Horse profile
Miss Calculation (IRE)
6yo mare (at last run, Jun 2025) · Last trainer Stella Barclay · Last owner Alan Appleton The Coz Syndicate
50 runs · 17 courses · from Jul 2021
As at 14 Oct 2026 · KTB archive: GB, Ireland & France · 2005–present, updated daily
No run recorded since 10 Jun 2025 — 491 days ago. Our archive can't say whether the horse is still in training.
Last run Jun 2025 · 9th of 9
4 wins · 4 courses
Last raced off OR 45
KTB Profile
Miss Calculation won four of 50 starts between Jul 2021 and Jun 2025. All four wins came over 6f – 7f, three on turf and one on all-weather, with two on soft ground and one on heavy. She won a Class 6 handicap at Catterick in May 2024 off an official rating of 45, having previously scored at Thirsk, Wolverhampton and in a Doncaster maiden. Aged 6 at her last run in Jun 2025 she finished 9 of 9 at Catterick off the same mark, 31lb below her highest ever mark of 76.
Based on 50 archived runs · run-style from 2 commented runs · updated 14 Oct 2026
KTB at a glance
OR ↓ 31lb off peak
- 4–50Wins / Runs
- 8%Strike rate
- 10 (20%)Placed
- +8.50£1 level staken=50 at SP
- 0.84Fair A/E n=50 · 0.72 incl. margin
- 76Highest OR
- 29dAvg between runs
A/E compares actual wins with what starting prices implied. "Fair" strips the bookmaker margin from the expectation, so favourites and longshots are judged on the same footing — figures near 1.00 mean the market priced this horse about right.
Official rating45↓ 31lb off peak
45
45–76
KTB Speed and Rating
KTB Speed
Best recent Speed 101
How fast the horse ran, as points against the day-corrected standard time for its course and distance: 100 is the median GB Class 4 handicap winner on that code; one point is 0.1% of the standard time. A, B or C is how much the day's card could tell us, not how good the run was.
Flat
| Going | Runs | Best | Median | Since 14 Oct 2025 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Standard (AW) | 27 | 114A | 86 | — |
| Soft | 9 | 102A | 79 | — |
| Good to Soft | 4 | 102C | 91.5 | — |
| Good | 3 | 110A | 82 | — |
| Heavy | 3 | 81A | 75 | — |
| Good to Firm | 3 | 90A | 86 | — |
| Distance | Runs | Best | Median | Since 14 Oct 2025 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6f – 7f | 45 | 114A | 86 | — |
| 1m – 1m1f | 2 | 90C | 66 | — |
| Under 6f | 2 | 93A | 88.5 | — |
Of 50 runs looked at, 1 has no figure: did not complete (1).
KTB Speed v1 · batch 15 Sep 2026 · GB & Irish racing only · 49 figures from 50 runs · as at 3 Oct 2026 · a record, not a forecast
Both figures are KTB's own, computed from the archive; no vendor rating enters either. Every run's figure is on its form line below with its grade. Grades measure how much the archive could see, never the merit of the run.
Pedigree intelligence
Sire
Progeny in our archive have won 9.5% of 4,390 runs since Jan 2008 (356 horses).
| Going | Runs | Wins | SR | vs sire | This horse |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Firm | 20 | 2 | 10% | +0.5 | — |
| Good to Firm | 646 | 60 | 9.3% | −0.2 | 0 from 3 |
| Good | 1,010 | 110 | 10.9% | +1.4 | 0 from 3 |
| Good to Soft | 412 | 31 | 7.5% | −2 | 0 from 4 |
| Soft | 542 | 48 | 8.9% | −0.6 | 2 from 9 |
| Heavy | 152 | 11 | 7.2% | −2.3 | 1 from 3 |
| Standard (AW) | 1,608 | 155 | 9.6% | +0.1 | 1 from 28 |
| Distance (all codes) | Runs | Wins | SR | vs sire | This horse |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 6f | 1,125 | 134 | 11.9% | +2.4 | 0 from 2 |
| 6f – 7f | 2,257 | 208 | 9.2% | −0.3 | 4 from 46 |
| 1m – 1m1f | 699 | 55 | 7.9% | −1.6 | 0 from 2 |
| 1m2f – 1m4f | 255 | 17 | 6.7% | −2.8 | — |
| 1m5f – 2m | 43 | 3 | 7% | −2.5 | — |
| 2m1f – 2m4f | 11 | 0 | 0% | −9.5 | — |
Flat and jumps together (all codes) · since Jan 2008 · as at 14 Oct 2026 · rows under 30 runs muted · win % is the measure, a record not a forecast
Dam
3 siblings in the archive, 1 winner — best of them Orczy (IRE) (1 win).
