What is Dylan Johnston's strike rate?

Dylan Johnston has won 98 of 744 rides since 2008, a strike rate of 13.2% (as at 12 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.

Which course does Dylan Johnston do best at?

Chepstow by strike rate: 7 wins from 34 rides (20.6%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most rides on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.

Which yard does Dylan Johnston ride most for?

Sam Thomas, with 158 rides since 2008 — 21% of the total. That pairing has won 33 (20.9%).

Is Dylan Johnston in form?

Too few rides in the last 14 days to read — 14 rides, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.

What is Dylan Johnston's Fair A/E?

1.02, from 743 rides with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.

Jockey profile

Dylan Johnston

744 rides in the lifetime window · 374 individual horses

As at 12 Nov 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily

Won yesterday Rides today 99% of rides over jumps

Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2018→)

from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it

98–744

Wins / Runs

13.2%

Strike rate

n=744

252 (34%)

Placed

1.02

Fair A/E

n=743 · 0.87 incl. margin

−210.93

£1 level stake

n=744 at SP · −28.4%

£1.72m

Prize money (window)

Strike by season

15.8%

KTB Rider Profile

Rides around 40 times a season, almost all over hurdles and fences, winning on 13% of them — level with the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 1.02). Riding last-time-out winners the record reads 24% (106 rides).

Deterministic profile computed from 744 archived runs (lifetime window) · updated 12 Nov 2026

KTB at a glance Fires Oct–Nov Fresh horses: 16% 43.3% when favourite Sam Thomas: 20.9% from 158 LTO winners: 23.6% Rides the favourite in 12% of races

The read

It is weakest at Newcastle (5.6% over 36 rides) — the widest gap in the record. Rides on last-time-out winners have been a positive signal at 23.6% (n=106, Fair A/E 1.09), but rides in big fields of 14 or more have been a poor signal at 7% (n=114, Fair A/E 1.05). Sam Thomas supplies 21% of the rides and beats the rider's average (20.9% vs 13.2%, A/E 1.21) — the partnership beats the margin-free market read. The rider also reads well off a break of 180+ days (21.3%, n=94). 3 Group and Graded wins sit in the archive record — the biggest prize the rider has landed: the bet365 Handicap Chase at Ascot (Jan 2026, £53,150). Seasonally, the rider fires Oct–Nov.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Riding patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 13.2% baseline

First ride on the horse · first captured pairing

12.8%−0.4

n=374 · A/E 1.13 · £1 −81.73

Last-time-out winners · previous run was a win

23.6%+10.4

n=106 · A/E 1.09 · £1 −7.83

Fresh horses · 61+ days off

16%+2.8

n=188 · A/E 1.31 · £1 −3.73

When favourite

43.3%

n=90 · A/E 1.21 · £1 −1.20

Claiming rides · riding with a claim

11.6%−1.6

n=524 · A/E 0.93 · £1 −164.22

Big fields · 14+ runners

7%−6.2

n=114 · A/E 1.05 · £1 −54.58

Group / Graded races · pattern & listed

11.1%−2.1

n=27 · A/E 0.84 · £1 −17.01

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 13.2% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. First rides are the first captured pairing of horse and rider; last-time-out winners are horses whose previous captured run was a win; claiming rides are runs where the rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline

