4:27 Brighton
A Class 6 handicap over 6f 210y at Brighton on good to firm ground brings together a field of 12 modest performers. The KTB Fit scores are tightly bunched at the top, with Split Elevens heading the numbers on 61, followed closely by Campani on 59 and Royal County Glory on 55. Most of the field are held-up types, which aligns with the race's pace shape of a lone leader likely to enjoy an uncontested advantage.
How the race shapes up
With a lone leader expected and high confidence attached to that shape, the race is likely to be run with one horse clear from the outset and little to challenge it for the early lead. The remainder of the field, almost all held-up runners, will be asked to come from off the pace. The key question is whether any of the closers can bridge the gap to an uncontested leader on a track where such advantages can prove difficult to overcome.
The KTB Fit ranking
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1Split Elevens KTB Selection61/100
Split Elevens is a modest performer who has shown consistent form this year with four wins from his last 14 starts. He has won over this trip and at Brighton, where the trainer maintains a solid 14% strike rate from 101 runs. The combination of trainer John Butler and jockey Jack Callan has produced an 8/29 record with an A/E of 1.89 and LSP of +£16.00. His run-style is to be held up and produce his effort late, which could be tested by the uncontested leader in a race with this pace shape. He has one win from seven starts on good to firm and has won once from six course visits, though the wide draw in stall 11 and a busy campaign of 50 runs in the last year are the main negatives.
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2Campani59/100
Campani is a modest performer who has been in decent form this year with three wins from his last six starts. He won on his only previous visit to Brighton and has also scored on good to firm ground as well as at this trip. Trainer David Simcock has a 24% strike rate at the track from 173 runs while jockey Daniel Muscutt posts an 18% strike rate from 104 rides here, though their combined record reads 6/56 with an A/E of 0.72. Like most of his rivals he is usually held up and produces his effort late. The yard's solid record at Brighton adds to the encouragement for this four-year-old.
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3Royal County Glory55/100
Royal County Glory is a modest performer who has been in and out this year but showed his better side with two wins in the last month. He has a solid record at today's trip having won three of his six starts over it yet remains unproven on good to firm ground. The yard of Jack Jones holds a 14% strike rate at Brighton from 29 runs and jockey Rossa Ryan has an 18% strike rate from 99 rides at the track, with their combined record showing 4/25 and an A/E of 0.88. He races held up and produces his effort late from a favourable draw in stall 1. This three-year-old has no course form on record.
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4Viking Glory54/100
Viking Glory is a modest performer who has already won over this trip and at this track from just one visit. Recent form has been patchy but the figures still stack up at this level and the yard's 26% strike rate at Brighton from 43 runs adds encouragement. Trainer James Owen and jockey Cieren Fallon have combined for a 23/131 record with an A/E of 0.94. He is another held-up runner who will come late, though stall 2 looks no hardship on good to firm ground where he has already shown his ability. The three-year-old has one win from four starts on the surface.
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5King David52/100
King David is a limited performer who has been placed both starts at Brighton and looks suited by the return to this track. Dropping back from a mile to a trip he has won over before is another plus, though he remains winless in his last 18 starts at this distance and has shown ordinary form on his most recent outings. Trainer Gay Kelleway has a 12% strike rate at Brighton from 433 runs while jockey Saffie Osborne has a 21% strike rate from 121 rides here, with their partnership reading 9/53 and an A/E of 1.52. He races held up and produces his effort late. He has been placed once from two starts on good to firm.
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6Dark Sun52/100
Dark Sun is a modest performer who has won once in three runs at Brighton and is well suited by good to firm ground. Recent form is patchy with a win and two places from his last six starts but he steps up in trip today having been placed without winning at this distance. The trainer records a 5% strike rate from 19 runs here while the jockey is on board.
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7Superstorm52/100
Superstorm is a limited horse who has shown enough at this level to win two of his last four starts, including a course success here. He has a solid record on good to firm with a win and two places from three runs, and he has also won at today's trip. Trainer Charlie Fellowes has a 15% strike rate from 26 runs at Brighton while Mikkel Mortensen is still building his record at the track.
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8Pennine Way51/100
Pennine Way is a limited horse who has shown just enough to be competitive in this grade. He has already placed over course and distance here and arrives in reasonable form having finished third last time. The trainer has a solid 21% strike rate at Brighton while the step up in trip is an open question.
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9Shes Got The Blues50/100
Shes Got The Blues is a modest performer who has won two of her three starts at Brighton and knows her way around this track. Recent form of 113313 shows consistent ability in this grade yet she now drops back from a mile to a trip where she has won twice from four attempts. Trainer Tony Carroll has a solid 13% strike-rate here from a huge sample while Kieren Fox rides.
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10Cixi49/100
Cixi is a modest performer who has shown occasional flashes without winning in eight starts. Placed once at this trip from four attempts but was well held on the only previous run on good to firm ground. Trainer operates at a 10% strike rate here from a big sample while this represents the colt's first visit to Brighton.
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11Amathus45/100
Amathus is a limited class performer who has won twice here from 11 runs and holds a solid record on good to firm with six wins from 24 starts. He drops back to 6f today having last run over a mile and now tries headgear for the first time. The yard's 10% strike rate from 259 runs at Brighton is modest.
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12Barnsnape Boy45/100
Barnsnape Boy is a limited performer who has run 27 times in the last year and shown his best form at this track, winning twice from 12 starts here. He has won at today's trip but is 0-13 on good to firm ground with no placed efforts. The yard has a 10% strike rate at Brighton from a large sample.
KTB verdict
Split Elevens is the KTB Selection. A modest performer in consistent form with four wins from his last 14 starts, he has already won over this trip and at Brighton where the trainer has a solid record. Although the wide draw and busy campaign are negatives, his ability to produce a late effort fits the shape if the leader can be reeled in. The main dangers are Campani, who has won on his only previous visit to the track and brings strong recent form, and Royal County Glory, who has shown his better side with two recent wins and a good record at the trip. Viking Glory and King David add depth to a competitive field of modest types.
KTB Selection Split Elevens
This is the narrative read of the 4:27 Brighton. For the live card — runner-by-runner stats, the full Fit Score breakdown and current odds — see the Brighton racecard. Every result we hold for the track is on the Brighton results & records page. New here? How KTB works explains the Fit Score and why we publish both.
Questions about this race
Which horse is unproven on good to firm ground?
Royal County Glory has no runs on good to firm.
Which horse is wearing first-time headgear?
Amathus is trying headgear for the first time.
Who is the only front-running type in the field?
Barnsnape Boy tends to make the running or race on the pace.
Which runner has won twice at Brighton from three starts?
Shes Got The Blues has won two of her three starts at Brighton.
Which horse has been placed both times at Brighton?
King David has been placed both starts at Brighton.
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