What is David Allan's strike rate?

David Allan has won 1,175 of 10,597 rides since 2008, a strike rate of 11.1% (as at 14 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.

Which course does David Allan do best at?

Hamilton by strike rate: 63 wins from 381 rides (16.5%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most rides on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.

Which yard does David Allan ride most for?

Tim Easterby, with 7,466 rides since 2008 — 70% of the total. That pairing has won 852 (11.4%).

Is David Allan in form?

In the last 14 days: 16 rides, 2 winners, a strike rate of 12.5%. That is in line with the baseline of 11.1% since 2008.

What is David Allan's Fair A/E?

1.00, from 10,523 rides with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.

Jockey profile

David Allan

10,597 rides in the lifetime window · 2,766 individual horses

As at 14 Nov 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily

Last ride 7 days ago 100% of rides on the flat

Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2008→)

from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it

1,175–10,597

Wins / Runs

11.1%

Strike rate

n=10,597

3,361 (32%)

Placed

1.00

Fair A/E

n=10,523 · 0.86 incl. margin

−2,245.05

£1 level stake

n=10,597 at SP · −21.2%

£14.6m

Prize money (window)

Strike by season

11%

KTB Rider Profile

Rides around 560 times a season, almost all on the flat, winning on 11% of them — level with the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 1.00). Riding last-time-out winners the record reads 16% (1,039 rides). Rides mostly for Tim Easterby — 70% of rides in the window.

Deterministic profile computed from 10,597 archived runs (lifetime window) · updated 14 Nov 2026

KTB at a glance 30.3% when favourite Tim Easterby: 11.4% from 7,466 LTO winners: 16.2% Rides the favourite in 11% of races

The read

Rides on last-time-out winners have been a positive signal at 16.2% (n=1,039, Fair A/E 1.01), but horses returning fresh after 61+ days have been a poor signal at 5.8% (n=1,247, Fair A/E 0.72). In Group and Graded company the record are the standout value angle: 12.5% strikes only just above baseline, but Fair A/E 1.40 and +22.73 to a £1 stake over 311 rides — a record the market has persistently underpriced. Tim Easterby supplies 70% of the rides and matches the rider's average almost exactly (11.4%, A/E 0.98) — the market has that partnership priced right. 42 Group and Graded wins sit in the archive record — the biggest prize the rider has landed: the Qipco British Champions Sprint Stakes at Ascot (Oct 2023, £283,550). The standout partner of the record: Garden Oasis (GB) — 11 wins from 51 rides together.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Riding patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 11.1% baseline

First ride on the horse · first captured pairing

8%−3.1

n=2,681 · A/E 0.96 · £1 −882.56

Last-time-out winners · previous run was a win

16.2%+5.1

n=1,039 · A/E 1.01 · £1 −225.54

Fresh horses · 61+ days off

5.8%−5.3

n=1,247 · A/E 0.72 · £1 −561.41

When favourite

30.3%

n=1,157 · A/E 1.09 · £1 −91.11

Big fields · 14+ runners

7.2%−3.9

n=1,978 · A/E 1.02 · £1 −455.43

Group / Graded races · pattern & listed

12.5%+1.4

n=311 · A/E 1.40 · £1 +22.73

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 11.1% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. First rides are the first captured pairing of horse and rider; last-time-out winners are horses whose previous captured run was a win; claiming rides are runs where the rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline

