What is Alan Doyle's strike rate?

Alan Doyle has won 54 of 675 rides since 2008, a strike rate of 8% (as at 12 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.

Which course does Alan Doyle do best at?

Musselburgh by strike rate: 10 wins from 63 rides (15.9%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most rides on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.

Which yard does Alan Doyle ride most for?

Lucinda Russell, with 141 rides since 2008 — 21% of the total. That pairing has won 18 (12.8%).

What is Alan Doyle's Fair A/E?

0.83, from 675 rides with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.

Jockey profile

Alan Doyle

675 rides in the lifetime window · 298 individual horses

As at 12 Nov 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily

Last ride 133 days ago 100% of rides over jumps

Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2016→)

from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it

54–675

Wins / Runs

Strike rate

n=675

167 (25%)

Placed

0.83

Fair A/E

n=675 · 0.72 incl. margin

−187.18

£1 level stake

n=675 at SP · −27.7%

£661k

Prize money (window)

Strike by season

5.4%

KTB Rider Profile

Rides around 40 times a season, almost all over hurdles and fences, winning on 8% of them — a touch below the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 0.83). Riding last-time-out winners the record reads 12% (60 rides).

Deterministic profile computed from 675 archived runs (lifetime window) · updated 12 Nov 2026

KTB at a glance Fires Jan–Feb 31.8% when favourite Lucinda Russell: 12.8% from 141 LTO winners: 11.7% Claiming: 8.2% Rides the favourite in 7% of races

The read

The record is strongest at Musselburgh (15.9%, n=63), clear of the rider's 8% baseline. It is weakest at Carlisle (2.9% over 34 rides) — the widest gap in the record. Rides on last-time-out winners have been a positive signal at 11.7% (n=60, Fair A/E 0.65), but rides in big fields of 14 or more have been a poor signal at 1.4% (n=71, Fair A/E 0.27). The market has consistently overbet first rides on a horse: 6.7% strike, Fair A/E 0.72 and −147.76 to a £1 stake over 298 rides — those runners underperform what the price implies. Lucinda Russell supplies 21% of the rides and edges the rider's average (12.8% vs 8%, A/E 1.01) — the market has that partnership priced right. The rider also reads well in Class 2 (15%, n=40). Seasonally, the rider fires Jan–Feb.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Riding patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 8% baseline

First ride on the horse · first captured pairing

6.7%−1.3

n=298 · A/E 0.72 · £1 −147.76

Last-time-out winners · previous run was a win

11.7%+3.7

n=60 · A/E 0.65 · £1 −35.18

Fresh horses · 61+ days off

6.5%−1.5

n=123 · A/E 0.85 · £1 −1.63

When favourite

31.8%

n=44 · A/E 0.98 · £1 −4.31

Claiming rides · riding with a claim

8.2%+0.2

n=610 · A/E 0.84 · £1 −211.01

Big fields · 14+ runners

1.4%−6.6

n=71 · A/E 0.27 · £1 −60.00

Group / Graded races · pattern & listed

0%−8.0

n=3 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −3.00

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 8% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. First rides are the first captured pairing of horse and rider; last-time-out winners are horses whose previous captured run was a win; claiming rides are runs where the rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline

At Musselburgh 15.9% vs 8% · n=63

In Class 2 15% vs 8% · n=40

With Nicky Henderson 15.2% vs 8% · n=33

With Lucinda Russell 12.8% vs 8% · n=141

With James Ewart 13.5% vs 8% · n=37

At Carlisle 2.9% vs 8% · n=34

Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1

Hurdle 459 34 7.4% −119.14

Chase 165 15 9.1% −37.50

NH Flat 51 5 9.8% −30.54

Going

GoingRWSR£1

Good 244 17 7% −136.72

Good to Soft 198 18 9.1% −17.24

Soft 169 14 8.3% +5.62

Heavy 47 3 6.4% −37.34

Good to Firm 12 1 8.3% −6.50

Standard (AW) 5 1 20% +5.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1

Ayr 95 7 7.4% −31.22

Perth 90 7 7.8% +30.50

Musselburgh 63 10 15.9% +32.46

Kelso 59 4 6.8% −36.37

Hexham 56 2 3.6% −44.25

Newcastle 53 6 11.3% +7.67

Carlisle 34 1 2.9% −27.50

Sedgefield 32 2 6.3% −18.50

Wetherby 20 2 10% −13.63

Cartmel 20 0 0% −20.00

Doncaster 17 1 5.9% −12.00

Haydock 14 2 14.3% +6.25

Uttoxeter 13 1 7.7% −7.00

Kempton 12 2 16.7% +5.50

Market Rasen 12 1 8.3% −7.67

Class

ClassRWSR£1

Class 4 285 25 8.8% −137.00

Class 5 267 15 5.6% −55.51

Class 3 71 6 8.5% −14.13

Class 2 40 6 15% +26.88

Class 1 6 0 0% −6.00

Class 6 5 2 40% −0.42

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1

Favourite 47 15 31.9% 1.01 −4.43

2nd–3rd fav 145 16 11% 0.67 −66.75

4th–6th fav 248 15 6% 0.76 −97.00

7th+ in betting 235 8 3.4% 1.22 −19.00

Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Jumping record

completion over obstacles · same window as header

82.4% completed · 624 obstacle rides (chases & hurdles)

