5:33 Pontefract
This Class 6 handicap over 5f at Pontefract on good ground features a field of 14 modest performers, several of whom arrive in reasonable recent form. The KTB Fit scores are tightly bunched at the top, with Beerwah just heading the numbers on 62, followed closely by Go Victor on 61 and Dragon Spin on 58. With a strong pace shape anticipated, the race is set up to test stamina and positioning in the closing stages.
How the race shapes up
A strong pace is likely given two or more habitual front-runners, including Barmyblade and Solid Bond who tend to make the running or race prominently. The early fractions could be keen, increasing the chance of the pace collapsing late and playing into the hands of hold-up horses. Several principals, notably Beerwah, Go Victor, Dragon Spin and Speeding Bullet, are usually held up and produce their efforts late, so the key question is which of these can time their run best once the leaders tire.
The KTB Fit ranking
-
1Beerwah KTB Selection62/100
Beerwah is a modest performer who has been competitive without winning lately, finishing second in two of his last three starts. He has a solid record at this trip with three wins from 20 attempts and has placed twice from seven starts on good ground. The yard holds a strong 19% strike-rate at Pontefract while Jason Hart is operating at a respectable 13%. Usually held up and producing his effort late, he is drawn in stall 5 in a race where the strong pace could favour those coming from off the speed. Rated 64, his recent form of 761822 shows consistent placed efforts and he is the KTB selection.
-
2Go Victor61/100
Go Victor is a modest performer who has won once over this trip and once at Pontefract from three starts here. He has shown enough on good ground with two wins and three places from seven runs. The yard's small sample at the track leaves their local record hard to gauge while the jockey's modest 9 percent strike rate from 105 rides is no better than average. Usually held up and producing his effort late from draw 10, he arrives with recent form of 091301 that includes two wins this year. Rated 60, his course win adds to his claims in a race where late runners are expected to be advantaged.
-
3Dragon Spin58/100
Dragon Spin is a modest performer who has won twice from 14 starts including one at this trip. He has shown mixed form this year with a win and a fourth on good ground but has also run poorly on several occasions. Trainer and jockey both have modest records at Pontefract and this is the horse's first run here. Usually held up and producing his effort late from a wide draw of 12, he is dropping in class having run to an OR of 65. His recent form of 614053 underlines the inconsistency but he has placed three times from five starts on good ground.
-
4Speeding Bullet56/100
Speeding Bullet is a modest performer who has won once from just one visit to Pontefract and arrives in reasonable form after a second last time out. He has placed twice from seven runs at this trip and holds a solid record on good ground with a win and three places from nine starts. Both trainer and jockey have established records at the track around the 11% mark. Usually held up, though with medium confidence in that assessment, he is rated 62 and his recent form of 077525 shows gradual improvement. The course win remains a significant plus.
-
5Barmyblade55/100
Barmyblade is a limited horse who has won three times this year but has been below form on his last two starts. He drops back to 5f having won at the trip earlier in his career though the switch to Pontefract is an unknown. Trainer has a modest 10% strike rate here while jockey fares better with a 17% record from limited rides. Tending to make the running or race on the pace, he could set or share a strong gallop from draw 11 in a race where the early pace is predicted to be keen. Rated 58, his recent form of 101472 includes those three wins on good ground.
-
6Knicks52/100
Knicks is a modest performer who has been consistent enough to place six times this year without winning. He has shown up well at Pontefract before without quite landing a race here and acts on good ground having won once from 16 starts. The Easterby yard and Joanna Mason both have solid records at the track though his overall strike-rate remains modest.
-
7Showtime Mahomes51/100
Showtime Mahomes is a modest performer who has been in and out this year and is now dropping back to 5f for the first time since an unsuccessful run at the trip last season. Two wins from 14 starts on good ground give some encouragement, as does the first-time headgear, but a career total of 50 runs and a recent form line of 405031 show he is not the most reliable. Trainer has a 9% strike rate here from 69 runs while jockey is 13% from 23 rides.
-
8Jojo Rabbit48/100
Jojo Rabbit is a modest performer who has won over this trip and at this track from five runs here. Recent form has been patchy but the win at Pontefract last time shows he can still deliver on his day. Trainer and jockey both have modest records at the course.
-
9Simba's Pride48/100
Simba's Pride is a modest performer who has shown bits of ability but has failed to win in 13 starts. He goes in first-time headgear having been beaten at this trip on seven occasions already and makes his debut at Pontefract. Trainer and jockey both sit on 9% strike rates here from decent-sized samples.