With Garry Moss 26.3% vs 11.1% · n=38

With James Tate 21.4% vs 11.1% · n=140

With debutants 4.3% vs 11.1% · n=670

With Alan Swinbank 21% vs 11.1% · n=62

With Michael Easterby 21.4% vs 11.1% · n=42

With Ron Barr 0% vs 11.1% · n=30

Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Going

GoingRWSR£1

Good 3,315 374 11.3% −503.62

Good to Firm 2,863 334 11.7% −546.38

Good to Soft 1,618 167 10.3% −404.82

Soft 1,416 157 11.1% −414.19

Standard (AW) 967 104 10.8% −184.98

Heavy 363 36 9.9% −145.11

Firm 55 3 5.5% −45.95

Courses

CourseRWSR£1

Redcar 1,028 108 10.5% +8.85

Ripon 953 129 13.5% −227.30

Beverley 936 102 10.9% −379.92

Thirsk 869 92 10.6% −161.06

York 749 53 7.1% −222.74

Catterick 735 88 12% −207.70

Pontefract 588 67 11.4% −87.77

Ayr 564 70 12.4% −113.63

Doncaster 487 42 8.6% −13.00

Musselburgh 476 66 13.9% −91.98

Newcastle (AW) 456 35 7.7% −179.09

Haydock 434 41 9.4% −113.15

Hamilton 381 63 16.5% −108.37

Carlisle 377 43 11.4% −114.35

Southwell (AW) 260 42 16.2% +69.89

Class

ClassRWSR£1

Class 5 3,753 406 10.8% −797.56

Class 4 2,373 272 11.5% −622.30

Class 6 2,222 287 12.9% −305.45

Class 3 1,023 103 10.1% −255.88

Class 2 916 68 7.4% −287.59

Class 1 310 39 12.6% +23.73

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1

Favourite 1,398 395 28.3% 1.07 −136.03

2nd–3rd fav 2,554 427 16.7% 1.04 −304.02

4th–6th fav 3,453 253 7.3% 0.89 −993.00

7th+ in betting 3,192 100 3.1% 0.86 −812.00

Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Distance

DistanceRWSR£1

6f – 7f 4,399 435 9.9% −974.36

Under 6f 2,248 270 12% −545.01

1m – 1m1f 1,804 196 10.9% −438.54

1m2f – 1m4f 1,587 200 12.6% −241.53

1m5f – 2m 515 73 14.2% −6.61

2m1f – 2m4f 44 1 2.3% −39.00

By season

By seasonRWSR£1

2008 562 61 10.9% +27.53

2009 485 41 8.5% −195.32

2010 537 72 13.4% −96.85

2011 508 52 10.2% −128.64

2012 427 36 8.4% −191.99

2013 373 36 9.7% −77.10

2014 494 53 10.7% −48.99

2015 552 68 12.3% −34.91

2016 535 61 11.4% −79.31

2017 529 64 12.1% −16.95

2018 642 76 11.8% −157.80

2019 618 76 12.3% −174.86

2020 496 57 11.5% −144.28

2021 592 77 13% +40.80

2022 668 72 10.8% −114.46

2023 658 62 9.4% −231.33

2024 646 61 9.4% −238.80

2025 664 83 12.5% −183.85

2026 611 67 11% −197.94

Handicaps

HandicapsRWSR£1

Handicaps 7,702 931 12.1% −1,280.27

Field size

Field sizeRWSR£1

8-10 runners 3,714 459 12.4% −868.12

11-13 runners 3,103 274 8.8% −544.67

5-7 runners 1,684 265 15.7% −352.15

14-16 runners 1,287 103 8% −294.26

17+ runners 691 40 5.8% −161.17

2-4 runners 118 34 28.8% −24.68

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Horses ridden

same window as header · most-raced first

HorseRWPlLast ran

Confessional (GB) 52 4 21 2 Sep 17

Garden Oasis (GB) 51 11 21 1 Oct 26

Poet's Dawn (GB) 47 6 20 6 Jul 26

Hamish McGonagall (GB) 47 9 23 23 Aug 13

Highwaygrey (GB) 45 8 21 9 Jun 25

Copper Knight (IRE) 44 9 21 6 Sep 26

Albegone (GB) 43 7 17 4 Nov 26

Little Ted (GB) 43 5 18 18 Sep 26

Golden Apollo (GB) 43 5 15 21 Sep 23

Relight My Fire (GB) 43 5 16 16 Jul 19

Hazelrigg (IRE) 43 5 17 5 Nov 14

Multellie (GB) 39 7 18 20 Sep 21

Showing the 60 most-raced of the 2,766 horses ridden in this window — each ran at least 22 times. Horses with fewer runs aren't listed; search finds any horse since 2005. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.

Current form

significance-gated

Last 14 days

Steady

2 from 16 12.5% · +1.4pts vs baseline

Last 14 days12.5%

Lifetime base11.1%

Shown only when the 14-day window is large enough to mean anything (n≥15). A cold run renders the same card with a quiet badge — never hidden.