CodeRCompFURPUBDOth

Chase 165 75.2% 7 6 28 0 0

Hurdle 459 85% 10 10 48 0 1

Chases and hurdles only — bumpers have no obstacles, so completion is not a question there. F fell · UR unseated rider · PU pulled up · BD brought down · Oth covers refusals, slip-ups, run-outs and the rare disqualification. Non-runners are excluded throughout. Rows under n=30 are shown faded. A descriptive record, not a tip.

Horses ridden

same window as header · most-raced first

HorseRWPlLast ran

Cuban Cigar (GB) 17 1 7 16 Aug 25

Killybegs Jet Lady (IRE) 13 1 8 13 Jun 26

Cave Hill (GB) 13 2 3 19 Feb 26

Garde Des Champs (IRE) 11 1 2 2 Jul 26

If Not For Dylan (IRE) 11 3 4 25 May 26

Bold Light (IRE) 11 2 2 14 May 26

Knomorediamonds (FR) 10 2 6 17 Apr 26

Monday Club (GB) 10 1 8 26 Dec 18

Maura Jeanne (GB) 9 1 2 16 Feb 26

Nathan Wells (GB) 9 2 5 21 Oct 25

El Jefe (IRE) 9 1 2 24 Apr 25

Toucan Sam (GB) 9 0 0 8 Mar 25

Showing the 60 most-raced of the 298 horses ridden in this window — each ran at least 3 times. Horses with fewer runs aren't listed; search finds any horse since 2005. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.

By month

strike by month, lifetime

JFMAMJJASOND

997763100217128

A jumps rider: the season runs Oct–Apr. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Riding for

same window · biggest samples first

Main yardLucinda Russell

21% of all rides
12.8% SR · A/E 1.01

TrainerRWSR£1

Lucinda Russell 141 18 12.8% −51.17

Andrew Hamilton 72 6 8.3% −3.50

Lucinda Russell & Michael Scudamore 70 6 8.6% −5.50

Ian Duncan 66 4 6.1% −34.25

James Ewart 37 5 13.5% +32.83

Nicky Henderson 33 5 15.2% +1.08

Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2016→

Archived wins

£661k

Prize money

2025

Best season · 17 wins

Cadell (IRE) — Ladbrokes 'Best Odds Guaranteed On Racing' Handicap Chase (GBB Race) Kelso · Mar 2025 · Class 2

£18,472

Knomorediamonds (FR) — Coral Handicap Hurdle (GBB Race) Ayr · Apr 2026 · Class 2

£16,338

Bold Light (IRE) — LiveScore Bet Best Odds Daily Hogmaneigh Handicap Hurdle (GBB Race) Musselburgh · Jan 2025 · Class 2

£15,945

Notable horses

If Not For Dylan (IRE) Cave Hill (GB) Bold Light (IRE) Knomorediamonds (FR) Nathan Wells (GB) Chapel Green (IRE)

Sires of the horses ridden

progeny record · win % by ground and trip

Black Sam Bellamy (IRE) 5.6% · 1–18

Progeny have won 10.3% of 4,688 runs since 2008 (466 horses). Weakest over 1m2f – 1m4f (all codes): 5.5% from 145.

Jet Away (GB) 11.1% · 2–18

Progeny have won 11.3% of 2,565 runs since 2018 (277 horses).

Leading Light (IRE) 11.1% · 2–18

Progeny have won 8.2% of 2,217 runs since 2018 (226 horses). Weakest on Heavy going: 4.6% from 241.

Havana Gold (IRE) 5.9% · 1–17

Progeny have won 9.5% of 5,064 runs since 2017 (402 horses). Weakest on Heavy going: 4.2% from 118. Strongest at trips under 6f (all codes): 13% from 523. Weakest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 6.2% from 177.

Jack Hobbs (GB) 11.8% · 2–17

Progeny have won 10.2% of 1,094 runs since 2021 (205 horses). Strongest over 2m5f – 3m (all codes): 18% from 122.

Mahler (GB) 6.3% · 1–16

Progeny have won 10.8% of 8,894 runs since 2014 (790 horses). Strongest on Good to Firm going: 15.1% from 119.

