5:05 Listowel
This 17-runner mares bumper at Listowel over 2m on good ground features a mix of debutants, lightly raced types and more exposed runners in a race where the KTB Fit ratings are tightly bunched at the top. The principals are headed by debutant Max Mayfield (54), narrowly ahead of Viva Laa Vida (52), The Ocean Queen (50), Peace Rose (49) and Anna Quaintance (47). With several horses having limited or no public form, the assessment for many rests heavily on pedigree, sales background and the respective trainer and jockey records at the track.
How the race shapes up
A strong pace is anticipated with two or more habitual front-runners present, including Anna Quaintance and Shuil Solas who tend to make the running or race prominently. This could set the race up for a late collapse, playing into the hands of hold-up horses such as Mistakenforanother, Streamhill, She Was The One and Killeedy. The key question is whether the prominent runners can dictate matters or if the race will fall apart late to suit those coming from off the pace.
The KTB Fit ranking
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1Max Mayfield KTB Selection54/100
Max Mayfield is a 5-year-old debutant with no racecourse experience, so the assessment rests entirely on pedigree and sales background. The yard has a modest 7% strike rate at Listowel from 29 runs yet shows a positive A/E of 1.32 which hints at some value when they send one here. Jockey Mr L P Barnett has no recorded rides at the track so that side remains neutral. As the KTB Selection he is rated the most likely on the supplied figures in a race where many others bring similarly limited information.
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2Viva Laa Vida52/100
Viva Laa Vida is a lightly raced 5-year-old with just one run to go on and therefore very little known about his ability. He drops back in trip to 2m today which poses a fresh question. Henry de Bromhead has a solid 15% strike rate at Listowel from 282 runs while jockey Mr J L Gleeson is operating at 21% from 28 rides here. The combination of yard and jockey form at the venue gives him a solid platform despite the lack of depth to his form.
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3The Ocean Queen50/100
The Ocean Queen is a debutant whose assessment rests mainly on pedigree and sales background. Gavin Cromwell has a solid 10% strike rate at Listowel from 215 runs while Mr D G Lavery has ridden 14% winners from his 21 rides here. First-time headgear is fitted for this 2m maiden. The yard and jockey combination at the track adds some interest to a horse with no public form.
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4Peace Rose49/100
Peace Rose is a 4-year-old debutant with no career runs. The yard and jockey both have limited experience at Listowel. Pedigree and sales background offer the only clues here, but with low data confidence the picture remains tentative. She is one of several in the field whose chance must be taken on very limited information.
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5Anna Quaintance47/100
Anna Quaintance is a lightly raced 4-year-old with just two runs to her name so far and recent form of 54. She drops back in trip to 2m today having failed to trouble the judge at that distance last time. Trainer Peter Fahey has an 11% strike rate from 106 runs at Listowel while jockey Mr A P Ryan is still seeking his first winner from 20 rides at the track. She tends to make the running or race on the pace and could be prominent in a race expected to be strongly run.
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6Certavi Et Vici47/100
Certavi Et Vici is a debutant with low data confidence so the assessment rests on pedigree and sales background. The yard has a 0% strike rate from 14 runs at Listowel while jockey Mr Finn Buckley has shown a solid 20% strike rate from just five rides here.
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7Miss Willow Grey46/100
Miss Willow Grey has only one run to her name and showed little on debut when finishing tailed off. She now drops back in trip to an untried 2m which asks a fresh question of her. Both the trainer at Listowel and the jockey at Listowel have only a tiny sample of rides here so their local record cannot be judged. She is usually held up and produces her effort late.
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8Mistakenforanother46/100
Mistakenforanother has shown fair placed form at this trip but his recent efforts have been patchy and he remains a maiden after five starts. The yard has a solid 9% strike rate at Listowel from a large sample while the jockey's 6% record from 18 rides is more modest. He is usually held up and produces his effort late.
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9She Was The One45/100
She Was The One has shown fair placed form in both starts this year, finishing third on her latest outing. She now drops back to 2m where she has been placed once from one run at the trip. The trainer holds a 6% strike rate at Listowel from 199 runs while the jockey is operating at 13% from 30 rides here, though the very light career record means this remains a cautious read. She is usually held up and produces her effort late.
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10Streamhill44/100
Streamhill has shown modest form at best in five runs, finishing no better than fifth on his last three starts. He drops back to 2m today where he remains winless from five attempts at the distance. Both trainer and jockey have very limited experience at Listowel so this is one to treat with caution. He is usually held up and produces his effort late.
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11Shuil Solas44/100
Shuil Solas is lightly raced with only two runs this year and a modest 59 on the recent form line. She drops back to 2m having failed to trouble the judge at the trip in either start. Trainer holds an 8 percent strike rate from 12 runs here while jockey is 10 percent from 87 rides at Listowel. She tends to make the running or race on the pace.