By month

strike by month, lifetime

JFMAMJJASOND

812581112131111101224

A flat rider: the season runs Mar–Oct. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Riding for

same window · biggest samples first

Main yardTim Easterby

70% of all rides
11.4% SR · A/E 0.98

TrainerRWSR£1

Tim Easterby 7,466 852 11.4% −1,728.87

Eric Alston 280 31 11.1% −18.58

David C Griffiths 215 24 11.2% −65.02

Mel Brittain 212 15 7.1% +21.25

Les Eyre 195 20 10.3% −37.20

James Tate 140 30 21.4% −18.27

Declan Carroll 138 17 12.3% +28.03

Geoffrey Harker 129 13 10.1% −27.00

Iain Jardine 82 9 11% −7.92

Scott Dixon 70 3 4.3% −47.00

Ann Duffield 69 6 8.7% +162.58

David Thompson 64 5 7.8% −29.26

Muted rows are under 30 rides.

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2005→

1,341

Archived wins

Pattern / graded wins

£16.1m

Prize money

2025

Best season · 83 wins

In our archive from its very first year (2005), so this career almost certainly began earlier than our record does. The figures above count 2005 onwards only — what the archive holds, not a full-career total. This card is the full archive census (2005→); the statistics in the header aggregate from 2008 — the floor that guarantees every horse a complete captured career — so this card can legitimately show more wins than the header.

Art Power (IRE) — Qipco British Champions Sprint Stakes (Group 1) (British Champions Series) Ascot · Oct 2023 · Group 1

£283,550

Take Cover (GB) — Qatar King George Stakes (Group 2) Goodwood · Jul 2016 · Group 2

£176,992

Midnight Martini (GB) — Dbs 300000 St Leger Yearling Stakes York · Aug 2009 · Class 2

£147,720

Notable horses

Garden Oasis (GB) Malcheek (IRE) Hamish McGonagall (GB) Copper Knight (IRE) Regal Mirage (IRE) Highwaygrey (GB)

Sires of the horses ridden

progeny record · win % by ground and trip

Pivotal (GB) 10.2% · 18–176

Progeny have won 13.6% of 12,790 runs since 2008 (1,019 horses). Weakest over 2m5f – 3m (all codes): 7.4% from 108.

Dandy Man (IRE) 11.6% · 20–172

Progeny have won 9.1% of 14,991 runs since 2013 (930 horses). Weakest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 5.3% from 171.

Dark Angel (IRE) 12.5% · 20–160

Progeny have won 11.3% of 21,957 runs since 2011 (1,596 horses). Strongest on Firm going: 15% from 107.

Kodiac (GB) 10.4% · 16–154

Progeny have won 10.4% of 23,606 runs since 2010 (1,666 horses). Strongest on Firm going: 14.3% from 147. Weakest over 2m1f – 2m4f (all codes): 7.1% from 255.

Bungle Inthejungle (GB) 12.2% · 17–139

Progeny have won 8.8% of 4,251 runs since 2018 (353 horses). Weakest on Heavy going: 2.4% from 123. Weakest over 1m2f – 1m4f (all codes): 2.4% from 125.

Firebreak (GB) 14.3% · 19–133

Progeny have won 8.4% of 2,474 runs since 2009 (150 horses).

Top line: the rider's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 14 Nov 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 12,516 · newest first

The latest 50 of 12,516 archived rides, newest first. The full record runs from 2 January 2005 to 7 November 2026.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP

07 Nov 26 Doncaster Brighton Boy (IRE)T: Tim Easterby Virgin Bet Daily Extra Places Handicap StakesClass 2 · 6f · Good To Soft · 22 ran 7th 7/1

07 Nov 26 Doncaster Asset (GER)T: Sir Mark Prescott Bt Virgin Bet Daily Price Boosts Irish EBF Gillies Fillies' Stakes (Listed Race)Class 1 · 10f · Good To Soft · 17 ran 13th 28/1

07 Nov 26 Doncaster Myal (GB)T: Steph Hollinshead Virgin Bet Every Saturday Money Back Wentworth Stakes (Listed Race)Class 1 · 6f · Good To Soft · 20 ran 11th 20/1

07 Nov 26 Doncaster Bladey Lady (IRE)T: Tim Easterby Virgin Bet Supports Safer Gambling Nursery Handicap StakesClass 4 · 6f · Good To Soft · 8 ran 4th 9/1

06 Nov 26 Newcastle (AW) Peaceful Spirit (IRE)T: Lawrence Mullaney All-Weather Championship Season 14 Has Begun Handicap StakesClass 6 · 8f · Standard · 14 ran 12th 40/1

06 Nov 26 Newcastle (AW) Dragon Spin (GB)T: Steph Hollinshead Midnite: Built For 2026 Not 2006 Handicap StakesClass 5 · 5f · Standard · 14 ran 13th 25/1