Top line: the rider's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 12 Nov 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 675 · newest first

The latest 50 of 675 archived rides, newest first. The full record runs from 18 February 2016 to 2 July 2026.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP

02 Jul 26 Perth Prince Nino (FR)T: Lizzie Quinlan AEJ Facilities Management Handicap HurdleClass 5 · 24f · Good · 10 ran 8th 22/1

02 Jul 26 Perth Garde Des Champs (IRE)T: Lucinda Russell & Michael Scudamore Secure Air Parks Edinburgh Airport Parking Handicap Chase (GBB Race)Class 4 · 20f · Good · 6 ran 3rd 9/4

02 Jul 26 Perth Tigress Lilly (GB)T: Lucinda Russell & Michael Scudamore Kettle Produce Handicap HurdleClass 4 · 16f · Good · 6 ran 6th 16/1

01 Jul 26 Worcester Barry Fife (IRE)T: Gary Hanmer Britannia Dynamic Logistics Promises Delivered Conditional Jockeys' Handicap HurdleClass 5 · 23f · Good · 10 ran PU 6/1

21 Jun 26 Hexham Top Flight Century (FR)T: David Thompson L & R Pest Control Services Conditional Jockeys' Handicap HurdleClass 5 · 16f · Good · 10 ran 5th 50/1

13 Jun 26 Hexham Killybegs Jet Lady (IRE)T: Lucinda Russell & Michael Scudamore Stan Hayhurst Memorial Handicap ChaseClass 5 · 24f · Good · 7 ran PU 9/2

13 Jun 26 Hexham Mr Globalist (IRE)T: Lizzie Quinlan Tileform Handicap ChaseClass 5 · 15.5f · Good · 6 ran 4th 7/1

13 Jun 26 Hexham Autumn Getaway (IRE)T: Lizzie Quinlan Clean Sweep Novices' Hurdle (GBB Race)Class 3 · 16f · Good · 9 ran 5th 150/1

13 Jun 26 Hexham Bobby Socks (GB)T: Lizzie Quinlan Andy Calvert Celebration Conditional Jockeys' Handicap HurdleClass 5 · 16f · Good · 10 ran 7th 40/1

07 Jun 26 Perth Garde Des Champs (IRE)T: Lucinda Russell & Michael Scudamore Perth Silver Cup Handicap Chase (GBB Race)Class 3 · 16f · Good · 5 ran 3rd 17/2

07 Jun 26 Perth Magic Gloves (IRE)T: Lucinda Russell & Michael Scudamore Sun Racing The Home Of Racing Novices' Limited Handicap HurdleClass 5 · 16f · Good · 12 ran 10th 22/1

07 Jun 26 Perth Dolly Dior (GB)T: Patrick Neville Scone Palace Jousting Tournament Novices' Hurdle (GBB Race)Class 4 · 20f · Good · 7 ran 4th 50/1

27 May 26 Cartmel Mr Globalist (IRE)T: Lizzie Quinlan In Memory Of Jimmy Latham Selling Handicap HurdleClass 5 · 17f · Good · 13 ran 4th 14/1

25 May 26 Cartmel If Not For Dylan (IRE)T: Lucinda Russell & Michael Scudamore Hugh Cavendish Veterans' Handicap ChaseClass 3 · 29.5f · Good · 5 ran 5th 9/1

24 May 26 Kelso Killybegs Jet Lady (IRE)T: Lucinda Russell & Michael Scudamore Komatsu Forest Novices' Handicap ChaseClass 5 · 23.5f · Good · 5 ran 1st 7/4

24 May 26 Kelso Chapel Green (IRE)T: Lucinda Russell & Michael Scudamore Racing TV Handicap Chase (GBB Race)Class 4 · 21.5f · Good · 5 ran 5th 9/2

23 May 26 Cartmel Clonakilty (IRE)T: Lizzie Quinlan St Marys Hospice Handicap ChaseClass 5 · 21f · Good · 12 ran 9th 28/1

19 May 26 Hexham Malangen (IRE)T: Lisa Harrison Jason Arnup After Party 6th June Handicap HurdleClass 5 · 16f · Good · 10 ran 3rd 10/3F

19 May 26 Hexham East Eagle (IRE)T: Mike Sowersby Tynedale Agricultural Society Conditional Jockeys' Handicap HurdleClass 5 · 23.5f · Good · 11 ran 6th 9/1

14 May 26 Perth Bold Light (IRE)T: Lucinda Russell & Michael Scudamore Edinburgh Gin Hugo Spritz Handicap Hurdle (Div 1)Class 4 · 20f · Good To Soft · 5 ran 3rd 7/2

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is Alan Doyle's strike rate?: Alan Doyle has won 54 of 675 rides since 2008, a strike rate of 8% (as at 12 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does Alan Doyle do best at?: Musselburgh by strike rate: 10 wins from 63 rides (15.9%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most rides on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Which yard does Alan Doyle ride most for?: Lucinda Russell, with 141 rides since 2008 — 21% of the total. That pairing has won 18 (12.8%).
What is Alan Doyle's Fair A/E?: 0.83, from 675 rides with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.