Horse profile
Spes Nostra (GB)
by Ad Valorem (USA) out of Millagros (IRE) (Pennekamp)
61 runs · 16 courses · from Aug 2010
As at 28 Oct 2026 · KTB archive: GB, Ireland & France · 2005–present, updated daily
No run recorded since 7 Apr 2018 — 3,126 days ago. Our archive can't say whether the horse is still in training.
Last run Apr 2018 · 7th of 7
9 wins · 5 courses
Last raced off OR 68
KTB Profile
Spes Nostra (GB) is 9 from 61. Hasn't won since May 2017. Last raced off 68, 22lb below the career-high mark.
Based on 61 archived runs · updated 28 Oct 2026
KTB at a glance
OR ↓ 22lb off peak
- 9–61Wins / Runs
- 14.8%Strike rate
- 15 (24.6%)Placed
- +16.75£1 level staken=61 at SP
- 1.56Fair A/E n=61 · 1.36 incl. margin
- 90Highest OR
- 47dAvg between runs
A/E compares actual wins with what starting prices implied. "Fair" strips the bookmaker margin from the expectation, so favourites and longshots are judged on the same footing — figures near 1.00 mean the market priced this horse about right.
Official rating68↓ 22lb off peak
68
60–90
KTB Speed and Rating
KTB Speed
Best recent Speed 93
How fast the horse ran, as points against the day-corrected standard time for its course and distance: 100 is the median GB Class 4 handicap winner on that code; one point is 0.1% of the standard time. A, B or C is how much the day's card could tell us, not how good the run was. What this means →
Flat
| Going | Runs | Best | Median | Since 28 Oct 2025 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Standard (AW) | 12 | 104B | 94.5 | — |
| Good | 4 | 112C | 95.5 | — |
| Soft | 2 | 79C | 76.5 | — |
| Heavy | 1 | — | — | — |
| Good to Firm | 1 | — | — | — |
| Distance | Runs | Best | Median | Since 28 Oct 2025 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1m2f – 1m4f | 14 | 112C | 94.5 | — |
| 1m – 1m1f | 6 | 98A | 83.5 | — |
KTB Speed v1 · batch 15 Sep 2026 · GB & Irish racing only · 20 figures from 20 runs · as at 3 Oct 2026 · a record, not a forecast
Both figures are KTB's own, computed from the archive; no vendor rating enters either. Every run's figure is on its form line below with its grade. Grades measure how much the archive could see, never the merit of the run.
Run style is derived from in-running commentary, which our data provider does not supply for this horse's races.
Pedigree intelligence
Sire
Progeny in our archive have won 9.1% of 1,585 runs since Jan 2008 (101 horses).
Strongest on standard (aw) going: 12.3% from 618. Weakest on good to firm going: 5.2% from 248.
| Going | Runs | Wins | SR | vs sire | This horse |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Firm | 25 | 6 | 24% | +14.9 | — |
| Good to Firm | 248 | 13 | 5.2% | −3.9 | 0 from 8 |
| Good | 284 | 15 | 5.3% | −3.8 | 1 from 14 |
| Good to Soft | 121 | 12 | 9.9% | +0.8 | 1 from 4 |
| Soft | 213 | 14 | 6.6% | −2.5 | 1 from 5 |
| Heavy | 76 | 8 | 10.5% | +1.4 | 0 from 2 |
| Standard (AW) | 618 | 76 | 12.3% | +3.2 | 6 from 28 |
| Distance (all codes) | Runs | Wins | SR | vs sire | This horse |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 6f | 138 | 15 | 10.9% | +1.8 | — |
| 6f – 7f | 610 | 55 | 9% | −0.1 | 1 from 7 |
| 1m – 1m1f | 399 | 39 | 9.8% | +0.7 | 5 from 25 |
| 1m2f – 1m4f | 253 | 21 | 8.3% | −0.8 | 3 from 29 |
| 1m5f – 2m | 154 | 13 | 8.4% | −0.7 | — |
| 2m1f – 2m4f | 28 | 1 | 3.6% | −5.5 | — |
| 2m5f – 3m | 2 | 0 | 0% | −9.1 | — |
| Over 3m | 1 | 0 | 0% | −9.1 | — |
Flat and jumps together (all codes) · since Jan 2008 · as at 28 Oct 2026 · rows under 30 runs muted · win % is the measure, a record not a forecast
Dam
Millagros (IRE) (Pennekamp)
2 siblings in the archive, 1 winner — best of them Judith Gardenier (GB) (1 win).
