4:40 Cheltenham

The KTB Fit ranking

1. 1Port Isaac KTB Selection58/100

   Form 1- · Toby Bulgin · Jonathan Burke

   Family: half-brother to Gold Club (4 wins from 53 runs). The dam has had 6 other runners, 2 of them winners.

   Port Isaac arrives as the KTB Selection having won his only start over this trip on good to soft ground. A half-brother to Gold Club, who won four times from 53 runs, he comes from a family in which the dam has produced six other runners including two winners, though the small sample leaves his ability unproven. Toby Bulgin sends him out with a 25 percent strike rate at Cheltenham from four runs while Jonathan Burke has a 7 percent record at the track from 220 rides, below his general mark. The horse tends to make the running or race prominently, which aligns well with the expected lone-leader shape, and he steps up in class here.

2. 2Freetobe57/100

   Form 2- · Fergal O'Brien · Liam Harrison

   Family: the dam has had 1 other runner, not a winner.

   Freetobe makes his debut for Fergal O'Brien, whose 11 percent strike rate at Cheltenham from 447 runs sits below his 16 percent at other courses. Liam Harrison takes the ride with a 17 percent strike rate here from 36 rides, in line with his record elsewhere. The dam has had just one other runner that failed to win, so the pedigree offers limited encouragement for a newcomer in this Class 2 contest. By Jukebox Jury, he represents a yard that has been in solid form and could be suited by racing prominently in a race likely to be dominated up front.

3. 3Littlebobbydazzler56/100

   Form 31- · Mel Rowley · Charlie Deutsch

   Family: half-brother to My Bobby Dazzler (5 wins from 37 runs). The dam has had 2 other runners, 1 of them a winner.

   Littlebobbydazzler has shown ability in two starts, finishing third then winning at today's trip. A half-brother to My Bobby Dazzler, who landed five wins from 37 runs, he comes from a family in which the dam has produced two other runners including one winner. Mel Rowley has a 10 percent strike rate at Cheltenham from 31 runs, in line with his record elsewhere, while Charlie Deutsch posts a 9 percent strike rate here from 180 rides, also matching his general figures. He typically settles in midfield and steps up in class, though he remains unproven on good to soft ground with data confidence still low after just two runs.

4. 4Ask Millie54/100

   Form 31- · Oliver Signy · Sam Twiston-Davies

   Family: half-sister to East Eagle (4 wins from 29 runs). The dam has had 1 other runner, a winner.

   Ask Millie is a newcomer whose assessment rests on limited pedigree and sales information. She is a half-sister to East Eagle, who won four times from 29 runs, and the dam has produced one other winner. Oliver Signy holds an 11 percent strike rate at Cheltenham from nine runs while Sam Twiston-Davies is operating below his overall rate here with a 10 percent record from 779 rides. By Mahler, she enters a competitive Class 2 on debut and will need to overcome the yard's modest recent record at the track.

5. 5Cask Of Pimlico54/100

   Kim Bailey & Mat Nicholls · Ciaran Gethings

   Family: half-brother to Rayna's World (3 wins from 27 runs). The dam has had 5 other runners, 3 of them winners.

   Cask Of Pimlico is a newcomer with first-time headgear and a pedigree that includes a half-brother to Rayna's World, who won three times from 27 runs. The dam has had five other runners, three of them winners. Kim Bailey and Mat Nicholls have an 18 percent strike rate at Cheltenham from 11 runs, though jockey Ciaran Gethings is operating at a 1 percent strike rate here from 89 rides. Data confidence is low, so this assessment is tentative and leans heavily on the family background in what looks a stiff introduction.

6. 6Tythingman53/100

   Form 1- · Joe Tizzard · Freddie Gingell

   Tythingman won his sole start over this trip on debut. The yard's 9 percent strike rate at Cheltenham is in line with their record elsewhere while the jockey's 7 percent strike rate here matches his overall figures. Data confidence is low given the small sample and he steps up in class while remaining unproven on good to soft ground.

