Race Preview

1:35 Punchestown

Thursday 29 October 2026 ·15 runners KTB Selection: Flying Fortress · 61/100

A 15-runner handicap over 1m at Punchestown features a field of largely modest performers, with official ratings clustered between 54 and 76. The KTB Fit Scores reflect limited overall quality and consistency, topped by Flying Fortress on 61 with the remainder trailing between 54 and 38. Most runners are unproven on the ground in question and several make their first appearance at the track, adding layers of uncertainty to an already open-looking contest.

How the race shapes up

The pace shape is tentative with medium confidence, as there is only thin evidence of a clear front-runner. Excuzio Joe has shown front-running tendencies in the past, while several others including Flying Fortress, Earls, Amplitude, Speckled Meadow and Flash Of Fire like to race prominently or handily. This could result in a contested lead or an uneven pace, posing the key question of whether those racing prominently can dictate matters or if the race will fall apart for the hold-up performers such as San Aer, Lady Arwen and The Rock Factor.

The KTB Fit ranking

  1. 1Flying Fortress KTB Selection61/100

    Form 508240 · Gavin Cromwell · Robert Whearty

    Flying Fortress is a modest performer whose recent form line of 508240 shows flashes of ability but no real consistency. He drops back to 1m today having won at the trip before, although his last run came over 1m4f so this represents a fresh question. The trainer Gavin Cromwell has a 12% strike rate at Punchestown from 560 runs, in line with his record elsewhere, while jockey Robert Whearty is 13% from just eight rides at the track. With a prominent run-style, usually racing handily on or close to the lead, he could be well placed if the tentative pace shape allows those up with the speed to get an easy time of it. He remains unproven on the ground in question and has no course form on record.

  2. 2Cash Me54/100

    Form 01969- · A Oliver · Andrew Slattery

    Cash Me is a modest performer who showed a bit of spark when winning a 6f handicap at Naas last summer but has been largely out of form since. He steps up markedly in trip today having last run over 5f, which asks a fresh question, and the small sample on this ground leaves suitability unknown. Trainer A Oliver records an 8% strike rate at Punchestown from 37 runs, in line with his overall figure, while jockey Andrew Slattery is 9% from 11 rides here. Typically settling in midfield, his positioning may leave him with plenty to do if the race is run at a strong pace or falls apart for those up front. His recent form figures read 01969-.

  3. 3San Aer52/100

    Form 005255 · Ross O'Sullivan · Donagh O'Connor

    San Aer is a modest performer with a long record of ordinary efforts and has been well held on his only previous visit to Punchestown, finishing 19th. He steps up to a trip at which he has won twice from 24 starts though his recent form of 005255 offers little encouragement. The trainer Ross O'Sullivan has an 8% strike rate at the track from 205 runs, in line with his record elsewhere, while jockey Donagh O'Connor is still seeking a first win from 12 rides here. Usually held up and producing his effort late, he will be hoping the tentative pace shape collapses in front to give him something to aim at. He carries an official rating of 69.

  4. 4Earls49/100

    Form 237090 · Gavin Cromwell · Jack Kearney

    Earls is a modest performer whose recent form line of 237090 shows little spark. He steps up to 1m today having won at the trip before though his last run came over 7½f. Trainer Gavin Cromwell records a 12% strike rate at Punchestown from 560 runs in line with his overall figure while jockey Jack Kearney is 0-12 here and the horse makes its first appearance at the track. With a prominent run-style, usually racing handily on or close to the lead, he could be involved early if the pace is not too strong. He remains unproven on the ground in question.

  5. 5Jp's Express48/100

    Form 563003 · Michael Mulvany · Wesley Joyce

    Jp's Express is a modest performer who has been largely out of form this year with a string of modest efforts. He drops back to a trip he has won at before but is unproven on this ground and makes his first appearance at Punchestown. Trainer Michael Mulvany has a 2% strike rate here from 46 runs while jockey Wesley Joyce has an 11% strike rate from 9 rides. Typically settling in midfield, his run-style may prove vulnerable if those racing prominently get an easy lead. His recent form figures read 563003 and he carries an official rating of 70.

  6. 6Lady Arwen47/100

    Form 112830 · Conor O'Dwyer · Jack Cleary(5)

    Lady Arwen is a modest performer who has won three times at this trip from 20 attempts but is dropping back in distance today after her latest run over 1m1f. She has shown some ability here with a fourth and eighth from two runs at Punchestown yet remains winless at the track. The trainer records a 4% strike rate at Punchestown from 181 runs while the jockey is 0-8 at the course and the mare is unproven on this ground.

  7. 7Amplitude47/100

    Form 933457 · Joseph G Murphy · G. F. Carroll

    Amplitude is a fair performer who has been consistent enough without winning lately, posting figures of 933457 from his last six starts. He drops back to 1m today having failed to trouble the judge in three previous tries at the trip, and he is unproven on this ground. The trainer has a 4% strike rate at Punchestown from 54 runs while the jockey is 0 from 19 rides here.

  8. 8Lady Mary Heath47/100

    Form 473905 · Aidan Anthony Howard · Chris Hayes

    Lady Mary Heath is a modest performer who has shown mixed form this year with a best of third over this trip. She makes her first start at Punchestown and is unproven on the ground. The trainer operates at a 3% strike rate here from 117 runs while the jockey is 7% from 28 rides.