The wins came over 1m4f; the highest grade won is Class 6 (Judith Gardenier (GB)).
| Produce | Runs | Wins | Win trips | Best grade |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Judith Gardenier (GB) | 19 | 1 | 1m4f | Class 6 |
| Taramanda (GB) | 13 | 0 | — | — |
Record by conditions
| Going | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Standard (AW) | 28 | 6 | 21% | +25.75 |
| Good | 14 | 1 | 7% | −6.50 |
| Good to Firm | 8 | 0 | 0% | −8.00 |
| Soft | 5 | 1 | 20% | +4.00 |
| Good to Soft | 4 | 1 | 25% | +3.50 |
| Heavy | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| Class | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Class 5 | 23 | 4 | 17% | +0.75 |
| Class 4 | 22 | 4 | 18% | +23.00 |
| Class 3 | 11 | 1 | 9% | −2.00 |
| Class 2 | 5 | 0 | 0% | −5.00 |
| Course | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wolverhampton (AW) | 20 | 5 | 25% | +22.75 |
| Ayr | 12 | 1 | 8% | −4.50 |
| Hamilton | 7 | 1 | 14% | +0.50 |
| Newcastle (AW) | 5 | 1 | 20% | +6.00 |
| Ripon | 3 | 1 | 33% | +6.00 |
| Redcar | 3 | 0 | 0% | −3.00 |
| Carlisle | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| Lingfield (AW) | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Newcastle | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Chelmsford City (AW) | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Chester | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Southwell (AW) | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Musselburgh | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| York | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Newmarket | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Thirsk | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Distance | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1m2f – 1m4f | 29 | 3 | 10% | −7.00 |
| 1m – 1m1f | 25 | 5 | 20% | +23.25 |
| 6f – 7f | 7 | 1 | 14% | +0.50 |
| Jockey | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Graham Gibbons | 17 | 6 | 35% | +13.25 |
| Tom Eaves | 7 | 1 | 14% | +22.00 |
| Lee Newman | 6 | 1 | 17% | +1.50 |
| Dougie Costello | 4 | 1 | 25% | +7.00 |
| Lewis Edmunds | 4 | 0 | 0% | −4.00 |
| P J McDonald | 3 | 0 | 0% | −3.00 |
| Joe Fanning | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| Paul Hanagan | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| Jamie Gormley | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| Martin Dwyer | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| Fran Berry | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| David Nolan | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Garry Whillans | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Graham Lee | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| David Allan | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Phillip Makin | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Tom Marquand | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Ben Curtis | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Robert Winston | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Jason Hart | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Silvestre De Sousa | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Dean Heslop | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Headgear | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Blinkers | 45 | 8 | 18% | +25.25 |
| None | 14 | 1 | 7% | −6.50 |
| Tongue tie + blinkers | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| Season | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2018 | 3 | 0 | 0% | −3.00 |
| 2017 | 15 | 1 | 7% | −4.00 |
| 2016 | 10 | 1 | 10% | +19.00 |
| 2015 | 8 | 1 | 13% | +1.00 |
| 2014 | 8 | 3 | 38% | +0.75 |
| 2013 | 7 | 1 | 14% | +0.50 |
| 2011 | 9 | 2 | 22% | +3.50 |
| 2010 | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
Splits include every sample, however small — muted rows are under 3 runs. A one-from-one record is a fact, not a trend: read the Runs column before the strike rate.
