4:19 Down Royal
The 4:19 at Down Royal is the first division of a 1m3f10y handicap on good ground, featuring a field of 14 limited performers in a race that lacks any standout quality. KTB's Fit Scores are tightly bunched at the top, with Tassarolo just heading No More Hiding on 55 and 54 respectively, while the remainder sit between 48 and 28. The overall profile is one of modest handicappers, many of whom are dropping back in trip or stepping up in distance, with recent form that is largely unconvincing.
How the race shapes up
The pace shape indicates a lack of an obvious leader, pointing to a steadily-run, tactical contest in which being handy should pay. With the vast majority of runners, including all five principals, possessing held-up styles and usually producing their efforts late, the race is likely to develop into a test of timing from off the pace. The key question will be whether any horse can muster a telling late run on a track where positioning is often important in such affairs.
The KTB Fit ranking
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1Tassarolo KTB Selection55/100
Tassarolo is a limited performer who has shown bits of form here without ever threatening to win. He drops back in trip today having won at this distance in the past, though his recent efforts have been modest and he has failed to place in his last six starts. The yard records a modest 8% strike-rate at the track from 98 runs while the jockey has had too few rides here to judge with any confidence. He has been placed twice from nine starts on good ground without winning and his two previous runs at Down Royal yielded a fourth and a fifth. Usually held up and producing his effort late, he will be looking to come from off the pace in what is expected to be a steadily-run affair.
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2No More Hiding54/100
No More Hiding is a limited performer who has shown some ability on this track, finishing second here on his only visit. Dropping back in trip today poses a fresh question after his latest run over 1m5f. The trainer's modest 8% strike rate at Down Royal from 203 runs is offset by the jockey's solid 15% record at the venue from 248 rides. He has been placed once from two starts on good ground without winning and his recent form figures of -95852 include that course placing. Usually held up and producing his effort late, he will need to time his run well in a race where being handy is expected to pay.
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3Chapel Island48/100
Chapel Island is a limited performer who has shown only modest form in 12 starts and has failed to win. He has run twice here without placing and is dropping back in trip today after a 1m4f run, though he has placed once at this distance. Both trainer and jockey operate at an 8% strike rate at Down Royal. He has been placed once from five starts on good ground without winning and his recent form reads 544387. Usually held up and producing his effort late, he will be aiming to come from off the pace in what looks a steadily-run, tactical contest.
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4All Is Bright48/100
All Is Bright has shown very little in three runs to date and carries the limited tag. Stepping up from 6f to 1m3f today asks a fresh question of him. The Bolger yard has a solid 24% strike rate at Down Royal from 183 runs while McDonogh is operating at 12% from 292 rides. He is unproven on good ground with no previous runs on the surface and has no course form on record. Usually held up and producing his effort late, though with medium confidence in that assessment, he remains very much an unknown at this trip and in this company.
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5Limestone Red45/100
Limestone Red is a limited performer who has shown bits of form this year without winning. He has run respectably over this trip before and is dropping back from 1m5f, while the yard and jockey both have solid records at Down Royal. Course efforts have been modest so far with a fifth and a seventh from two runs and the overall profile remains that of a modest handicapper. He has been placed once from eight starts on good ground without winning and his recent form reads 488235. Usually held up and producing his effort late, he will need to find a bit more to figure prominently.
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6Aiteall45/100
Aiteall is a limited performer who has shown very little in five starts and now tries a new trip with first-time headgear. The yard has a solid 19% strike rate at Down Royal from 241 runs while the jockey operates at 11% from 63 rides. He has had one run on good ground without winning or placing and has no course form on record.
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7Chloe's Boy43/100
Chloe's Boy is a limited performer who has shown very little in six of his seven starts and was well beaten when he did run here over a mile. The recent 1m1f win offers some hope but he now steps up in trip for the first time which asks a fresh question. Trainer and jockey both operate at modest strike rates around Down Royal. He has a win and a place from six starts on good ground and finished sixth on his only previous run at the track.
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8Ellens Bay42/100
Ellens Bay is a limited performer who has shown very little in five starts and was well beaten when last seen. The drop back in trip poses a fresh question while the trainer's modest record at Down Royal offers no encouragement. The jockey has a solid strike rate here from a small sample. He has had one run on good ground without winning or placing and has no course form on record.
