E O'Connell
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%".
Rides around 30 times a season, almost all over hurdles and fences, winning on 5% of them — a touch below the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 0.96).
The record is strongest at Clonmel (11.6%, n=43), clear of the rider's 5% baseline. First rides on a horse have been a poor signal at 2% (n=254, Fair A/E 0.48). The market has consistently overbet rides in big fields of 14 or more: 3.2% strike, Fair A/E 0.73 and −214.00 to a £1 stake over 309 rides — those runners underperform what the price implies. Eamonn O'Connell supplies 37% of the rides and edges the rider's average (7.6% vs 5%, A/E 1.28) — the partnership beats the margin-free market read. The rider also reads well on Heavy going (8.3%, n=144). The record reads poorly in Chase races — 0% over 59 rides, 5pts below the baseline. The market has consistently overbet the rider off a 61-180-day break: Fair A/E 0.35 across 69 rides (1.4% strike, −65.50 to a £1 stake) — runners there underperform what the price implies. One Group or Graded win sits in the archive record — the biggest prize the rider has landed: the Billecart-Salmon Handicap Hurdle at Down Royal (Nov 2018, £29,500). Seasonally, the rider fires Feb–Mar.
Riding patterns
the angles behind the record · vs 5% baselineEach tile is the record in that situation vs the 5% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. First rides are the first captured pairing of horse and rider; last-time-out winners are horses whose previous captured run was a win; claiming rides are runs where the rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.
Notable angles
vs their own baselineRecord by conditions
same window as headerRace type
Going
Courses
Class
Market position
Distance
By season
Handicaps
Field size
Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.
Jumping record
completion over obstacles · same window as headerHorses ridden
same window as header · most-raced firstBy month
strike by month, lifetimeRiding for
same window · biggest samples firstCareer highlights
lifetime archive, 2014→Sires of the horses ridden
progeny record · win % by ground and tripThe record
latest 50 of 537 · newest firstThe latest 50 of 537 archived rides, newest first. The full record runs from 4 August 2014 to 20 April 2023.
Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).
Quick answers
- What is E O'Connell's strike rate?
- E O'Connell has won 27 of 537 rides since 2008, a strike rate of 5% (as at 6 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
- Which course does E O'Connell do best at?
- Clonmel by strike rate: 5 wins from 43 rides (11.6%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most rides on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
- Which yard does E O'Connell ride most for?
- Eamonn O'Connell, with 198 rides since 2008 — 37% of the total. That pairing has won 15 (7.6%).
- What is E O'Connell's Fair A/E?
- 0.96, from 537 rides with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.