With Olly Murphy 26% vs 13.2% · n=50

On last-time-out winners 23.6% vs 13.2% · n=106

With Neil Mulholland 25% vs 13.2% · n=60

With Sam Thomas 20.9% vs 13.2% · n=158

Off a break of 180+ days 21.3% vs 13.2% · n=94

At Newcastle 5.6% vs 13.2% · n=36

Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1

Hurdle 468 62 13.2% −101.16

Chase 217 31 14.3% −82.58

NH Flat 55 5 9.1% −23.19

Flat 4 0 0% −4.00

Going

GoingRWSR£1

Good 287 50 17.4% +4.44

Good to Soft 206 20 9.7% −111.81

Soft 175 20 11.4% −55.35

Heavy 67 7 10.4% −41.46

Good to Firm 8 1 12.5% −5.75

Standard (AW) 1 0 0% −1.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1

Kelso 37 6 16.2% +10.91

Newcastle 36 2 5.6% −23.00

Ayr 36 4 11.1% −5.50

Perth 35 2 5.7% −17.50

Chepstow 34 7 20.6% +4.71

Ffos Las 29 3 10.3% −21.68

Market Rasen 28 2 7.1% −12.75

Cheltenham 26 1 3.8% −22.00

Fontwell 26 5 19.2% −14.20

Carlisle 23 6 26.1% +2.56

Uttoxeter 23 3 13% −13.59

Hereford 23 3 13% −16.02

Musselburgh 22 1 4.5% −17.50

Hexham 20 3 15% +1.03

Southwell 17 2 11.8% −10.83

Class

ClassRWSR£1

Class 5 260 35 13.5% −78.23

Class 4 230 35 15.2% −28.33

Class 3 87 14 16.1% −14.15

Class 1 56 4 7.1% −23.01

Class 2 53 9 17% −28.21

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1

Favourite 108 41 38% 1.14 −13.50

2nd–3rd fav 184 34 18.5% 1.03 −24.93

4th–6th fav 247 18 7.3% 0.86 −67.50

7th+ in betting 205 5 2.4% 0.84 −105.00

Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Jumping record

completion over obstacles · same window as header

83.6% completed · 685 obstacle rides (chases & hurdles)

CodeRCompFURPUBDOth

Chase 217 79.7% 7 4 32 1 0

Hurdle 468 85.5% 7 7 50 2 2

Chases and hurdles only — bumpers have no obstacles, so completion is not a question there. F fell · UR unseated rider · PU pulled up · BD brought down · Oth covers refusals, slip-ups, run-outs and the rare disqualification. Non-runners are excluded throughout. Rows under n=30 are shown faded. A descriptive record, not a tip.

Horses ridden

same window as header · most-raced first

HorseRWPlLast ran

Palacio (FR) 12 3 4 23 Oct 26

Katate Dori (FR) 11 1 4 24 Oct 26

Range (IRE) 9 1 2 2 Nov 26

Blue Las (GB) 9 4 5 31 Oct 26

Twist Of Fatecatch (FR) 9 1 5 22 May 26

Vincenzo (FR) 9 3 6 28 Feb 26

Shanbally Rose (IRE) 9 1 4 18 May 23

Economic Editor (IRE) 9 0 3 29 Mar 23

Looking Splendid (GB) 8 4 6 5 Nov 26

Doctor Blue (FR) 8 2 4 9 Oct 26

C'est Different (FR) 8 3 3 12 Mar 26

Steel Ally (FR) 8 4 5 10 Mar 26

Showing the 60 most-raced of the 374 horses ridden in this window — each ran at least 3 times. Horses with fewer runs aren't listed; search finds any horse since 2005. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.

Current form

significance-gated

Last 14 days

Small sample

3 from 14

Only 14 rides in the last 14 days — too few to read against the baseline (gate: n≥15). The card states the sample and stays neutral.

By month

strike by month, lifetime

JFMAMJJASOND

16138157166314231711

A jumps rider: the season runs Oct–Apr. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Riding for

same window · biggest samples first

Main yardSam Thomas

21% of all rides
20.9% SR · A/E 1.21

TrainerRWSR£1

Sam Thomas 158 33 20.9% −19.46

Rose Dobbin 66 6 9.1% −11.25

Neil Mulholland 60 15 25% +20.53

Olly Murphy 50 13 26% +20.92

Iain Jardine 41 4 9.8% −14.00

Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2018→

Archived wins

Pattern / graded wins

£1.72m

Prize money

2024

Best season · 32 wins

Vincenzo (FR) — bet365 Handicap Chase (GBB Race) Ascot · Jan 2026 · Class 2

£53,150

Pickanumber (IRE) — Pertemps Network Swinton Handicap Hurdle (Premier Handicap) (GBB Race) Haydock · May 2024 · Class 1