Form
| Date | Course | Race | Pos | Btn | Wgt | OR | Spd | KTB | Jockey | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2018 · 3 runs | ||||||||||
| 07 Apr 18+46d | Wolverhampton (AW) | Fcl Global Forwarding Handicap | 7/7 | 16 | 9-0 | 68 | 60C | 35C | Fran Berry | 66/1 |
| 20 Feb 18+20d | Wolverhampton (AW) | sunbets.co.uk Handicap | 8/9 | 1½ | 9-1 | 68 | 93A | 51A | Joe Fanning | 50/1 |
| 31 Jan 18+96d | Newcastle (AW) | Betway Live Casino Handicap | 9/11 | 27 | 9-7 | 73 | 96C | 62C | P J McDonald | 66/1 |
| 2017 · 15 runs | ||||||||||
| 27 Oct 17+15d | Wolverhampton (AW) | Betway Handicap | 10/11 | 4½ | 9-2 | 77 | 88C | 58C | Dougie Costello | 80/1 |
| 12 Oct 17+37d | Ayr | William Hill Best Odds Guaranteed Handicap | 7/8 | 2¼ | 8-10 | 60 | 44A | 48A | Paul Hanagan | 22/1 |
| 05 Sep 17+50d | Hamilton | Racing UK HD On Sky 432 Handicap | 7/7 | 3 | 8-7 | 64 | 79C | 48C | Jamie Gormley | 22/1 |
| 17 Jul 17+8d | Ayr | Sundrum Castle Holiday Park Handicap | 7/8 | 1 | 9-3 | 69 | 93A | 53A | Lewis Edmunds | 25/1 |
| 09 Jul 17+6d | Ayr | Bet toteexacta At betfred.com Handicap | 11/12 | ½ | 9-2 | 73 | 91A | 65A | Dougie Costello | 80/1 |
| 03 Jul 17+21d | Hamilton | Racing Uk Profits Returned To Racing Handicap | 8/9 | 1¼ | 9-12 | 73 | 112C | 65C | Dougie Costello | 33/1 |
| 12 Jun 17+19d | Ayr | totepoolracing Win Racing Tickets On Twitter Handicap | 9/9 | 8 | 8-13 | 77 | 74C | 46C | Joe Fanning | 33/1 |
| 24 May 17+5d | Ayr | Jack Daniel's Handicap | 10/12 | 1 | 9-4 | 73 | 98A | 65A | Jamie Gormley | 20/1 |
| 19 May 17+10d | Newcastle (AW) | O'Brien Handicap | 1/8 | 8-11 | 74 | 65A | 81A | Dougie Costello | 10/1 | |
| 09 May 17+10d | Ayr | Spring Promotion At Western House Hotel Handicap | 8/8 | 2¾ | 8-12 | 74 | 80C | 52C | Paul Hanagan | 10/1 |
| 29 Apr 17+58d | Wolverhampton (AW) | Wainwright Golden Beer Handicap | 3/12 | ¾ | 9-1 | 74 | 93A | 83A | Lewis Edmunds | 5/1 |
| 02 Mar 17+3d | Newcastle (AW) | Betway Handicap | 3/13 | 1 | 8-8 | 72 | 100B | 83A | Lewis Edmunds | 11/1 |
| 27 Feb 17+14d | Wolverhampton (AW) | Betway App Handicap | 8/11 | nk | 8-13 | 72 | 97A | 62A | Lewis Edmunds | 5/2F |
| 13 Feb 17+21d | Wolverhampton (AW) | Betway Middle Handicap | 4/8 | 2½ | 8-13 | 75 | 98A | 71A | P J McDonald | 11/1 |
| 23 Jan 17+45d | Wolverhampton (AW) | Betway Handicap | 7/9 | hd | 9-6 | 78 | 98A | 69A | P J McDonald | 12/1 |
| 2016 · 10 runs | ||||||||||
| 09 Dec 16+21d | Newcastle (AW) | Concept Personnel Handicap | 10/12 | 20 | 9-8 | 81 | 85C | 64C | Tom Eaves | 16/1 |
| 18 Nov 16+106d | Newcastle (AW) | Hop House 13 Handicap | 6/14 | 2¼ | 9-4 | 82 | 104B | 83A | David Nolan | 20/1 |
| 04 Aug 16+21d | Wolverhampton (AW) | G.M. Treble Pump Specialist Handicap | 8/8 | 9 | 10-0 | 85 | — | 52C | Martin Dwyer | 12/1 |
| 14 Jul 16+26d | Hamilton | Racing UK Now Available £10 Per Day Handicap | 6/6 | 1½ | 9-9 | 85 | — | 67B | Garry Whillans | 20/1 |
| 18 Jun 16+65d | Ayr | News Scotland Handicap | 7/7 | 8 | 9-2 | 87 | — | 61A | Martin Dwyer | 25/1 |
| 14 Apr 16+27d | Ripon | Riponbet Silver Bowl Handicap | 11/11 | 8 | 9-5 | 89 | — | 72C | Graham Lee | 14/1 |
