4:20 Down Royal

The KTB Fit ranking

1. 1Cantgetaway KTB Selection67/100

   Sean McParlan · Caragh Monaghan(7)

   Family: half-sister to Passengerontheship (6 wins from 21 runs). The dam has had 5 other runners, 5 of them winners.

   Cantgetaway tops the KTB Fit ratings on 67 and is the selection in a race where pedigree carries plenty of weight. A 4-year-old half-sister to Passengerontheship, who landed six wins from 21 runs, she comes from a dam that has produced five other runners, all of them winners. Sean McParlan's 8% strike rate at Down Royal from 59 runs is in line with his record elsewhere, while Caragh Monaghan has a 12% strike rate at the track from 17 rides. She is unproven on yielding ground and has no course form, but her run-style of settling in midfield should be well suited to the expected tactical pace. Limited evidence exists on her settling pattern, yet she shapes as the one to beat on what the numbers say.

2. 2Back In Favour60/100

   Form 1-8330 · A. McCann · Miss A B O'Connor

   Family: half-sister to Win Some Lose Some (4 wins from 16 runs). The dam has had 2 other runners, 1 of them a winner.

   Back In Favour comes in with a KTB Fit of 60 and a recent form line of 1-8330 that shows a previous bumper success. A 5-year-old half-sister to Win Some Lose Some, who recorded four wins from 16 runs, she hails from a dam that has had two other runners, one of them a winner. A. McCann and Miss A B O'Connor combine with a 12% strike rate from 101 runs together. The yard's 6% strike rate at Down Royal from 64 runs matches their record at other tracks, while the jockey is 13% from eight rides here. Usually held up and producing her effort late, she is unproven on yielding ground with no course form recorded, but her proven ability gives her a solid place in the reckoning.

3. 3Some See Stars57/100

   Form 267-P3 · A L T Moore · Miss H Ross(7)

   Family: half-brother to Benefit, a Listed winner (3 wins from 8 runs). The dam has had 4 other runners, 3 of them winners.

   Some See Stars is rated 57 on KTB Fit and brings the benefit of placed form on yielding ground. A 6-year-old half-brother to Benefit, a Listed winner with three wins from eight runs, he comes from a dam that has produced four other runners, three of them winners. Recent form of 267-P3 includes a third on his latest start. A L T Moore's 11% strike rate at Down Royal from 288 runs is respectable, though the trainer-jockey partnership stands at 0% from six runs. Usually held up with a medium-confidence read on that pattern, he has been competitive without winning on yielding and has no course form, yet his experience on the ground could prove useful in a tactical affair.

4. 4The Last Line56/100

   Form 2/0 · John E & Thomas Kiely · Mr Hugh Lillingston(7)

   Family: half-brother to Toe The Line, a Listed winner (7 wins from 32 runs). The dam has had 7 other runners, 3 of them winners.

   The Last Line is next on 56 and steps out in first-time headgear as a 6-year-old with limited racecourse exposure. A half-brother to Toe The Line, a Listed winner with seven wins from 32 runs, he is out of a dam that has had seven other runners, three of them winners. Recent form reads 2/0. The John E & Thomas Kiely yard is 0% at Down Royal from four runs, and the jockey has no record at the track. Typically settling in midfield on limited evidence, he is unproven on yielding ground with no course form. The headgear is an interesting addition in a race where his pedigree suggests he could have more to offer.

5. 5Moot Hall55/100

   Form 05 · Eoin Griffin · Ms N M Bradley(7)

   Family: the dam has had 2 other runners, none of them a winner.

   Moot Hall sits on a KTB Fit of 55 and has shown little in two starts to date as a 5-year-old. The dam has had two other runners, none of them a winner, which is a limited family record. He steps up in trip again today. Eoin Griffin's 13% strike rate at Down Royal from 30 runs is in line with their record elsewhere, while the jockey has no recorded rides at the track. Usually racing prominently and handily with medium confidence, he is unproven on yielding ground and has no course form. The yard's local record offers some encouragement in what remains an uphill task on what he has shown so far.

6. 6Staton54/100

   Form 534-00 · Paul Traynor · Anna McGuinness(7)

   Family: the dam has had 1 other runner, not a winner.

   Staton has a KTB Fit of 54 and has shown very little in two starts this year with recent form of 534-00. A 5-year-old who drops back in trip, the dam has had one other runner that did not win. Paul Traynor's 6% strike rate at Down Royal from 53 runs is in line with his record elsewhere, while Anna McGuinness is 4% from 24 rides here. Usually held up, he is unproven on yielding ground with no course form and remains lightly raced with low data confidence.