The wins came over 1m; the highest grade won is Class 5 (Orczy (IRE)).
| Produce | Runs | Wins | Win trips | Best grade |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Orczy (IRE) | 8 | 1 | 1m | Class 5 |
| Stonyfalls (IRE) | 9 | 0 | — | — |
| Oracle of Omaha (IRE) | 2 | 0 | — | — |
Record by conditions
| Going | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Standard (AW) | 28 | 1 | 4% | −15.00 |
| Soft | 9 | 2 | 22% | +13.50 |
| Good to Soft | 4 | 0 | 0% | −4.00 |
| Good | 3 | 0 | 0% | −3.00 |
| Heavy | 3 | 1 | 33% | +20.00 |
| Good to Firm | 3 | 0 | 0% | −3.00 |
| Class | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Class 6 | 35 | 3 | 9% | +0.50 |
| Class 5 | 9 | 1 | 11% | +14.00 |
| Class 4 | 4 | 0 | 0% | −4.00 |
| Class 3 | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Class 1 | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Course | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wolverhampton (AW) | 18 | 1 | 6% | −5.00 |
| Newcastle (AW) | 6 | 0 | 0% | −6.00 |
| Catterick | 5 | 1 | 20% | +10.00 |
| Southwell (AW) | 3 | 0 | 0% | −3.00 |
| Nottingham | 3 | 0 | 0% | −3.00 |
| Ayr | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| Redcar | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| Pontefract | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| Carlisle | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Beverley | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Thirsk | 1 | 1 | 100% | +6.50 |
| Lingfield (AW) | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Hamilton | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Haydock | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Ripon | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Ascot | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Doncaster | 1 | 1 | 100% | +22.00 |
| Distance | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6f – 7f | 46 | 4 | 9% | +12.50 |
| 1m – 1m1f | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| Under 6f | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| Jockey | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jason Hart | 17 | 3 | 18% | +18.50 |
| Callum Shepherd | 6 | 0 | 0% | −6.00 |
| Callum Rodriguez | 6 | 0 | 0% | −6.00 |
| Silvestre De Sousa | 3 | 0 | 0% | −3.00 |
| P J McDonald | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| Dougie Costello | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| Ben Robinson | 2 | 1 | 50% | +21.00 |
| Zak Wheatley | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Billy Loughnane | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Cam Hardie | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Brandon Wilkie | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Daniel Muscutt | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| George Rooke | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Jack Nicholls | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Dale Swift | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Mark Winn | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| David Nolan | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Robert Havlin | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Ryan Sexton | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Headgear | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| None | 42 | 4 | 10% | +16.50 |
| Cheekpieces | 6 | 0 | 0% | −6.00 |
| Blinkers | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Visor | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Season | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 7 | 0 | 0% | −7.00 |
| 2024 | 12 | 1 | 8% | +3.00 |
| 2023 | 13 | 2 | 15% | +7.50 |
| 2022 | 12 | 0 | 0% | −12.00 |
| 2021 | 6 | 1 | 17% | +17.00 |
Splits include every sample, however small — muted rows are under 3 runs. A one-from-one record is a fact, not a trend: read the Runs column before the strike rate.
