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Trainer profile

W J Bryson

101 runners in the lifetime window · 25 individual horses
As at 6 Nov 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily
Last runner 67 days ago 93% of runners over jumps
Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2008→)
from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it
1–101
Wins / Runs
1%
Strike rate
n=101
4 (4%)
Placed
0.40
Fair A/E
n=101 · 0.32 incl. margin
−92.00
£1 level stake
n=101 at SP · −91.1%
£18,087
Prize money (window)
Strike by season
0%
KTB Yard Profile

Sends out around 10 runners a season, almost all over hurdles and fences, winning with 1% of them — a touch below the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 0.40).

Deterministic profile computed from 101 archived runs (lifetime window) · updated 6 Nov 2026
KTB at a glance Claiming riders: 1.1%

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 1% baseline
Fresh · 61+ days off
0%−1.0
n=34 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −34.00
New recruits · first run for the yard
0%−1.0
n=2 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −2.00
Debutants · first career start
0%−1.0
n=21 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −21.00
First-time headgear · true-first definition
0%−1.0
n=5 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −5.00
Headgear returns · back on after a bare run
0%−1.0
n=1 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −1.00
Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle
1.1%+0.1
n=87 · A/E 0.46 · £1 −78.00
Group / Graded races · pattern & listed
0%−1.0
n=1 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −1.00

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 1% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races. The same beliefs, tested across every yard and every GB and Irish race since 2005: Racing myths.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline
With a new jockey booking 0% vs 1% · n=56 · A/E 0.00
In Hurdle races 0% vs 1% · n=53 · A/E 0.00
Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1
Hurdle 53 0 0% −53.00
NH Flat 34 1 2.9% −25.00
Chase 7 0 0% −7.00
Flat 7 0 0% −7.00

Going

GoingRWSR£1
Soft 41 0 0% −41.00
Good 40 1 2.5% −31.00
Good to Soft 10 0 0% −10.00
Heavy 8 0 0% −8.00
Firm 1 0 0% −1.00
Good to Firm 1 0 0% −1.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1
Downpatrick 46 1 2.2% −37.00
Down Royal 39 0 0% −39.00
Navan 4 0 0% −4.00
Punchestown 3 0 0% −3.00
Ayr 3 0 0% −3.00
Kilbeggan 2 0 0% −2.00
Fairyhouse 1 0 0% −1.00
Gowran Park 1 0 0% −1.00
Sligo 1 0 0% −1.00
Thurles 1 0 0% −1.00

Class

ClassRWSR£1
Class 4 2 0 0% −2.00
Class 1 1 0 0% −1.00
Class 3 1 0 0% −1.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1
2nd–3rd fav 3 0 0% 0.00 −3.00
4th–6th fav 27 1 3.7% 0.96 −18.00
7th+ in betting 71 0 0% 0.00 −71.00
Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Jumping record

completion over obstacles · same window as header
81.7% completed · 60 obstacle runners (chases & hurdles)
CodeRCompFURPUBDOth
Chase 7 71.4% 1 0 0 1 0
Hurdle 53 83% 0 1 7 1 0
Chases and hurdles only — bumpers have no obstacles, so completion is not a question there. F fell · UR unseated rider · PU pulled up · BD brought down · Oth covers refusals, slip-ups, run-outs and the rare disqualification. Non-runners are excluded throughout. Rows under n=30 are shown faded. A descriptive record, not a tip.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first
HorseRWPlLast ran
Augusta George (IRE) 13 1 3 26 Dec 25
Sam Lorenzo (IRE) 13 0 1 3 Jun 22
The Miser (IRE) 11 0 0 19 May 23
Every River (GB) 10 0 0 15 Jun 25
Aye Paddy Too (IRE)from H Smyth · then H Smyth 8 0 0 26 Aug 16
Orena Bay (IRE) 6 0 0 30 Oct 20
Zagnzig (IRE)then H Smyth 6 0 0 30 Mar 16
Cross Court (IRE)then John C McConnell 5 0 0 17 Mar 23
Six Mile Suzy (IRE) 4 0 0 31 Aug 26
Lisnagreggan (IRE)then S Michael Millar 3 0 0 13 Jul 18
Brocks Brae (IRE)then S R B Crawford 3 0 0 30 Mar 08
Inspired Act (IRE) 2 0 0 14 Jul 25
All 25 horses sent out in this window. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.
Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 25 horses listed, 2 arrived from another yard in our archive; 23 had their first archived run for this yard.

9 have since run for another yard, most often for S Michael Millar (3) and H Smyth (2); 16 have no later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

When the yard fires

strike by month, lifetime
JFMAMJJASOND
0000000140000
A jumps yard: the season runs Oct–Apr. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first
Go-to riderMr N Gault
47% of all rides
2.1% SR · A/E 0.96
RiderRWSR£1
Mr N Gault 47 1 2.1% −38.00
Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2007→
1
Archived wins
£18,087
Prize money
2024
Best season · 1 win
This card is the full archive census (2005→); the statistics in the header aggregate from 2008 — the floor that guarantees every horse a complete captured career — so this card can legitimately show more wins than the header.
Augusta George (IRE) — Killultagh Estates Flat Race Downpatrick · Aug 2024
£5,900
Notable horses
Augusta George (IRE)