£45,560

Steel Ally (FR) — Bet Smarter With Oddschecker Kingmaker Novices' Chase (Grade 2) (GBB Race) Warwick · Feb 2026 · Grade 2

£42,713

Notable horses

Blue Las (GB) Looking Splendid (GB) Steel Ally (FR) Palacio (FR) Vincenzo (FR) C'est Different (FR)

Sires of the horses ridden

progeny record · win % by ground and trip

Doctor Dino (FR) 40.5% · 17–42

Progeny have won 15.9% of 3,240 runs since 2013 (500 horses). Strongest on Good going: 19.8% from 565. Weakest on Standard (AW) going: 9.4% from 212. Strongest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 19.7% from 699. Weakest over 1m – 1m1f (all codes): 8.7% from 138.

No Risk At All (FR) 4.5% · 1–22

Progeny have won 14.4% of 3,175 runs since 2016 (440 horses). Strongest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 17.5% from 956.

Shantou (USA) 22.7% · 5–22

Progeny have won 13.6% of 7,845 runs since 2008 (539 horses). Strongest on Good to Firm going: 20.3% from 158.

Getaway (GER) 25% · 5–20

Progeny have won 11.3% of 11,030 runs since 2016 (1,034 horses). Strongest on Good to Firm going: 23.1% from 134.

Bathyrhon (GER) 5.3% · 1–19

Progeny have won 12.4% of 1,206 runs since 2019 (189 horses).

Yeats (IRE) 15.8% · 3–19

Progeny have won 11.9% of 9,857 runs since 2013 (709 horses). Weakest on Standard (AW) going: 6.9% from 204. Strongest beyond 3m (all codes): 15.2% from 820.

Top line: the rider's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 12 Nov 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 744 · newest first

The latest 50 of 744 archived rides, newest first. The full record runs from 22 December 2018 to 12 November 2026.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP

12 Nov 26 Market Rasen Moutarde (IRE)T: Syd Hosie PricedUp Bet Handicap Hurdle RaceClass 4 · 16.5f · Good To Soft · 7 ran 1st 11/1

11 Nov 26 Bangor-on-Dee Captain Connor (FR)T: Clare Ellam Wrexham Lager Novices' Hurdle Race (GBB Race)Class 4 · 23f · Good · 4 ran 3rd 11/1

11 Nov 26 Bangor-on-Dee Fika (GB)T: Sam Thomas Bangor-On-Dee Memberships Now On Sale EBF Junior 'National Hunt' Hurdle Race (GBB Race)Class 4 · 16.5f · Good · 7 ran 3rd 4/1

11 Nov 26 Bangor-on-Dee First Confession (IRE)T: Joe Tizzard Weatherbys & Birdie Calendars Handicap Steeple Chase (GBB Race)Class 2 · 24f · Good · 5 ran 1st 7/4F

11 Nov 26 Bangor-on-Dee Sunset Marquesa (IRE)T: Joe Tizzard Yorton Mares' Novices' Steeple Chase (Listed Race) (For The Richard Aston Memorial Trophy) (GBB Race)Class 1 · 17.5f · Good · 8 ran 6th 13/2

10 Nov 26 Huntingdon Walk The Plank (IRE)T: Clare Hobson PricedUp Boosted Prices Daily Novices' Handicap Steeple ChaseClass 5 · 20f · Good · 6 ran 2nd 5/1

08 Nov 26 Ffos Las Marin Du Large (FR)T: Rebecca Curtis Fedwen Tentage Open National Hunt Flat Race (Category 1 Elimination) (GBB Race)Class 5 · 16f · Soft · 9 ran 5th 8/1

06 Nov 26 Aintree Leader Crik (FR)T: Nigel & Willy Twiston-Davies Download The BetMGM App Novices' Limited Handicap Steeple Chase (GBB Race)Class 3 · 25f · Good To Soft · 5 ran 3rd 9/2