Form
| Date | Course | Race | Pos | Btn | Wgt | OR | Spd | KTB | Jockey | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jun 25+87d | Catterick | Racing Again 9th July Handicap (Div 2) Sat close to the front pack early - lost ground in the closing stages - finished 9th | 9/9 | shd | 9-0 | 45 | 82A | 48A | P J McDonald | 12/1 |
| 15 Mar 25+12d | Wolverhampton (AW) | Weekly 5 Free Bet With BetUK Classified Stakes Held a midfield position - pushed along with a furlong left - unable to close - finished eighth beaten 3¼ lengths | 8/11 | 1¼ | 9-6 | 45 | 101A | 59A | Zak Wheatley | 33/1 |
| 03 Mar 25+21d | Wolverhampton (AW) | Free Bets With BetUK Bet Club Classified Stakes (Div 2) Dwelt early - soon settled into hold up spot with eager attitude and up with the pace wide on the turn - driven and lost ground final furlong to finish sixth | 6/7 | ½ | 9-9 | 45 | 95A | 58A | Callum Shepherd | 13/2 |
| 10 Feb 25+3d | Wolverhampton (AW) | Win 1M With BetMGM's Golden Goals Classified Stakes (Div 1) Checked early - travelled edgily towards the back - nudged closer late but lacked the speed to challenge | 8/11 | ½ | 9-9 | 46 | 83A | 62A | Jason Hart | 9/2 |
| 07 Feb 25+8d | Southwell (AW) | Extra Winnings With BetUK Acca Club Classified Stakes (Div 1) Held up handily behind pace early - pushed along to hit the front approaching final furlong - overtaken and unable to find more inside closing 150 yards - beaten 2¾ lengths in 2nd | 2/9 | 2¾ | 9-9 | 46 | 82A | 78A | Jason Hart | 15/2 |
| 30 Jan 25+23d | Southwell (AW) | Boost Your Acca At BetMGM Classified Stakes (Div 2) Settled towards the back - pressed for effort with 2f to go - made ground into the pack in the closing stages before quickly finding no more - stayed on nicely to finish 4th | 4/9 | nk | 9-9 | 46 | 75A | 65A | Jason Hart | 13/2 |
| 07 Jan 25+118d | Wolverhampton (AW) | Weekly 5 Free Bet With BetUK Classified Stakes (Div 2) Agitated in the stalls - tardy away - dropped to the rear - angled wide to make ground inside the final furlong - kept on strongly to the line - third | 3/11 | nse | 9-9 | 46 | 87A | 69A | Callum Shepherd | 14/1 |
| 11 Sep 24+14d | Carlisle | Quooker Supporting Andersons Celebrate 135 Years Handicap Tracked front group wide of rivals - urged forward with two furlongs left - faded quickly after being asked for effort inside final stretch | 10/16 | ½ | 8-12 | 47 | 78C | 53A | Callum Shepherd | 20/1 |
| 28 Aug 24+30d | Catterick | Dave Watson Memorial Classified Stakes (Div 1) Held a forward spot early - driven for effort inside the final two furlongs - lost ground close home - finished sixth beaten five lengths | 6/7 | nk | 9-9 | 49 | 76A | 55A | Callum Rodriguez | 4/1 |
| 29 Jul 24+14d | Wolverhampton (AW) | Sky Sports Racing Sky 415 Handicap (Div 1) | 6/10 | hd | 9-4 | 50 | 85A | 65A | Billy Loughnane | 14/1 |
| 15 Jul 24+7d | Wolverhampton (AW) | Download The Raceday Ready App Classified Stakes (Div 1) | 3/9 | 1¾ | 9-9 | 50 | 88A | 80A | P J McDonald | 14/1 |
| 08 Jul 24+46d | Wolverhampton (AW) | Download The Raceday Ready App Classified Stakes | 4/13 | 2 | 9-9 | 50 | 91B | 65A | Callum Shepherd | 12/1 |
| 23 May 24+27d | Catterick | Racing Again 31st May Handicap (Div 2) | 1/11 | 9-0 | 45 | 92A | 76A | Jason Hart | 14/1 | |
