What is Gavin Ryan's strike rate?

Gavin Ryan has won 252 of 3,116 rides since 2008, a strike rate of 8.1% (as at 12 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.

Which course does Gavin Ryan do best at?

Bellewstown by strike rate: 9 wins from 66 rides (13.6%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most rides on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.

Which yard does Gavin Ryan ride most for?

Donnacha Aidan O'Brien, with 722 rides since 2008 — 23% of the total. That pairing has won 95 (13.2%).

Is Gavin Ryan in form?

In the last 14 days: 20 rides, 2 winners, a strike rate of 10%. That is in line with the baseline of 8.1% since 2008.

What is Gavin Ryan's Fair A/E?

0.96, from 3,115 rides with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.

Jockey profile

Gavin Ryan

3,116 rides in the lifetime window · 1,409 individual horses

As at 12 Nov 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily

Won yesterday Last ride yesterday 100% of rides on the flat

Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2017→)

from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it

252–3,116

Wins / Runs

8.1%

Strike rate

n=3,116

783 (25%)

Placed

0.96

Fair A/E

n=3,115 · 0.78 incl. margin

−1,037.82

£1 level stake

n=3,116 at SP · −33.3%

£6.03m

Prize money (window)

Strike by season

5.5%

KTB Rider Profile

Rides around 160 times a season, almost all on the flat, winning on 8% of them — a touch below the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 0.96). Riding last-time-out winners the record reads 12% (229 rides).

Deterministic profile computed from 3,116 archived runs (lifetime window) · updated 12 Nov 2026

KTB at a glance 27% when favourite Donnacha Aidan O'Brien: 13.2% from 722 LTO winners: 11.8% Claiming: 10% Rides the favourite in 8% of races

The read

Rides on last-time-out winners have been a positive signal at 11.8% (n=229, Fair A/E 0.90). The market has consistently overbet in Group and Graded company the record: 6.7% strike, Fair A/E 0.75 and −139.85 to a £1 stake over 313 rides — those runners underperform what the price implies. Donnacha Aidan O'Brien supplies 23% of the rides and beats the rider's average (13.2% vs 8.1%, A/E 0.95). 21 Group and Graded wins sit in the archive record — the biggest prize the rider has landed: the Criterium International at Saint-Cloud (FR) (Oct 2022, £120,042).

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Riding patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 8.1% baseline

First ride on the horse · first captured pairing

6.9%−1.2

n=1,409 · A/E 1.05 · £1 −487.05

Last-time-out winners · previous run was a win

11.8%+3.7

n=229 · A/E 0.90 · £1 −49.91

Fresh horses · 61+ days off

7.3%−0.8

n=467 · A/E 1.05 · £1 −157.65

When favourite

27%

n=237 · A/E 0.97 · £1 −58.41

Claiming rides · riding with a claim

10%+1.9

n=826 · A/E 1.12 · £1 −181.52

Big fields · 14+ runners

5.4%−2.7

n=1,575 · A/E 0.86 · £1 −784.24

Group / Graded races · pattern & listed

6.7%−1.4

n=313 · A/E 0.75 · £1 −139.85

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 8.1% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. First rides are the first captured pairing of horse and rider; last-time-out winners are horses whose previous captured run was a win; claiming rides are runs where the rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline

With J S Bolger 25% vs 8.1% · n=40

With Donnacha Aidan O'Brien 13.2% vs 8.1% · n=722

With John James Feane 15.6% vs 8.1% · n=64

With Kieran P Cotter 0% vs 8.1% · n=38

With Mark Fahey 14.3% vs 8.1% · n=112

With new recruits 2.1% vs 8.1% · n=97

Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Going

GoingRWSR£1

Good 992 73 7.4% −225.51

Soft 820 61 7.4% −359.96

Standard (AW) 660 59 8.9% −215.02

Heavy 268 29 10.8% −50.05

Good to Soft 210 18 8.6% −109.53

Good to Firm 166 12 7.2% −77.75

Courses

CourseRWSR£1

Dundalk (AW) 649 59 9.1% −204.02

Curragh 442 23 5.2% −278.79

Leopardstown 283 18 6.4% −123.12

Gowran Park 228 17 7.5% −58.05

Naas 220 24 10.9% −18.70

Navan 197 11 5.6% −143.81

Cork 180 13 7.2% −93.65

Fairyhouse 118 12 10.2% +8.00

Galway 115 12 10.4% −27.79

Killarney 98 12 12.2% −38.26

Tipperary 95 10 10.5% −9.49

Down Royal 73 8 11% +8.08

Listowel 70 9 12.9% −7.02

Bellewstown 66 9 13.6% +13.75

Roscommon 64 5 7.8% −24.00

Class

ClassRWSR£1

Class 1 313 21 6.7% −139.85

Class 3 18 0 0% −18.00

Class 2 8 0 0% −8.00

Class 6 2 0 0% −2.00

Class 5 1 0 0% −1.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1

Favourite 284 72 25.4% 0.96 −70.78

2nd–3rd fav 565 93 16.5% 1.09 −74.54

4th–6th fav 833 52 6.2% 0.83 −303.50

7th+ in betting 1,434 35 2.4% 0.89 −589.00

Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Horses ridden

same window as header · most-raced first

HorseRWPlLast ran

Saltonstall (GB) 17 2 5 27 Aug 22

Imposing Supreme (IRE) 14 2 5 9 Aug 25

Booyea (IRE) 13 3 5 14 Sep 25

Maralinga (IRE) 13 2 3 20 Oct 23

Maestro Stick (GB) 13 2 3 20 Oct 23

Wodao (FR) 13 2 5 24 Sep 23

Moon Daisy (IRE) 13 1 5 3 May 23

Reverberation (GB) 13 3 5 20 Jan 23

Emporio (IRE) 13 2 9 6 Nov 22

Mr Ormsby (IRE) 13 0 8 19 Dec 18

Rhythm King (IRE) 12 4 5 19 Oct 25

Winemaker (FR) 12 3 4 7 Mar 25

Showing the 60 most-raced of the 1,409 horses ridden in this window — each ran at least 7 times. Horses with fewer runs aren't listed; search finds any horse since 2005. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.

Current form

significance-gated

Last 14 days

Steady

2 from 20 10% · +1.9pts vs baseline

Last 14 days10%

Lifetime base8.1%

Shown only when the 14-day window is large enough to mean anything (n≥15). A cold run renders the same card with a quiet badge — never hidden.

By month

strike by month, lifetime

JFMAMJJASOND

116710791088695

A flat rider: the season runs Mar–Oct. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Riding for

same window · biggest samples first

Main yardDonnacha Aidan O'Brien

23% of all rides
13.2% SR · A/E 0.95

TrainerRWSR£1

Donnacha Aidan O'Brien 722 95 13.2% −251.59

Adrian McGuinness 190 19 10% −70.62

P J F Murphy 135 11 8.1% +5.96

Mark Fahey 112 16 14.3% +80.50

Thomas Gibney 75 8 10.7% −5.40

Anthony McCann 67 2 3% −56.00

Diego Dias 67 4 6% −42.30

John James Feane 64 10 15.6% +49.33

Timothy Doyle 61 2 3.3% −31.00

A P O'Brien 60 3 5% −50.84

M C Grassick 56 2 3.6% −39.00

Keith Henry Clarke 53 4 7.5% −3.00

Muted rows are under 30 rides.

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2017→

252

Archived wins

Pattern / graded wins

£6.03m

Prize money

2020

Best season · 59 wins

Proud And Regal (IRE) — Criterium International (2yo) (Turf) Saint-Cloud (FR) · Oct 2022 · Group 1

£120,042

Booyea (IRE) — Dubai Duty Free Derby Festival Handicap (Premier Handicap) Curragh · Jun 2024

£59,000

Madbadanddangerous (IRE) — BOYLE Sports Ulster Derby (Premier Handicap) Down Royal · Jun 2026

£58,900

Notable horses

Rhythm King (IRE) Booyea (IRE) Reverberation (GB) Winemaker (FR) Drop The Dip (IRE) Current Option (IRE)

Sires of the horses ridden

progeny record · win % by ground and trip

Galileo (IRE) 9.1% · 13–143

Progeny have won 14.5% of 18,201 runs since 2008 (1,776 horses). Strongest over 6f – 7f (all codes): 18.2% from 1,383. Weakest over 2m5f – 3m (all codes): 9.4% from 890.

Dandy Man (IRE) 5.2% · 5–97

Progeny have won 9.1% of 14,990 runs since 2013 (930 horses). Weakest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 5.3% from 171.

No Nay Never (USA) 6% · 5–84

Progeny have won 12.1% of 6,381 runs since 2018 (710 horses). Weakest on Good to Soft going: 9.1% from 618. Weakest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 7.5% from 187.

Australia (GB) 13.4% · 9–67

Progeny have won 11.2% of 5,683 runs since 2018 (569 horses). Weakest over 2m5f – 3m (all codes): 6.5% from 108.

Footstepsinthesand (GB) 8.3% · 5–60

Progeny have won 10.2% of 12,816 runs since 2009 (938 horses). Weakest over 2m1f – 2m4f (all codes): 6.9% from 320.

Churchill (IRE) 14.3% · 8–56

Progeny have won 11% of 4,853 runs since 2021 (462 horses).

