What is X Thomas-Demeaulte's strike rate?

X Thomas-Demeaulte has won 109 of 916 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 11.9% (as at 5 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.

Which course does X Thomas-Demeaulte do best at?

Bordeaux Le Bouscat by strike rate: 10 wins from 41 runners (24.4%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.

Who rides most for X Thomas-Demeaulte?

Roberto-Carlos Montenegro, with 109 runners since 2008 — 12% of the total. That pairing has won 16 (14.7%).

Is X Thomas-Demeaulte in form?

Too few runners in the last 14 days to read — 7 runners, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.

What is X Thomas-Demeaulte's Fair A/E?

1.04, from 807 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.

Trainer profile

X Thomas-Demeaulte

916 runners in the lifetime window · 274 individual horses

As at 5 Nov 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily

Last runner 4 days ago 95% of runners on the flat

Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2008→)

from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it

109–916

Wins / Runs

11.9%

Strike rate

n=916

272 (30%)

Placed

1.04

Fair A/E

n=807 · 0.93 incl. margin

−71.21

£1 level stake

n=857 at SP · −8.3%

£3.79m

Prize money (window)

Strike by season

12.8%

KTB Yard Profile

Sends out around 50 runners a season, almost all on the flat, winning with 12% of them — beating the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 1.04). New recruits from other yards win at 19% first time out (36 runs).

Deterministic profile computed from 916 archived runs (lifetime window) · updated 5 Nov 2026

KTB at a glance Fires Sep–Jan 25.3% when favourite Roberto-Carlos Montenegro: 14.7% from 109 New recruits: 19.4% Sends off the favourite in 9% of races

The read

The record is strongest at Bordeaux Le Bouscat (24.4%, n=41) and Maisons-Laffitte (FR) (21.4%, n=42) — all clear of the yard's 11.9% baseline. It is weakest at Longchamp (FR) (3.7% over 109 runners) — the widest gap in the record. New recruits from other stables on their first run win at 19.4% (n=36, Fair A/E 1.39). Debutants are the standout value angle: 13% strikes only just above baseline, but Fair A/E 1.18 and +23.50 to a £1 stake over 238 runners — a record the market has persistently underpriced. Roberto-Carlos Montenegro rides 12% of the entries and edges the yard's average (14.7% vs 11.9%, A/E 1.67) — the partnership beats the margin-free market read. 18 Group and Graded wins sit in the archive record — the biggest prize the yard has landed: the Shadwell Rockfel Stakes at Newmarket (Sep 2016, £56,710). Seasonally, the yard fires Sep–Jan.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 11.9% baseline

Fresh · 61+ days off

11.9%+0.0

n=277 · A/E 0.91 · £1 −10.50

New recruits · first run for the yard

19.4%+7.5

n=36 · A/E 1.39 · £1 −7.90

Debutants · first career start

13%+1.1

n=238 · A/E 1.18 · £1 +23.50

First-time headgear · true-first definition

10.2%−1.7

n=128 · A/E 0.86 · £1 −45.10

Headgear returns · back on after a bare run

0%−11.9

n=16 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −13.00

When favourite

25.3%

n=87 · A/E 0.92 · £1 −11.54

Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle

11.5%−0.4

n=78 · A/E 1.26 · £1 +34.70

Group / Graded races · pattern & listed

9.2%−2.7

n=196 · A/E 1.09 · £1 −33.10

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 11.9% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races. The same beliefs, tested across every yard and every GB and Irish race since 2005: Racing myths.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline

At Bordeaux Le Bouscat 24.4% vs 11.9% · n=41

At Longchamp (FR) 3.7% vs 11.9% · n=109

On last-time-out winners 19.8% vs 11.9% · n=96

At Maisons-Laffitte (FR) 21.4% vs 11.9% · n=42

With new recruits 19.4% vs 11.9% · n=36

With C&D winners 18.1% vs 11.9% · n=72

Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1

Flat 874 104 11.9% −72.61

Hurdle 37 5 13.5% +6.40

Chase 5 0 0% −5.00

Going

GoingRWSR£1

Standard (AW) 257 35 13.6% −42.50

Soft 216 27 12.5% +30.51

Good 194 23 11.9% +3.93

Good to Soft 153 15 9.8% −65.85

Heavy 90 8 8.9% −7.30

Good to Firm 5 1 20% +10.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1

Deauville (FR) 214 24 11.2% −55.80

Chantilly (FR) 148 16 10.8% −47.00

Longchamp (FR) 109 4 3.7% −67.10

Saint-Cloud (FR) 84 7 8.3% −56.90

Toulouse 84 13 15.5% +57.74

La Teste De Buch 52 5 9.6% −7.90

Maisons-Laffitte (FR) 42 9 21.4% +21.20

Bordeaux Le Bouscat 41 10 24.4% +10.90

Auteuil (FR) 23 2 8.7% +8.20

Vichy 13 1 7.7% −6.90

Mont-De-Marsan 13 4 30.8% +35.80

Dax 12 1 8.3% −2.00

Pau 10 3 30% +0.20

Clairefontaine 8 1 12.5% +8.00

Fontainebleau 8 2 25% +12.60

Class

ClassRWSR£1

Class 1 212 19 9% −42.60

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1

Favourite 89 22 24.7% 0.90 −13.54

2nd–3rd fav 212 41 19.3% 1.24 +45.93

4th–6th fav 279 28 10% 1.19 −10.50

7th+ in betting 277 6 2.2% 0.50 −93.10

Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Distance

DistanceRWSR£1

1m – 1m1f 333 43 12.9% −37.39

1m2f – 1m4f 290 29 10% −27.62

6f – 7f 228 31 13.6% +11.30

2m1f – 2m4f 35 4 11.4% +3.90

1m5f – 2m 20 1 5% −15.50

Under 6f 10 1 10% −5.90

By season

By seasonRWSR£1

2008 17 2 11.8% —

2009 24 6 25% +0.00

2010 70 9 12.9% −2.80

2011 88 13 14.8% +11.60

2012 76 10 13.2% −16.60

2013 64 11 17.2% +9.10

2014 113 14 12.4% +36.90

2015 87 6 6.9% −56.50

2016 40 4 10% −6.10

2017 32 1 3.1% −26.20

2018 38 3 7.9% −12.30

2019 46 5 10.9% +13.80

2020 47 8 17% +60.50

2021 31 3 9.7% −11.80

2022 26 1 3.8% −21.70

2023 16 1 6.3% −9.70

2024 13 1 7.7% −9.60

2025 2 0 0% −2.00

2026 86 11 12.8% −27.81

Handicaps

HandicapsRWSR£1

Handicaps 260 17 6.5% −116.90

Field size

Field sizeRWSR£1

14-16 runners 262 24 9.2% −69.47

8-10 runners 195 21 10.8% −49.79

11-13 runners 161 12 7.5% −86.55

5-7 runners 131 26 19.8% +142.20

2-4 runners 86 22 25.6% +29.20

17+ runners 81 4 4.9% −36.80

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first

HorseRWPlLast ran

Complimentor (IRE) 21 3 14 6 Sep 15

Desilusion (FR) 15 2 5 19 Jul 15

Bilge Kagan (IRE)from E Danel · then P Monfort 15 0 5 14 Jun 15

Prince Nomad (FR)then Y Gourraud 14 1 2 6 Dec 15

Haigoa (FR) 14 3 4 22 Mar 15

Joropo (FR) 13 1 3 23 Nov 16

On Call Now (GB)then F Vermeulen 13 2 4 9 Sep 15

Macondo (FR) 13 1 2 12 Jun 11

Griegos (FR)then F Chappet 12 3 5 31 Mar 23

Lingering Dream (GB) 11 0 4 29 Nov 22

Ambition (GB) 11 3 5 11 Nov 21

Calamari (FR)then W Walton 11 1 5 2 Jun 15

Showing the 60 most-raced of the 274 horses sent out in this window — each ran at least 5 times. Horses with fewer runs aren't listed; search finds any horse since 2005. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.

Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 60 horses listed, 9 arrived from another yard in our archive, most often from J-C Rouget (2); 51 had their first archived run for this yard.