| 26 Apr 24+16d | Newcastle (AW) | Get Raceday Ready Handicap | 9/10 | 5 | 9-3 | 45 | 65A | 43A | Jason Hart | 10/1 |
| 10 Apr 24+39d | Wolverhampton (AW) | Tips For Every Race At raceday-ready.com Handicap (Div 1) | 6/12 | nk | 9-3 | 46 | 100A | 63A | Cam Hardie | 12/1 |
| 02 Mar 24+27d | Wolverhampton (AW) | Boost Your Acca With BetMGM Classified Stakes | 8/12 | 2¼ | 9-4 | 48 | 81A | 54A | Brandon Wilkie | 16/1 |
| 04 Feb 24+17d | Newcastle (AW) | Boost Your Acca-Fenwa With BetUK Classified Stakes | 10/12 | 1 | 9-2 | 50 | 71A | 49A | Callum Rodriguez | 10/1 |
| 18 Jan 24+11d | Southwell (AW) | Boost Your Acca-Fenwa With BetUK Handicap (Div 1) | 4/7 | nk | 9-7 | 52 | 86A | 70A | Daniel Muscutt | 11/1 |
| 07 Jan 24+19d | Wolverhampton (AW) | Build Your Acca With BetUK Handicap (Div 2) | 5/12 | ¾ | 9-6 | 52 | 88A | 70A | Callum Shepherd | 7/1 |
| 19 Dec 23+15d | Wolverhampton (AW) | Always Gamble Responsibly With BetUK Handicap (Div 2) | 4/11 | nk | 9-6 | 52 | 93A | 69A | Callum Shepherd | 11/1 |
| 04 Dec 23+16d | Wolverhampton (AW) | Stay Golden With BetMGM Safer Gambling Handicap (Rider Restricted Race) (Div 1) | 8/11 | nk | 9-8 | 54 | 81A | 65A | George Rooke | 11/1 |
| 18 Nov 23+37d | Wolverhampton (AW) | Gamble Responsibly At BetMGM Amateur Jockeys' Handicap (Div 2) | 7/10 | ¾ | 10-10 | 57 | 42A | 52A | Jack Nicholls | 16/1 |
| 12 Oct 23+15d | Ayr | Virgin Bet Every Saturday Money Back Handicap | 5/10 | 1¼ | 9-10 | 59 | 75A | 76A | Jason Hart | 11/1 |
| 27 Sep 23+15d | Redcar | Watch Racing TV Free For 31 Days Handicap | 12/12 | 3¼ | 9-8 | 61 | 90A | 49A | Jason Hart | 16/1 |
| 12 Sep 23+146d | Catterick | Racing TV Club Day Handicap | 12/13 | nk | 9-7 | 63 | 74C | 50C | Jason Hart | 17/2 |
| 19 Apr 23+7d | Beverley | Racing TV Profits Returned To Racing Fillies' Handicap | 6/8 | 3 | 9-3 | 64 | 90C | 53C | Dale Swift | 8/1 |
| 12 Apr 23+8d | Catterick | Download The Vickers.Bet App Handicap | 5/12 | 1¼ | 8-13 | 60 | 81A | 77A | Jason Hart | 11/4J |
| 04 Apr 23+22d | Thirsk | Download The Vickers.Bet App Handicap (Div 1) | 1/11 | 9-9 | 60 | 97A | 92A | Jason Hart | 13/2 | |
| 13 Mar 23+38d | Wolverhampton (AW) | Spreadex Sports 300 Spread Betting Cashback Handicap | 6/9 | ½ | 9-7 | 60 | 91A | 70A | Jason Hart | 11/4J |
| 03 Feb 23+7d | Lingfield (AW) | Spreadex Sports Best Premier League Odds Handicap | UR/8 | — | 10-2 | 57 | — | — | Jason Hart | 5/2 |
| 27 Jan 23+18d | Wolverhampton (AW) | Spreadex Sports 300 Spread Betting Cashback Handicap | 1/10 | 9-11 | 57 | 102A | 79A | Jason Hart | 12/1 | |
| 09 Jan 23+44d | Wolverhampton (AW) | Spreadex Sports Best Odds On Sunderland Apprentice Handicap | 8/10 | 1½ | 9-5 | 59 | 78A | 56A | Mark Winn | 5/1 |
| 26 Nov 22+15d | Wolverhampton (AW) | Spreadex Sports 300 Spread Betting Cashback Handicap (Rider Restricted Race) (Div 2) | 4/11 | 1¼ | 9-9 | 60 | 97A | 77A | David Nolan | 15/8F |
| 11 Nov 22+10d | Wolverhampton (AW) | Spreadex Sports Bet 10 Get 100 'Confined' Handicap | 2/12 | 1¼ | 9-4 | 60 | 114A | 78A | Jason Hart | 15/2 |
| 01 Nov 22+18d | Newcastle (AW) | BetUK Over 40,000 Live Streamed Races Handicap (Div 2) | 4/9 | 2¼ | 9-9 | 60 | 95A | 75A | Dougie Costello | 15/2 |
| 14 Oct 22+26d | Redcar | Best Flat Races Live On Racing TV Handicap | 3/18 | nk | 9-7 | 60 | 102C | 86A | Dougie Costello | 20/1 |