Top line: the rider's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 12 Nov 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 3,116 · newest first

The latest 50 of 3,116 archived rides, newest first. The full record runs from 16 March 2017 to 11 November 2026.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP

11 Nov 26 Dundalk (AW) (IRE) Free Solo (IRE)T: P J F Murphy Celebrate Your Special Occasion At Dundalk Stadium Handicap7f · Standard · 14 ran 9th 14/1

11 Nov 26 Dundalk (AW) (IRE) Lookingforarainbow (USA)T: Donnacha Aidan O'Brien Bet On The Best Night Out At Dundalk Stadium Maiden8f · Standard · 13 ran 1st 13/8

08 Nov 26 Saint-Cloud (FR) Glyfada (IRE)T: Donnacha Aidan O'Brien Prix Solitude10f · Heavy · 14 ran 8th 7/1

06 Nov 26 Dundalk (AW) (IRE) Aghadrum Boy (IRE)T: P J F Murphy BAR 1 Betting Bet Builder Boost Handicap8f · Standard · 14 ran 2nd 25/1

06 Nov 26 Dundalk (AW) (IRE) Might Just Be (IRE)T: Donnacha Aidan O'Brien Irish Stallion Farms EBF (C & G) Maiden8f · Standard · 10 ran 9th 100/1

06 Nov 26 Dundalk (AW) (IRE) Quiescent (GB)T: Hamad Al Jehani Irish Stallion Farms EBF Cooley Fillies Stakes (Listed)Class 1 · 8f · Standard · 14 ran 10th 33/1

06 Nov 26 Dundalk (AW) (IRE) Gradoux (IRE)T: Donnacha Aidan O'Brien Irish Stallion Farms EBF Fillies Maiden7f · Standard · 12 ran 6th 10/1

04 Nov 26 Dundalk (AW) (IRE) One Cool County (IRE)T: P J F Murphy Now Racing Every Wednesday At Dundalk Handicap10.5f · Standard · 14 ran 3rd 17/2

04 Nov 26 Dundalk (AW) (IRE) Pick A Window (IRE)T: Seamus G O'Donnell Book Your Christmas Party At Dundalk Stadium Handicap7f · Standard · 13 ran 5th 33/1

04 Nov 26 Dundalk (AW) (IRE) Sron Na Caise (IRE)T: K J Condon Book Online At DundalkStadium.com Maiden7f · Standard · 8 ran 8th 17/2

04 Nov 26 Dundalk (AW) (IRE) I Bid You Ajou (FR)T: Mark Fahey Irishinjuredjockeys.com Handicap6f · Standard · 9 ran 3rd 3/1F

01 Nov 26 Curragh (IRE) Together Now (USA)T: Aidan O'Brien QuinnBet Finale Stakes (Listed)Class 1 · 12f · Yielding · 12 ran 9th 9/4

01 Nov 26 Curragh (IRE) Navy Guitar (IRE)T: Diego Dias Velo Coffee At The Curragh Maiden12f · Yielding · 19 ran 10th 33/1

01 Nov 26 Curragh (IRE) Sanctijude (IRE)T: W. McCreery Keadeen Hotel Premier Handicap8f · Yielding To Soft · 21 ran 12th 33/1

01 Nov 26 Curragh (IRE) Amelia Earhart (IRE)T: Aidan O'Brien QuinnBet Loughbrown Stakes (Group 3)Class 1 · 16.5f · Yielding · 11 ran 1st 2/1F

01 Nov 26 Curragh (IRE) Never Loose (IRE)T: J A Stack Isuzu Ireland Handicap7f · Yielding To Soft · 25 ran 17th 40/1

01 Nov 26 Curragh (IRE) Valentino Eclipse (IRE)T: J A Stack Ryans Cleaning Race7f · Yielding To Soft · 9 ran 3rd 9/1

01 Nov 26 Curragh (IRE) Wassily Kandinsky (IRE)T: Aidan O'Brien Irish EBF Maiden (Smullen Series)8f · Yielding To Soft · 23 ran 20th 16/1

31 Oct 26 Newmarket City Of Gold (GB)T: Aidan O'Brien Hurworth Blooodstock Horris Hill Stakes (Group 3)Class 1 · 7f · Good To Soft · 15 ran 4th 33/1

30 Oct 26 Dundalk (AW) (IRE) Eddie G (IRE)T: Adrian McGuinness BAR 1 Betting 'Bet 10 Get 50' Handicap6f · Standard · 8 ran 3rd 15/2

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

KTB’s figures

the forward record · since 5 Oct 2026

KTB’s figures on this rider’s mounts since 9 Oct 2026: the KTB Selection in 3 runs (won 1) · top-rated on KTB Rating in 3 runs (won 0) · fastest on KTB Speed in 2 runs (won 0) · to 11 Nov 2026.

Each pick was a KTB figure’s choice before the off — the published KTB Selection, the top-rated horse on KTB Rating, the fastest on KTB Speed — settled against the result the next morning and never worked out again; “did not run” is counted apart. GB and Irish races only. A record of weeks so far: read it as a count, not a verdict.

Quick answers

What is Gavin Ryan's strike rate?: Gavin Ryan has won 252 of 3,116 rides since 2008, a strike rate of 8.1% (as at 12 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does Gavin Ryan do best at?: Bellewstown by strike rate: 9 wins from 66 rides (13.6%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most rides on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Which yard does Gavin Ryan ride most for?: Donnacha Aidan O'Brien, with 722 rides since 2008 — 23% of the total. That pairing has won 95 (13.2%).
Is Gavin Ryan in form?: In the last 14 days: 20 rides, 2 winners, a strike rate of 10%. That is in line with the baseline of 8.1% since 2008.
What is Gavin Ryan's Fair A/E?: 0.96, from 3,115 rides with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.