  9. 9Speckled Meadow46/100

    Form 569620 · Don Browne · Reese Holohan(5)

    Speckled Meadow is a modest performer who has been out of the frame on his last four starts and now drops back from 1m3½f to a trip at which he has won twice from 21 attempts. He makes his first appearance at Punchestown today having had all 47 career runs elsewhere and remains unproven on this ground. The trainer has no recorded runners here while the jockey has had only four rides at the track.

  10. 10Excuzio Joe46/100

    Form 9002/2 · Matthew J Smith · Robbie Colgan

    Excuzio Joe is a modest performer who has shown little on his last few starts but did finish second in a handicap here over two years ago. He has won at this trip in the past though his overall strike rate is low and he was well beaten on his only previous run at Punchestown. The trainer and jockey both operate at a 4% strike rate here while the horse remains unproven on the current ground.

  11. 11Flash Of Fire43/100

    Form 2-7485 · J. P. Murtagh · Rory Mulligan(5)

    Family: half-sister to Mcintosh (1 win from 7 runs). The dam has had 3 other runners, 2 of them winners.

    Flash Of Fire is a fair 3-year-old who has shown steady placed form without winning. Half-sister to Mcintosh (1 win from 7 runs) with the dam having had 3 other runners, 2 of them winners. He finished fourth on his only run at Punchestown and steps up to 1m today having been unsuccessful in three previous attempts at the trip. The trainer operates at a 5% strike rate here from 20 runs while the jockey has had only two rides at the track.

  12. 12Sylkie42/100

    Form 34-007 · Daniel John Howard · R. P. Cleary

    Sylkie is a limited performer who has shown little spark in three starts this year. He has been well beaten both previous runs at Punchestown and is unproven on the current ground. Dropping back to 1m is a plus as he has won three times at the trip from nine attempts.

  13. 13The Rock Factor42/100

    Form 9899 · Emmet Mullins

    Family: half-brother to Zoulette (1 win from 8 runs). The dam has had 2 other runners, 1 of them a winner.

    The Rock Factor is limited on official rating of 54 and with recent form of 9899 this four-year-old has struggled in five career starts. Half-brother to Zoulette (1 win from 8 runs) with the dam having had 2 other runners, 1 of them a winner. He has been beaten in three runs at today's trip and the small sample leaves going suitability unknown. Emmet Mullins has a 13 percent strike rate at Punchestown from 112 runs.

  14. 14Aquilla Star41/100

    Form 720715 · John McConnell · Nicola Burns(5)

    Aquilla Star is a modest performer who has won once at this trip from four attempts. She makes a first appearance at Punchestown today and is unproven on the ground. The trainer records a 4% strike rate here from 221 runs while the jockey has had only two rides at the track.

  15. 15Titanium38/100

    Form 650050 · Ciaran Murphy · Sadhbh Tormey(7)

    Titanium is a modest performer who has won five times at this trip from 22 starts. Punchestown form reads poorly with a tenth on his only visit and the trainer's 3% strike rate here is in line with his overall record. The jockey has only three rides at the track so far and the horse remains unproven on this ground.

KTB verdict

Flying Fortress is the KTB Selection. He brings the highest Fit Score in a modest field and his prominent run-style could be an asset in a race with only tentative pace on offer. While his form lacks real consistency, he has won over the trip before and the trainer-jockey combination at least brings some course knowledge. The main dangers are likely to come from Cash Me if the step up in trip suits, San Aer if the race falls apart late, and possibly Earls or Amplitude if they can capitalise on their handy positioning.

KTB Selection Flying Fortress

Early prices

The best price per runner across the bookmakers we track, each as first seen (UK time). Every runner had a price by 12:04am, 29 Oct. Prices move — see the live racecard for current prices.

RunnerEarly priceBookmaker, time
Flying Fortress18/1BetTom, 12:00am
Cash Me28/1BetTom, 12:00am
San Aer5/1BetTom, 12:00am
Earls12/1Bet365, 12:00am
Jp's Express4/1Bet365, 12:00am
Lady Arwen16/1LiveScore Bet, 12:00am
Amplitude10/1Bet365, 12:00am
Lady Mary Heath6/1BetTom, 12:00am
Speckled Meadow14/1Bet365, 12:00am
Excuzio Joe8/1Bet365, 12:00am
Flash Of Fire9/1Bet365, 12:00am
Sylkie14/1BetTom, 12:00am
The Rock Factor16/1BetTom, 12:00am
Aquilla Star11/1Bet365, 12:00am
Titanium20/1BetTom, 12:00am

Questions about this race

Which horse has won the most times at this trip?

Titanium has won five times at this trip from 22 starts.

How many previous runs has San Aer had at Punchestown?

San Aer has had one previous run at Punchestown, finishing 19th with no win or place.

What is Emmet Mullins' strike rate at Punchestown?

Emmet Mullins has a 13% strike rate at Punchestown from 112 runs.

Which runners are making their first appearance at Punchestown?

Flying Fortress, Cash Me, Earls, Jp's Express, Amplitude, Lady Mary Heath, Speckled Meadow, Aquilla Star and The Rock Factor are all making their first appearance at Punchestown.

Who has the best trainer strike rate at the track among the principals?

Gavin Cromwell has a 12% strike rate at Punchestown from 560 runs with both Flying Fortress and Earls.

18+. Analysis and entertainment only — no guarantee of profit. KTB race previews are published for interest and are not betting advice. Only ever stake what you can comfortably afford to lose, and set your own limits. Free, confidential help: the National Gambling Helpline on 0808 8020 133 (GamCare.org.uk); in Ireland, the GamblingCare.ie helpline on 1800 936 725. Self-exclude at any time via GAMSTOP.

More from Kickthebookies