| 18 Sep 22+13d | Hamilton | Gartcraig Inn Always A Warm Welcome Handicap | 8/10 | shd | 9-1 | 62 | 88A | 66A | Jason Hart | 4/1 |
| 05 Sep 22+74d | Newcastle (AW) | Follow Us On Twitter & Instagram At vickers.bet Handicap | 11/14 | ½ | 9-9 | 65 | 84B | 65A | Jason Hart | 11/1 |
| 23 Jun 22+14d | Nottingham | Happy Birthday Donna Blore Handicap | 4/4 | 6 | 8-11 | 68 | 86C | 41B | Robert Havlin | 10/1 |
| 09 Jun 22+23d | Haydock | Watch Irish Racing On Racing TV Handicap | 7/9 | nk | 8-13 | 70 | 93A | 60A | Ryan Sexton | 15/2 |
| 17 May 22+33d | Nottingham | Follow RacingTV On Twitter Handicap | 4/10 | nk | 8-13 | 70 | 110A | 81A | Silvestre De Sousa | 11/1 |
| 14 Apr 22+9d | Ripon | Yorkshire Wonder Horse Search Is On Handicap | 6/10 | ½ | 9-6 | 74 | 71A | 70A | Callum Rodriguez | 6/1 |
| 05 Apr 22+20d | Pontefract | Racing Tv On Sky Channel 426 Handicap | 4/7 | 1½ | 8-6 | 74 | 102A | 68A | Silvestre De Sousa | 11/2 |
| 16 Mar 22+149d | Newcastle (AW) | Play Coral Racing-Super-Series For Free Handicap | 5/8 | hd | 9-7 | 75 | 83B | 73A | Callum Rodriguez | 7/1 |
| 18 Oct 21+12d | Pontefract | Northern Commercials Iveco And Fiat Restricted Novice Stakes (GBB Race) | 4/12 | 5½ | 9-5 | 75 | 91A | 76A | Callum Rodriguez | 11/2 |
| 06 Oct 21+33d | Nottingham | MansionBet Proud To Support British Racing EBF Novice Stakes (GBB Race) | 3/8 | hd | 9-4 | 74 | 79A | 77A | Jason Hart | 11/1 |
| 03 Sep 21+25d | Newcastle (AW) | betuk.com, Your Home For Online Betting EBF Novice Stakes (GBB Race) | 4/14 | ½ | 9-4 | 74 | 84B | 90A | Callum Rodriguez | 66/1 |
| 09 Aug 21+16d | Ayr | QTS British Stallion Studs EBF Fillies' Novice Stakes (GBB Race) | 9/9 | 8 | 9-6 | 76 | 35B | 39A | Ben Robinson | 16/1 |
| 24 Jul 21+16d | Ascot | Princess Margaret Keeneland Stakes (Fillies' Group 3) | 9/10 | 6½ | 9-0 | — | 77A | 48A | Silvestre De Sousa | 33/1 |
| 08 Jul 21 | Doncaster | Download The At The Races App EBF Maiden Stakes (GBB Race) | 1/6 | 9-0 | — | 41B | 79B | Ben Robinson | 22/1 |
Quick answers
- How many races has Miss Calculation (IRE) won?
- Miss Calculation (IRE) won 4 of 50 archived starts between 2021 and 2025, a strike rate of 8%. Placed 10 times in total (20% of starts).
- Who trained Miss Calculation (IRE)?
- Miss Calculation (IRE) was trained by Stella Barclay on the most recent run on record, at Catterick on 10 June 2025.
- Who is Miss Calculation (IRE)'s sire?
- Miss Calculation (IRE) is by Profitable (IRE) out of Maria Kristina (FR), whose sire is Footstepsinthesand.
- What going does Miss Calculation (IRE) prefer?
- Miss Calculation (IRE) has the best record on heavy going: 1 win from 3 starts (33.3%). Only going bands with at least three archived starts are read, so this is a direction rather than a settled preference.
- What is Miss Calculation (IRE)'s official rating?
- The most recent official rating on record is 45, from the run on 10 June 2025. The highest on record is 76.
- What is Miss Calculation (IRE)'s sire's record?
- Profitable (IRE)'s progeny in our archive have won 9.5% of 4,390 runs since Jan 2008 (356 horses), Flat and jumps together.
- Who are Miss Calculation (IRE)'s siblings?
- Out of Maria Kristina (FR), Miss Calculation (IRE) has 3 other produce in our archive, 1 of them a winner. Most wins: Orczy (IRE) (1). Highest grade won: Class 5 (Orczy (IRE)). The wins came over 1m. As at Oct 2026.