05 Nov 26 Newcastle Bran Galad (GB)T: David Menuisier attheraces.com/marketmovers "Junior" National Hunt Flat Race (GBB Race)Class 5 · 17f · Good · 9 ran 2nd 7/1

05 Nov 26 Newcastle Looking Splendid (GB)T: Gary Rutherford Get Raceday Ready Novices' Handicap Steeple Chase (Go North Forgive 'N Forget Series Qualifier) (GBB Race)Class 4 · 20f · Good · 5 ran 1st 9/2

04 Nov 26 Chepstow Smooth Landing (GB)T: Sam Thomas Dunraven Open National Hunt Flat Race (Category 1 Elimination) (GBB Race)Class 5 · 16f · Good To Soft · 13 ran 9th 9/1

04 Nov 26 Chepstow Irishcoffee (FR)T: Sam Thomas Free Tips On attheraces.com Maiden Hurdle Race (GBB Race)Class 4 · 19.5f · Good To Soft · 14 ran 9th 28/1

02 Nov 26 Plumpton Range (IRE)T: Sam Thomas Southern Cranes Handicap Hurdle Race (GBB Race)Class 2 · 20.5f · Good · 12 ran 3rd 14/1

31 Oct 26 Ayr Blue Las (GB)T: Neil Mulholland United Council Of Racecourse Bookmakers Handicap Hurdle Race (Challenger Stayers Hurdle Series Qualifier)Class 3 · 24.5f · Good To Soft · 7 ran 4th 13/2

29 Oct 26 Ffos Las Doctor Kildare (FR)T: Sam Thomas Walters Group Handicap Steeple Chase (GBB Race)Class 4 · 25.5f · Good · 5 ran 1st 3/1

29 Oct 26 Ffos Las Justalargewhisky (FR)T: Sam Thomas bettingsites.co.uk Maiden Hurdle Race (GBB Race)Class 4 · 20f · Heavy · 11 ran 3rd 6/1

28 Oct 26 Huntingdon Papa Oscar (GB)T: Clare Hobson Hospitality At Huntingdon Racecourse Novices' Handicap Hurdle RaceClass 5 · 16f · Good · 9 ran 2nd 40/1

24 Oct 26 Cheltenham Katate Dori (FR)T: Sam Thomas William Hill Best Odds Guaranteed Handicap Steeple Chase (gbb Race)Class 2 · 25f · Good To Soft · 9 ran 2nd 15/2

23 Oct 26 Cheltenham Palacio (FR)T: Sam Thomas Squareintheair.com Handicap Steeple Chase (gbb Race)Class 2 · 16f · Good To Soft · 8 ran 6th 11/1

22 Oct 26 Ffos Las Brisky Dancer (FR)T: Sam Thomas bettingsites.co.uk Instant Withdrawal Novices' Hurdle Race (Div II) (GBB Race)Class 4 · 16f · Soft · 10 ran 7th 12/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

KTB’s figures

the forward record · since 5 Oct 2026

KTB’s figures on this rider’s mounts since 23 Oct 2026: the KTB Selection in 2 runs (won 0) · top-rated on KTB Rating in 2 runs (won 0) · fastest on KTB Speed in 1 run (won 0) · to 11 Nov 2026.

Each pick was a KTB figure’s choice before the off — the published KTB Selection, the top-rated horse on KTB Rating, the fastest on KTB Speed — settled against the result the next morning and never worked out again; “did not run” is counted apart. GB and Irish races only. A record of weeks so far: read it as a count, not a verdict.

Quick answers

What is Dylan Johnston's strike rate?: Dylan Johnston has won 98 of 744 rides since 2008, a strike rate of 13.2% (as at 12 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does Dylan Johnston do best at?: Chepstow by strike rate: 7 wins from 34 rides (20.6%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most rides on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Which yard does Dylan Johnston ride most for?: Sam Thomas, with 158 rides since 2008 — 21% of the total. That pairing has won 33 (20.9%).
Is Dylan Johnston in form?: Too few rides in the last 14 days to read — 14 rides, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.
What is Dylan Johnston's Fair A/E?: 1.02, from 743 rides with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.