1:19 Ffos Las
This Class 6 handicap over six furlongs at Ffos Las on soft ground brings together a field of twelve limited performers where the KTB Fit scores top out at just 60. The race lacks an obvious leader and is expected to be a steadily-run, tactical affair in which being handy could prove advantageous. Up The Anti heads the KTB Fit ratings as the selection, though several others arrive in comparable modest form and the overall standard is low.
How the race shapes up
With no one obviously wanting the lead the pace is set to be steady rather than searching, making this a tactical race where prominent runners should be advantaged and those held up will need to time their efforts precisely. Macarone is the one most likely to race handily while the majority of the field, including the selection Up The Anti, prefer to be held up and produce their effort late. The key question is whether the selection can find the necessary spark from off the pace on soft ground he has never tried, or whether one of the course-proven runners can take advantage of a relatively kind pace shape.
The KTB Fit ranking
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1Up The Anti KTB Selection60/100
Up The Anti is a limited performer who has been placed on his only previous visit to Ffos Las. He steps up to 6f today having won at the trip in the past yet his recent form has been poor and he is unproven on soft ground. The trainer holds a solid record at the track while the 5lb claimer is hard to assess with so few rides here. Usually held up, he produces his effort late and should be suited by the steadily-run nature of the race. His placed effort over course and distance offers some hope in a modest event, though the combination of soft ground and recent poor efforts means he will need to improve on the balance of his form.
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2Macarone51/100
Macarone is a limited-class performer who has shown enough at this track to win once from two runs here. He arrives in decent form having won two of his last three starts and has a solid record at today's trip with four wins from 15 attempts. The yard's modest 8% strike-rate at Ffos Las and the jockey's 6% record from 16 rides here add a note of caution. Usually racing handily, on or close to the lead, he is well placed to take advantage of the lack of obvious pace on the front end. He has placed once from three starts on soft ground without winning, which is another small plus in the conditions.
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3Miss Gold51/100
Miss Gold has shown very little in five runs to date and remains a limited performer on her best figures. She has been well beaten both starts at this track and is stepping back up to 6f having failed to make an impact at the trip before. The trainer and jockey both hold solid records here though any improvement would still need to be marked. Drawn low in stall 2 she could be afforded an economical trip, yet her form offers little encouragement that she can suddenly find the required progress on soft ground she has never encountered.
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4The Bear of Saints49/100
The Bear of Saints is a limited performer who has shown only modest form in seven starts and looks up against it in this company. Steps up to 6f today having been placed once at the trip without winning, though the move from 5f raises a fresh question. Trainer has an 8% strike rate here from 111 runs while jockey records 12% from 52 rides. Usually held up, he produces his effort late and should be suited by a steadily-run race, but his overall profile suggests he will struggle to make a serious impact from stall 4.
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5Music And Song48/100
Music And Song is a limited performer who has failed to land a blow in six starts this year and looks no better than modest on recent ratings. The trainer has a strong record at Ffos Las but this one is unproven on soft ground and has never won over today's trip. Jockey is solid here with a 20% strike rate from plenty of rides. Usually held up, he will be produced late and the steadily-run nature of the race could suit, yet he still needs to show more than he has managed of late to figure prominently.
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6Sub Thirteen45/100
Sub Thirteen is a limited performer who has been consistent enough in recent starts but has never won a handicap and looks short of the required spark at this level. Only modest form on soft ground and was well held on his only previous run here. Steps back up to a trip he has won over before but the trainer's modest strike-rate at the track adds little confidence.
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7Great Success42/100
Great Success is a limited performer who has shown very little in ten starts this year and looks vulnerable again from stall 3. The yard has a modest 9% strike rate at Ffos Las while Kieran O'Neill is on 9% from 69 rides here, so neither brings strong course support. Unproven on soft ground and still without a placed effort at this trip after eight attempts.
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8Blue Point Express41/100
Blue Point Express is a limited performer who has shown little spark in three runs at this track and is 0-4 at today's trip. Drops back from 7f having been beaten over 11 lengths last time, though he did win his only start on soft ground. Trainer and jockey both have modest strike rates here.
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9Lochaber40/100
Lochaber is a limited horse who has been out of form this year and finished no better than mid-division on his last three starts. He steps up from 5f to a trip he has placed at before without winning, while connections have a respectable record at Ffos Las. First run here on soft ground where he has shown some competitiveness in the past.
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10Savvi Row40/100
Savvi Row is a limited performer who has struggled in all five starts to date and looks up against it from a wide draw here. Dropping back to 6f is an unknown and the yard's solid 16% strike rate at Ffos Las offers the only real positive. Jockey's 3% record at the track is a clear negative.
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11Shush A Minute39/100
Shush A Minute is a limited performer who has shown little in five starts to date. Dropping back to 6f today after a 7f run last time but already tried the trip four times without success. Trainer has too few runners here to judge while the jockey is still seeking a first Ffos Las winner from six rides.
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12Pacific Prince30/100
Pacific Prince is a limited performer who has struggled this year with a string of poor efforts including two recent eighths. He steps up to 6f for the first time today having been campaigned over 5f and has never run on soft ground so both trip and conditions pose fresh questions. The yard is 0-6 at the track while the jockey is also 0-7 here.
KTB verdict
Up The Anti is the KTB Selection. A limited performer, he has been placed on his only previous visit to Ffos Las and steps up to a trip he has won over in the past. The trainer's solid record at the track is another plus and he should be suited by the steadily-run pace. His main dangers are Macarone, who arrives in decent form, has won here and is well placed to race prominently, and Miss Gold, who has the benefit of the trainer and jockey's strong course stats even if her own form is modest.
KTB Selection Up The Anti
This is the narrative read of the 1:19 Ffos Las. For the live card — runner-by-runner stats, the full Fit Score breakdown and current odds — see the Ffos Las racecard. Every result we hold for the track is on the Ffos Las results & records page. New here? How KTB works explains the Fit Score and why we publish both.
Questions about this race
Which horse has course form at Ffos Las?
Up The Anti has been placed once from one run here, Macarone has won once from two runs, Miss Gold has been well beaten on both starts, Sub Thirteen was well held on his only run, and Blue Point Express has shown little in three runs.
Who is proven on soft ground?
Macarone has placed once from three starts on soft, The Bear of Saints has one run on soft with no win or place, Blue Point Express has won his only start on soft, Lochaber has placed once from three starts on soft, and the remainder are unproven.
Which runners prefer to race prominently?
Macarone usually races handily on or close to the lead while the rest of the field are either held up or, in the case of Shush A Minute, settle in midfield.
What are the strongest trainer and jockey course combinations?
David Flood has a 23% strike rate at Ffos Las with an A/E of 2.61, Benoit de la Sayette has a 25% strike rate with an A/E of 1.38, and David Probert has a 20% strike rate with an A/E of 1.07.
How many of these runners have previously won over 6f?
Up The Anti and Macarone have won over the trip in the past while the remainder have either failed to win at the distance or are unproven.
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