter HandicapClass 6 · 8f · Good To Firm · 10 ran 10th 66/1

25 May 19 Salisbury Universal Song (GB)T: Seamus Mullins Derek Burridge Golf & Racing Trophies HandicapClass 6 · 12f · Good To Firm · 11 ran 8th 33/1

25 May 19 Salisbury Scarlet Red (GB)T: Malcolm Saunders Saunton Sands Hotel North Devon Maiden StakesClass 5 · 6f · Good To Firm · 13 ran 12th 100/1

23 May 19 Chelmsford City (AW) Thunder And Light (GB)T: Marco Botti Extra Places At totesport.com Novice StakesClass 4 · 8f · Standard · 16 ran 6th 50/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is Aaron Jones's strike rate?: Aaron Jones has won 79 of 987 rides since 2008, a strike rate of 8% (as at 15 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does Aaron Jones do best at?: Southwell (AW) by strike rate: 10 wins from 62 rides (16.1%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most rides on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Which yard does Aaron Jones ride most for?: Stuart Williams, with 371 rides since 2008 — 38% of the total. That pairing has won 44 (11.9%).
What is Aaron Jones's Fair A/E?: 0.93, from 977 rides with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.