| 18 Mar 16+11d | Lingfield (AW) | Coral Handicap | 7/7 | 14 | 9-7 | 88 | — | 61C | Tom Eaves | 10/1 |
| 07 Mar 16+10d | Wolverhampton (AW) | coral.co.uk Handicap | 2/8 | ½ | 8-10 | 88 | — | 77A | Tom Eaves | 14/1 |
| 26 Feb 16+21d | Wolverhampton (AW) | Coral Connect Handicap | 1/8 | 9-6 | 83 | — | 92A | Tom Eaves | 28/1 | |
| 05 Feb 16+230d | Wolverhampton (AW) | Download The Coral App Handicap | 10/10 | 23 | 9-7 | 85 | — | 54C | Tom Eaves | 28/1 |
| 2015 · 8 runs | ||||||||||
| 20 Jun 15+2d | Ayr | Slaters Handicap | 7/7 | 7 | 9-3 | 88 | — | 57C | David Allan | 16/1 |
| 18 Jun 15+34d | Ripon | Brownsfamilyjewellers.co.uk Handicap | 4/5 | 15 | 9-7 | 88 | — | 64C | Graham Gibbons | 3/1 |
| 15 May 15+7d | Hamilton | Route 74 Truckstop Braveheart Handicap | 7/10 | nk | 8-11 | 79 | — | 65A | Phillip Makin | 6/1 |
| 08 May 15+27d | Ripon | Sis Top Class Data Delivery Handicap | 1/7 | 9-0 | 79 | — | 101A | Graham Gibbons | 8/1 | |
| 11 Apr 15+28d | Newcastle | Perfect Partnerships Handicap | 10/13 | ½ | 9-6 | 82 | — | 73A | Graham Gibbons | 8/1 |
| 14 Mar 15+33d | Wolverhampton (AW) | Coral.co.uk Handicap | 4/9 | hd | 9-0 | 88 | — | 88A | Graham Gibbons | 9/2 |
| 09 Feb 15+29d | Wolverhampton (AW) | Coral Handicap | 4/6 | 4½ | 7-12 | 89 | — | 70B | Tom Marquand | 11/2 |
| 11 Jan 15+16d | Chelmsford City (AW) | Betfred Handicap | 5/7 | ¾ | 9-9 | 90 | — | 81A | Graham Gibbons | 5/1 |
| 2014 · 8 runs | ||||||||||
| 26 Dec 14+13d | Wolverhampton (AW) | Bet In Play At Coral Handicap | 4/6 | 1¼ | 8-9 | 90 | — | 78B | Graham Gibbons | 13/2 |
| 13 Dec 14+15d | Wolverhampton (AW) | Coral Handicap | 2/8 | ½ | 8-8 | 88 | — | 92A | Graham Gibbons | 8/1 |
| 28 Nov 14+204d | Wolverhampton (AW) | Ladbrokes Handicap | 7/13 | ½ | 9-7 | 90 | — | 88A | Graham Gibbons | 9/1 |
| 08 May 14+42d | Chester | Investec Structured Products Handicap | 8/11 | 8 | 9-3 | 86 | — | 72C | Graham Gibbons | 12/1 |
| 27 Mar 14+14d | Wolverhampton (AW) | Coral App Download From The App Store Handicap | 1/5 | 9-7 | 83 | — | 94B | Graham Gibbons | EvensF | |
| 13 Mar 14+13d | Wolverhampton (AW) | Coral App Download From The App Store Handicap | 1/5 | 9-2 | 78 | — | 85B | Graham Gibbons | 2/1F | |
| 28 Feb 14+56d | Wolverhampton (AW) | Coral Mobile 'Just Three Clicks To Bet' Handicap | 1/8 | 9-4 | 72 | — | 93A | Graham Gibbons | 11/4 | |
| 03 Jan 14+95d | Southwell (AW) | Ladbrokes Handicap | 5/10 | 5 | 9-4 | 72 | — | 66A | Ben Curtis | 14/1 |
| 2013 · 7 runs | ||||||||||
| 30 Sep 13+11d | Hamilton | Casino Bets At Bonus.co.uk Handicap | 1/8 | 9-3 | 70 | — | 82A | Graham Gibbons | 13/2 | |
| 19 Sep 13+21d | Ayr | Quality And Value At Irish Yearling Sales Handicap (Div 1) | 8/12 | nk | 9-4 | 71 | — | 66A | Graham Gibbons | 11/2F |
| 29 Aug 13+1d | Hamilton | Taggarts Motor Group Scottish Trophy Handicap | 2/9 | 2 | 9-8 | 69 | — | 88A | Graham Gibbons | 15/2 |
| 28 Aug 13+28d | Carlisle | Happy Birthday Alex Darroch Handicap | 6/10 | 1½ | 9-13 | 69 | — | 76A | Graham Gibbons | 13/2 |