7. 7Dennis's Honor53/100

   Form 2 · Tom Ellis · Jack Andrews

   Family: the dam has had 1 other runner, not a winner.

   Dennis's Honor showed promise when second on debut over this trip. The yard has a 20 percent strike rate at Cheltenham from 25 runs in line with their record elsewhere while Jack Andrews is operating at 7 percent here from 42 rides. With only one run on the clock, a modest family background and no experience of good to soft ground, data confidence remains low as he steps up in class.

8. 8Ballycrystal Boy52/100

   Form 1- · Jamie Snowden · Gavin Sheehan

   Family: the dam has had 2 other runners, none of them a winner.

   Ballycrystal Boy is a newcomer with no racecourse experience. His dam has produced two other runners without a win between them and the data confidence is low as a result. Trainer Jamie Snowden has a 9 percent strike rate at Cheltenham from 120 runs which is below his 16 percent at other courses while jockey Gavin Sheehan matches that 9 percent figure at the track from 233 rides which sits below his 17 percent elsewhere.

9. 9Delusionofgrandeur51/100

   Form 4P62-2 · Fergal O'Brien · Jack Hogan

   Family: the dam has had 1 other runner, not a winner.

   Delusionofgrandeur has shown some promise with a second on his only start this year and is placed at today's trip from his one attempt. The yard posts an 11 percent strike rate at Cheltenham from 447 runs which sits below their 16 percent at other tracks while jockey Jack Hogan is operating at a 5 percent strike rate from 19 rides here. With only one career run in the last year and low data confidence this remains a cautious read as he steps up in class while unproven on good to soft.

10. 10Stoner's Sister49/100

    Fergal O'Brien · Kielan Woods

    Family: half-sister to Stoner's Choice (7 wins from 35 runs). The dam has had 8 other runners, 3 of them winners.

    Stoner's Sister is a newcomer with no racecourse form to go on. Half-sister to useful seven-time winner Stoner's Choice and out of a dam that has produced three winners from eight other foals, she represents a yard with an 11 percent strike rate at Cheltenham from 447 runs. That figure sits below their overall 16 percent at other tracks.

11. 11I've Got A Friend48/100

    Form U2-11 · Gary Hanmer · Brian Hughes

    I've Got A Friend is lightly raced with just two career starts this season yet has won both at today's trip. Recent form of U2-11 includes a win here at Cheltenham last time so the course holds no fears. Trainer's 5 percent strike rate at Cheltenham from 21 runs is in line with his record at other tracks while Brian Hughes takes the ride. He has front-running tendencies and steps up in class while remaining unproven on good to soft ground.

12. 12Micky Haller45/100

    Form 1- · Dan Skelton · Tristan Durrell

    Family: the dam has had 1 other runner, not a winner.

    Micky Haller is a debutant with very limited information available. The yard has a 12 percent strike rate at Cheltenham from 597 runs which is below their 19 percent at other tracks while jockey Tristan Durrell has a 6 percent strike rate here from 34 rides in line with his record elsewhere. The dam has had just one other runner that failed to win.

13. 13Milord D'anjou45/100

    Form 63- · Ben Pauling · Ben Jones

    Family: full brother to Grand Roi, a Grade 2 winner (4 wins from 29 runs). The dam has had 2 other runners, 1 of them a winner.

    Milord D'anjou is a full brother to Grade 2 winner Grand Roi and comes from a family that has produced winners. He is a newcomer with no official rating or recent form to go on and the data confidence is low so the assessment rests entirely on pedigree and connections. Trainer Ben Pauling has a 6 percent strike rate at Cheltenham from 241 runs which is below his 16 percent at other courses while jockey Ben Jones is on 7 percent from 95 rides here also below his 16 percent elsewhere.

14. 14Newgrove44/100

    Form 1- · Dan Skelton · Harry Skelton

    Newgrove is a debutant with no racecourse form to go on. The yard's 12 percent strike rate at Cheltenham sits below their overall figure while Harry Skelton's 13 percent at the track is also below his general record. Pedigree and sales background provide the only pointers here.