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip
Malinas (GER) 7.7% · 1–13
Progeny have won 14.2% of 3,957 runs since 2010 (419 horses).
Windsor Knot (IRE) 0% · 0–13
Progeny have won 8.5% of 1,319 runs since 2011 (81 horses). Strongest at trips under 6f (all codes): 13.8% from 109. Weakest over 1m2f – 1m4f (all codes): 5.5% from 127.
Yeats (IRE) 0% · 0–11
Progeny have won 11.9% of 9,844 runs since 2013 (707 horses). Weakest on Standard (AW) going: 6.9% from 204. Strongest beyond 3m (all codes): 15.2% from 820.
Gentlewave (IRE) 0% · 0–10
Progeny have won 13% of 1,658 runs since 2010 (219 horses). Weakest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 9.3% from 432.
Darsi (FR) 0% · 0–8
Progeny have won 7.1% of 1,116 runs since 2012 (112 horses).
Zagreb (USA) 0% · 0–7
Progeny have won 7.3% of 1,455 runs since 2008 (150 horses).
Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 6 Nov 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 103 · newest first

The latest 50 of 103 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 21 December 2007 to 31 August 2026.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP
31 Aug 26 Downpatrick (IRE) Six Mile Suzy (IRE)J: Shane O'Callaghan North Down Marquees Maiden Hurdle22f · Good · 9 ran PU 300/1
20 Jan 26 Down Royal Six Mile Suzy (IRE)J: Carl Millar Molson Coors Beverage Company Maiden Hurdle17f · Yielding To Soft · 20 ran 18th 250/1
26 Dec 25 Down Royal Six Mile Suzy (IRE)J: Ms E Dunseath BAR 1 Betting (Pro/Am) Flat Race17f · Yielding · 15 ran 15th 125/1
26 Dec 25 Down Royal Augusta George (IRE)J: Carl Millar Irish Stallion Farms EBF Maiden Hurdle20f · Yielding · 18 ran 18th 66/1
14 Jul 25 Downpatrick Inspired Act (IRE)J: Paddy Hanlon ITBA Mares Maiden Hurdle18f · Good · 12 ran 12th 150/1
15 Jun 25 Downpatrick Every River (GB)J: Niall Moore Cab Plant Handicap Hurdle (0-100)18f · Yielding To Soft · 11 ran 9th 33/1
23 May 25 Downpatrick Every River (GB)J: Niall Moore Down Royal Corporation Of Horse Breeders Handicap Hurdle (0-100)22f · Good · 9 ran 7th 50/1
05 May 25 Down Royal Inspired Act (IRE)J: Mr D McGill Energise (Pro/Am) Flat Race17.5f · Good · 10 ran 10th 28/1
05 May 25 Down Royal Every River (GB)J: Paddy Hanlon Ballygowan Maiden Hurdle (Div 1)17.5f · Good · 18 ran 14th 100/1
30 Apr 25 Punchestown Six Mile Suzy (IRE)J: Ms E Dunseath Weatherbys General Stud Book Irish EBF Mares Flat Race (Grade 3)16.5f · Yielding · 12 ran 12th 150/1
30 Mar 25 Downpatrick All Eyez On Me (GB)J: Danny Gilligan Pro Solar NI Maiden Hurdle22f · Good · 11 ran PU 150/1
28 Nov 24 Thurles All Eyez On Me (GB)J: Sam Ewing www.thurlesraces.ie Maiden Hurdle16f · Good · 8 ran 6th 9/1
01 Nov 24 Down Royal Augusta George (IRE)J: Mr N Gault Irish Stallion Farms European Breeders Fund Maiden Hurdle22.5f · Good To Yielding · 7 ran 6th 28/1
11 Oct 24 Downpatrick Augusta George (IRE)J: Mr N Gault I.N.H. Stallion Owners EBF Maiden Hurdle22f · Good To Yielding · 5 ran 2nd 5/1
06 Sep 24 Kilbeggan Augusta George (IRE)J: Niall Moore Adare Manor Opportunity Maiden Hurdle19f · Yielding · 16 ran 8th 16/1
11 Aug 24 Downpatrick Augusta George (IRE)J: Mr N Gault Killultagh Estates Flat Race19f · Good · 11 ran 1st 8/1
07 Jul 24 Sligo Augusta George (IRE)J: Mr N Gault Durkin Bros. Electrical Flat Race18.5f · Good · 10 ran 6th 40/1
16 Jun 24 Downpatrick Augusta George (IRE)J: Jake Coen Dunlop Homes Rated Novice Hurdle18f · Good · 8 ran 8th 9/1
15 Jun 24 Downpatrick Augusta George (IRE)J: Mr N Gault Download The New Tote App (Pro/Am) Flat Race19f · Good · 9 ran 2nd 33/1
02 Jun 24 Kilbeggan Augusta George (IRE)J: Mr N Gault Follow Kilbeggan On Facebook (Pro/Am) Flat Race16f · Good · 9 ran 5th 40/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is W J Bryson's strike rate?
W J Bryson has won 1 of 101 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 1% (as at 6 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does W J Bryson do best at?
Downpatrick by strike rate: 1 wins from 46 runners (2.2%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
What is W J Bryson's Fair A/E?
0.40, from 101 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%". Three sample sizes are reported and never blended: runs (n), the ROI basis (n at SP), and the fair-A/E basis (n with a computed fair probability).

Strike rate is wins over all runs (n). ROI is £1 level stakes at SP over runs with a parseable price (n at SP). Fair A/E is wins over margin-stripped market expectation, over runs with a computed fair probability (n fair). The three Ns can legitimately differ and are always shown. Figures as at 6 November 2026, computed from our own results archive (2005 onwards; aggregates from 2008).