23 have since run for another yard, most often for C Lotoux (2) and P Monfort (2); 37 have no later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

Current form

significance-gated

Last 14 days

Small sample

3 from 7

Only 7 runners in the last 14 days — too few to read against the baseline (gate: n≥15). The card states the sample and stays neutral.

When the yard fires

strike by month, lifetime

JFMAMJJASOND

18513712710517142020

A flat yard: the season runs Mar–Oct. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first

Go-to riderRoberto-Carlos Montenegro

12% of all rides
14.7% SR · A/E 1.67

RiderRWSR£1

Roberto-Carlos Montenegro 109 16 14.7% +9.50

Guillaume Guedj-Gay 103 16 15.5% +47.64

Maxime Guyon 89 10 11.2% −29.70

Mickael Barzalona 84 11 13.1% −1.10

Ioritz Mendizabal 46 7 15.2% −18.80

Jimmy Martin 32 4 12.5% −9.50

Pierre-Charles Boudot 32 4 12.5% −6.80

Valentin Seguy 30 4 13.3% +13.60

Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2005→

111

Archived wins

Pattern / graded wins

£3.82m

Prize money

2014

Best season · 14 wins

In our archive from its very first year (2005), so this career almost certainly began earlier than our record does. The figures above count 2005 onwards only — what the archive holds, not a full-career total. This card is the full archive census (2005→); the statistics in the header aggregate from 2008 — the floor that guarantees every horse a complete captured career — so this card can legitimately show more wins than the header.

Spain Burg (FR) — Shadwell Rockfel Stakes (Fillies' Group 2) Newmarket · Sep 2016 · Group 2

£56,710

Balsam (FR) — Qatar Arabian Trophy Des Pouliches Saint-Cloud (FR) · Oct 2026 · Class 1

£50,000

Ambition (GB) — Prix Corrida (4yo+ Fillies & Mares) (Turf) Lyon Parilly (FR) · Jun 2020 · Group 2

£48,885

Notable horses

Complimentor (IRE) Haigoa (FR) Griegos (FR) Ambition (GB) My Virginia (FR) Stellar Path (FR)

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip

Acclamation (GB) 16.7% · 7–42

Progeny have won 10% of 19,711 runs since 2008 (1,327 horses). Strongest on Firm going: 15.2% from 151. Weakest over 2m1f – 2m4f (all codes): 6.7% from 195.

Footstepsinthesand (GB) 11.9% · 5–42

Progeny have won 10.2% of 12,805 runs since 2009 (937 horses). Weakest over 2m1f – 2m4f (all codes): 6.9% from 320.

Kingsalsa (USA) 0% · 0–16

Progeny have won 9.3% of 2,990 runs since 2008 (284 horses). Strongest over 2m5f – 3m (all codes): 12.7% from 110.

Turtle Bowl (IRE) 18.8% · 3–16

Progeny have won 9.6% of 1,307 runs since 2011 (145 horses). Strongest on Heavy going: 14% from 136. Weakest on Good going: 6.1% from 293. Strongest over 6f – 7f (all codes): 14.4% from 146.

Dyhim Diamond (IRE) 13.3% · 2–15

Progeny have won 10.2% of 372 runs since 2008 (48 horses). Weakest on Standard (AW) going: 7% from 115.

Elusive City (USA) 6.7% · 1–15

Progeny have won 9.7% of 8,428 runs since 2008 (636 horses). Weakest on Soft going: 6.4% from 1,123.

Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 5 Nov 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 928 · newest first

The latest 50 of 928 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 24 April 2005 to 1 November 2026.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP

01 Nov 26 Toulouse (FR) Spareo (FR)J: Guillaume Guedj-Gay Prix Mushrae8f · Soft · 5 ran 1st 2/1

01 Nov 26 Toulouse (FR) Neila Al Maury (FR)J: Guillaume Guedj-Gay Prix Hayyan8f · Soft · 8 ran 1st 10/11F

01 Nov 26 Toulouse (FR) Ska De L'aigle (FR)J: Hugo Mouesan French Arabian Breeders' Challenge Classic - Wathba Stallions11f · Soft · 7 ran 7th 33/1

01 Nov 26 Toulouse (FR) Maqbool (FR)J: Marvin Grandin French Arabian Breeders' Challenge Classic - Wathba Stallions11f · Soft · 7 ran 2nd 11/1

01 Nov 26 Toulouse (FR) Wala'a (FR)J: Guillaume Guedj-Gay French Arabian Breeders' Challenge Classic - Wathba Stallions11f · Soft · 7 ran 1st 9/1

29 Oct 26 Bordeaux Le Bouscat (FR) Bianca De Ghazal (FR)J: Hugo Mouesan Prix Jean Laborde7f · Heavy · 6 ran 3rd 10/1

26 Oct 26 Toulouse (FR) Gritti (GB)J: Guillaume Guedj-Gay Prix D'assezat8f · Soft · 8 ran 2nd 13/8

21 Oct 26 Pau (FR) Miramar (FR)J: Guillaume Guedj-Gay Prix Flipper10f · Standard · 15 ran 5th 6/1

21 Oct 26 Pau (FR) Hasna Grine (FR)J: Jean-Bernard Eyquem Prix Flipper10f · Standard · 15 ran 2nd 20/1

21 Oct 26 Pau (FR) Melodie Du Croate (FR)J: Guillaume Guedj-Gay Prix Rmmas10f · Standard · 7 ran 1st 6/4F

09 Oct 26 Toulouse (FR) Miss Des Vialettes (FR)J: Guillaume Guedj-Gay Prix Fleur D'avril - Veronique Briat8f · Very Soft · 8 ran 2nd 2/1

09 Oct 26 Toulouse (FR) Sora Yas (FR)J: Hugo Mouesan Prix Magnesie10.5f · Very Soft · 14 ran 9th 14/1

09 Oct 26 Toulouse (FR) Marayah (GB)J: S Topin Prix Magnesie10.5f · Very Soft · 14 ran 8th 11/1

09 Oct 26 Toulouse (FR) Al Safinat (FR)J: Guillaume Guedj-Gay Prix Magnesie10.5f · Very Soft · 14 ran 3rd 6/5F

09 Oct 26 Toulouse (FR) No Risk (FR)J: Guillaume Guedj-Gay Prix Gosse Du Bearn - Jean-luc Jardel10.5f · Very Soft · 16 ran 14th 2/1F

09 Oct 26 Toulouse (FR) Hk Aqeeq (FR)J: Hugo Mouesan Prix Gosse Du Bearn - Jean-luc Jardel10.5f · Very Soft · 16 ran 10th 18/1

09 Oct 26 Toulouse (FR) Ushaiqer (FR)J: Damien Morin Prix Gosse Du Bearn - Jean-luc Jardel10.5f · Very Soft · 16 ran 6th 80/1

09 Oct 26 Toulouse (FR) Qassem (FR)J: Anthony Crastus Prix Gosse Du Bearn - Jean-luc Jardel10.5f · Very Soft · 16 ran 5th 10/1

09 Oct 26 Toulouse (FR) Al Marid (FR)J: Maxime Foulon Prix Gosse Du Bearn - Jean-luc Jardel10.5f · Very Soft · 16 ran 4th 33/1

04 Oct 26 Longchamp (FR) Maqbool (FR)J: Marvin Grandin Qatar Arabian World CupClass 1 · 10f · Good To Soft · 12 ran 8th 100/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is X Thomas-Demeaulte's strike rate?: X Thomas-Demeaulte has won 109 of 916 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 11.9% (as at 5 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does X Thomas-Demeaulte do best at?: Bordeaux Le Bouscat by strike rate: 10 wins from 41 runners (24.4%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Who rides most for X Thomas-Demeaulte?: Roberto-Carlos Montenegro, with 109 runners since 2008 — 12% of the total. That pairing has won 16 (14.7%).
Is X Thomas-Demeaulte in form?: Too few runners in the last 14 days to read — 7 runners, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.
What is X Thomas-Demeaulte's Fair A/E?: 1.04, from 807 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.