-
10Wrestling Revenue47/100
Wrestling Revenue is a limited performer who has won over this trip and at this track from three visits. Recent form is poor and he is drawn widest in a big field. Trainer and jockey both have modest records here.
-
11Invincible Crown45/100
Invincible Crown is a modest performer who has been in decent form of late with two wins in the last six starts. He has won six times at this trip overall yet only managed sixth on his one visit to Pontefract and his record on good ground is just okay rather than strong. Trainer and jockey both have solid but unspectacular records at the track.
-
12Solid Bond44/100
Solid Bond is a limited performer who has been in and out of form this year, showing his best when second over this trip at Musselburgh last time. He has run only once at Pontefract and finished seventh, while the yard and jockey both hold modest 6-7% strike rates here. He has won on good ground and at this distance, though his overall record at 5f is just one win from twelve starts.
-
13Under The Radar43/100
Under The Radar is a limited performer who has been busy and is now 0-16. He has placed on good ground and won over this trip but his recent efforts have been modest and he was only fourth on his one visit to Pontefract. The yard and jockey both operate at a 10% strike rate here.
-
14Cheerleader32/100
Cheerleader is a limited performer who has been out of the frame on her last three starts and looks vulnerable from stall 8. She has shown some ability on good ground with three placed efforts from eight attempts and has won twice at this trip in the past. The trainer holds a solid record at Pontefract but the jockey's strike rate here is modest.
KTB verdict
Beerwah is the KTB selection. A modest performer who has been competitive without winning lately, he has finished second in two of his last three starts and possesses a solid record at this trip with three wins from 20 attempts. Usually held up, he is well placed to benefit if the strong pace collapses late on good ground, with the yard's 19% strike-rate at Pontefract another positive. Go Victor and Speeding Bullet head the dangers, the former boasting a course win and the latter having already scored at Pontefract, while Dragon Spin and Barmyblade add further depth to a competitive field.
KTB Selection Beerwah
Morning odds
Best available price per runner, captured 00:00 UTC, 5 Oct. These are a morning snapshot and will have moved — see the live racecard for current prices.
| Runner | Morning price | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|
| Beerwah | 17/2 | Bet365 |
| Go Victor | 7/1 | 7Bet |
| Dragon Spin | 18/1 | 7Bet |
| Speeding Bullet | 12/1 | 7Bet |
| Barmyblade | 14/1 | 7Bet |
| Knicks | 10/1 | William Hill |
| Showtime Mahomes | 6/1 | 7Bet |
| Jojo Rabbit | 7/2 | Bet365 |
| Simba's Pride | 33/1 | Bet365 |
| Wrestling Revenue | 12/1 | William Hill |
| Invincible Crown | 15/2 | William Hill |
| Solid Bond | 14/1 | Bet365 |
| Under The Radar | 17/2 | Bet365 |
| Cheerleader | 33/1 | Bet365 |
This is the narrative read of the 5:33 Pontefract. For the live card — runner-by-runner stats, the full Fit Score breakdown and current odds — see the Pontefract racecard. Every result we hold for the track is on the Pontefract results & records page. New here? How KTB works explains the Fit Score and why we publish both.
Questions about this race
Which horse is most likely to set the pace?
Barmyblade tends to make the running or race on the pace and Solid Bond also tends to make the running or race on the pace.
How many of the principals are usually held up?
Four of the five principals — Beerwah, Go Victor, Dragon Spin and Speeding Bullet — are usually held up and produce their effort late.
Which horses have previous winning form at Pontefract?
Go Victor has won here from three starts, Speeding Bullet has won here from one visit, Jojo Rabbit has won here from five runs and Wrestling Revenue has won here from three visits.
Which runners are making their first appearance at Pontefract?
Beerwah, Dragon Spin, Barmyblade and Simba's Pride have no course form on record.
Which horses are wearing headgear for the first time?
Showtime Mahomes is in first-time headgear and Simba's Pride goes in first-time headgear.
18+. Analysis and entertainment only — no guarantee of profit. KTB race previews are published for interest and are not betting advice. Only ever stake what you can comfortably afford to lose, and set your own limits. Free, confidential help: the National Gambling Helpline on 0808 8020 133 (GamCare.org.uk); in Ireland, the GamblingCare.ie helpline on 1800 936 725. Self-exclude at any time via GAMSTOP.
More from Kickthebookies