2:05 Punchestown

The KTB Fit ranking

1. 1Nonsense KTB Selection65/100

   Form 2 · John S O'Donoghue · Nathan Crosse

   Family: half-brother to Klassique, a Group 3 winner (4 wins from 11 runs). The dam has had 5 other runners, 3 of them winners.

   Nonsense shaped with promise when second on debut over this trip, suggesting he possesses some ability. He is a half-brother to Group 3 winner Klassique and comes from a family in which the dam has produced three winners from five other runners. The trainer's 25% strike rate at Punchestown from four runs is respectable though based on a small sample, while Nathan Crosse has an 8% strike rate at the track from 12 rides. As yet unproven on the ground and with no course form, his prominent run-style, racing handily on or close to the lead on limited evidence, could be an asset in a race that is set to be genuinely run. Overall he is taken to build on that debut effort.

2. 2Oklahoma56/100

   Form 2376 · Aidan O'Brien · Declan McDonogh

   Family: full brother to Hawk Mountain, a Group 1 winner (4 wins from 10 runs). The dam has had 3 other runners, 3 of them winners.

   Oklahoma is a fair two-year-old who has shown consistent form, finishing placed on three of his four starts including at this trip. He drops back from a mile to 7f having been placed once in two runs at the shorter distance. A full brother to Group 1 winner Hawk Mountain, he comes from a dam that has produced three winners from three other runners. The Aidan O'Brien yard posts a 15% strike rate at Punchestown from 298 runs, in line with their record elsewhere, and Declan McDonogh has a 17% strike rate here from 42 rides, also matching his wider mark. His prominent run-style with high confidence should see him race handily on or close to the lead in what is set to be a fair test.

3. 3Dawnmore51/100

   Form 52324 · J S Bolger · Luke McAteer

   Family: the dam has had 1 other runner, not a winner.

   Dawnmore is a fair two-year-old with consistent placed form at this trip, including one placing from three starts over today's distance. He holds an official rating of 79. The J S Bolger yard has a 12% strike rate at Punchestown from 162 runs, in line with their record elsewhere, while Luke McAteer records a 7% strike rate here from 14 rides. Suitability of the ground remains unknown from a small sample and the dam has had only one other runner which was not a winner. With high confidence in his prominent run-style, he is likely to race handily on or close to the lead and should be involved in the genuine pace anticipated.

4. 4Imposing51/100

   Form 92 · Aidan O'Brien · Paddy Harnett(3)

   Family: full brother to Lyneham (1 win from 3 runs). The dam has had 3 other runners, 2 of them winners.

   Imposing has shown little in two starts so far, with a ninth here on debut followed by a modest second last time out. He has been placed at today's trip though the small sample makes that hard to weigh up, and his course form is equally limited after that debut effort. A full brother to Lyneham who won once from three runs, he comes from a dam that has produced two winners from three other runners. The Aidan O'Brien stable's 15% strike rate at Punchestown from 298 runs is in line with their record elsewhere, and Paddy Harnett has a 17% strike rate here from six rides. His front-running tendencies with medium confidence could see him set the pace in a race that is likely to be genuinely run.

5. 5System Reset48/100

   W. P. Mullins · J M Sheridan

   Family: half-brother to Finke River (1 win from 16 runs). The dam has had 5 other runners, 1 of them a winner.

   System Reset ran once over 1m½f and now drops back to an untried 7f. He is a half-brother to Finke River who won once from 16 runs, and the dam has produced only one winner from six foals. Data confidence is low so the form must be read with caution. W P Mullins has a strong 23% strike rate at Punchestown from 2,852 runs, in line with his record elsewhere, and J M Sheridan posts a 21% strike rate at the track from 14 rides. Usually held up and producing his effort late on limited evidence with low confidence, he could be suited if the prominent runners go hard early in what is expected to be a genuinely-run contest.

6. 6Maxims Of Equity44/100

   Form 08 · M D O'Callaghan · Seamie Heffernan

   Maxims Of Equity is lightly raced with two modest runs so far and the bare form offers little encouragement. The trainer holds a 23% strike rate at Punchestown from 31 runs which is above their record elsewhere while Seamie Heffernan records a 6% strike rate here from 67 rides in line with his wider mark. Stepping up to 7f for the first time asks a fresh question of a horse with low data confidence and a held-up run-style.

7. 7Lash La Rue43/100

   Form 09 · Noel Meade · Siobhan Rutledge

   Family: half-brother to Electric Landlady (2 wins from 11 runs). The dam has had 4 other runners, 2 of them winners.

   Lash La Rue has shown little in two starts to date and is now stepping up from 5f to an untried 7f. A half-brother to modest dual winner Electric Landlady from a dam that has produced two winners from four other runners, he remains lightly raced with only two runs on the board so assessments must be cautious. Noel Meade has an 11% strike rate at Punchestown from 1,661 runs which sits below his 13% elsewhere while Siobhan Rutledge records a 14% strike rate here from seven rides. He is usually held up.

8. 8Angel Invincible43/100

   Form 09 · Daniel McLoughlin · Leigh Roche

   Family: the dam has had 2 other runners, none of them a winner.

   Angel Invincible is lightly raced with two poor efforts so far including a ninth on debut. He drops back from 1m to a trip he has not tried, which asks a fresh question of this modest pedigree from a dam that has had two other runners, none a winner. The trainer has only one run at Punchestown so the 33% strike rate recorded by Leigh Roche here from nine rides is the main positive on a card where data confidence remains low. He typically settles in midfield.

9. 9Princeton42/100

   Aidan O'Brien · Jack Cleary(5)

   Family: full brother to Lake Victoria, a Group 1 winner (5 wins from 6 runs). The dam has had 5 other runners, 3 of them winners.

   Princeton is a full brother to Group 1 winner Lake Victoria out of a dam that has produced three other winners from five runners. By Frankel, he cost a significant sum as a yearling and lines up for Aidan O'Brien who has a 15% strike rate at Punchestown from 298 runs in line with his overall record. Jack Cleary is 0-8 at the track and this is the colt's first start so expectations rest entirely on pedigree and powerful connections.

10. 10Rockfleet32/100

    Mrs J. Harrington · Chris Hayes

    Rockfleet has only one run to his name so the form is hard to weigh up. He steps up from 6f to 7f today which asks a fresh question. The trainer’s 11% strike rate at Punchestown matches her record elsewhere while Chris Hayes’s 7% at the track sits in line with his overall figure. He is usually held up on limited evidence.

11. 11Evan D Invincible30/100

    Mark Michael McNiff · Robbie Colgan

    Family: half-brother to Elysees (5 wins from 25 runs). The dam has had 7 other runners, 4 of them winners.

    Evan D Invincible is a lightly raced colt who showed little on his debut over 1m and now drops back in trip to 7f as a fresh question. A half-brother to useful Elysees out of a dam who has already produced four winners from seven other runners, he has a front-running style on limited evidence. The trainer is 0% from 45 runs at Punchestown while Robbie Colgan records a 4% strike rate here.