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9Pettus Bridge40/100
Pettus Bridge is a limited performer who has shown very little in five runs to date. First-time headgear is now applied as he steps up in trip for the first time, which asks a fresh question of him. The trainer has a solid 10% strike rate from 79 runs here while the jockey's 5% from 22 rides is more modest. He has had three runs on good ground without winning or placing and has no course form on record.
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10Annacroft37/100
Annacroft is a limited performer who has shown little in four runs to date and was well beaten when ninth on her only previous visit to Down Royal. The step up to 1m3f poses a fresh question while the wide draw in stall 14 adds another negative. Trainer strikes at 7% here from a big sample and the jockey is more positive at 14%. She has had two runs on good ground without winning or placing.
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11The Monday Club37/100
The Monday Club is a limited performer who has shown little in four starts so far with form figures of 5509. He steps up in trip today which asks a fresh question of him. The trainer has a 0% strike rate from 23 runs at Down Royal while the jockey operates at a 6% strike rate from 214 rides. He has had two runs on good ground without winning or placing and has no course form on record.
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12Jazz Dreamers34/100
Jazz Dreamers is a limited performer who has been struggling for a long time with a string of poor efforts. This is his first run at Down Royal and he is stepping up in trip for the first time so there are unknowns here. The trainer has a modest 5% strike rate at the track from a big sample. He has a win and six places from 18 starts on good ground.
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13Autocrat29/100
Autocrat is a limited performer who has been out of the frame in all six starts this season. He has shown only modest form on good ground and steps up in trip today having failed to make an impact in his one previous attempt at this distance. The yard and jockey both have a 0% strike rate at Down Royal. He has been placed once from 12 starts on good ground and finished eighth on his only previous run at the track.
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14Idomything28/100
Idomything is a limited performer who has failed to place in any of his 20 starts and arrives on the back of six poor efforts this year. He has been beaten a long way on all three runs at Down Royal and shows no win or place from eight starts on good ground. The trainer is 0-13 at the track while the 5lb claimer is operating below his modest strike rate here.
KTB verdict
Tassarolo is the KTB Selection. He has shown bits of form at this venue without ever threatening to win and drops back to a trip at which he has won in the past, even if his recent efforts have been modest and he has failed to place in his last six starts. The combination of a steadily-run race and his usual held-up style could suit if he can time his effort right. The main dangers are No More Hiding, who has course form in the shape of a second on his only visit, and Chapel Island, who has placed at this trip in the past despite his modest overall profile. All Is Bright and Limestone Red add further depth to what looks a tightly-contested affair among limited performers.
KTB Selection Tassarolo
Morning odds
Best available price per runner, captured 00:00 UTC, 28 Sep. These are a morning snapshot and will have moved — see the live racecard for current prices.
| Runner | Morning price | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|
| Tassarolo | 9/2 | Bet365 |
| No More Hiding | 10/3 | Bet365 |
| Chapel Island | 8/1 | Bet365 |
| All Is Bright | 20/1 | Bet Victor |
| Limestone Red | 7/1 | Bet365 |
| Aiteall | 7/1 | Bet365 |
| Chloe's Boy | 4/1 | Bet365 |
| Ellens Bay | 33/1 | Bet365 |
| Pettus Bridge | 18/1 | BetTom |
| Annacroft | 50/1 | BetTom |
| The Monday Club | 14/1 | LiveScore Bet |
This is the narrative read of the 4:19 Down Royal. For the live card — runner-by-runner stats, the full Fit Score breakdown and current odds — see the Down Royal racecard. Every result we hold for the track is on the Down Royal results & records page. New here? How KTB works explains the Fit Score and why we publish both.
Questions about this race
Which horse is dropping back in trip after a 1m5f run?
No More Hiding
How many times has Tassarolo run at Down Royal?
Twice, finishing fourth and fifth with no win or place
Which runner is making its first start in first-time headgear?
Aiteall and Pettus Bridge
What is the trainer strike rate at Down Royal for the yard of All Is Bright?
24% from 183 runs
Which horse has a recent win at 1m1f but is now stepping up in trip for the first time?
Chloe's Boy
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