06 Nov 26 Newcastle (AW) Halcon (GB)T: Tim Easterby AWC Finals Day At Newcastle 26th March Nursery Handicap StakesClass 6 · 7f · Standard · 11 ran 8th 50/1

06 Nov 26 Newcastle (AW) Per Contra (IRE)T: Tim Easterby Midnite A Next Generation Betting App Handicap Stakes (GBBPlus Race)Class 3 · 10f · Standard · 14 ran 9th 7/1

05 Nov 26 Southwell (AW) Classic Bellini (GB)T: Tim Easterby Make The Move To Midnite Restricted Maiden Fillies' Stakes (For Horses In Bands B, C And D) (GBB Race)Class 5 · 6f · Standard · 11 ran 2nd 6/1

04 Nov 26 Musselburgh Vince Le Prince (GB)T: Tim Easterby Thank You For The Fun Gweedore Handicap StakesClass 5 · 7f · Soft · 12 ran 4th 4/1F

04 Nov 26 Musselburgh Quest For Fun (GB)T: Tim Easterby Nairns Oatcakes Handicap StakesClass 3 · 7f · Soft · 12 ran 5th 11/2

04 Nov 26 Musselburgh Barley (IRE)T: Tim Easterby Hibernian FC Emerald Club Handicap StakesClass 5 · 8f · Soft · 10 ran 4th 7/1

04 Nov 26 Musselburgh Bollin Neil (GB)T: Tim Easterby Joe Fanning Fond Farewell Handicap StakesClass 6 · 16f · Soft · 11 ran 6th 14/1

04 Nov 26 Musselburgh Off Spin (IRE)T: Gay Kelleway Burton Roofing Merchants Handicap Stakes (Div II)Class 6 · 12.5f · Soft · 10 ran 1st 9/2

04 Nov 26 Musselburgh So Farhh (GB)T: Tim Easterby British Stallion Studs EBF Restricted Maiden Stakes (For Horses In Bands C And D) (GBB Race)Class 2 · 7f · Good To Soft · 8 ran 1st 5/1

04 Nov 26 Musselburgh Albegone (GB)T: Tim Easterby Veronika Walker: Moments That Matter Handicap StakesClass 5 · 5f · Soft · 11 ran 2nd 10/1

31 Oct 26 Newmarket Daydreama (GB)T: Tim Easterby Munich's Allianz-grosser Preis Von Bayern Handicap StakesClass 4 · 7f · Good To Soft · 16 ran 7th 10/1

31 Oct 26 Newmarket Bearin Up (IRE)T: Tim Easterby Dusseldorf's Henkel 169 German Oaks Handicap StakesClass 3 · 8f · Good To Soft · 14 ran 7th 17/2

31 Oct 26 Newmarket Bay Breeze (GB)T: Tim Easterby Prestige Vehicles Handicap Stakes (Div I)Class 4 · 6f · Good To Soft · 10 ran 7th 25/1

30 Oct 26 Newcastle (AW) Blue To Blue (IRE)T: Ruth Jefferson Awc Season 14 Has Begun Handicap StakesClass 5 · 8f · Standard · 10 ran 6th 15/2

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

KTB’s figures

the forward record · since 5 Oct 2026

KTB’s figures on this rider’s mounts since 8 Oct 2026: the KTB Selection in 7 runs (won 2) · top-rated on KTB Rating in 9 runs (won 2) · fastest on KTB Speed in 2 runs (won 2) · to 7 Nov 2026.

Each pick was a KTB figure’s choice before the off — the published KTB Selection, the top-rated horse on KTB Rating, the fastest on KTB Speed — settled against the result the next morning and never worked out again; “did not run” is counted apart. GB and Irish races only. A record of weeks so far: read it as a count, not a verdict.

Quick answers

What is David Allan's strike rate?: David Allan has won 1,175 of 10,597 rides since 2008, a strike rate of 11.1% (as at 14 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does David Allan do best at?: Hamilton by strike rate: 63 wins from 381 rides (16.5%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most rides on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Which yard does David Allan ride most for?: Tim Easterby, with 7,466 rides since 2008 — 70% of the total. That pairing has won 852 (11.4%).
Is David Allan in form?: In the last 14 days: 16 rides, 2 winners, a strike rate of 12.5%. That is in line with the baseline of 11.1% since 2008.
What is David Allan's Fair A/E?: 1.00, from 10,523 rides with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.