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12Killeedy44/100
Killeedy has shown only modest form in two starts so far, finishing fourth and fifth. The drop back to 2m poses a fresh question having last run over 2m3f. Trainer and jockey both hold strong records at Listowel. He is usually held up and produces his effort late.
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13Discussion42/100
Discussion has shown some ability, finishing second on hurdling debut and placing again over this trip, though his recent efforts have been modest. He drops back in trip today having last run over 2m0½f. The trainer has only had two runners at Listowel so far while the jockey operates at a 13% strike rate here from 47 rides. He is usually held up and produces his effort late.
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14Birdie Conway42/100
Birdie Conway has only one run to his name, a modest sixth on debut over this trip, so the form is hard to weigh up with any confidence. The yard has a solid 10% strike-rate at Listowel from a large sample of runners. The 7 lb claimer is unproven here and the going remains an unknown on such limited evidence.
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15Feeling Lucky41/100
Feeling Lucky is a debutant with no recent or career jumps form to go on. The yard has a 0% strike rate from 12 runs at Listowel while the jockey has managed only a 5% strike rate from 43 rides here. Pedigree and sales background will have to carry the assessment but with low data confidence this one is hard to weigh up.
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16Orbital Ocean40/100
Orbital Ocean is a newcomer with no racecourse experience so the form assessment rests entirely on pedigree and connections. The yard has a modest 7% strike rate at Listowel from 54 runs while the 7 lb claiming jockey is still seeking her first winner here from seven rides. Data confidence is low given the complete lack of public form.
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17An Lachin Beag39/100
An Lachin Beag has shown some ability on his better days, finishing placed twice at this trip without winning, though his recent form of 30-F4 includes a fall and a modest fourth. The yard has a 0% strike rate from 14 runs at Listowel. This looks a fairly exposed profile for a 6-year-old with only four career runs and the jockey has had too few rides here to judge. He usually races handily, on or close to the lead.
KTB verdict
Max Mayfield is the KTB Selection. As a debutant with no racecourse experience the case rests on pedigree, sales background and the yard's positive A/E of 1.32 at Listowel despite a modest 7% strike rate. In a race where many contenders bring limited public form this looks as good a place as any to start. The main dangers are Viva Laa Vida, who brings the strong Henry de Bromhead and Mr J L Gleeson combination at the track, and The Ocean Queen who also has solid yard and jockey figures at Listowel despite being a first-timer. Hold-up types could be favoured if the strong pace materialises as expected.
KTB Selection Max Mayfield
Morning odds
Best available price per runner, captured 00:00 UTC, 25 Sep. These are a morning snapshot and will have moved — see the live racecard for current prices.
| Runner | Morning price | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|
| Max Mayfield | 25/1 | Dragon Bet |
| Viva Laa Vida | 5/2 | Bet365 |
| The Ocean Queen | 11/1 | Bet365 |
| Peace Rose | 66/1 | BetTom |
| Anna Quaintance | 11/1 | Bet365 |
| Certavi Et Vici | 100/1 | Dragon Bet |
| Miss Willow Grey | 150/1 | Dragon Bet |
| Mistakenforanother | 20/1 | BetTom |
| She Was The One | 4/1 | BetTom |
| Streamhill | 50/1 | Dragon Bet |
| Shuil Solas | 7/2 | BetTom |
| Killeedy | 9/2 | Dragon Bet |
| Discussion | 25/1 | BetTom |
| Birdie Conway | 17/2 | Dragon Bet |
| Feeling Lucky | 66/1 | BetTom |
| Orbital Ocean | 12/1 | Bet365 |
| An Lachin Beag | 50/1 | Dragon Bet |
This is the narrative read of the 5:05 Listowel. For the live card — runner-by-runner stats, the full Fit Score breakdown and current odds — see the Listowel racecard. Every result we hold for the track is on the Listowel results & records page. New here? How KTB works explains the Fit Score and why we publish both.
Questions about this race
Which horse is the KTB Selection?
Max Mayfield
What is the expected pace shape of the race?
Strong pace likely with two or more habitual front-runners, which could collapse late and favour hold-up horses.
Which runners are noted as tending to make the running or race prominently?
Anna Quaintance and Shuil Solas.
Which horses usually race held up and produce their effort late?
Miss Willow Grey, Mistakenforanother, She Was The One, Streamhill, Killeedy and Discussion.
How many debutants are in the field?
Max Mayfield, The Ocean Queen, Peace Rose, Certavi Et Vici, Feeling Lucky and Orbital Ocean.
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