7. 7Bravemans Call54/100

   Form 32 · Eoin Christopher McCarthy · Mr J Dunne(7)

   Bravemans Call is rated 54 on KTB Fit as a 4-year-old with recent form of 32. The trainer-jockey combination is 0% from five runs. Usually settling in midfield with medium confidence, he is unproven on yielding ground with no course form recorded.

8. 8Malpaso51/100

   Dermot A McLoughlin · Mr Finian Maguire

   Malpaso is a debutant rated 51 on KTB Fit. Dermot A McLoughlin's 11% strike rate at Down Royal from 174 runs is above his overall figure, while Finian Maguire is 14% from 37 rides here. By Blue Bresil, he has no course win on record and very low confidence on all known pointers.

9. 9Uncle Pad47/100

   Form 1- · Gordon Elliott · Mr H C Swan

   Family: half-brother to Hello Sweetie (5 wins from 34 runs). The dam has had 7 other runners, 4 of them winners.

   Uncle Pad arrives with a KTB Fit of 47 and recent form of 1-, showing a previous win. A 5-year-old half-brother to Hello Sweetie, who landed five wins from 34 runs, he is from a dam that has had seven other runners, four of them winners. Gordon Elliott posts a 21% strike rate at Down Royal from 955 runs, and Mr H C Swan is 19% from 32 rides here. By Vadamos, he has no course win on record.

10. 10Mega Shoc46/100

    Form 6 · Rory Anthony Devine · Mr E P O'Brien(5)

    Mega Shoc is rated 46 on KTB Fit and showed little in a single bumper start over 2m4f. A 5-year-old who drops back in trip today, Rory Anthony Devine's two runs at Down Royal and the jockey's 0-8 record at the track mean the form must be treated with caution. Usually racing prominently on limited evidence, he is unproven on yielding ground with no course form.

11. 11Cant Stopthe Clock43/100

    Edward F Power · Miss Ella Herbison(7)

    Family: half-sister to Sineads Fancy (1 win from 22 runs). The dam has had 1 other runner, a winner.

    Cant Stopthe Clock has a KTB Fit of 43 as a 5-year-old. A half-sister to Sineads Fancy, who won once from 22 runs, she is from a dam that has had one other runner that was a winner. She goes in first-time headgear. Edward F Power is 0% at Down Royal from three runs, while the jockey has no record at the track. By Valirann, she has no course win on record.

12. 12Highland Trail41/100

    Paul Stafford · Mr T J Stafford(7)

    Family: half-brother to Quiet Assassin (1 win from 7 runs). The dam has had 2 other runners, 1 of them a winner.

    Highland Trail is rated 41 on KTB Fit as a 5-year-old. A half-brother to Quiet Assassin, who won once from seven runs, he is from a dam that has had two other runners, one a winner. Paul Stafford's 5% strike rate at Down Royal from 39 runs sees the jockey on 0% from two rides here. By Highland Reel, he has no course win on record.

13. 13Chaparro40/100

    Conor David Maxwell · Mr J L Gleeson

    Chaparro has a KTB Fit of 40 as a 4-year-old. Conor David Maxwell is 0% at Down Royal from 13 runs, while Mr J L Gleeson posts an 18% strike rate from 17 rides here. By Maxios, he has no course win on record.

14. 14Riversdale37/100

    A. Slattery · Mr A P Ryan(3)

    Family: half-brother to Honey Jack (1 win from 8 runs). The dam has had 2 other runners, 1 of them a winner.

    Riversdale is rated 37 on KTB Fit as a 4-year-old. A half-brother to Honey Jack, who won once from eight runs, he is from a dam that has had two other runners, one a winner. A. Slattery's 5% strike rate at Down Royal from 62 runs sees the jockey on 0% from 14 rides here. By Poet's Word, he has no course win on record.

15. 15Rarely Miss Taken36/100

    W R Crawford · Mr D G Lavery

    Family: half-sister to Bobby's Nelson (1 win from 5 runs). The dam has had 2 other runners, 2 of them winners.

    Rarely Miss Taken has a KTB Fit of 36 as a 5-year-old. A half-sister to Bobby's Nelson, who won once from five runs, she is from a dam that has had two other runners, both winners. Usually held up on limited evidence, W R Crawford is 8% at Down Royal from 12 runs and Mr D G Lavery is 9% from 94 rides here. She is unproven on yielding ground with no course form.

16. 16Cave Daisy33/100

    Form 8 · Noel C. Kelly · Ms E Dunseath(7)

    Cave Daisy is bottom of the KTB Fit ratings on 33 and showed little on her sole start when eighth over slightly further here. A 5-year-old, Noel C. Kelly's 3% strike rate at Down Royal from 183 runs is below their record at other tracks, while the jockey is still seeking a first winner from six rides at the track. Usually held up on limited evidence, she is unproven on yielding ground and this is very early days.