| 31 Jul 13+60d | Redcar | Market Cross Jewellers Handicap | 6/7 | 1¾ | 9-11 | 71 | — | 69A | Robert Winston | 15/2 |
| 01 Jun 13+22d | Musselburgh | Toteexacta Available On All Races Handicap | 6/6 | ¾ | 8-7 | 71 | — | 55B | Tom Eaves | 3/1 |
| 10 May 13+499d | Hamilton | Thomson.co.uk Handicap | 2/10 | nk | 8-4 | 68 | — | 77A | Jason Hart | 11/1 |
| 2011 · 9 runs | ||||||||||
| 28 Dec 11+57d | Wolverhampton (AW) | Stay At The Wolverhampton Holiday Inn Handicap | 1/11 | 9-3 | 68 | — | 94A | Graham Gibbons | 4/1 | |
| 01 Nov 11+25d | Redcar | Annual Badges Make Great Christmas Presents Handicap | 9/15 | ½ | 9-6 | 70 | — | 69A | Tom Eaves | 20/1 |
| 07 Oct 11+16d | York | Parsonage Hotel Spa Opening Spring 2012 Handicap | 14/19 | hd | 8-12 | 71 | — | 57A | Lee Newman | 14/1 |
| 21 Sep 11+21d | Redcar | Voltigeur Restaurant 2 Course Special For 10.95 Handicap | 4/12 | nk | 9-0 | 71 | — | 72A | Lee Newman | 11/1 |
| 31 Aug 11+32d | Carlisle | Carlisle For Conferences Handicap | 5/7 | ½ | 8-12 | 73 | — | 73A | Lee Newman | 14/1 |
| 30 Jul 11+12d | Newmarket | Adnams Broadside Handicap | 14/16 | 2½ | 8-6 | 75 | — | 53A | Lee Newman | 40/1 |
| 18 Jul 11+31d | Ayr | Polyflor Handicap (Qualifier For Betfair Bonus Scottish Racing Mile Final) | 9/12 | 1 | 9-7 | 75 | — | 62A | Lee Newman | 9/2J |
| 17 Jun 11+25d | Ayr | Liz And Martin Brawley Ruby Wedding Maiden Stakes | 1/7 | 9-3 | — | — | 87B | Lee Newman | 13/2 | |
| 23 May 11+289d | Thirsk | Book Now For Ladies Day Maiden Stakes | 8/14 | 1¼ | 9-2 | — | — | 51C | Silvestre De Sousa | 11/4F |
| 2010 · 1 run | ||||||||||
| 07 Aug 10 | Ayr | E.b.f./champagne G.h. Mumm De Cramant Maiden Stakes | 4/6 | ½ | 8-12 | — | — | 79B | Dean Heslop | 25/1 |
Quick answers
- How many races has Spes Nostra won?
- Spes Nostra (GB) won 9 of 61 archived starts between 2010 and 2018, a strike rate of 14.8%. Placed 15 times in total (24.6% of starts).
- Who trained Spes Nostra?
- Spes Nostra (GB) was trained by R Mike Smith on the most recent run on record, at Wolverhampton (AW) on 7 April 2018.
- Who is Spes Nostra's sire?
- Spes Nostra (GB) is by Ad Valorem (USA) out of Millagros (IRE), whose sire is Pennekamp.
- What going does Spes Nostra prefer?
- Spes Nostra (GB) has the best record on good to soft going: 1 win from 4 starts (25%). Only going bands with at least three archived starts are read, so this is a direction rather than a settled preference.
- What is Spes Nostra's official rating?
- The most recent official rating on record is 68, from the run on 7 April 2018. The highest on record is 90.
- What is Spes Nostra's sire's record?
- Ad Valorem (USA)'s progeny in our archive have won 9.1% of 1,585 runs since Jan 2008 (101 horses), Flat and jumps together. Strongest on standard (aw) going: 12.3% from 618. Weakest on good to firm going: 5.2% from 248.
- Who are Spes Nostra's siblings?
- Out of Millagros (IRE), Spes Nostra (GB) has 2 other produce in our archive, 1 of them a winner. Most wins: Judith Gardenier (GB) (1). Highest grade won: Class 6 (Judith Gardenier (GB)). The wins came over 1m4f. As at Oct 2026.